人民财讯1月7日电，据乘联分会初步统计，2025年12月1—31日，全国乘用车新能源车市场零售138.7万 辆，同比增长7%，较上月增长5%，2025年累计零售1285.9万辆，同比增长18%；2025年12月1—31日， 全国乘用车厂商新能源批发155.4万辆，同比增长3%，较上月下降9%，2025年累计批发1531万辆，同比 增长25%。 ...

中国汽车流通协会乘用车市场信息联席分会数据显示，初步统计，2025年12月1-31日，全国乘用车新能 源车市场零售138.7万辆，同比去年同期增长7%，较上月增长5%，今年以来累计零售1285.9万辆，同比 增长18%；12月1-31日，全国乘用车厂商新能源批发155.4万辆，同比去年同期增长3%，较上月下降 9%，今年以来累计批发1531万辆，同比增长25%。 ...

2026年1月6日清晨，当投资者打开行情软件时，历史正在屏幕上的K线图中静静流淌。 A股大盘已连续12个交易日收出阳线，追平了2006年和2008年创下的 纪录。 而这一天，市场期待着一项自1993年以来从未有过的成就——13连阳。 | 旅月 | 中概股 | | (Ai) 17 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 695.38 0.78% | | | | 成份股 | | 股吧 | | | 名称 | 最新, | 涨幅↓ | 淵世 | | 贝壳 | 17.110 | 6.54% | 1.051 | | BEKE | | | | | 小牛电动 | 3.330 | 6.05% | 0.191 | | NIU | | | | | 高途 | 2.580 | 5.74% | 0.141 | | GOTU | | | | | 诺机场合报 | 11.210 | 5.46% | 0.58 | | NOAH | | | | | 虎牙 | 3.170 | 4.62% | 0.14( | | HUYA | | | | | 国鼎医药 | 18.090 | 4.39% | 0.76 | | ZLAB | | | ...

2025年的资本市场，指数整体保持在相对稳定的水平，多数主要市场如纳斯达克、标普500和沪深两市 的大盘指数创新高。具体来看，标普500指数在2025年累计上涨约8%，纳斯达克100指数全年上涨超过 12%，沪深300指数全年上涨约5%（Wind数据）。在这些指数上涨的背后，一些细分行业表现更为亮 眼，比如新能源车细分供应链企业、部分医药大品种龙头、工业软件与自动化设备制造企业，它们的股 价在2025年持续刷新阶段性高点。 ...

这一结构性变化发生在特斯拉全球销量下滑的背景下。特斯拉去年第四季度交付量同比下滑16%，年度 总销量亦连续第二年下降。全球电动车销量冠军的头衔由比亚迪接棒，2025年比亚迪预计交付226万辆 电动车，特斯拉为164万辆。 德国市场实现突破性增长 比亚迪在德国市场的表现尤为突出。作为欧洲最大的电动车市场，德国去年见证了比亚迪销量的爆发式 增长。23,306辆的年度销量较前一年增长八倍，显示出中国品牌在传统汽车强国的快速渗透能力。 比亚迪12月在德国与英国两大欧洲关键市场的销量已双双超越特斯拉，标志着中国车企全球扩张取得关 键进展。 相比之下，特斯拉在德国的销量几乎腰斩，反映出特斯拉在欧洲市场面临的双重压力：一方面是来自中 国新进入者的竞争，另一方面则是欧洲本土车企电动车产品线的扩张，大众汽车、雷诺和宝马等欧洲传 统车企已大幅扩充其电动车产品阵容。 据德国联邦汽车运输管理局周二公布的数据，比亚迪12月份在德国的新车注册量是特斯拉的两倍多。全 年来看，比亚迪在德国的销量飙升八倍，达到23306辆，而特斯拉的销量则下降了近一半，至19390辆。 比亚迪在英国的表现也超过了特斯拉，英国是欧洲第二大插电式汽车市场。比亚迪 ...

