Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.53% to close at 4018 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.18%. In contrast, the ChiNext Index fell by 0.92% [1][2]. Trading Volume - The total market turnover reached 2.19 trillion yuan, an increase of 174.2 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with nearly 3400 stocks experiencing gains [1]. Sector Performance - The consumer sector saw significant gains, driven by government initiatives to boost consumption. Key sectors such as dairy, duty-free, liquor, and food and beverage led the rally, with stocks like China Duty Free Group, Zhuangyuan Pasture, Jiu Gui Jiu, and Huifa Foods hitting the daily limit [1][3]. - The fluorochemical sector was notably active, with Tianji Co. hitting the daily limit [3]. - The cultivated diamond sector also performed well, with World Co. seeing a rise of over 13% at one point [3]. Declining Sectors - The shipbuilding sector faced declines, with Guorui Technology dropping nearly 9% [3]. - The robotics sector also saw a downturn, with companies like Top Group experiencing declines of over 6% [3]. - The small metals sector weakened, with Dongfang Tantalum hitting the daily limit down [3]. - Other sectors such as power equipment, superconducting concepts, and copper cable connections also reported significant declines [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price set to achieve a relative return of over 20% within six months [7][19]. Core Views - The company has reported a revenue of 12.755 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.4%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 846 million yuan, up 18.3% year-on-year, with a significant increase in non-recurring net profit by 407.5% year-on-year [1][2]. - The rising prices of tungsten due to supply constraints have positively impacted the company's profitability, with the gross margin for Q3 at 22.9%, an increase of 1.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. - The acquisition of a 99.97% stake in Hunan Yuanjing Tungsten Industry is expected to enhance the company's resource self-sufficiency and further boost profits [4]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 49.06 billion yuan in Q3 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 34.98% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.1% [1]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 was reported at 22.9%, with a net profit margin of 7.6%, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.4 percentage points [2]. - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 1.305 billion yuan, 2.007 billion yuan, and 2.442 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 43.1, 28.0, and 23.0 [4][5]. Market Dynamics - The demand for high-end PCB drilling needles is expected to rise significantly due to increased capital expenditure in AI computing, which is driving the need for advanced PCB products [2][3]. - The company has responded to market trends by expanding its product offerings in high-reliability circuit boards, particularly in sectors such as automotive electronics and high-density interconnect (HDI) boards [2][3]. Production Capacity - The production capacity of the company's micro-drill products has exceeded 50% of total sales, with plans to expand capacity to 80 million units by the end of October 2025 [3]. - The board has approved a project to increase the production of micro-drills by 140 million units, which will support further growth in the drilling needle business [3].

Summary of the Conference Call on Antimony Industry Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the antimony industry, particularly the impact of export control policies in China and their implications for market dynamics and pricing [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments - **Export Control Policies**: China's antimony export control policies have fluctuated, with a significant drop in export volumes following the implementation of controls in September 2024. Exports fell from over 3,000 tons per month to nearly zero, but have since shown signs of recovery [3][4]. - **Market Confidence**: The recent easing of export restrictions by the Ministry of Commerce is expected to enhance market confidence significantly. This adjustment allows for a more normalized review and approval process for exports, particularly to the U.S. [2][6]. - **Import Trends**: As of September 2025, antimony imports have decreased by 40% year-on-year. Despite domestic prices being over 150% lower than international prices, imports have not ceased, indicating limited overseas inventory pressure [5][6]. - **Production and Demand**: Prior to the export controls, China's annual production of antimony was approximately 80,000 to 90,000 tons, with 40% allocated for export, primarily in the form of antimony oxide for the flame retardant sector, especially in photovoltaic glass production [7][8]. - **Photovoltaic Glass Demand**: In 2023, the global photovoltaic glass sector consumed about 30,000 tons of antimony, with China being the largest consumer. Although demand decreased post-control, production has stabilized, suggesting that a recovery in demand could lead to a 20% increase if conditions improve [8][9]. - **Price Projections**: Current domestic antimony prices are around 150,000 RMB per ton, while international prices range from 4,500 to 4,600 USD per ton. If export levels return to 80%-90% of previous figures, a demand increase of 30%-40% is anticipated, which would significantly boost prices [9][10]. - **Future Market Expectations**: The expectation is that as export restrictions ease, there will be a substantial increase in demand, leading to a corresponding rise in both domestic and international prices. The potential for price recovery is strong, with projections suggesting domestic prices could reach 250,000 RMB or even exceed 300,000 RMB under optimistic scenarios [10][11]. - **Valuation and Growth Potential**: The T sector is viewed as having significant growth potential, with estimates suggesting that companies like Huaxi Nonferrous and Hunan Huayu Mining could see substantial increases in their valuations, with growth rates potentially exceeding 50% to 100% [12][13]. Additional Important Insights - **Market Resilience**: The antimony market is expected to experience only positive developments moving forward, with no anticipated negative news. This outlook is supported by the expected improvements in fundamentals, earnings per share (EPS), and overall valuations in the T sector [13]. - **Investment Recommendations**: There is a strong recommendation to focus on the T sector, given the anticipated improvements in market conditions and the potential for significant price increases and valuation enhancements [13].

