中原期货研究所 晨会纪要 2025 第（116）期 发布日期：2025-06-30 | 投资咨询业务资格 | | | --- | --- | | 证监发【2014】217 | 号 | | 中原期货研究所 | 0371-58620081 | | 0371-58620083 | | | 公司官方微信 | | 1 宏观要闻 1、6 月 28 日-29 日，2025 上市公司论坛在温州举行。论坛上，沪深北港四大交易所相关负责人 集中发声，释放多维度改革信号。上交所副总经理王泊表示，将扎实推进"1+6"改革举措和示 范案例落实落地；深交所副总经理李辉称，正紧锣密鼓地谋划和落实创业板改革；北交所副总 经理周箴表示，将守正创新，赋能中小企业高质量发展；港交所董事总经理徐经纬预计，"A+H" 上市趋势二季度越发明显，目前有超过 30 家 A 股企业已递交 H 股上市申请，另有超过 20 家 A 股企业已发布关于 H 股上市计划的公告。 2、海关总署公告称，在持续开展针对日本福岛核污染水排海的长期国际监测和中方独立取样监 测且结果未见异常，日本政府承诺保障输华水产品质量安全的前提下，中方决定有条件恢复日 本部分地区水产品（含食 ...

Profit Trends - In May, the profit growth rate of industrial enterprises fell to -9.1%, a decrease of 12.1 percentage points from April[3] - Cumulative profit growth from January to May was -1.1%, down from 3.2% in the previous four months[4] - The profit margin for May was 5.3%, slightly down from April, indicating a significant year-on-year decline due to high profit margins last year[5] Industry Performance - The share of profits from midstream industries dropped from 54% to 49%, reflecting weaker demand compared to upstream and downstream sectors[6] - Upstream industries faced profit declines primarily due to falling prices and volumes, while midstream sectors, particularly export-oriented ones, struggled to pass costs downstream[10] - Specific sectors like specialized equipment and electrical machinery saw profit growth rates drop by over 20 percentage points due to changing export dynamics[10] Economic Outlook - Active inventory reduction has continued for two months, with finished goods inventory growth at 3.5%[16] - Future profit recovery for enterprises will depend on the effectiveness of domestic demand policies amid ongoing external uncertainties[16] - The report anticipates that proactive policies will support domestic demand improvement, aiding in profit recovery for businesses[3]

Group 1: Company Overview - Guangzhou Huigu New Materials Technology Co., Ltd. focuses on polymer materials, driven by independent research and development, and specializes in functional resin and coating materials [2][3] - Jinqiao Dek New Materials Co., Ltd. is an environmentally friendly, resource-saving high-tech enterprise engaged in the research, production, and sales of coatings and inks, with a focus on UV curing and water-based environmentally friendly products [3] - Hunan Chuyuan New Materials Co., Ltd. specializes in the research and industrialization of electronic information new materials, particularly photosensitive dry film, achieving significant market share in domestic and global markets [3] Group 2: Business Applications and Innovations - Huigu New Materials has developed a diverse coating material system with features such as optical control, electrical conductivity, mechanical enhancement, and corrosion resistance, targeting four major downstream application scenarios: home appliances, packaging, new energy, and electronics [2] - Jinqiao Dek's products are widely used in daily chemical packaging, consumer electronics, home appliances, and automotive sectors, emphasizing environmentally friendly and resource-saving technologies [3] - Chuyuan New Materials has successfully overcome domestic technology bottlenecks in photosensitive dry film, leading to its products being widely used in various electronic information products, enhancing its market position [3]

今日导读 1. 6月30日，中国国家统计局将发布采购经理指数(PMI)月度报告。本周，欧盟将发布6 月欧元区CPI、5月欧盟PPI以及5月欧元区M1、M2、M3等经济数据；美国将发布5月全 部制造业新增订单、6月失业率、6月平均时薪以及6月非农就业人口变动等经济数据。 2. 根据香港交易所《香港证券市场联交所买卖之股份交收费结构修订的实施》公告，自 2025年6月30日（周一）起，香港市场的股份交收费由此前的按成交金额的0.002%收 取，调整为按成交金额的0.0042%收取，并取消最低2港元和最高100港元的收费限额。 对内地投资者而言，如参与港股通、B转H、H股"全流通"等交易，需要关注新的股份交 收费标准。 3. 6月17日，广州视源电子科技股份有限公司向港交所递交招股说明书。 5、 6月28日至6月29日，2025上市公司论坛在浙江省温州市举行。论坛上，上交所副总经理王泊、深 交所副总经理李辉、北交所副总经理周箴，分别就资本市场服务新质生产力等话题进行发言，并介绍 下一步改革发展方向。 6、 央视新闻消息， 中国物流与采购联合会29日公布今年前五个月物流运行数据。数据显示，物 流运 行呈现总体平稳、结 ...