Group 1 - The article highlights significant announcements in the stock market, including "suspensions and resumption of trading, shareholding changes, investment wins, acquisitions, performance reports, unlocks, and high transfers" [1] - A company involved in commercial aerospace has established formal contract orders for rocket structural components, with major clients including Blue Arrow Aerospace, and has received small batch sample orders from clients like Zhiyuan Robotics [1] - Another company is focused on brain-computer interfaces, humanoid robots, multimodal AI, autonomous driving, AI chips, and cloud computing, and is optimizing its brain model while developing its own brain-computer interface system, having partnered with Leju Robotics to deliver a small number of robots equipped with the large model [1] - A company has signed a second fully automated OCS (Optical Switch) packaging production line order, indicating its involvement in commercial aerospace, chips, and CPO, with partnerships including Nvidia and Huawei HiSilicon [1]

韭菜总有割完的一天。从你获取一个用户的那一刻，你也丢掉了一个用户，而且大概率彻底丢掉，丢掉 还不是句号，这个人还会跟身边所有的人说，不要买这个品牌的车，不好，在网上，在现实生活中，活 脱脱一个黑粉。 26年，真正的洗牌才刚刚开始，在新能源车市场50%渗透率之前，大家抢的是传统燃油车车主的心智， 现在大家抢的是新能源车车主二次复购的心智，新韭菜好割，毕竟新能源车怎么开，相比燃油车都是新 物种，老韭菜就麻烦了，什么都懂，再想用低价和概念糊弄，就很难了。 所以，我判断，"复购"一定会取代"价格战"，成为26年的主题。 为什么我会这么说？ 这是市场周期和技术周期导致的，五年是中国家用车的平均换车时间，加上26年L3的落地，双重刺 激，必然会导致换车浪潮，老韭菜换车，购买逻辑就彻底变了。 他们早就从门外汉，变成了圈内人。 这几年，很多朋友买新能源车企的股票，2026年，我建议大家看看你买的那家车企的车主用 车口碑，这个口碑直接挂钩复购率，一个车企能否基业长青，就看这个指标了。 25年年底，跟几个车圈负责传播工作的朋友闲聊，有个话题很有意思，如何让老车主不在网上乱骂？ 对，你没听错，买了你的车的人，真金白银支持你，却成了 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the profitability of electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers is expected to improve, driven by global trends in electrification and smart technology by 2026 [1] - The global electric vehicle industry is projected to see accelerated development in globalization and intelligence, with an expected export volume of 3.03 million units by 2026, representing a year-on-year growth of 34% and an increase in penetration rate to 45% [1] - The demand for upgrading and replacing vehicles is leading to a consumption upgrade, with high-end vehicle markets outperforming economy models, and domestic brands showing significant potential for market share growth [1] Group 2 - The CS New Energy Vehicle Index (399976), which the EV ETF (159806) tracks, includes listed companies across the entire supply chain of the EV industry, reflecting the overall performance of representative enterprises [2] - The index is characterized by significant growth and technological innovation, covering core segments from raw material supply to end product manufacturing, providing investors with effective tools to seize opportunities in the EV sector [2]

