2025.5.21 市场逻辑精选 逻辑红宝书 2025-05-21 特别提示：下文涉及的题材或公司，内容罗列和篇幅长短，与后续涨跌无关，亦均非进行 推荐，仅作研究辅助。投资者应自主决策，注意风险。 一、市场热点 新型消费：多行业释放消费新活力 ◇驱动：2025 年 5 月 20 日，港股泡泡玛特收盘股价 208.2 港元/股，盘中市值突 破 2800 亿，续创历史新高；谷子经济、宠物经济等年轻人消费新宠有望迎来产 业投资升级。 更多一手海外资讯和海外投行报告加V：shuinu9870 更多一手海外资讯和海外投行报告加V：shuinu9870 更多一手海外资讯和海外投行报告加V：shuinu9870 更多一手海外资讯和海外投行报告加V：shuinu9870 更多一手海外资讯和海外投行报告加V：shuinu9870 更多一手海外资讯和海外投行报告加V：shuinu9870 ◇谷子经济： 1）《哪吒之魔童闹海》等优质 IP 持续赋能下，谷子经济新品持续拓展，机构预 计后续头部卡牌商卡游港股上市将带动产业投资机会再次升级。 2）2024 年国内市场规模 1689 亿，同比增长 41%，预计 2025 年将突破 200 ...

长沙晚报掌上长沙5月21日讯（全媒体记者 刘军）21日开盘，20日大爆发的宠物经济概念有所回调，但 可靠股份、永安药业依然涨超10%。据已披露的2024年业绩及2025年第一季度业绩，该概念板块上不少 个股业绩均出现大幅增长。记者注意到，该概念板块上，有一只湘股——圣湘生物。 特别值得注意的是，在宠物经济方面，国内企业自主化程度越来越高。上市公司乖宝宠物财报显示， 2024年公司自有品牌营收为35.45亿元，占营业收入的比重为67.59%，同比增长29.14%。2015年至2023 年，乖宝宠物国内市占率从2.4%提升至5.5%，实现翻倍。另一家上市公司佩蒂股份2024年年报显示， 2024年公司在国内市场实现销售收入2.88亿元人民币，自主品牌收入规模增长33%。 随着宠物赛道的不断增长，进入者也在不断增加。今年初，由前盒马鲜生创始人兼CEO侯毅创立的宠物 食品新零售品牌派特鲜生首家门店在上海市长宁区开业。派特鲜生以"鲜"为核心，推出现制现售鲜食， 同时将门店零售、餐饮和人宠社交相结合，增强门店体验感。4月15日，三只松鼠旗下宠物食品品牌"金 牌奶爸"在天猫和抖音旗舰店全网首发，将"高品质、差异化"作为产品 ...

Market Overview - The three major stock indices opened mixed, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3380.21 points, down 0.01%, the Shenzhen Component Index at 10246.52 points, down 0.03%, and the ChiNext Index at 2052.0 points, up 0.17% [2] Guest Insights - Guotai Junan's senior analyst suggests a strategy to avoid over-concentration in specific sectors while maintaining foundational holdings. Continuous attention should be given to niche segments and structural opportunities within the industry [4] - Liu Jun from Guolian Securities highlights the current market's structural characteristics of policy support and insufficient volume, indicating a stable market sentiment. He recommends focusing on hardware and software breakthroughs, particularly in high-precision components due to surging demand [3] Brokerage Opinions - CITIC Securities emphasizes the rapid progress of AI technology and its positive impact on the industry chain, particularly for software companies with data and customer bases. They recommend focusing on ERP and government sectors for potential orders and products [7] - Huatai Securities continues to actively recommend the pet sector, noting strong Q2 performance data and upcoming industry events that could catalyze further growth. They suggest focusing on leading pet food companies and rare pet medical stocks for investment [8]

英大证券研究所证券研究报告 金 点 策 略 晨 报 2025 年 5 月 21 日 5 月 LPR 下调 10 个基点，震荡轮动格局或将延续 分析师：惠祥凤 执业证书编号：S0990513100001 电话：0755-83007028 邮箱：huixf@ydzq.sgcc.com.cn 观点： 总量视角 【A 股大势研判】 5 月 20 日，贷款市场报价利率（LPR）迎来年内首次下调，1 年期 LPR 和 5 年期以上 LPR 均下调 10 个基点。同时，多家国有大行及股份行下调存款利率， 活期、定期及通知存款利率全面调降。政策进一步释放流动性宽松信号，降低存 量房贷利率以刺激消费和经济复苏，对 A 股形成利好。 周二沪深三大指数集体上涨，盘面上看，受益于 618 大促预期及消费政策支 持，美容护理、零售连锁表现活跃。而消费升级趋势下，宠物食品、IP 衍生品等 细分赛道受资金追捧，反映市场对新兴消费需求的挖掘。 不过，尽管周二市场集体上攻，但高位股方向出现分歧，后市震荡轮动格局 或将延续：首先，高位股分歧加大。部分前期强势股出现大幅回调；其次，技术 面仍有承压。3400 点作为前期密集成交区，积累了不少套牢盘 ...