Group 1 - Warren Buffett announced a donation of $6 billion worth of Berkshire Hathaway stock, bringing his total donations to over $60 billion [2] - Anker has modified its recall plan for power banks, allowing users to soak the devices in saltwater for compensation [2] - Hikvision strongly opposes the Canadian government's order to cease operations in Canada, citing compliance with local laws [4] Group 2 - Anpurs is investigating safety issues related to power banks, with reports indicating that some products may have used unapproved materials [6] - Lotus Cars denied plans to close its Hethel factory, stating that operations are normal [6] - Xiaomi responded to reports of brake fires during track testing of the YU7, attributing the incident to extreme conditions without cooling [9] Group 3 - A significant number of unapproved power banks are being intercepted at airports, with many appearing on second-hand platforms at low prices [11] - NVIDIA executives have sold over $1 billion in stock amid a surge in AI investments [16] - Meta has recruited four AI researchers from OpenAI to bolster its AI team [16] Group 4 - Neuralink has expanded its trials to seven participants, with plans for future control of humanoid robots [17] - Xiaomi's app will dynamically update delivery estimates based on order volume and production capacity [20] - LEGO Land Shanghai addressed a ride malfunction, confirming safety protocols were followed [22] Group 5 - Huang Zitao announced that his brand Duowei achieved over 80 million GMV in its first month [24] - VinFast opened its second electric vehicle factory in Vietnam, with an initial capacity of 200,000 vehicles [26] - Honor's 400 series saw a 1052% increase in sales compared to the previous series in the Philippines [31] Group 6 - BlissBio Inc. submitted a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, focusing on next-generation antibody-drug conjugates [32] - Jinjiang Hotels also filed for a listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [32] - Volkswagen plans to invest $1 billion in Rivian to strengthen their partnership [32]

// 市场要闻 // 1、 中国 6 月 PMI 数据即将公布 6 月 30 日，中国 6 月 PMI 数据将公布。 5 月份，制造业 PMI 为 49.5% ，比 4 月上升 0.5 个百分点，制造业景气水平改善；非制造业 商务活动指数为 50.3% ，比 4 月下降 0.1 个百分点；综合 PMI 产出指数为 50.4% ，比 4 月上升 0.2 个百分点，我国经济总体产出保 持扩张。 2 、本周央行公开市场将有 20275 亿元逆回购到期 Wind 数据显示，本周央行公开市场将有 20275 亿元逆回购到期，其中周一至周五分别到期 2205 亿元、 4065 亿元、 3653 亿元、 5093 亿元、 5259 亿元。 3 、美国 6 月芝加哥 PMI 出炉 6 月 30 日，美国将公布 6 月芝加哥 PMI 。此前公布的数据显示，美国 5 月芝加哥 PMI 为 40.5 ，预期 45.0 ，前值 44.6 。 4 、欧洲央行论坛开幕 欧洲央行在葡萄牙辛特拉举行的央行年度论坛将于周一至周三举行。今年论坛的主题是："适应变化：宏观经济转变和政策应对"。会议将 邀请欧洲央 行、美联储、英国央行和日本央行四大 ...

记者注意到，今年以来，荣耀经历了一系列的高管变动。2025年1月，赵明因身体原因辞去CEO职务， 随后荣耀中国区CMO姜海荣、荣耀中国区销售部部长郑树宝等多位高管也陆续离职。 今年1月17日，李健接任荣耀终端股份有限公司CEO。公开资料显示，2021年，李健加入荣耀，此前为 华为高管，早在2001年就加入华为，历任华为尼日利亚代表处代表、东北欧地区部总裁、人力资源委员 会成员、美洲片区总裁等职。 李健接任荣耀CEO后，迅速推动"阿尔法战略"，宣布未来5年投入100亿美元布局AI，将荣耀从手机厂商 转型为"AI终端生态公司"。目前，荣耀向AI转型的"阿尔法战略"正加速落地，除了持续加码AI基础研 发，构建开放生态体系，已拓展至机器人等前沿领域。 （文章来源：深圳商报） 据证监会网站披露，近日荣耀终端股份有限公司获上市辅导备案，辅导券商为中信证券。若成功上市， 荣耀有望成为A股首家AI终端生态企业。 根据辅导工作安排，荣耀将于2026年1月至3月完成上市辅导。荣耀成立于2020年4月1日，注册资本 322.39亿元，法定代表人为吴晖。控股股东深圳市智信新信息技术有限公司直接持有公司49.55%股份。 公司所处行业 ...

