Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.55% on November 3, with 22 industries experiencing gains, led by the media and coal sectors, which increased by 3.12% and 2.52% respectively [1] - The composite industry fell by 0.39%, with a net outflow of 1.19 million in main funds [2] Fund Flow Analysis - Main funds saw a net outflow of 239.44 billion across the two markets, with the media sector receiving the highest net inflow of 20.31 billion, followed by the banking sector with an inflow of 18.31 billion [1] - In the composite industry, 12 out of 16 stocks rose, with the highest net inflow recorded for Yuegui Co., amounting to 47.45 million, followed by Sanmu Group and Yatai Group with inflows of 31.92 million and 6.88 million respectively [2] Sector Performance - The sectors with the largest net outflows included non-ferrous metals, which saw a net outflow of 70.54 billion, and the electronics sector with an outflow of 45.71 billion [1] - The composite industry's stocks with the largest net outflows included Dongyangguang, Zhangzhou Development, and Yueda Investment, with outflows of 154 million, 43.32 million, and 8.90 million respectively [2]

Quantitative Models and Construction - **Model Name**: DecompGRU **Model Construction Idea**: The model improves information interaction between time-series and cross-sectional data by introducing two simple de-mean modules on the GRU baseline model[18] **Model Construction Process**: 1. The DecompGRU model architecture is based on GRU as the baseline 2. Two de-mean modules are added to enhance the interaction between time-series and cross-sectional data 3. The model is trained using IC and weighted MSE loss functions[18] **Model Evaluation**: The model demonstrates improved interaction between time-series and cross-sectional data, enhancing prediction accuracy[18] Model Backtesting Results - **DecompGRU TOP200 Portfolio**: - Cumulative absolute return: 41.11% - Excess return relative to WIND All A equal-weight index: 13.98% - Maximum drawdown: 10.08% - Weekly win rate: 64.52% - Monthly win rate: 100% - October absolute return: 1.78%, excess return: -0.07%[11] - **ETF Rotation Portfolio**: - Cumulative absolute return: 19.06% - Excess return relative to benchmark: -2.00% - Maximum drawdown: 7.82% - Weekly win rate: 62.50% - Monthly win rate: 57.14% - October absolute return: -2.04%, excess return: -1.18%[14][15] Quantitative Factors and Construction - **Factor Name**: Sentiment Heat Factor **Factor Construction Idea**: The factor aggregates stock-level sentiment heat metrics (e.g., browsing, self-selection, and clicks) to represent broader market sentiment[19] **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Individual stock sentiment heat is calculated as the sum of browsing, self-selection, and click counts 2. The sentiment heat is normalized by dividing by the total market sentiment on the same day and multiplying by 10,000 3. Aggregated sentiment heat is used as a proxy for market sentiment at the index, industry, and concept levels[19] **Factor Evaluation**: The factor effectively captures market sentiment and its impact on pricing errors[19] Factor Backtesting Results - **Broad-based Index Sentiment Heat Rotation Strategy**: - Annualized return since 2017: 8.74% - Maximum drawdown: 23.5% - 2025 portfolio return: 38.5% - Benchmark return: 32.9%[28] - **Concept Sentiment Heat BOTTOM Portfolio**: - Annualized return: 15.71% - Maximum drawdown: 28.89% - 2025 portfolio return: 42.1%[41][44]

Core Viewpoint - A significant block trade of 3.8168 million shares of Shanshan Co., Ltd. occurred on October 31, with a transaction value of 54.8856 million yuan, indicating a premium of 4.58% over the closing price of the day [2] Summary by Category Block Trade Details - The block trade involved a transaction volume of 3.8168 million shares and a transaction price of 14.38 yuan per share [2] - The buyer was Huazheng Securities Co., Ltd. Beijing Zhongguancun Street Securities Branch, while the seller was Shenwan Hongyuan Securities Co., Ltd. Beijing Branch [2] - In the last three months, there have been two block trades for this stock, totaling 111 million yuan [2] Stock Performance - The closing price of Shanshan Co., Ltd. on the day of the trade was 13.75 yuan, reflecting a decrease of 0.29% [2] - The stock had a turnover rate of 9.19% and a total trading volume of 2.344 billion yuan for the day [2] - Over the past five days, the stock has increased by 4.17%, with a total net outflow of 145 million yuan [2] Margin Financing Data - The latest margin financing balance for Shanshan Co., Ltd. is 1.668 billion yuan, with an increase of 70.4186 million yuan over the past five days, representing a growth of 4.41% [2]