各位老铁，这里是帮主郑重的财经热点解读。今儿的资本江湖，可比珠江夜游的浪头还汹涌——黄金破关、科技分野、政策明牌，二十年老炮带你穿透 迷雾，抓住中长线布局的真章。 一、国际战场：避险与科技的冰火对决 昨夜美股那根阴线，活脱脱是六连阳后的"中场补水"。但水面下的暗流才叫精彩： - 黄金狂飙：Vista黄金18%的旱地拔葱，科尔黛伦矿业5%的跟涨，分明在演绎"炮弹一响，黄金万两"的老戏码。以色列剑指伊朗核设施的传闻，让3300美 元的金价成了资本避风港，这场景像极了2019年美伊对峙时的疯狂。 - 科技分野：谷歌AI发布会翻车跌1.5%，特斯拉却凭马斯克的"五年之约"逆势收红。最绝的是苹果，开放AI生态这步棋，堪比当年App Store改写手机格局 的野心。 二、债市惊雷：美债收益率的达摩克利斯之剑 10年期美债收益率蹿升6个基点至4.48%，交易员们押注5%关口的疯狂，让我想起2013年"削减恐慌"的至暗时刻。2025年9.2万亿到期美债如同悬顶利剑， 这出戏码比《权力的游戏》还刺激——当美债收益率破5%，成长股的估值体系将迎来大考。 三、国内棋局：政策底牌接连亮剑 廿年老炮的忠告 - 早盘紧盯北向资金：50亿 ...

我们不是资讯的搬运工 而是有态度的发现者 万和财富早班车 2025年5月21日 | ● 国内金融市场 ● | | | ● 股指期货 · | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 收盘 | 涨跌幅 | 品种 | 收盘 | 涨跌幅 | | 上证指数 | 3380.48 | 0.38% | 上证当月连续 | 2699.40 | 0.45% | | 深证成指 10249.17 | | 0.77% | 沪深当月连续 | 3865.40 | 0.63% | | 创业板指 | 2048.46 | 0.77% | 恒生期货指数 | 30312.19 | 1.52% | 宏观消息汇总 1. 深交所:中国资产向上重估的共识不断扩大 2. 证监会:中国资本市场将为全球投资者提供不可替代投资机遇 3. 外汇局:数据显示 4月下旬外资投资境内股票转为净买入 二、行业最新动态 1. 上海城区首条低空观光航线起飞 低空经济万亿级市场加速崛 起,相关个股:佳力奇(301586)、航材股份(688563)等 2. 深圳国际眼镜业博览会下月召开AI眼镜有望再次站上风口,相 关个股:全志 ...

｜2025年5月21日 星期三｜ NO.1 多家券商扎堆举办消费主题策略会 宠物、零食、保健品、潮玩、美容个护……今年A股新消费板块热点层出不穷。据《每日经济新闻》记 者不完全统计，在最近10天左右的时间内，华福证券、中信建投、国金证券等多家券商举办了消费行业 主题策略会。火爆场面和两年前部分券商策略会消费分论坛惊现"零"观众的场景，形成鲜明反差。有券 商首席向记者反馈称，新消费行情趋热，甚至吸引了一些新能源、科技行业分析师来"蹭热度"。 点评：新消费板块近期备受关注，多家券商举办消费主题策略会，显示出市场对该领域的强烈兴趣。宠 物、零食、保健品等行业的热度上升，吸引了新能源和科技行业分析师的关注。这一趋势可能推动相关 公司股价波动，并带动整个消费板块的活跃度。总体来看，新消费行情的趋热将对股市整体产生积极影 响，投资者需关注相关行业动态。 NO.4 低利率改变打法，私募"弃债投股" 私募最新投资月报显示，目前多家宏观策略私募保持积极的权益资产净多头仓位，港股互联网和红利资 产备受青睐。在业内人士看来，低利率时代下，债券投资的难度显著提升，权益资产的性价比愈发凸 显，尤其伴随着政策持续发力，上市公司回购力度加 ...

