展望未来，银河国际将博纳产业2025至2027财年的每股收益预测上调了25.9%。博纳产业预计，2025年 全年新私宅销量将达到8000至9000套，同比增长24%至39%；同时，私宅价格预计将上涨3%至4%，政 府组屋转售价格预计上涨4%至5%。 该机构认为，潜在的评级上调催化剂包括强于预期的住宅市场表现和公司市场份额的进一步扩大。 同 时，报告也提示了相关风险，例如宏观经济前景走弱和抵押贷款利率飙升，这些因素可能抑制购房需 求，从而影响公司盈利。 （文章来源：新华财经） 新华财经新加坡8月13日电（记者刘春涛）银河国际（CGS International）在13日发布的最新研报中指 出，由于项目营销业务贡献强于预期，新加坡房地产经纪公司博纳产业（Propnex Ltd）2025财年上半年 业绩超出预期。该机构重申对博纳产业的"增持"评级，并将其目标价从1.25新元上调至1.77新元。 根据研报，博纳产业2025财年上半年营收同比增长73.3%至5.989亿新元，税后净利润同比大增122.4%至 4230万新元。 每股收益为5.71新加坡分，达到了银河国际对其全年预测的67.3%。 公司拟派发每股5新 加坡 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of $22.15 [1][5][29] Core Insights - The real estate industry is experiencing a slowdown in growth, with the company expected to see a 12% year-on-year revenue increase in Q2 2025, reaching 26.3 billion RMB [5] - The adjusted net profit is projected to decline by 33% year-on-year to 1.79 billion RMB in Q2 2025, primarily due to the overall slowdown in the real estate sector [5][10] - Despite the challenges, the company is expected to improve its operating profit margin sequentially, driven by enhanced efficiency in stores and agents, as well as the continued advantages in its home decoration business [5][10] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are adjusted downwards for 2025-2027, with expected revenues of 102.59 billion RMB, 115.78 billion RMB, and 128.57 billion RMB respectively, reflecting a decrease of 10.8%, 12.5%, and 14.1% from previous estimates [4][25][27] - The adjusted net profit for 2025 is revised to 7.02 billion RMB, down 14.6% from earlier forecasts, with further adjustments for 2026 and 2027 [25][27] Business Segment Performance - The company anticipates a 14% year-on-year growth in its home decoration business in Q2 2025, with a potential for breakeven in quarterly earnings due to increased order volumes and cost efficiencies [8][9] - The real estate transaction services are expected to show mixed results, with existing home transaction services projected to decline by 3%, while new home transaction services are expected to grow by 13% [5][10] Market Conditions - The report highlights a weakening in the real estate market, with inventory pressures and a prolonged de-stocking cycle affecting sales [6][14] - Recent policy changes in Beijing aimed at easing purchase restrictions are expected to temporarily boost transaction activity, particularly in the outer districts [7][23]

