| 期货价格 | 最新 | 涨跌 | 期货价格 | 最新 | 涨跌 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 螺纹01 | 3109 | -13 | 热卷01 | 3224 | -8 | | 螺纹05 | 3031 | -29 | 热卷05 | 3181 | 2 | | 螺纹10 | 3077 | -19 | 热卷10 | 3196 | -8 | | 现货价格 | 最新 | 涨跌 | 现货价格 | 最新 | 涨跌 | | 唐山普方坯 | 2940 | 0 | 张家港废钢 | 2120 | 0 | | 螺纹:唐山 | 3190 | 0 | 热卷:天津 | 3210 | 0 | | 螺纹:上海 | 3210 | -10 | 热卷:上海 | 3240 | 0 | | 螺纹:杭州 | 3210 | -10 | 热卷:杭州 | 3260 | 0 | | 螺纹:广州 | 3430 | -20 | 热卷:广州 | 3300 | 20 | | 螺纹:成都 | 3350 | 0 | 热卷：成都 | 3420 | 0 | | 基差 | 最新 | 涨跌 | 基差 | 最新 | 涨跌 | | ...

Report Industry Investment Ratings No specific industry investment ratings are provided in the report. Core Views - Today, at 9 am, a news conference will be held to introduce "a package of financial policies to support market stability and expectation management," and it is expected that a series of favorable policies will be released [7]. - The short - term trend of soybean meal is weak, but the downside space is limited. The 09 contract has priced in some negative factors, and there is still trading time left. Attention should be paid to the May USDA supply - demand report, US trade negotiations, and US soybean weather [8]. - Industrial silicon is still bearish in the short term. High inventory pressures will cause futures prices to continue to test the cost line of upstream factories, and the strategy is to short on rallies [11]. - The spot price of polysilicon is expected to decline, and the short - term trend of the futures is weak. The supply - demand pattern is weak on both sides, and the price may have a short - term rebound in mid - to late May [12]. - The trend of styrene is weak. After the May Day holiday, the prices of crude oil and pure benzene declined, and the terminal orders of styrene decreased. Attention should be paid to shorting opportunities on the futures [13]. Summaries by Directory Pre - market Insights - There will be a news conference at 9 am today by the central bank, CSRC, etc. to introduce financial policies, and favorable policies are expected to be released [7]. Recommended by the Director - **Soybean Meal**: Short - term trend is weak, but the downside space is limited. Negative factors have been priced in, and the 09 contract still has trading time. Attention should be paid to relevant events [8]. - **Industrial Silicon**: Short - term bearish. High inventory, high weekly production, and weak downstream demand will lead to price declines. The strategy is to short on rallies [11]. - **Polysilicon**: Spot price is expected to decline, and the short - term futures trend is weak. The supply - demand pattern is weak on both sides, and there may be a short - term rebound in mid - to late May [12]. - **Styrene**: Trend is weak. After the holiday, the prices of crude oil and pure benzene declined, and the terminal orders decreased. Attention should be paid to shorting opportunities [13]. Commodity Research Morning Report - **Precious Metals**: Gold data is better than expected, and silver is oscillating downward. The trend intensity of gold is 1, and that of silver is - 1 [19][23]. - **Copper**: The spot price is firm, supporting the futures price. The trend intensity is 1 [25][27]. - **Aluminum and Alumina**: Aluminum has insufficient upward momentum, and alumina is consolidating at a low level. The trend intensity of aluminum is - 1, and that of alumina is 0 [28][30]. - **Zinc**: Oscillating. The trend intensity is 0 [31][32]. - **Lead**: Under short - term pressure. The trend intensity is - 1 [34]. - **Nickel and Stainless Steel**: Nickel prices are back in a narrow - range oscillation, and the downside and upside spaces are converging. The spot price of stainless steel has declined to repair the basis, and there is still support below. The trend intensity of both is 0 [36][38]. - **Tin**: The price weakened during the holiday. The trend intensity is - 1 [40][44]. - **Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon**: The weak state of industrial silicon continues, and the fundamentals of polysilicon are still weak. The trend intensity of both is - 1 [46][48]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The supply - demand surplus continues, and the weak pattern may be difficult to change. The trend intensity is 0 [49][51]. - **Iron Ore**: The expectation is volatile, and the price is in a wide - range oscillation. The trend intensity is 0 [52][53]. - **Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coil**: The demand expectation is poor, and the prices are fluctuating at a low level. The trend intensity of both is 0 [56][60]. - **Silicon Ferrosilicon and Manganese Ferrosilicon**: The prices are dragged down by costs and are trending weakly. The trend intensity of both is - 1 [62][66]. - **Coke and Coking Coal**: Affected by policy expectations, the prices are oscillating at the bottom. The trend intensity of both is 0 [67][69]. - **Steam Coal**: There is a strong wait - and - see sentiment, and the price is oscillating weakly. The trend intensity is 0 [70][72]. - **Glass**: The price of the original sheet is stable. The trend intensity is 0 [73][74]. - **Para - Xylene, PTA, and MEG**: Para - xylene is in a positive carry trade for the monthly spread, and the processing margin is expanding. The strategy for PTA is to go long PTA and short SC, and for MEG, it is to go long PTA and short MEG [76][77].