Core Viewpoint - Xianglu Tungsten Industry's stock has experienced fluctuations, with a year-to-date increase of 83.90% but a recent decline in the last five trading days [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - On November 10, Xianglu Tungsten's stock price fell by 2.06%, trading at 11.42 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 3.736 billion CNY [1] - The stock has seen a net outflow of 4.4638 million CNY in principal funds, with large orders accounting for 13.56% of total purchases and 21.88% of total sales [1] - Year-to-date, the stock has risen by 83.90%, with a 3.14% decline over the last five trading days, a 6.43% increase over the last 20 days, and a 24.40% increase over the last 60 days [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Xianglu Tungsten achieved a revenue of 1.616 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 24.00% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 51.7733 million CNY, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 259.65% [2] Group 3: Company Overview - Xianglu Tungsten Industry, established on April 17, 1997, and listed on January 19, 2017, is located in the Aantou Industrial Zone, Xiangqiao District, Chaozhou, Guangdong Province [1] - The company's main business involves the development, production, and sales of tungsten products, with revenue composition as follows: powder products 60.46%, hard alloys 22.14%, tungsten wire series 12.59%, and others 4.80% [1] - The company is classified under the non-ferrous metals industry, specifically in the small metals and tungsten sector, and is associated with concepts such as solar energy, photovoltaic glass, small-cap stocks, and non-ferrous copper [1]

Core Viewpoint - Jinmoly Co., Ltd. has shown a significant increase in stock price and revenue, indicating a positive growth trend in the molybdenum mining and processing industry [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of September 30, 2025, Jinmoly Co., Ltd. achieved a revenue of 10.885 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.80% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 2.286 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.17% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 10.336 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 3.549 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3]. Stock Performance - The stock price of Jinmoly Co., Ltd. increased by 55.18% year-to-date, with a recent slight decline of 0.20% over the last five trading days [1]. - The stock is currently trading at 14.99 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 48.367 billion yuan [1]. Shareholder Information - The number of shareholders increased by 10.65% to 82,400 as of September 30, 2025, while the average number of circulating shares per shareholder decreased by 9.63% to 39,134 shares [2]. - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 76.3054 million shares, a decrease of 12.6515 million shares from the previous period [3].

