炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 出品：新浪财经公司研究院 作者：新消费主张/cici 截至2025年8月31日，工业金属行业（据申万二级）A股上市公司已完成2025年半年报的披露，对此我 们挑选了58家具有代表性的上市公司进行业绩比对分析。在我们选取的58家工业金属公司中，多数上市 公司业绩双增。 | | | 工业金属公司2025年上半年业绩-业绩亏损 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 公司名称 | 营收 | 同比-营收 | 归母净利润 | 同比-归母净利润 | | 万顺新材 | 26.92 | -10.11% | -0.53 | 469.00% | | 宏创控股 | 14.48 | -13.82% | -1.18 | 539.64% | | 宜安科技 | 7.22 | -6.95% | -0.19 | -919.29% | | 白银有色 | 445.59 | -15.28% | -2.17 | -1859.82% | | 罗平锌电 | 5.21 | -25.97% | -0.92 | -3964.00% | | 利源股份 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a standard rating for the non-ferrous metals industry, highlighting strong performance in precious metals and significant increases in minor metals [2][6]. Core Insights - The non-ferrous metals industry achieved a total revenue of 1,819.7 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.49%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 95.4 billion yuan, up 36.55% [6][14]. - The precious metals sector saw a remarkable revenue increase of 27.15% year-on-year, reaching 188.3 billion yuan, with net profits soaring by 64.71% to 9.7 billion yuan [6][26]. - The industrial metals sector reported a revenue of 13,585.3 billion yuan, a 3.46% increase, and a net profit of 697.4 billion yuan, up 24.42% [6][37]. - The energy metals sector experienced a revenue of 812.4 billion yuan, growing by 6.20%, with net profits skyrocketing by 1,389.33% to 53.1 billion yuan [6][37]. - The minor metals sector's revenue reached 137.7 billion yuan, a 14.24% increase, with net profits rising by 40.01% to 7.6 billion yuan [6][37]. Summary by Sections Overall Performance of Non-Ferrous Metals Industry - The non-ferrous metals industry maintained a stable operation in the first half of 2025, with 73.76% of the 141 listed companies reporting revenue growth [14][21]. - The overall gross margin for the industry was 12.04%, an increase of 0.67 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin rose to 6.35%, up 0.98 percentage points [14][20]. Precious Metals - The precious metals sector's gross margin was 13.52%, with a net margin of 6.27%, both showing improvements compared to the previous year [26][27]. - The international gold price reached a peak of 3,500 USD/ounce in the first half of 2025, reflecting a significant increase in demand driven by geopolitical risks and inflation concerns [30][27]. Industrial Metals - The industrial metals sector's gross margin was 11.25%, with a net margin of 6.20%, indicating a healthy profitability despite market fluctuations [37][39]. - The average price of copper in the first half of 2025 was 77,562 yuan/ton, showing a year-on-year increase of 3.3% [49][50]. Energy Metals - The energy metals sector's performance was notably strong, with lithium salt prices stabilizing and a significant increase in net profits [6][37]. - The sector's gross margin was not explicitly stated, but the dramatic rise in net profits indicates robust demand and effective cost management [6][37]. Minor Metals and New Metal Materials - The minor metals sector's revenue growth was driven by strong demand in emerging technologies, with a focus on rare earth elements and tungsten [6][37]. - The new metal materials sector reported a revenue of 539.3 billion yuan, a 6.63% increase, with net profits rising by 4.70% [6][37]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Zijin Mining (601899) and Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (600988) in the precious metals sector, and Tianshan Aluminum (002532) and Luoyang Molybdenum (603993) in the industrial metals sector [6][37].