Group 1: Intelligent Robotics and Healthcare - The collaboration between Huawei, Zhiyuan Robotics, and Zhongjian Technology focuses on humanoid robots for healthcare, leveraging computing power, large model platforms, data collection, and application scenarios [2] - The aging population presents unprecedented opportunities for the intelligent healthcare robot industry, which is becoming a crucial force in implementing the Healthy China strategy [2] - According to Founder Securities, the healthcare robot industry is entering a period of technological integration and scene implementation, providing smarter and more efficient solutions for elderly care [2] Group 2: AI Agent Market Growth - Microsoft is developing a new service called "Tenant Copilot" to assist tenants in creating AI agents that can interact and work like humans, with an announcement expected at the upcoming developer conference [3] - The global AI Agent market is projected to grow from $5.1 billion in 2024 to $47.1 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 44.8% [3] - Major companies like Microsoft, Google, Salesforce, and others are actively promoting the commercialization of AI agents, indicating a broad market potential [3] Group 3: Low-altitude Economy - The first customized low-altitude sightseeing route in Shanghai has been launched, showcasing the potential of the low-altitude economy [3] - The low-altitude economy is gaining traction with government policies and financial support, including special bonds and investment funds, facilitating its industrialization [4][5] - Technological advancements in eVTOL certification and AI drones are enabling breakthroughs in various applications, supporting the large-scale operation of the low-altitude economy [5] Group 4: Pet Economy - The pet economy is evolving towards high-quality development, with consumer demand shifting from basic food to premium services [6] - The urban pet consumption market is expected to exceed 404.2 billion yuan by 2027, with a CAGR of 12.6% from 2015 to 2027 [6] - The pet industry in China is experiencing significant growth, with a focus on professionalization and diversification, indicating a vast market potential [6]

Group 1: Xinyu Guoke - Xinyu Guoke is rapidly developing in the field of explosive devices, which has become a major economic growth point for the company [1] - The company has won bids for four to five product models, and if these models can be finalized for mass production, it will bring considerable sales revenue [1] - The company has expansion plans, with a new special equipment production line project having obtained land use rights and undergoing internal technological upgrades [1] Group 2: Tianyuan Pet - The domestic pet market in China has seen rapid growth since 2010, with the urban pet (dog and cat) consumption market expected to reach 300.2 billion yuan in 2024, a 7.5% increase from 2023 [2] - The company has established an efficient multi-category product supply chain management system and is expanding production capacity in Vietnam and Cambodia [2] - The company plans to focus on its own brand, develop traditional e-commerce, and explore content e-commerce, with a projected domestic revenue of 1.431 billion yuan and a gross margin of 11.65% in 2024 [2] Group 3: Lianchuang Optoelectronics - Lianchuang Optoelectronics has introduced the progress and future plans of the "Spark One" project, which has entered the operational phase and is expected to complete key construction by 2028-2029 [3] - The company anticipates business development in 2023, focusing on upgrading laser products, expanding overseas, and ensuring delivery [3] - The company detailed the composition and R&D progress of superconducting coils in controlled nuclear fusion, highlighting the technical barriers and innovations in high-temperature superconducting technology [3] Group 4: Company Overview - Dunhe Asset Management Co., Ltd. was established on March 2, 2011, and is a domestic macro private equity fund company focused on investment in domestic and international capital markets [4] - The company has developed a multi-asset allocation strategy, utilizing various tools such as spot, futures, options, and OTC derivatives [4] - Dunhe Asset Management has an asset management scale exceeding 40 billion yuan, ranking among the top in the private equity securities investment fund industry [4]

5月20日，大消费主线表现强劲，政策利好与行业景气度共振激发资金热情。消费品以旧换新政策将适 老化与科技产品纳入补贴范围，叠加4月社会消费品零售总额同比增5.1%的复苏信号，推动宠物经济板 块全线爆发，培育钻石、美容护理、珠宝首饰等细分领域同步上扬。此外，今年以来，新消费领域牛股 频出。 近期消费板块迎多项利好。以旧换新政策方面，家电、汽车、家装等耐用品消费直接受益于中央及地方 的以旧换新补贴政策(如最高3.5万元汽车置换补贴)，刺激存量市场更新需求。政策范围逐步扩围至智能 家居、绿色家电、数码产品等，推动行业技术升级与渗透率提升。免税方面，海南自贸港政策优化离岛 免税额度(提升至10万元)，叠加入境免签政策扩大客源，驱动免税销售额增长。数字化退税流程提升运 营效率，奢侈品消费加速回流至国内市场。 近日，商务部等六部门联合印发《关于组织开展"购在中国"系列活动的通知》，部署各地聚焦首发经 济，围绕四大领域。2025年全国精品首发季暨"首发上海"系列活动日前正式在上海启动，邀请全球游客 打卡首店、观赏首展、欣赏首秀，实地感受中国和上海消费市场的巨大魅力。上海还同步发布了"首发 上海3.0"政策，将试点首发进口消 ...