Group 1: Tungsten Market - Black tungsten concentrate price increased by 12.23% to 312,000 CNY/ton, and ammonium paratungstate price rose by 13.30% to 460,000 CNY/ton [1][3] - Supply side shows a reduction in tungsten concentrate mining indicators, with mines generally slowing production pace, leading to tighter industry circulation [1][3] - Domestic demand remains stable, primarily driven by essential procurement, with recent APT procurement prices for early November rising by 52,000 CNY/ton, boosting market bullish sentiment [1][3] Group 2: Rare Earth Market - Rare earth supply and demand are both weak, with praseodymium-neodymium oxide rising by 10.49% to 553,000 CNY/ton, while dysprosium oxide increased by 1.63% to 1,560,000 CNY/ton [2] - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced new export controls on rare earth items and technologies, targeting violations of existing measures [2] - Supply side sees some production companies controlling output due to cost pressures, while demand from downstream magnetic material companies remains low [2] Group 3: Molybdenum Market - Molybdenum concentrate price decreased by 9.78% to 3,965 CNY/ton, and molybdenum iron price fell by 7.62% to 254,500 CNY/ton [2] - Supply side indicates signs of shrinking molybdenum concentrate, while demand from steel procurement is increasing but facing price pressure from steel mills [2] Group 4: Tin Market - Tin prices are experiencing a weak supply-demand balance, with SHFE tin down by 0.28% to 283,500 CNY/ton and LME tin up by 0.35% to 36,100 USD/ton [3] - Supply side affected by low operating rates of refining tin smelting enterprises due to raw material shortages from Myanmar [3] - High tin prices are leading to low replenishment willingness in the electronics and home appliance sectors, with downstream manufacturers primarily engaging in essential procurement [3] Group 5: Antimony Market - Antimony ingot price decreased by 6.27% to 149,500 CNY/ton, and antimony concentrate price fell by 7.07% to 131,500 CNY/ton [4] - Supply side sees tight domestic antimony raw materials due to a halt in overseas mines entering the domestic market, coupled with weak smelting profitability [4] - Demand remains focused on essential procurement, with strong demand in the photovoltaic sector, while short-term export demand is under pressure [4] Group 6: Nuclear Fusion New Materials - The commercialization of controlled nuclear fusion is accelerating, with upstream materials expected to benefit significantly [5] - Domestic advancements include breakthroughs in the localization of second-generation high-temperature superconducting strips [5] - Internationally, significant investments and reports on fusion research are emerging, indicating a growing interest in the sector [5]

Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [4] Core Views - The report highlights a mixed supply and demand situation in the rare earth sector, with prices for praseodymium and neodymium oxide increasing by 10.49% to 553,000 CNY/ton, while dysprosium oxide rose by 1.63% to 1,560,000 CNY/ton. However, terbium oxide saw a decline of 1.71% to 6,625,000 CNY/ton [4][11] - Molybdenum prices are experiencing fluctuations, with molybdenum concentrate prices dropping by 9.78% to 3,965 CNY/ton, and molybdenum iron (Mo60) prices decreasing by 7.62% to 254,500 CNY/ton [4][20] - Tungsten prices have reached historical highs due to supply constraints and price increases in long-term contracts, with black tungsten concentrate prices rising by 12.23% to 312,000 CNY/ton and ammonium paratungstate prices increasing by 13.30% to 460,000 CNY/ton [4][28] - Tin prices are fluctuating with SHFE tin down by 0.28% to 283,510 CNY/ton, while LME tin increased by 0.35% to 36,050 USD/ton [4][32] - Antimony prices are under pressure, with antimony ingot prices falling by 6.27% to 149,500 CNY/ton and antimony concentrate prices down by 7.07% to 131,500 CNY/ton [4][40] - The report notes that the controllable nuclear fusion industry is accelerating commercialization, with upstream materials expected to benefit significantly [4][5] Summary by Sections Rare Earths - Supply and demand are weak, with praseodymium and neodymium oxide prices rising by 10.49% to 553,000 CNY/ton [4][11] - The report suggests monitoring companies like Guangsheng Youse and China Rare Earth [4] Molybdenum - Molybdenum concentrate prices decreased by 9.78% to 3,965 CNY/ton, while molybdenum iron prices fell by 7.62% to 254,500 CNY/ton [4][20] - Suggested company to watch: Jinduicheng Molybdenum [4] Tungsten - Black tungsten concentrate prices increased by 12.23% to 312,000 CNY/ton, and ammonium paratungstate prices rose by 13.30% to 460,000 CNY/ton [4][28] - Recommended companies include Zhongtung High-tech and Xiamen Tungsten [4] Tin - SHFE tin prices fell by 0.28% to 283,510 CNY/ton, while LME tin prices rose by 0.35% to 36,050 USD/ton [4][32] - Companies to focus on: Yunnan Tin and Huaxi Silver Tin [4] Antimony - Antimony ingot prices dropped by 6.27% to 149,500 CNY/ton, and concentrate prices fell by 7.07% to 131,500 CNY/ton [4][40] - Companies to monitor include Huaxi Silver and Hunan Gold [4] Nuclear Fusion New Materials - The commercialization of controllable nuclear fusion is accelerating, with significant benefits expected for upstream materials [4][5]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [6] Core Views - The report indicates that macroeconomic factors are causing fluctuations in precious metal prices, with gold and silver experiencing mixed movements. The market sentiment remains cautious due to various uncertainties, including the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions and ongoing trade tensions [2][27]. Summary by Sections 1. Base Metals & Precious Metals - Copper prices have recently declined, with the current price at 85,920 CNY/ton. The market is experiencing weak demand, and while there is a high inventory level, the long-term demand for copper is expected to grow due to the global energy transition [1][13]. - Aluminum prices have increased, with the current price at 21,555 CNY/ton. The supply remains stable, but demand has decreased slightly. The cost of alumina has also dropped, impacting overall profitability [1][22][23]. - Precious metals are under pressure due to hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials, with gold averaging 913.53 CNY/g and silver at 11,329 CNY/kg. The market is expected to remain volatile in the near term [2][27]. 2. Minor Metals - Antimony prices have slightly decreased, with the market showing signs of cautious trading. The demand from downstream sectors is stable, but the overall market remains under pressure from high costs [3][44]. - The rare earth sector is seeing a pause in export controls, which is expected to boost exports and stabilize prices. The price of light rare earths has increased by 4.5% to 555,000 CNY/ton [4][67]. 3. Market Predictions - For copper, the price is expected to fluctuate between 84,500 and 86,500 CNY/ton in the short term, with a potential for upward movement due to improved demand from infrastructure projects [14]. - Aluminum prices are predicted to remain high, with a trading range of 20,800 to 21,700 CNY/ton, supported by positive macroeconomic sentiment [24]. - Gold and silver prices are anticipated to continue their volatile trend, with gold expected to trade between 890 and 940 CNY/g and silver between 10,800 and 11,800 CNY/kg [28][29].