Market Overview - On Thursday, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.7%, the CSI 300 decreased by 0.8%, the STAR Market 50 dropped by 1.9%, the CSI 1000 declined by 1.1%, the ChiNext Index fell by 1.8%, and the Hang Seng Index decreased by 0.2% [4] - The best-performing sectors on Thursday were steel (+0.9%), non-ferrous metals (+0.8%), utilities (+0.1%), transportation (+0.1%), and banking (+0.1%). The worst-performing sectors were telecommunications (-2.8%), electronics (-2.2%), defense and military (-2.0%), media (-1.9%), and comprehensive (-1.8%) [4] - The total trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets on Thursday was 24,217 billion yuan, with a net inflow of southbound funds amounting to 13.64 billion Hong Kong dollars [4] Important Insights Fixed Income Credit Bonds - The report defines exiting the low-interest rate environment as the 10-year government bond yield rising trend-wise above 2%. It notes that overseas economies typically exit low rates due to a combination of improving fundamentals and tightening monetary policy. In contrast, while China's economy is in a mild recovery phase, there is a lack of fundamental and policy support for a significant rise in interest rates in the short term, suggesting that the low-interest rate environment may persist for a longer duration. Based on overseas experiences, the median duration for major economies to exit low rates is 4.77 years, implying that China may require an additional 4 years to exit this phase [5] Macroeconomic Research - The report discusses the hawkish guidance from Powell regarding a potential rate cut in December, stating that there is "no conclusion yet." Market expectations for rate cuts may narrow, with no change in viewpoints. The driving factors include data releases, and there is a focus on the potential for the Federal Reserve to restart normalizing balance sheet expansion in 2026 [7][8]

Investment Value Awards - The evaluation scope includes non-financial A-share listed companies listed before January 1, 2024, excluding ST companies and those with significant legal and ethical flaws, resulting in a sample of 3,884 companies [1] - A maximum of 120 companies will be selected for the awards [1] - The evaluation method combines principal component analysis and negative adjustments to determine the award winners [1] - Key indicators for principal component analysis include total market value, net assets, total operating income, and adjusted profitability and solvency metrics [1] New Quality Enterprise Awards - The evaluation scope focuses on companies listed on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, excluding newly listed stocks after December 31, 2023, resulting in a sample of 549 companies [2] - A maximum of 60 companies will be selected for the awards [2] - The evaluation method also employs principal component analysis and negative adjustments [2] - The indicator system emphasizes innovation metrics while reducing profitability indicators [3] Small Giant Awards - The evaluation scope includes companies listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange, with specific exclusions leading to a final sample of 225 companies [5] - A maximum of 30 companies will be selected for the awards [5] - The evaluation method utilizes principal component analysis with negative adjustments [5] - The indicator system is adjusted to focus on scale metrics, using data from the end of 2024 [5] Dividend Return Awards - The evaluation scope includes non-financial A-share listed companies listed before January 1, 2024, resulting in a sample of 4,438 companies [6] - A maximum of 60 companies will be selected for the awards [6] - The evaluation method uses indicator weight analysis and negative adjustments [6] - Key indicators include total dividends, dividend yield, and frequency of dividends, calculated using z-score standard scoring [6] Outstanding Entrepreneur Awards - The evaluation scope targets A-share listed company executives with a market cap in the top 5% and a minimum of 80 billion yuan, resulting in a candidate pool of 200 [7] - A maximum of 10 executives will be selected for the awards [7] - The evaluation combines quantitative analysis and expert recommendations, focusing on leadership, industry influence, and corporate governance [8] Entrepreneur Achievement Awards - The evaluation scope includes executives from A-share listed companies with a market cap in the top 15% and a minimum of 40 billion yuan, resulting in a candidate pool of 200 [9] - A maximum of 20 executives will be selected for the awards [9] - The evaluation combines quantitative analysis and expert recommendations, focusing on leadership and industry influence [9] Innovation Awards - The evaluation scope includes executives from A-share listed companies recognized for achievements in innovation [10] - A maximum of 50 executives will be selected for the awards [10] - The evaluation is based on expert recommendations, focusing on leadership and innovation [11] Secretary Awards - The evaluation scope includes secretaries of A-share listed companies, resulting in a candidate pool of 600 [12] - A maximum of 200 secretaries will be selected for the awards [12] - The evaluation combines quantitative analysis and expert recommendations, focusing on