Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that overseas polyurethane companies faced pressure on volume and price in Q1 2025, leading to a general decline in profits. However, MDI/TDI prices have stabilized and rebounded by the end of April, with supply-side adjustments and progress in US-China trade negotiations suggesting a potential recovery in Q2 2025 for the Asia-Pacific polyurethane business [1][2]. - Major companies reported revenue declines in Q1 2025: BASF and Covestro both saw a 1% decrease, Huntsman a 4% decrease, and Dow a 3% decrease. EBITDA also fell significantly, with BASF down 18%, Covestro down 50%, Huntsman down 11%, and Dow down 32%. The overall demand weakness and price pressures were the main reasons for the revenue decline [1]. - The North American polyurethane market has become increasingly reliant on imports, particularly MDI, with about 500,000 tons imported annually, 70% from China and 30% from Europe. The impact of tariffs and anti-dumping duties is expected to reduce direct exports to the US, shifting trade flows towards Asia-Pacific or Europe [2]. Group 2 - Companies are accelerating asset disposals to cut costs, with BASF proceeding with the divestment of its coatings business and closing a production line in Germany. Huntsman plans to close two downstream factories in Europe and one in Canada, while Dow is shutting down its chlor-alkali/ethylene asset in Schkopau and a silicone plant in the UK [3]. - Earnings guidance remains cautious, with BASF maintaining an EBITDA target of €8-8.4 billion for 2025, Covestro expecting €200-300 million for Q2 2025, Huntsman projecting $35-50 million for Q2 2025, and Dow reducing capital expenditures by $1-2.5 billion [3].

联合研究丨行业点评 [Table_Title] 中美关税下调，周期哪些行业受益？ %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 5 月 12 日，中美发布《中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明》，本次中美经贸高层会谈取得实质性进 展，大幅降低双边关税水平，美方取消了共计 91%的加征关税，中方相应取消了 91%的反制关 税；美方在初始的 90 天内暂停实施 24%的"对等关税"，中方也相应在初始的 90 天内暂停实 施 24%的反制关税，对中美贸易往来的大宗产品带来显著利好，具体影响几何？ 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 王鹤涛 范超 韩轶超 SAC：S0490512070002 SAC：S0490513080001 SAC：S0490512020001 SFC：BQT626 SFC：BQK473 SFC：BQK468 马太 魏凯 张韦华 SAC：S0490516100002 SAC：S0490520080009 SAC：S0490517080003 SFC：BUT911 SFC：BUT964 SFC：BQT627 张弛 SA ...

Group 1: Investor Relations Activities - The company held an annual performance briefing on May 9, 2025, via the China Securities Network [4] - Participants included the company's board members and financial executives [4] Group 2: Key Performance Metrics - The company's net profit margin for 2023 was 2.02%, which increased to 2.57% in 2024, a rise of 0.55 percentage points [8] - The company aims to enhance operational efficiency and improve overall performance metrics [8] Group 3: Market and Product Strategy - The company focuses on three main industrial chains: ethylene oxide, propylene oxide, and adipic acid, aiming for vertical and horizontal expansion [9] - The company plans to increase R&D investment to drive innovation and product diversification [9] Group 4: Responses to Investor Queries - The company emphasizes its commitment to market value management through honest operations and enhancing profitability [6] - The company is addressing rising raw material costs by adjusting product pricing in response to market fluctuations [7] - The company is expanding its business scope to include power generation and distribution, leveraging rooftop solar projects [11]

行 业 及 产 业 基础化工 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 深 度 证券分析师 马昕晔 A0230511090002 maxy@swsresearch.com 宋涛 A0230516070001 songtao@swsresearch.com 研究支持 任杰 A0230522070003 renjie@swsresearch.com 赵文琪 A0230523060003 zhaowq@swsresearch.com 邵靖宇 A0230524080001 shaojy@swsresearch.com 周超 A0230123090004 zhouchao@swsresearch.com 李绍程 A0230124070001 lisc@swsresearch.com 联系人 李绍程 (8621)23297818× lisc@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 2025 年 05 月 12 日 在建工程连续两个季度回落，25Q1 补库 带来盈利改善 看好 ——基础化工行业 2024 年报及 2025 年一季报总结 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 证 ...