Market Overview - The non-ferrous metal sector has seen a strong rebound, with the Shenwan Non-Ferrous Metal Index rising by 8.59% over the past two weeks, ranking fifth among 31 primary industries [7] - The market has shown significant structural differentiation, with small metals, precious metals, and new materials performing particularly well, while rare earths, copper, and aluminum have attracted substantial capital [1][2] Precious Metals - Gold and silver prices have strengthened, with COMEX gold closing at $3,516 per ounce, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 31.63%, while silver has risen by 35.88% [1][17] - The demand for gold from global central banks continues to rise, enhancing its financial attributes, leading to increased investment in companies like Shandong Gold, Zhongjin Gold, and Hunan Gold [1][17] Industrial Metals - Copper prices have shown a strong upward trend, with LME copper settling at $9,805 per ton, up 12.89% year-to-date, driven by expectations of increased infrastructure investment and demand from the renewable energy sector [2][23] - Aluminum prices are constrained by production capacity limits, with domestic electrolytic aluminum capacity reaching 44 million tons, while demand from the new energy sector remains robust [2][27] Rare Earths - The rare earth sector has experienced a strong performance, with the rare earth price index rising by 6.39% over the past two weeks and 37.44% year-to-date [2][41] - Recent policy changes have tightened supply controls, benefiting companies like China Rare Earth, Northern Rare Earth, and Shenghe Resources [2][41][55] Small Metals - The small metals sector has seen significant price increases, with black tungsten concentrate prices rising by 24.26% over the past two weeks and 75.52% year-to-date [3][30] - Tin prices have also increased due to raw material shortages and recovering semiconductor demand, benefiting companies like Tin Industry Co., Huaxi Nonferrous Metals, and Xingye Silver Tin [3][31] Energy Metals - The energy metals sector has shown mixed performance, with electrolytic cobalt prices rising by 1.33% over the past two weeks and 86.71% year-to-date, while lithium carbonate prices have decreased by 3.69% in the short term but remain positive year-to-date [3][47][49] - Companies like Zijin Mining, Ganfeng Lithium, and Huayou Cobalt are positioned well across multiple supply chains, benefiting from low inventory and downstream replenishment demand [3][47] Fund Flow and Market Sentiment - The non-ferrous metal ETF has seen record trading volumes, with significant inflows into rare earth and copper sectors, indicating strong market sentiment and recognition of the sector's growth potential [3][56] - The market is shifting towards low-valuation, high-growth segments, with leading companies benefiting from favorable conditions [3][56]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [3][5][31] Core Views - The company achieved a slight year-on-year increase of 3.3% in net profit attributable to shareholders in H1 2025, with total revenue reaching 10.6 billion yuan, up 7.7% [1][6] - The company is the largest producer of germanium globally, with a production capacity of 60 tons per year, which accounts for one-fourth of global output and one-third of domestic output. If germanium prices remain high, the company will benefit significantly [2][7] - The company plans to optimize production organization in the second half of the year to ensure stable and efficient production of its smelting systems [1][6] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported a net profit of 930 million yuan, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 2.16 billion yuan, reflecting a 34.7% increase [1][6] - The company’s lead and zinc concentrate production was 151,600 tons, a year-on-year increase of 2.29%, while smelting production decreased by 6.98% to 329,200 tons due to annual maintenance [1][6] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 1.754 billion, 1.921 billion, and 2.003 billion yuan, respectively, with expected growth rates of 35.7%, 9.5%, and 4.2% [3][29] Price and Cost Factors - The zinc price in H1 2025 was 23,312 yuan per ton, an increase of 1,092 yuan per ton year-on-year, contributing approximately 270 million yuan to profits [2][7] - The processing fee for zinc smelting decreased by 352 yuan per ton year-on-year, leading to a reduction in profits by about 100 million yuan [2][7] Valuation Metrics - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 17.4, 15.9, and 15.3 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [3][29] - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.34, 0.38, and 0.39 yuan, respectively [3][29]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company has demonstrated a full industry chain advantage, achieving a historical high in performance [2] - In H1 2025, the company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.071 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.81% [5][13] - The company's revenue for H1 2025 reached 116.392 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.12% [13] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the alumina segment generated revenue of 33.243 billion yuan, an increase of 1.789 billion yuan year-on-year, with a profit of 4.707 billion yuan, up 9.92% year-on-year [5][15] - The primary aluminum segment achieved