上海海关26日公布，装载3辆二手新能源车的集装箱卡车，23日从上海出发驶往白俄罗斯首都明斯克。 这是上海首单TIR国际公路运输出口货物，标志着上海进出口TIR国际公路运输业务双向贯通。2024年3 月6日，上海首单进口TIR国际公路运输业务在上海海关所属上海车站海关监管下落地。截至目前，上 海车站海关共监管TIR跨境运输业务3批，货值111.4万元人民币。(新华财经) ...

Core Points - The article highlights the need for new pollution discharge standards for wastewater treatment facilities in industrial parks to mitigate environmental risks and protect aquatic ecosystems and public health [1][4][5] - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment is currently soliciting public opinions on the draft technical guidelines for establishing these new discharge standards [1][4] Group 1: Current Situation - There are currently 2,962 industrial parks across 31 provinces and regions in China, with nearly 600 being chemical parks [2] - Industrial parks typically handle wastewater from various sources, including production wastewater from enterprises, domestic sewage, and wastewater from port operations [2][4] - The wastewater characteristics vary significantly among different types of industrial parks, such as single-industry parks and comprehensive parks [2][4] Group 2: Issues Identified - Existing discharge standards for industrial parks are often inadequate, with incomplete pollution control projects leading to high environmental risk [1][4] - The wastewater quality from industrial parks differs significantly from municipal sewage, necessitating tailored discharge standards [1][4][6] Group 3: Proposed Regulations - The draft guidelines propose comprehensive pollution control measures, considering various pollutants and their characteristics based on incoming water quality [4][5] - The new standards will allow for differentiated discharge limits based on the environmental quality requirements of receiving water bodies [5][6] - The regulations aim to ease the burden on enterprises by allowing negotiated indirect discharge limits, reducing the need for additional wastewater treatment facilities [5][6]

欧盟27个成员国外长当天批准了一项路线图，该路线图将根据叙利亚实际情况暂停对叙制裁。首批可能 放松的限制措施涉及 银行、能源和运输行业。 ...

美国新泽西运输公司及其机车工程师达成协议，结束了为期三天的运输罢工。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a neutral investment rating for the U.S. stock market [1] Core Insights - The U.S. stock market is experiencing a steady recovery, led by the technology sector, with the S&P 500 rising by 5.3% and the Nasdaq increasing by 7.2% [3] - Significant capital inflows have been observed, particularly in the semiconductor and automotive sectors, indicating strong investor interest [4] - Earnings expectations for the S&P 500 constituents have been slightly adjusted upwards, with traditional industries showing the most significant upward revisions [5] Summary by Sections Price Trends - The S&P 500 increased by 5.3% and the Nasdaq by 7.2% this week, with the automotive and semiconductor sectors leading the gains at +16.2% and +13.3% respectively [3] Capital Flows - Estimated capital inflows for the S&P 500 constituents reached +$25.71 billion this week, a significant increase from the previous week's +$2.99 billion [4] - The semiconductor sector saw the highest inflow at +$9.17 billion, followed by automotive at +$6.59 billion [18] Earnings Forecasts - The dynamic F12M EPS expectations for the S&P 500 were adjusted up by 0.1%, with 19 sectors seeing upward revisions, particularly real estate (+0.7%) and materials (+0.5%) [5]

资金从何而起 [Table_Authors] 吴信坤(分析师) ——港股资金跟踪新范式 1 本报告导读： ①基于属地来源和历史交易行为的"两步法"核心框架将港股资金面拆分为长短线 外资、内资、港资等各类资金。②拆分后资金存量规模显著分化，过去以来外资占 比虽下滑但仍延续主导，南向定价权边际提升。③长短线外资在交易的换手频率和 方向变动上存在差异，南向通常会逆势买入，近期外资流出而南向流入的格局仍延 续。 投资要点： 登记编号 S0880525040084 陆嘉瑞(研究助理) 021-38676666 登记编号 S0880125042248 风险提示：部分资金数据为估算值，与真实情况或有出入。 策 略 研 究 策略研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.05.17 2025-05-18 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 海 外 策 略 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 021-38676666 登记编号 S0880525040061 余培仪(分析师) 021-38676666 [Table_Summary] 基于历史交易行为辨别外资属性的核心框架。通常而言，微观资金 面的跟踪源自各类投资者资金流动的汇总，港股 ...