Core Viewpoint - The recent policy adjustment in Beijing's real estate market aims to stimulate activity by easing restrictions on home purchases for both local and non-local residents, particularly for properties outside the Fifth Ring Road, which has led to increased market activity and interest from buyers [1][2][12]. Policy Changes - On August 8, the Beijing Municipal Housing and Urban-Rural Development Commission and the Beijing Housing Provident Fund Management Center announced a significant policy change allowing local residents and non-local residents who have paid social insurance or income tax for over two years to purchase an unlimited number of homes outside the Fifth Ring Road [1][3]. - This marks a major policy shift after a 10-month period of stagnation in the real estate market, with the new regulations optimizing housing provident fund policies across the city [1][4]. Market Response - Following the announcement, there was a noticeable increase in market activity, with many new housing projects reporting a surge in inquiries and visits from potential buyers [1][6]. - Real estate agents noted a rise in both buyer and seller inquiries, with some homeowners looking to capitalize on the new policy by listing their properties for sale [1][5]. Sales Data - In July, the number of second-hand residential transactions in Beijing fell to a new low of 12,784 units, a decrease of 15.6% month-on-month and 17.9% year-on-year, indicating a need for policy intervention [4]. - The first weekend following the new policy saw new residential properties registering 83 and 92 transactions, while second-hand homes recorded 178 and 116 transactions, although the actual impact of the policy on sales volume remains to be fully assessed due to delays in registration data [9][10]. Buyer Behavior - The new policy has particularly benefited properties outside the Fifth Ring Road, where over 80% of new residential sales occurred in the first seven months of the year [6]. - Analysts observed that many buyers who had previously hesitated are now more confident in making purchases, with some new projects experiencing a 20% to 30% increase in sales compared to previous weekends [10][11]. Future Outlook - Experts suggest that while the new policy has provided a short-term boost to the market, the long-term recovery will depend on broader economic conditions and improvements in residents' income expectations [12]. - The policy is viewed as a "phase adjustment" aimed at reducing inventory and stabilizing market expectations, with potential for further optimizations depending on market conditions [12].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Guo Jin Securities has given a "buy" rating to the company "I Love My Home" (000560.SZ) with a target price of 3.49 yuan, indicating a positive outlook for the stock [2] - The report highlights the ongoing development of brokerage and rental businesses in the existing housing market era as a key industry trend [2] - It identifies short-term trading opportunities due to bullish real estate policies, suggesting potential for price appreciation [2] Group 2 - The report mentions that the macroeconomic environment is under pressure, which could impact the company's performance [2] - It notes that the recovery of the real estate market may not meet expectations, posing a risk to the company's growth [2] - The report also points out that the increase in market share may not be as anticipated, along with risks related to major shareholders' pledged shares [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the real estate market in Wuhan is undergoing a significant adjustment period, with a 5.3% year-on-year decline in real estate development investment, leading to increased pressure on both developers and real estate agents [1][3] Group 2 - The challenges during the market adjustment include decreased investment and sales pressure, indicating a lack of market confidence and making buyers more cautious [3] - The uncertainty in the policy environment requires real estate agents to stay updated on policy changes to adapt their strategies and provide accurate advice to clients [4] Group 3 - Real estate agents are advised to enhance their professional service capabilities, as clients are now more demanding regarding expertise during tough market conditions [4] - Utilizing technology tools to improve efficiency is crucial, with online platforms and data analysis helping agents better understand client needs and disseminate information [5] - Strengthening client relationship management is essential, as maintaining connections with existing clients can lead to future opportunities when the market improves [6] Group 4 - Opportunities during the market adjustment may arise from potential government policy changes aimed at stimulating the market, which agents should be ready to capitalize on [8] - Market segmentation presents opportunities, as focusing on specific niches, such as school district properties or older urban second-hand homes, can provide a competitive advantage [10] Group 5 - Overall, while the adjustment period poses challenges for real estate agents in Wuhan, it also presents opportunities for those who enhance their skills, leverage technology, and manage client relationships effectively [11]

Financial Performance - The company's revenue for the three months ended June 30, 2025, was $540747 thousand, compared to $340778 thousand for the same period in 2024[194] - Gross profit for the three months ended June 30, 2025, was $47861 thousand, compared to $31868 thousand for the same period in 2024[194] - Net income attributable to the owners of the company for the three months ended June 30, 2025, was $1512 thousand, compared to a net loss of $1215 thousand for the same period in 2024[194] - Adjusted EBITDA for the Q2 2025 was $20043 thousand[199] Agent Network and Transactions - The company has grown agent count by over 7x since the end of 2021[26, 69] - Total agents reached 28034 by Q2 2025[109] - Closed transaction sides reached 49282 in Q2 2025[208] Operational Efficiency - Agent-to-full time brokerage employee ratio was 87:1 in Q2 2025[65] - Adjusted operating expenses have declined from 74% to 50% over the past two years[65] Agent Incentives and Technology - Agents receive 85% of gross commissions before reaching an annual cap of $12000 in the US and CAD $15000 in Canada[41, 130] - Real Wallet generated $247K in revenue in Q2 2025 and was used by ~3600 Real agents as of July 2025[76] Market Outlook - Real's Agent Optimism Index increased to 595 in June from 570 in May, with 38% of agents feeling more optimistic[164] - In June 2025, 48% of agents indicated their local market favored buyers[169]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The company has approved a guarantee of up to 4 billion RMB for its subsidiaries' debt financing in 2025, with specific allocations based on their asset-liability ratios [2]. Group 1: Guarantee Overview and Approval - The company held meetings on April 8 and May 13, 2025, to approve the guarantee for subsidiary debt financing [2]. - The approved guarantee includes a maximum of 3.08 billion RMB for subsidiaries with an asset-liability ratio below 70% and 920 million RMB for those above 70% [2]. - The guarantee for the wholly-owned subsidiary, Beijing I Love My Home Real Estate Brokerage Co., Ltd., is set at 2.24 billion RMB [2]. Group 2: Guarantee Progress - On August 1, 2025, Beijing I Love My Home signed a comprehensive credit agreement with China Everbright Bank, securing a maximum credit limit of 200 million RMB [3]. - The company will provide a joint liability guarantee for this credit agreement, ensuring compliance with the approved guarantee limits [3]. Group 3: Subsidiary Information - Beijing I Love My Home has total assets of 5.46 billion RMB and total liabilities of 2.46 billion RMB as of December 31, 2024 [4]. - As of March 31, 2025, its total assets increased to 7.15 billion RMB, with total liabilities at 4.14 billion RMB [4]. - The subsidiary reported a net profit of 7.06 million RMB for the year 2024 and 2.43 million RMB for the first quarter of 2025 [4]. Group 4: Guarantee Contract Details - The guarantee covers all debts arising from the credit agreement, with a maximum principal balance of 200 million RMB [5]. - The guarantee period is three years from the debt maturity date, with provisions for early maturity due to legal or contractual events [5]. Group 5: Board Opinion - The board believes that the guarantee supports the subsidiary's funding needs and promotes sustainable business development [6]. - The subsidiary's management is deemed sound, and the risks associated with the guarantee are considered manageable [6]. Group 6: External Guarantee Status - The company has no overdue guarantees or guarantees provided to external entities outside the consolidated financial statements [8]. - The total balance of external guarantees after this transaction is 2.04 billion RMB, representing 21.71% of the latest audited net assets [8].