Market Overview - On November 7, the small metals sector rose by 0.37% compared to the previous trading day, with Zhongkuang Resources leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3997.56, down 0.25%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13404.06, down 0.36% [1] Performance of Small Metals Stocks - Zhongkuang Resources (002738) closed at 60.41, up 6.47% with a trading volume of 346,100 shares and a transaction value of 2.044 billion [1] - Baowu Magnesium (002182) closed at 14.88, up 2.90% with a trading volume of 479,000 shares and a transaction value of 717 million [1] - Anning Co. (002978) closed at 33.07, up 2.80% with a trading volume of 119,000 shares and a transaction value of 39.5 million [1] - Other notable performers include Dongfang Cuoye (002167) up 2.19%, Guangsheng Nonferrous (600259) up 1.87%, and Baotai Co. (600456) up 1.11% [1] Declining Stocks - Yunnan Province Industry (002428) saw a significant decline of 7.45%, closing at 26.82 with a trading volume of 598,000 shares and a transaction value of 1.626 billion [2] - Other declining stocks include Zhongtung High-tech (000657) down 1.59% and Xiamen Tungsten (600549) down 1.41% [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The small metals sector experienced a net outflow of 258 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 228 million [2] - The main capital inflow was observed in Zhongkuang Resources with a net inflow of 187 million, representing 9.14% of its total trading volume [3] - Dongfang Cuoye had a net inflow of 78.95 million, while Guangsheng Nonferrous saw a net inflow of 46.34 million [3] Summary of Individual Stock Flows - Zhongkuang Resources had a significant net inflow from retail investors of 1.89 million, indicating strong retail interest despite institutional outflows [3] - Other stocks like Baowu Magnesium and Dongfang Cuoye also showed mixed capital flows, with retail investors pulling back while institutional investors remained cautious [3]

Core Viewpoint - The news highlights the performance and financial metrics of China Rare Earth Group, indicating a positive growth trajectory in revenue and profit, alongside a stable market presence in the rare earth sector. Company Overview - China Rare Earth Group specializes in the production and operation of rare earth oxides and related products, as well as technology research and consulting services [2][8] - The company is controlled by the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council, categorizing it as a state-owned enterprise [3][4] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.494 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 27.73% [8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 192 million yuan, showing a significant increase of 194.67% year-on-year [8] Market Activity - On November 7, the stock price of China Rare Earth increased by 0.70%, with a trading volume of 1.606 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 3.08% [1] - The company is classified under the non-ferrous metals sector, specifically in the rare earth category, and is associated with concepts such as scarce resources and state-owned enterprise reforms [8] Shareholder Information - As of October 20, the number of shareholders reached 235,200, an increase of 8.37% from the previous period, with an average of 4,511 shares held per shareholder, a decrease of 7.73% [8][10] - The top circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and various ETFs, indicating a diversified ownership structure [10]