风险提示：提及个股仅用于行业事件分析，不构成任何个股推荐或投资建议。指数等短期涨跌仅供 参考，不代表其未来表现，亦不构成对基金业绩的承诺或保证。观点可能随市场环境变化而调整，不构 成投资建议或承诺。提及基金风险收益特征各不相同，敬请投资者仔细阅读基金法律文件，充分了解产 品要素、风险等级及收益分配原则，选择与自身风险承受能力匹配的产品，谨慎投资。 每日经济新闻 （责任编辑：张晓波 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 1月6日， 智能汽车ETF（159889）涨超1.2%。 兴业证券指出，2026年汽车以旧换新政策延续，并调整为按车价比例补贴，利好中高端车。新能源 乘用车补贴比例为车价的12%（最高2万元），燃油乘用车为10%（最高1.5万元）；置换更新新能源车 补贴8%（最高1.5万元），燃油车6%（最高1.3万元）。与2025年定额补贴相比，新政策精准挂钩车 价，高端电动车补贴金额稳定， ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Report Core Viewpoints - Short - term, the stock index may continue a relatively strong trend, but attention should be paid to the impact of overseas geopolitical events on market risk appetite. In the long - term, the stock index is expected to rise in 2026 based on 2025 [1]. - Asset shortage and weak economy are beneficial to bond futures, but the central bank has recently warned of interest - rate risks, and attention should be paid to the Bank of Japan's interest - rate decision [1]. - Different commodities have various trends, including price increases, oscillations, and potential reversals, with corresponding investment strategies recommended [1]. Summary by Related Catalogs Macro Finance - Short - term, the stock index may continue to be strong, and in the long - term (2026), it is expected to rise on the basis of 2025 due to factors like continuous policy efforts, inflation recovery, capital market reform, and the support of Central Huijin [1]. - Asset shortage and weak economy benefit bond futures, but the central bank warns of interest - rate risks, and the Bank of Japan's interest - rate decision should be watched [1]. Metals Non - ferrous Metals - Copper: The price has further increased due to weak industry fundamentals but positive macro sentiment and continuous premium. However, short - term adjustment risks should be guarded against, and the upward trend is expected to continue [1]. - Aluminum: Domestic electrolytic aluminum has accumulated inventory, but positive macro sentiment and the early fermentation of supply - tightness expectations are likely to keep the price strong [1]. - Alumina: The supply side has a large release space, and the weak industry fundamentals put pressure on the price. However, the current price is near the cost line, so it is expected to oscillate [1]. - Zinc: The fundamentals have improved, the cost center has moved up, recent negative factors have been mostly realized, and market sentiment is volatile, leading to price oscillations [1]. - Nickel: Positive macro sentiment, concerns about supply due to Indonesian events, slow inventory accumulation, and unconfirmed Indonesian policies are likely to keep the short - term price strong. It is recommended to go long at low prices and control risks [1]. - Stainless Steel: Positive macro sentiment, concerns about raw - material supply, a rebound in nickel - iron prices, a slight reduction in social inventory, and an increase in January production plans are likely to keep the short - term futures price strong. It is recommended to go long at low prices, and enterprises should wait for opportunities to sell and hedge [1]. - Tin: The industry association's initiative has put pressure on the price, but considering the tense situation in Congo - Kinshasa, the supply may still be affected. After a short - term decline, the downward space is limited, and low - long opportunities near the support level are recommended [1]. - Precious Metals: Geopolitical risks and international - order uncertainties have boosted the demand for hedging, making the price strong in the short - term. However, the high VIX of silver indicates potential risks. Platinum and palladium are expected to fluctuate widely in the short - term, and platinum can be bought at low prices or a [long - platinum short - palladium] arbitrage strategy can be adopted in the long - term [1]. Black Metals - Iron Ore: There is a combination of weak reality (weak direct demand, high supply, and inventory accumulation) and strong expectation (potential supply disturbances from energy - consumption control and anti - involution). The near - month contract is restricted by production cuts, while the far - month contract has upward potential [1]. - Steel (including Rebar): The valuation of the price is not high, and it is not recommended to short. Positions in cash - and - carry arbitrage can take rolling profits [1]. - Glass: Supply and demand are acceptable, and the valuation is low, so the downward space is limited, and it may be under pressure to oscillate [1]. - Soda Ash: It follows the trend of glass, with acceptable supply and demand, low valuation, and limited downward space, and may oscillate under pressure [1]. - Coking Coal: The fourth - round spot price cut has started. After the futures price dropped to the corresponding position and rebounded, attention should be paid to whether it can reach a new low during the implementation of the price cut. There is a high possibility of wide - range oscillations [1]. - Coke: The logic is the same as that of coking coal [1]. Energy and Chemicals - Crude Oil: OPEC + has suspended production increases until the end of 2026, the uncertainty of the Russia - Ukraine peace agreement, and US sanctions on Venezuelan oil exports have an impact on the price [1]. - Fuel Oil: The short - term supply - demand contradiction is not prominent, and it follows the trend of crude oil. The probability of the 14th Five - Year Plan's rush - work demand is falsified, the supply of Marey crude oil is sufficient, and the asphalt profit is high [1]. - Asphalt: The cost is strongly supported, the spot - futures price difference is low, and the mid - stream inventory may tend to accumulate [1]. - Rubber: For natural rubber, the mid - stream inventory may tend to accumulate, and the price oscillates. For BR rubber, the futures position has declined, the price increase has slowed down, the processing profit is gradually repaired, it maintains high - level operation in terms of production and inventory, and