information disclosure and communication skills [12] CFO Awards - The evaluation scope includes CFOs of A-share listed companies, resulting in a candidate pool of 600 [15] - A maximum of 60 CFOs will be selected for the awards [15] - The evaluation combines quantitative analysis and expert recommendations, focusing on financial performance metrics [15] Information Disclosure Awards - The evaluation scope includes A-share listed companies with a disclosure rating of "A" or "B," resulting in a sample of 4,433 companies [16] - A maximum of 500 companies will be selected for the awards [16] - The evaluation focuses on the quality and efficiency of information disclosure across multiple dimensions [16]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has reached a significant milestone, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing above 4000 points for the third time in its history, indicating a robust annual market trend and a shift in market dynamics compared to previous peaks [1][10]. Market Overview - As of October 29, the A-share market comprises 5444 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 119.20 trillion yuan, a substantial increase from 2449 companies and 52.98 trillion yuan in April 2015, and 1283 companies and 17.38 trillion yuan in May 2007 [1]. - The rolling price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the entire A-share market is 22.66 times, and the price-to-book (P/B) ratio is 1.87 times, showing a decrease in valuation compared to 23.63 times and 2.81 times in April 2015, and 47.32 times and 4.95 times in May 2007 [1]. Fund Flow Analysis - The financing balance in the A-share market reached a historical high of 24,769.91 billion yuan as of October 28, 2025, with a financing balance to circulating market value ratio of 2.53%, lower than the 3.87% ratio in April 2015 [3]. - The financing buy-in amount accounted for 11.93% of the A-share transaction volume, indicating a more cautious approach to financing compared to 15.12% in 2015 [3]. Sector Performance - The leading sectors in the current market rally from September 1, 2024, to October 29, 2025, include telecommunications (up 135.48%), electronics (up 112.62%), and the comprehensive sector (up 107.21%), with several other sectors also showing significant gains [5][8]. - In contrast, the previous market rallies saw non-bank financials, computers, and construction decoration sectors leading with gains of 190.77%, 174.36%, and 172.71% respectively from May 1, 2014, to April 10, 2015 [5][8]. Structural Changes - The current market structure has shifted from being driven by capital to focusing on the transformation and upgrading of the real economy and optimization of industrial structure, which is seen as a foundation for healthy market operation [9]. - The technology sector has gained a larger market capitalization share, with AI, semiconductors, and advanced manufacturing becoming the core themes, replacing traditional industries [10].

- The A-share sector rotation model is constructed using six factors: capital, valuation, sentiment, momentum, overbought/oversold, and profitability. The scoring system is based on these factors to evaluate the comprehensive scores of industries[4][19] - The capital factor uses the net inflow rate of industry funds as the main data source, while the valuation factor is based on the valuation percentile of the industry over the past year. Sentiment is derived from the proportion of rising constituent stocks, momentum is calculated using the MACD indicator, overbought/oversold is measured by the RSI indicator, and profitability is based on the consensus forecast EPS percentile of the industry over the past year[19] - The scoring results of the sector rotation model show that industries such as media, social services, and food & beverage have high comprehensive scores, while industries like real estate, building materials, and environmental protection have low scores[4][20][21] - The consensus stock selection model identifies high-growth industries at the secondary level of Shenwan classification over the past 30 days. It calculates momentum factors, valuation factors, and upward frequency using monthly stock data. Additionally, it incorporates high-frequency minute-level fund flow data to compute the similarity between fund flow changes and stock price trends. Stocks with the highest similarity in the top three secondary industries are selected[22] - The selected high-growth secondary industries for this period are industrial metals, home appliance components II, and energy metals. Stocks chosen include Chang Aluminum Co., Jintian Co., and Libba Co. among others[23] - The A-share sector rotation model scoring results indicate that the media industry achieved a total score of 8, social services scored 8, and food & beverage scored 7. Conversely, industries such as real estate and building materials scored -5, and environmental protection scored -4[21] - The consensus stock selection model outputs stocks such as Chang Aluminum