2025 年 5 月 7 日 硅铁：成本拖累价格，硅铁走势偏弱 锰硅：成本拖累价格，锰硅走势偏弱 李亚飞 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0021184 liyafei2@gtht.com 金园园（联系人） 期货从业资格号：F03134630 jinyuanyuan2@gtht.com 1、铁合金在线：5 月 6 日硅铁 72#：陕西 5400-5450（-50），宁夏 5450-5550，青海 5450-5550， 甘肃 5550-5600，内蒙 5450-5500；75#硅铁：陕西 6000-6100，宁夏 5900-6000，青海 5950-6000 （-50），甘肃 6000-6100（-50），内蒙 5950-6050（-50）（现金含税自然块出厂，元/吨）；硅铁 FOB：72#1060-1090，75#1120-1140（美元/吨，含税）。硅锰 6517#南北主流价格在 5600-5750 元 /吨区间。（现金出厂含税报价） 2、铁合金在线：新余钢铁 4 月 30 日硅铁定价 5950 元/吨承兑，较上一轮跌 200 元/吨，量 500 吨。云 南某钢厂敲定 75B 硅铁采购价为 5950 元/吨现金，量 ...

Group 1: Iron Ore Market - Iron ore prices experienced slight fluctuations, driven by strong shipping intentions from traders and steel companies' low-price procurement ahead of the "May Day" holiday [1] - The overall demand for iron ore remains good due to high operating rates in steel mills, with port arrivals of iron ore increasing and inventory levels continuing to decline, albeit at a slower rate [1] - Despite a slight drop in iron ore futures prices, the fundamentals suggest a potential for slight upward price movement in the near term [1] Group 2: Metallurgical Coke Market - Domestic metallurgical coke prices remained stable, supported by increasing iron output and good demand for metallurgical coke [2] - Some steel companies are experiencing urgency for dry quenching first-grade metallurgical coke, but overall acceptance of price increases is low due to stable steel market conditions and unchanged profits [2] - It is expected that metallurgical coke prices will remain stable in the near term [2] Group 3: Coking Coal Market - Coking coal prices showed a downward trend, with online auction prices fluctuating and instances of unsold lots [3] - Prices for low-sulfur coking coal in Shanxi were reported at 1310 yuan/ton, while prices for gas coal in Shaanxi ranged from 840 to 870 yuan/ton [3] - Overall demand for coking coal remains supported by high operating rates in coke enterprises, with expectations of stable prices leading up to the "May Day" holiday [3] Group 4: Ferroalloy Market - Ferroalloy prices showed a stable to slightly increasing trend, with silicon iron prices remaining stable and production in major regions increasing slightly [4] - The market for silicon manganese is expected to operate steadily with a slight downward bias, as procurement prices from steel companies have decreased [4] - High-carbon ferrochrome prices are stable, with procurement prices from major companies showing a slight increase, but overall demand remains moderate [4] Group 5: Vanadium and Molybdenum Alloys - Vanadium-nitrogen alloy prices decreased by 1000 yuan/ton, while vanadium iron prices remained stable, indicating limited price fluctuation space [5] - Molybdenum iron prices increased by 8000 yuan/ton, driven by rising raw material costs and good demand from steel companies [5] - The procurement pace for molybdenum iron has slowed following price increases, with expectations of stable to slightly fluctuating prices in the near term [5]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - Not provided in the given content Summary by Related Catalogs Price - For silicon iron, the latest prices of 72 silicon iron in different regions are as follows: 5500 in Ningxia, 5550 in Inner Mongolia, 5550 in Qinghai, and 5450 in Shaanxi. The prices of 6517 silicon manganese in different regions also vary, such as 5650 in Inner Mongolia, 5500 in Ningxia, etc. [1] - The closing prices of silicon iron and silicon manganese futures contracts, as well as their daily and weekly changes, are presented. For example, the silicon iron main contract is at 5590, with a daily change of -18 and a weekly change of -114. [1] - The export and import prices of silicon iron, as well as the prices of related products like silicon manganese and high - carbon ferromanganese, are shown in long - term time series charts from 2021 - 2025. [2][6] Supply - The production data of 136 silicon iron enterprises in China, including monthly and weekly production, and the capacity utilization rates in Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, and Shaanxi, are provided. The monthly production of 136 silicon iron enterprises in China ranges from 60,000 to 140,000. [4] - The production data of silicon manganese in China, including weekly production and the procurement volume and price of Hebei Iron and Steel Group, are also given. The weekly production of silicon manganese in China ranges from 5500 to 9000. [6] Demand - The demand - related data include the estimated and actual production of crude steel in China, the production of stainless - steel crude steel, the procurement volume of silicon iron by Hebei Iron and Steel Group, and the demand for silicon manganese in China. The estimated monthly production of crude steel in China ranges from 6500 to 10500 (in 10,000 tons). [4][6][7] Inventory - The inventory data of silicon iron and silicon manganese are presented, including the inventory of 60 sample enterprises in China and different regions (such as Ningxia and Inner Mongolia for silicon iron), and the inventory of silicon manganese in 63 sample enterprises in China. The inventory of 60 silicon iron sample enterprises in China ranges from 0 to 150,000 (weekly). [5][7] Cost and Profit - The cost - related data involve the electricity prices in different regions (such as Inner Mongolia, Qinghai, Ningxia, and Shaanxi), the market price of blue charcoal, and the prices of raw materials like manganese ore. The profit data include the production profit of blue charcoal, the profit of silicon iron and silicon manganese in different regions (such as Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, and Guangxi), and the export profit of 75% silicon iron. [5][7]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided on the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints - The steel market shows a situation of "not bad in reality but poor in expectation". With high steel production corresponding to moderate demand and inventory in a seasonal improvement stage, unilateral speculative short - selling is not cost - effective. For steel, wait for new contradictions to accumulate before entering the market, and choose hot - rolled coil with better liquidity in the spot - futures aspect [4][8]. - For coking coal and coke, the second round of price increase is temporarily shelved. With sufficient supply, expected peak of molten iron, and weakening pressure from the trade war in May, it is advisable to short on rallies [5]. - In the ferroalloy market, the weekly output of manganese - silicon decreased slightly during the holiday, while that of silicon - iron remained stable. Silicon - iron has low valuation and large production reduction, so it is recommended to try to go long on dips [6]. - For iron ore, although the price has recovered after a sharp drop during the holiday, due to the expectation of production control, it is not recommended to hold long single - side positions, but positive spreads can be used when molten iron is at a high level [7]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market - **Prices and Changes**: On April 30, for far - month contracts, RB2601 closed at 3122 yuan/ton, down 14 yuan (- 0.45%); HC2601 at 3232 yuan/ton, down 9 yuan (- 0.28%); I2601 at 679 yuan/ton, down 4.5 yuan (- 0.66%); J2601 at 1576 yuan/ton, down 13.5 yuan (- 0.85%); JM2601 at 980 yuan/ton, down 10.5 yuan (- 1.06%). For near - month contracts, RB2510 closed at 3096 yuan/ton, down 13 yuan (- 0.42%); HC2510 at 3204 yuan/ton, down 14 yuan (- 0.44%); I2509 at 703.5 yuan/ton, down 5.5 yuan (- 0.78%); J2509 at 1538 yuan/ton, down 15 yuan (- 0.97%); JM2509 at 930.5 yuan/ton, down 5.5 yuan (- 0.59%) [2]. - **Spreads and Ratios**: On April 30, the cross - month spreads of RB2510 - 2601 was - 26 yuan/ton, HC2510 - 2601 was - 28 yuan/ton, I2509 - 2601 was 24.5 yuan/ton, J2509 - 2601 was - 38 yuan/ton, JM2509 - 2601 was - 49.5 yuan/ton. The spread between hot - rolled coil and rebar was 108 yuan/ton, the ratio of rebar to iron ore was 4.40, the ratio of coking coal to coke was 1.65, the