revenue of 75.946 billion yuan, an increase of 7.740 billion yuan year-on-year, with a profit of 8.105 billion yuan, up 5.10% year-on-year [5][15] - The company’s electrolytic aluminum production increased by 9.4% year-on-year to 3.97 million tons in H1 2025 [14] Resource Assurance and Cost Control - The company has enhanced its resource assurance capabilities, with the self-sufficiency rate of alumina ore increasing by 6 percentage points compared to the beginning of the year, reaching a five-year high [16] - The company maintains cost control capabilities, with both alumina and electrolytic aluminum costs below the industry average [14] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to benefit from rising aluminum prices, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 being 14.021 billion, 15.382 billion, and 16.144 billion yuan respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 13.07%, 9.70%, and 4.96% [17] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio (PE) of 9.6 for 2025, 8.7 for 2026, and 8.3 for 2027 [17]

Group 1 - As of August 31, 31 private equity firms held a total of 46.99 billion shares in 175 A-share companies, with a combined market value of 658.29 billion yuan [1][25] - Compared to the end of Q1, the number of private equity firms increased by 5, and the number of shares held rose by 4.1 billion, with a market value increase of 158.07 billion yuan [1] - The sectors attracting significant investment include technology, particularly AI, as well as cyclical stocks and pharmaceuticals, indicating a favorable investment environment [1] Group 2 - The computer industry is the only sector with a total holding value exceeding 100 billion yuan, while other sectors like non-ferrous metals, electronics, and food and beverage also show significant holdings [12][13] - Among the 24 companies with a market value exceeding 5 billion yuan, 12 maintained their holdings, 6 saw increases, 4 were reduced, and 2 were newly added [15] - The top private equity firm by the number of companies held is Gao Yi Asset, with 9 companies, and its largest holding, Hikvision, was significantly reduced by 12 million shares [16] Group 3 - 31 companies have seen their stock prices rise over 30% since the end of Q2, with 14 of those rising over 50% [23] - The leading stock in terms of growth is Kaipu Cloud, which has increased nearly 160% following an announcement of a significant acquisition [23] - The technology growth sector is predominant among the companies with significant stock price increases, particularly in semiconductors and automotive components [23]

Core Viewpoint - The industrial metals sector in A-share listed companies has shown mixed performance in the first half of 2025, with many companies experiencing growth in revenue and profit, while others faced declines in both metrics [1][2]. Performance Analysis - Among the 58 selected industrial metal companies, half achieved double growth in performance, including notable companies like Zijin Mining and Tianshan Aluminum [1][2]. - Three companies, including Luoyang Molybdenum, Jiangxi Copper, and Zhongfu Industrial, reported profit growth despite no revenue increase [1][2]. - Sixteen companies, such as Ningbo Fubon and Yongmaotai, saw revenue growth but no profit increase [1][2][3]. - Three companies, including Minfa Aluminum, Xinbo Co., and Jinchong Co., experienced declines in both revenue and profit [2][5]. - Seven companies, including Wanshun New Materials and Hongchuang Holdings, reported losses [1][5]. Companies with Revenue Growth but No Profit Increase - Companies that reported revenue growth without profit increase include Ningbo Fubon, Yongmaotai, and several others, with varying degrees of revenue growth and profit decline [3][4]. Companies with Declining Performance - Minfa Aluminum reported revenue of 775 million yuan, down 24.89%, and a net profit of 3 million yuan, down 81.13% [2][5]. - Xinbo Co. had revenue of 3.996 billion yuan, down 4.11%, and a net profit of 37 million yuan, down 75.74% [2][5]. - Jinchong Co. reported revenue of 501 million yuan, down 4.98%, and a net profit of 24 million yuan, down 51.2% [2][5]. Companies Reporting Losses - Wanshun New Materials reported revenue of 2.692 billion yuan, down 10.11%, with a net loss of 53 million yuan [6]. - Hongchuang Holdings had revenue of 1.448 billion yuan, down 13.82%, with a net loss of 118 million yuan [6]. - Yian Technology reported revenue of 722 million yuan, down 6.95%, with a net loss of 19 million yuan [6]. - Baiyin Nonferrous Metals reported revenue of 4.4559 billion yuan, down 15.28%, with a net loss of 217 million yuan [6]. - Luoping Zinc Electric reported revenue of 521 million yuan, down 25.97%, with a net loss of 92 million yuan [6]. Notable Declines - Luoping Zinc Electric experienced the largest decline in net profit, with a drop of 3964% due to various operational challenges, including raw material supply risks and regulatory penalties [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector [7] Core Insights - The non-ferrous metals sector has shown strong performance, with the index rising by 8.59% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index and ranking 5th among 31 sectors [2][14] - The price of precious metals has been supported by financial attributes due to expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, which has led to a