● 本报记者 杨梓岩 5月9日，北交所以"四海扬帆"为主题，精选一诺威、海泰新能、力佳科技、拾比佰以及润普食品五家上 市公司集中召开年报说明会。在年报说明会上，主营业务进展、盈利能力预测、公司核心竞争力以及所 处行业发展前景等是投资者重点关注的话题。上述公司表示，将聚焦主业，持续加大研发投入力度，密 切关注行业变动，积极做好产品创新、市场拓展工作。 聚焦主营业务 投资者普遍关注上市公司主营业务进展和对未来盈利能力的预期。 一诺威专注于聚氨酯原材料及环氧乙烷、环氧丙烷下游衍生物系列产品的研发、生产与销售。公司2023 年销售净利率为2.02%，2024年销售净利率为2.57%，同比增加0.55个百分点。 一诺威在年报说明会上表示，销售净利率的增长主要得益于2024年公司加大新产品研发和市场开发力 度，营业收入较上年同期增加。公司推进降本增效，销售费用、管理费用、财务费用较上年同期均下 降。同时，通过开展外汇衍生品交易，适度开展外汇套期保值，使投资收益较上年增加。 海泰新能主要覆盖光伏组件、光伏电站、光伏支架、储能、氢能以及风能业务。在回答投资者关于2025 年一季度亏损的问题时，海泰新能表示，一季度亏损主要受市 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_Author] 马太 孙国铭 SAC：S0490516100002 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 SFC：BUT911 %% %% 公司研究丨点评报告丨华峰化学（002064.SZ） [Table_Title] 己二酸价差修复，公司盈利能力上行 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司发布 2025 一季报，2025Q1 实现收入 63.1 亿元（同比-5.2%，环比-3.7），实现归属净利 润 5.0 亿元（同比-26.2%，环比+145.6%），实现归属扣非净利润 4.6 亿元（同比-29.9%，环比 +163.1%）。 分析师及联系人 %% %% research.95579.com 1 华峰化学（002064.SZ） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 己二酸价差修复，公司盈利能力上行 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 公司发布 2025 一季报，2025Q1 实现收入 63.1 亿元（同比-5.2%，环比-3.7），实现归属净利 润 5.0 亿元（同比-26.2%，环比+145.6%），实现归属扣非净利润 4.6 亿元（同比-29.9 ...

中国经济网北京5月6日讯华峰化学（002064）(002064.SZ)4月30日披露的2024年年度股东大会决议公告 显示，公司2024年年度股东大会现场会议于2025年4月29日下午召开，本次股东大会未通过议案包括 《关于公司发行股份及支付现金购买资产暨关联交易方案的议案》、《关于 <华峰化学股份有限公司发 行股份及支付现金购买资产暨关联交易报告书> (草案)及其摘要的议案》等共计19个议案。 | 序号 | 议案名称 | | --- | --- | | 议案十三 | 关于公司发行股份及支付现金购买资产暨关联交易符合相关法律、法规规定的议案 | | 议案十四 | 关于公司发行股份及支付现金购买资产构成关联交易的议案 | | 议案十五 | 关于公司发行股份及支付现金购买资产暨关联交易方案的议案(本议案为逐项表决) | | 1 | 本次交易方案概述 | | 2 | 发行股票种类、面值及上市地点 | | 3 | 发行方式及发行对象 | | র্ব | 发行股份的定价方式和价格 | | રે | 发行数量 | | 6 | 锁定期安排 | | 7 | 过渡期损益安排 | | 8 | 滚存未分配利润安排 | | --- ...