Core Viewpoint - Tongyu New Materials (Guangdong) Co., Ltd. is set to issue an initial public offering (IPO) of 10 million shares at a price of 84.00 yuan per share, with a diluted price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.94 times based on the 2024 net profit, which is lower than the industry average P/E ratio of 38.62 times as of June 26, 2025 [1][9][10]. Company Overview - Tongyu New Materials operates in the "C39 Computer, Communication and Other Electronic Equipment Manufacturing" industry, focusing on the research, production, and sales of electronic resins, primarily used in copper-clad laminate production [1][8][9]. - The company's product range includes MDI modified epoxy resins, DOPO modified epoxy resins, high-bromine epoxy resins, BPA phenolic epoxy resins, and phosphorus phenolic resin curing agents, which are essential components in modern electronic products [8][9]. Financial Metrics - The IPO price of 84.00 yuan per share corresponds to a diluted static P/E ratio of 23.94 times based on the lower of the non-recurring profit for 2024, which is significantly lower than the recent industry average static P/E ratio of 38.62 times [9][10][15]. - The rolling P/E ratio for the first four quarters (April 2024 to March 2025) is calculated at 24.00 times, also below the industry average rolling P/E ratio of 36.03 times [10][15]. Market Context - The average static P/E ratio for the C39 industry as of June 26, 2025, is 38.62 times, while the average rolling P/E ratio is 36.03 times, indicating that Tongyu's pricing is positioned favorably within the market context [9][10][15]. - The company has been compared with peers such as Dongcai Technology, Hongchang Electronics, and Shengquan Group, which have similar product lines and applications in the copper-clad laminate sector [11][12][13]. IPO Details - The IPO will be conducted through an online direct pricing method, with no lock-up arrangements for the shares, and is scheduled for July 1, 2025 [2][3]. - The total expected fundraising amount is 840 million yuan, with a net amount of approximately 760 million yuan after deducting estimated issuance costs [16][17].

Listing Overview - Shandong Xintong Electronics Co., Ltd. will list its shares on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange on July 1, 2025, after receiving approval from the exchange [1] - The total share capital after the initial public offering (IPO) will be 156 million shares, with 39 million new shares being issued [1] Financial Metrics - The company's IPO price is set at 16.42 yuan per share, which corresponds to a diluted earnings per share (EPS) static price-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.39 times for 2024, lower than the industry average static P/E ratio of 28.19 times [6] - The average static P/E ratio for the computer, communication, and other electronic equipment manufacturing industry is reported to be 38.10 times as of June 17, 2025 [5] Share Distribution - After the IPO, the number of unrestricted circulating shares will be 30,572,689, accounting for 19.60% of the total share capital [2] Risks Associated with Listing - The stock will have no price limit for the first five trading days, which may lead to significant price volatility [2] - The stock will be eligible for margin trading from the first day of listing, introducing additional price fluctuation risks [2] - The initial liquidity may be low due to the lock-up periods for original shareholders, which range from 6 to 36 months [2][3] Company Contact Information - The company is located at 18 Liuyi Mountain Road, High-tech Zone, Zibo City, Shandong Province, with contact numbers provided for inquiries [7]

证券研究报告 固收定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 06 月 29 日 继续关注 2%以上的高票息信用债 ——信用分析周报（2025/6/23-2025/6/27） 投资要点： 本周（6/23-6/27）市场概览： 证券分析师 联系人 1）一级市场：本周传统信用债发行量、偿还量、净融资额环比上周均有所减少，资 产支持证券净融资额环比上周减少；本周 AA 主体产业债，AA+、AAA 主体金融债 发行利率大幅上升，AA+主体产业债发行利率下降，其余各券种各评级债券发行利 率均有不超过 4BP 的变动。 2）二级市场：本周信用债成交量环比上周减少 1299 亿元，传统信用债换手率较上 周整体下行，资产支持证券换手率有所上涨。本周信用债收益率整体小幅波动，长 端表现好于中短端。总体来看，本周大部分行业信用利差小幅波动，AA+电子行业 的信用利差大幅收缩。具体来看，本周 AA 房地产行业信用利差较上周分别走扩 14BP；AA+电子、电气设备行业信用利差较上周分别压缩 62BP、9BP，钢铁行业 信用利差较上周走扩 12BP；AAA 电气设备行业信用利差较上周压缩 9BP。 廖志明 SAC：S135052 ...