the spot trading is weak [1]. - PTA: The PX market has experienced a sharp increase, and the domestic PTA maintains high - level operation, benefiting from stable domestic demand and the recovery of exports to India since the end of November [1]. - MEG: Two sets of MEG devices in Taiwan, China, are planned to stop production due to efficiency reasons. The price has rebounded rapidly due to supply - side news, and the downstream polyester operating rate is over 90%, with better - than - expected demand [1]. - Short - fiber: The price continues to fluctuate closely following the cost [1]. - Styrene: The Asian styrene market is generally stable. Suppliers are reluctant to reduce prices due to continuous losses, while buyers keep pressing prices due to weak downstream demand and profit compression. The market is in a weak - balance state, and the short - term upward momentum depends on overseas market drive [1]. - Steam: The upward space is limited due to insufficient domestic demand, but there is support from anti - involution and the cost side [1]. - Propylene: The supply pressure is large, the downstream improvement is less than expected, the cost is strongly supported by high - level propylene monomers and rising crude - oil prices, and there is a risk of rising crude - oil prices due to intensified geopolitical conflicts [1]. - PVC: The global production in 2026 is expected to be low, but currently, new capacity is being released, the supply pressure is increasing, and the demand is weak [1]. - Chlorine: The inventory pressure in Shandong is large, the supply pressure is high due to high - level operation and few overhauls, the non - aluminum demand is in the off - season, and the cost support is weakened by the rising price of liquid chlorine [1]. - LPG: The January CP has risen unexpectedly, providing strong cost - end support. Geopolitical conflicts in the US, Venezuela, and the Middle East have increased the short - term risk premium. The EIA weekly C3 inventory is in an accumulation trend, with a temporary slowdown in overseas demand. The domestic PDH maintains high - level operation but is deeply in deficit, and the overseas olefin blending - oil demand is acceptable [1]. New Energy and Silicon Industry - Polysilicon: There is production increase in the northwest and decrease in the southwest. The December production plan has decreased. A capacity storage platform company has been established, with a long - term expectation of capacity reduction. The terminal installation in the fourth quarter has increased marginally. Large enterprises are willing to support the price but not to deliver. The short - term speculative sentiment is high [1]. - Lithium Carbonate: It is the traditional peak season for new - energy vehicles, the energy - storage demand is strong, the supply - side production resumption has increased, and the price has risen rapidly in the short - term [1]. Agricultural Products - Palm Oil: The MPOB December data is expected to be negative, but it may reverse under themes such as seasonal production reduction, the B50 policy, and US biodiesel. If the price gaps up due to geopolitical events, short - selling can be considered [1]. - Soybean Oil: It follows the trend of other oils in the short - term, and waiting for the January USDA report is recommended [1]. - Rapeseed Oil: News of blocked trader purchases and Australian seed imports has led to a large rebound in the single - side price and the 1 - 5 spread, but it is difficult to change the subsequent loosening of the fundamental situation. A decline in sentiment is expected, and short - selling on rebounds can be considered [1]. - Cotton: The domestic new - crop harvest is expected to be good, but the purchase price of seed cotton supports the cost of lint. The downstream operation rate remains low, but the yarn - mill inventory is not high, with rigid restocking demand. The cotton market is currently in a situation of "having support but no driver", and attention should be paid to factors such as the central government's No. 1 Document in the first quarter of next year, planting - area intentions, weather during the planting period, and peak - season demand [1]. - Sugar: There is a global surplus and a large supply of domestic new - crop sugar, with a strong consensus on short - selling. If the futures price continues to fall, the cost support is strong, but the short - term fundamentals lack continuous driving forces, and attention should be paid to changes in the capital side [1]. - Corn: The grass - roots grain - selling progress is relatively fast, the current port and downstream inventory levels are still low, and most traders have not started strategic inventory building. The spot price is expected to be strong in the short - term, and the futures price is expected to have limited decline and then maintain an oscillating and strengthening trend [1]. - Soybeans: Attention should be paid to the adjustment in the January USDA report and the impact of Brazilian harvest selling pressure on CNF premiums. The M05 contract is expected to be relatively weak, while the M03 - M05 spread is expected to be in a positive - arbitrage situation in the short - term, but caution should be exercised due to potential changes in customs policies, soybean auctions, and directional policies [1]. - Pulp: The 05 contract is expected to oscillate in the range of 5400 - 5700 yuan/ton due to the tug - of - war between "strong supply" and "weak demand" [1]. - Logs: The spot price has shown signs of bottom - rebounding, and the downward space of the futures price is limited. However, the January overseas quotation has slightly declined, and there is a lack of upward - driving factors in the spot - futures market. It is expected to oscillate in the range of 760 - 790 yuan/m³ [1]. Livestock - Hogs: The spot price has gradually stabilized recently, with demand support. The slaughter weight has not been fully cleared, and the production capacity still needs to be further released [1].