collective rise in metals such as cobalt, copper, and rare earths [4][5] - The report emphasizes the potential for continued strength in the non-ferrous metals sector, particularly in precious and industrial metals [5] Summary by Sections Market Review (2025.8.18-2025.8.29) - The non-ferrous metals index increased by 8.59%, with small metals leading the rise at 23.81%, followed by metal new materials (7.69%), precious metals (6.76%), industrial metals (5.71%), and energy metals (4.41%) [2][14] Precious Metals - As of August 29, COMEX gold closed at $3,516 per ounce, up 3.97% over two weeks and 31.63% year-to-date; COMEX silver closed at $40.75 per ounce, up 7.18% over two weeks and 35.88% year-to-date [21][22] - The report notes that geopolitical uncertainties and ongoing central bank purchases are expected to support gold prices [23] Industrial Metals - LME copper closed at $9,805 per ton, up 1.91% over two weeks and 12.89% year-to-date; domestic copper averaged 79,310 yuan per ton, up 0.37% over two weeks and 8.20% year-to-date [29] - The report highlights strong demand for copper driven by global economic recovery and green energy investments [29] Small Metals - Black tungsten concentrate (≥65%) price reached 251,000 yuan per ton, up 24.26% over two weeks and 75.52% year-to-date; LME tin price was $34,950 per ton, up 3.99% over two weeks and 22.80% year-to-date [36] - The report indicates that supply-demand dynamics are tightening, particularly for tungsten and tin [37] Rare Earths - The China Rare Earth Price Index was 225.11, up 6.39% over two weeks and 37.44% year-to-date; praseodymium-neodymium oxide closed at 597,500 yuan per ton, up 10.96% over two weeks and 48.45% year-to-date [48] - The report discusses the impact of new regulations on rare earth mining and processing, which are expected to tighten supply [65] Energy Metals - As of August 29, the average price of electrolytic cobalt was 267,000 yuan per ton, up 1.33% over two weeks and 86.71% year-to-date; sulfuric acid cobalt (≥20.5%) averaged 53,100 yuan per ton, up 2.12% over two weeks and 94.51% year-to-date [55] - The report notes strong demand for cobalt driven by battery production [55] Major Events - The report highlights the implementation of new regulations for rare earth mining and processing, which aim to optimize supply-side management and include imported minerals in total quantity control [65]

Market Overview - The A-share market opened high but closed lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3820.98 points, down 0.96%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 12474.44 points, down 0.63% [1] - The ChiNext Index remained flat at 2872.12 points [1] Sector Performance Top Performing Sectors - The gaming sector increased by 1.42%, with a total trading volume of 940.11 million hands and a net inflow of 173.66 billion [2] - The film and television sector rose by 1.02%, with a trading volume of 628.13 million hands and a net outflow of 1.36 billion [2] - The electronic chemicals sector saw a gain of 0.89%, with a trading volume of 775.46 million hands and a net inflow of 8.19 billion [2] Underperforming Sectors - The military equipment sector declined by 5.12%, with a trading volume of 1471.68 million hands and a net outflow of 58.26 billion [2] - The military electronics sector fell by 3.59%, with a trading volume of 788.21 million hands and a net outflow of 21.09 billion [2] - The small metals sector decreased by 3.15%, with a trading volume of 1032.60 million hands and a net outflow of 11.76 billion [2]

Company Overview - Ningbo Jintian Copper Industry (Group) Co., Ltd. is located in Jiangbei District, Ningbo, Zhejiang Province, established on June 20, 1992, and listed on April 22, 2020 [2] - The company's main business involves non-ferrous metal processing, with primary products including copper products and rare earth permanent magnet materials [2] - The revenue composition of the main business includes: copper wire (48.35%), copper and copper alloy products (41.61%), other (9.00%), and rare earth permanent magnet products (1.04%) [2] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 59.294 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.46%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 373 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 203.86% [2] - Since its A-share listing, the company has distributed a total of 930 million yuan in dividends, with 465 million yuan distributed in the last three years [3] Stock Performance - As of September 3, the stock price of Jintian shares was 11.54 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 19.948 billion yuan [1] - The stock has increased by 99.24% year-to-date, but has decreased by 8.41% in the last five trading days [1] - The company has appeared on the trading leaderboard six times this year, with the most recent appearance on August 22, where it recorded a net buy of -25.6827 million yuan [1] Shareholder Information - As of August 20, the number of shareholders of Jintian shares was 211,600, an increase of 171.25% from the previous period [2] - The average circulating shares per person decreased by 57.72% to 8,052 shares [2] - As of June 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited was the fourth-largest circulating shareholder, holding 31.7357 million shares, an increase of 20.8655 million shares from the previous period [3]