7月30日，头部房产经纪企业我爱我家推出了以"买新房找我爱我家，真好真不贵"为主题的2025夏季新 房节活动。此次为期一个月的优惠活动以"价格更优、体验更好、服务更专业"为核心承诺，通过最低7 折的特价房源、全程无忧的看房服务以及专业经纪人的一对一指导，让消费者花更少的钱、少跑冤枉 路，就能在北京找到真正适合自己的优质住房，叠加"开门红新家礼箱"的福利，真正让"住更好"从期待 变为现实。 "好房子"标准落地，京城新房市场"量价齐升" 2025年，"好房子"首次被写入政府工作报告，并被明确定义为"安全、舒适、绿色、智慧"的居住空间。 随之而来的5月1日全国新住宅标准全面落地，更让"好房子"从概念走向具象的品质升级。这一背景下， 北京新房市场上半年展现出"量价齐升"的结构性增长态势。 中指研究院数据显示，2025年上半年北京新房成交18563套，同比增长23.9%；成交金额达1459.9亿元， 同比增长29.7%。从网签数据来看，北京4月、5月新建商品房网签量均突破3000套，同比分别增长 38.9%和15.2%。 对多数购房者而言，"房子好"只是前提，"价格优"才是决定出手的关键。基于对这一市场和消费者需求 的 ...

Core Viewpoint - RE/MAX reported a decline in revenue and earnings for the quarter ended June 2025, indicating potential challenges in financial performance compared to previous periods and market expectations [1][3]. Financial Performance - Revenue for the quarter was $72.75 million, down 7.3% year-over-year, and below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $73.47 million by 0.98% [1]. - Earnings per share (EPS) were $0.39, a decrease from $0.41 in the same quarter last year, but exceeded the consensus estimate of $0.35 by 11.43% [1]. Key Metrics - Marketing Funds fees revenue was $18.27 million, slightly above the average estimate of $18 million, but down 8.8% year-over-year [4]. - Continuing franchise fees revenue was $28.99 million, below the average estimate of $29.32 million, reflecting a 4.4% decline year-over-year [4]. - Franchise sales and other revenue totaled $4.34 million, significantly lower than the $4.87 million average estimate, marking a 19.8% decrease year-over-year [4]. - Broker fees revenue was $13.45 million, slightly above the average estimate of $13.39 million, with a year-over-year decline of 7.4% [4]. - Annual dues revenue was $7.69 million, below the estimated $7.85 million, representing a 5.6% decrease compared to the previous year [4]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, RE/MAX shares returned +0.1%, underperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.6% change [3]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), suggesting potential underperformance relative to the broader market in the near term [3].

美国房地产市场传统上最为活跃的交易周期如今却异常冷清。根据美国人口普查局最新发布的数据，美 国新建单户住宅销售持续放缓，市场库存与供应量持续攀升，房价呈现下行趋势。 美国房地产经纪公司Redfin的统计进一步印证了这一趋势，今年4至6月的春季销售季期间，全美签署的 房屋销售合同数量创下自2012年以来的新低。 春季销售季期间，全美签署的房屋销售合同数量创下自2012年以来的新低。 张东云举例称："以尔湾高端社区波托拉泉（Portola Springs）的Cielo山景楼盘为例，该项目在2024年最 高报价超过500万美元，如今开发商已将价格下调至300余万美元。即便在这样的调整下，潜在买家仍在 观望，我的一位客户向我询问是否可能有更低的价格，期待更好的入市时机。" 对于未来的房价趋势，总部在吉隆坡的全球房产集团居外IQI （Juwai IQI）联合创始人兼集团首席执行 官安萨里（Kashif Ansari）对第一财经记者称，美国有些楼市可能进一步降价。"目前市场上20%左右的 房源降价，卖家需紧跟市场趋势，避免房源长时间滞留。"他建议，对买家而言，尽管2025年抵押贷款 利率预计将维持在6.5%-6.7%的高 ...