Core Insights - The report highlights that the inbound economy may boost China's GDP by approximately 0.2 percentage points in 2025, driven by policy changes aimed at optimizing the outbound tax refund system and increasing inbound consumption [5][6][7] - The report provides a detailed analysis of various industries and companies, indicating a mixed performance across sectors, with some companies showing strong growth while others face challenges [3][4] Industry Overview - **Chemical Industry**: Huafeng Chemical (002064.SZ) reported Q1 performance exceeding expectations, with revenue of 6.314 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.15%, and a net profit of 504 million yuan, down 26.21% year-on-year, but a significant increase of 145.60% quarter-on-quarter [28][29] - **Coal Mining**: Lu'an Environmental Energy (601699.SH) faced a decline in both volume and price, leading to a projected annual revenue of 35.85 billion yuan, down 16.9% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.45 billion yuan, down 69.1% year-on-year [32][33] - **Textiles and Apparel**: Mousse Co., Ltd. (001323.SZ) reported a Q1 revenue of 1.12 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.7% year-on-year, with expectations for recovery following government subsidies [54][55] - **Home Appliances**: Dechang Co., Ltd. (605555.SH) achieved a Q1 revenue of 1 billion yuan, up 21.33% year-on-year, with a focus on expanding production capacity in Southeast Asia [40][41] Company-Specific Insights - **Huafeng Chemical**: The company is consolidating its position in the polyurethane industry through vertical mergers and acquisitions, maintaining a "buy" rating with projected net profits of 2.474 billion, 3.110 billion, and 3.822 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [28][30] - **Lu'an Environmental Energy**: The company is expected to see a rebound in coal prices, with a focus on capacity growth and price elasticity, maintaining a "buy" rating despite recent performance challenges [32][34] - **Mousse Co., Ltd.**: The company is enhancing its multi-channel and multi-category market layout, with a projected net profit of 799 million, 872 million, and 956 million yuan for 2025-2027 [54][55] - **Dechang Co., Ltd.**: The company is expanding its overseas production capacity and expects significant growth in its automotive motor segment, maintaining a "buy" rating [40][41]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Huafeng Chemical [2][4]. Core Views - The company's Q1 performance was under pressure due to a decline in product prices, with revenue at 6.314 billion yuan, down 5.15% year-on-year, and net profit at 504 million yuan, down 26.21% year-on-year [3]. - Despite short-term challenges, the recovery in spandex prices since 2025 is expected to alleviate operational pressures for spandex manufacturers [3]. - Huafeng Chemical has a strong scale advantage, being the second-largest spandex producer globally and the largest in China, with significant production capacities in adipic acid and polyurethane [3]. - The company is expanding its production capacity, with ongoing projects expected to enhance its scale advantage further [3]. - Investments in upstream raw material projects are anticipated to strengthen the company's cost advantages in the spandex industry [4]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company forecasts net profits of 2.133 billion yuan, with earnings per share (EPS) of 0.43 yuan, and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 16 [4][5]. - Revenue is projected to grow from 26.298 billion yuan in 2023 to 33.293 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.56% [5]. - The net profit is expected to decline slightly in 2025 before recovering in subsequent years, with a forecast of 2.664 billion yuan by 2027 [5]. Company Overview - Huafeng Chemical is a leading manufacturer of spandex fibers, adipic acid, and polyurethane raw materials, with a comprehensive product range that meets diverse customer needs [6]. - The company has established itself as a top player in the chemical fiber industry, recognized for its efficiency and product quality [6].

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 6.314 billion yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 5.15%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 504 million yuan, down 26.21% year-on-year [1] - The decline in product prices, particularly for spandex and adipic acid, has put short-term pressure on performance, although spandex prices have started to recover since 2025, which may ease operational pressures for spandex manufacturers [1] - The company's comprehensive gross margin decreased by 2.66 percentage points to 13.47% due to the impact of falling product prices, affecting net profit growth [1] Production Capacity and Market Position - The company has a strong market position in the polyurethane industry, with spandex production capacity and output ranking second globally and first in China, as well as leading production in adipic acid and polyurethane raw materials in the country [1] - As of 2024, the company has a spandex production capacity of 325,000 tons, with an additional 150,000 tons under construction; adipic acid capacity is 1.355 million tons, and polyurethane raw material capacity is 520,000 tons [1] - The spandex capacity utilization rate reached 109.98% and adipic acid utilization rate was 94.96% in 2024, indicating high operational efficiency [1] Strategic Initiatives - The company is investing in upstream raw material projects, including a 1.1 million ton natural gas integration project and a 240,000 ton PTMEG spandex industry chain deepening project, which are expected to enhance cost advantages in spandex production [2] - The company is recognized as a leading enterprise in spandex, adipic acid, and polyurethane raw materials, with significant scale, technology, and cost advantages, and plans to continue strengthening its market position [2] Financial Forecast - The company maintains its profit forecast for 2025-2027, with projected net profits of 2.133 billion, 2.403 billion, and 2.664 billion yuan, respectively, corresponding to EPS of 0.43, 0.48, and 0.54 yuan [2] - The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 16, 14, and 12 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, and the company maintains a "strong buy" rating [2]