据悉，"2025海外榜TOP50"是对所有2025年1月1日之前在全球上市的中国内地公司进行测评后，选取海外品牌价值居前的50家公司。 每经记者｜黄博文 每经编辑｜张海妮 5月9日，第九个中国品牌日前夕，由每日经济新闻主办、清华大学经济管理学院中国企业研究中心提供学术支持的"2025第九届中国上市公司品牌价值榜发 布会"在上海举行。 会上发布了"2025中国上市公司品牌价值海外榜TOP50"（以下简称"2025海外榜TOP50"）。数据显示，"2025海外榜TOP50"的总体海外品牌价值为24732.55 亿元，同比增长19.8%。其中，腾讯控股（HK00700）位居第一，海外品牌价值达到2565.23亿元。此外，共有15个行业的企业进入榜单，其中，家电合计海 外品牌价值最高，达到3854.59亿元。 腾讯控股位居第一，海外品牌价值增至2565亿元 图片来源：《2025中国上市公司品牌价值榜分析报告》 具体到行业分层情况，可分成3个梯队：第一梯队中，有2个行业海外品牌价值超过3000亿元，即家电和电子行业，合计海外品牌价值为7280.59亿元，占比 29.4%；第二梯队中，有8个行业海外品牌价值在1000亿元 ...

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve maintained the short-term interest rate at 4.25% to 4.50%, aligning with market expectations, while acknowledging increased uncertainty in the economic outlook due to high unemployment and inflation risks [1] - The first quarter saw a significant 41.3% surge in imports, negatively impacting GDP growth, with net exports contributing to a -4.83% growth rate [2] - Many companies have suspended guidance on second-quarter revenue forecasts, indicating a more pessimistic view of the economy compared to Federal Reserve officials [2][3] Group 2 - The second quarter's GDP is critical, with a potential shift from positive to negative contributions from inventory, increasing the likelihood of economic contraction [3] - Employment figures appear strong, but there are concerns about the reliability of the data, as the actual experience of the public may differ from reported statistics [3][4] - The retail sector is facing challenges with inventory levels, as many businesses only have enough stock to last two months, raising concerns about inflation rebounding [5] Group 3 - The U.S. government’s trade negotiations are crucial, with recent agreements being largely symbolic and insufficient to address the urgent economic issues [5][6] - The upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will provide early insights into the impact of new tariffs on price trends [6]

Core Viewpoint - The current wait-and-see approach of the Federal Reserve is deemed reasonable due to the potential impacts of tariffs and the uncertainty surrounding the economic outlook [1][4]. Economic Outlook - The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 4.25%-4.5%, marking the third consecutive meeting without changes [2]. - Economic indicators show a divergence, with the first quarter of 2025 experiencing a contraction in GDP for the first time in three years, primarily due to businesses rushing to import goods to avoid tariffs [2]. - The unemployment rate remains low at 4.2%, indicating a resilient labor market that has yet to reflect the impacts of tariffs [2]. Inflation Concerns - Although CPI and PCE data have not yet shown upward trends, soft indicators such as consumer inflation expectations and price indices in manufacturing and services have significantly increased, indicating future inflation risks [3]. - The large-scale "reciprocal tariffs" announced by Trump have been paused for 90 days, but the outlook remains unclear, negatively affecting business and consumer confidence [3]. Federal Reserve's Strategy - Jerome Powell emphasized a "wait and see" approach, stating that the cost of waiting is currently the lowest, and highlighted the challenges posed by tariffs to the Fed's dual mandate of maximum employment and a 2% inflation target [3][4]. - The Fed's independence is under threat, with external pressures from the Trump administration potentially impacting the credibility of the dollar [4]. - Market expectations for the timing of the first rate cut have shifted from June to July, with projections for a total of three rate cuts remaining intact for the year [4].

国外 1. 高盛：黄金的表现将继续优于白银 周一，高盛在一份报告中称，黄金将继续跑赢白银，央行需求强劲是推高金银价格比的一个因素。因 此，该行预计白银不会赶上目前正在持续的黄金涨势。高盛还表示，如果经济衰退发生，估计ETF资金 流入的加速将推动黄金价格到年底达到3880美元。该行重申对黄金的结构性看涨观点，基本预期年底金 价为每盎司3700美元，到2026年中期则达4000美元。 2. 高盛：美联储不太可能因为"软数据"疲弱就降息 美国消费者和企业调查显示出一种焦虑的经济情绪，但基础数据尚未显示经济严重放缓。高盛经济学家 写道，美联储不太可能仅根据"软数据"就放松政策，尤其是因为在最近的过去，软数据错误地预示着衰 退即将来临，比如美联储在2022年抗击通胀期间。高盛的团队写道，美联储"在降息之前，也希望看到 劳动力市场和其他硬数据的证据"。这家投行和华尔街其他机构一样，相信美联储将在周三的利率决议 中保持利率不变。 3. 大摩：美联储不会先发制人 摩根士丹利由首席美国经济学家Michael Gapen领衔的分析师团队在一份研报中写道："鉴于美联储预计 通胀将保持坚挺，且关税冲击可能会产生持续的通胀效应，美联储 ...