Co. and Jintian Co. from the industrial metals sector, Tianyin Electromechanical and Samsung New Materials from the home appliance components II sector, and Shengxin Lithium Energy and Rongjie Co. from the energy metals sector[23]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.70% on October 29, with 24 out of 28 sectors experiencing gains. The top-performing sectors were electric equipment and non-ferrous metals, with increases of 4.79% and 4.28% respectively. Conversely, the banking and food & beverage sectors saw declines of 1.98% and 0.56% respectively [1]. Capital Flow Analysis - The net inflow of capital in the two markets was 5.406 billion yuan, with 12 sectors experiencing net inflows. The electric equipment sector led with a net inflow of 16.132 billion yuan, followed by the non-ferrous metals sector with a net inflow of 5.997 billion yuan [1]. - In contrast, 19 sectors experienced net outflows, with the electronics sector seeing the largest outflow of 6.540 billion yuan, followed by the communications sector with an outflow of 4.736 billion yuan. Other sectors with significant outflows included defense, banking, and food & beverage [1]. Comprehensive Sector Performance - The comprehensive sector declined by 0.56%, with a net outflow of 206 million yuan. Among the 16 stocks in this sector, 4 stocks rose while 12 stocks fell. The stocks with the highest net inflows included Dongyangguang with 25.0425 million yuan, followed by Yatai Group and Zongyi Shares with inflows of 8.3428 million yuan and 6.4692 million yuan respectively [2]. - The stocks with the highest net outflows included Zhangzhou Development with 110.426 million yuan, Nanjing Public Utilities with 42.833 million yuan, and Nanjing Xinbai with 28.2137 million yuan [2].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.36% with a trading volume of 1,078.52 million shares and a transaction value of 18,285.62 billion yuan, representing a 2.13% increase compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - The top-performing sectors included: - **Electric Power Equipment**: Increased by 4.00% with a transaction value of 2,463.73 billion yuan, up 33.06% from the previous day, led by Arctech with a rise of 19.97% [1] - **Non-ferrous Metals**: Rose by 3.07% with a transaction value of 1,125.00 billion yuan, down 4.62% from the previous day, with Chang Aluminum leading at 10.08% [1] - **Non-bank Financials**: Gained 1.20% with a transaction value of 808.22 billion yuan, up 54.88% from the previous day, led by State Grid Yingda at 9.95% [1] Declining Sectors - The sectors with the largest declines included: - **Banking**: Decreased by 1.56% with a transaction value of 297.44 billion yuan, up 7.80% from the previous day, with Chengdu Bank falling by 5.36% [2] - **Food and Beverage**: Fell by 0.78% with a transaction value of 206.60 billion yuan, up 7.50% from the previous day, led by Guyue Longshan at -4.04% [2] - **Light Industry Manufacturing**: Decreased by 0.53% with a transaction value of 153.13 billion yuan, down 7.44% from the previous day, with Longzhu Technology dropping by 13.16% [2]

Core Insights - As of October 28, the market's latest financing balance reached 24,769.91 billion yuan, an increase of 12.703 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Among the 24 industries classified by Shenwan, the electronic industry saw the largest increase in financing balance, rising by 2.79 billion yuan [1] - The industries with notable increases in financing balance also include defense and military, electric equipment, and communication, with increases of 1.46 billion yuan, 1.07 billion yuan, and 0.81 billion yuan respectively [1] - Conversely, seven industries experienced a decrease in financing balance, with non-ferrous metals, non-bank financials, and food and beverage sectors seeing the largest declines of 0.505 billion yuan, 0.408 billion yuan, and 0.168 billion yuan respectively [2] Industry Financing Balance Changes - The electronic industry had a latest financing balance of 3,732.18 billion yuan, increasing by 2.79 billion yuan, representing a growth of 0.59% [1] - The defense and military industry reported a financing balance of 792.90 billion yuan, with an increase of 1.46 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 1.88% [1] - The electric equipment sector's financing balance reached 2,050.71 billion yuan, increasing by 1.07 billion yuan, which is a growth of 0.52% [1] - The communication industry had a financing balance of 1,130.72 billion yuan, with an increase of 0.81 billion yuan, marking a growth of 0.72% [1] - The textile and apparel industry saw a decrease in financing balance to 81.89 billion yuan, down by 0.44 billion yuan, a decline of 0.53% [2] - The real estate sector's financing balance decreased to 348.83 billion yuan, down by 1.56 billion yuan, reflecting a decline of 0.44% [2] - The non-ferrous metals industry reported a financing balance of 1,194.91 billion yuan, decreasing by 5.05 billion yuan, which is a decline of 0.42% [2]