rebar disk profit was 108.48 yuan/ton, and the coking disk profit was 300.44 yuan/ton [2]. - **Basis**: On April 30, the basis of HC (main contract) was 36 yuan/ton, RB was 104 yuan/ton, I was 72 yuan/ton, J was 120.66 yuan/ton, JM was 89.5 yuan/ton [2]. Steel - **Market Situation**: During the May Day holiday, most domestic steel spot markets were closed, and a few areas and varieties tried to increase prices. As of May 5, the price of billets in Tangshan increased by 20 yuan to 2970 yuan/ton, and the price of finished products remained stable. The steel inventory is in a seasonal decline stage, and the export indicators have not shown a significant weakening trend. The current high steel production corresponds to moderate demand, and the market shows a situation of "not bad in reality but poor in expectation" [4]. Coking Coal and Coke - **Spot Market**: Before the holiday, some steel mills lowered the base price of top - charged coke by 20 yuan, and the second round of price increase was temporarily shelved. The coking coal auction had many unsuccessful bids, and the transaction price mainly decreased. During the holiday, the port customs clearance of Mongolian coal was on holiday, which may lead to further inventory reduction, but considering the sufficient supply of Mongolian coal, the customs clearance is likely to recover after the inventory in the supervision area decreases [5]. - **Futures Market**: During the holiday, most overseas industrial products fell due to concerns about insufficient demand. Although there are signals of negotiation between China and the US and the possibility of tariff relaxation, the trade war is still ongoing. The demand in the black market in May needs to be verified. The steel supply - demand was good before the holiday, but the price increase was still weak. In the future, the terminal demand is likely to weaken in May, and the supply policy has great uncertainty [5]. Ferroalloy - **Production Situation**: During the holiday, the weekly output of manganese - silicon decreased slightly, and that of silicon - iron remained stable. The supply - demand of silicon - iron is tight, and the production reduction in the production area is large. Manganese - silicon is still in a surplus state, and it is difficult for some factories to reduce production [6]. - **Cost and Price**: During the holiday, the cost did not change significantly. Manganese ore prices are under pressure from high supply, chemical coke is stable, and the price of raw coal for semi - coke has a small increase. The alloy price matches the current supply - demand and valuation, and silicon - iron has a low valuation [6]. Iron Ore - **Supply and Demand**: The total iron ore shipment remained stable, and the Australian shipment decreased significantly this period. The subsequent arrival volume will also remain stable. The steel mill's molten iron output increased significantly this period, reaching 244.35 tons per day (+4.23), and it is expected to be at a high - level shock in the next three weeks. The steel export situation has not weakened [7]. - **Valuation and Trading Strategy**: The short - term valuation of iron ore is relatively low, but the expectation of production control restricts the market valuation. After a sharp drop during the holiday, the price has basically recovered. It is not recommended to hold long single - side positions, but positive spreads can be used when molten iron is at a high level [7].

2025 年 5 月 6 日 硅铁：黑色板块共振，硅铁偏弱震荡 锰硅：矿端信息扰动，锰硅偏弱震荡 李亚飞 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0021184 liyafei2@gtht.com 金园园（联系人） 期货从业资格号：F03134630 jinyuanyuan2@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 硅铁、锰硅基本面数据 | | 期货合约 | 收盘价 | 较前一交易日 | 成交量 | 持仓量 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 硅铁2506 | 5590 | -18 | 134,883 | 121,753 | | 期货 | 硅铁2509 | 5630 | -34 | 29,585 | 108,313 | | | 锰硅2506 | 5688 | -12 | 59,086 | 40,368 | | | 锰硅2509 | 5752 | -6 | 209,287 | 415,119 | | | 项目 | | 价格 | 较前一交易日 | 单位 | | | 硅铁:FeSi75-B:汇总价格:内蒙 | | 5550 | - | 元/吨 | | 现货 | 硅锰:FeMn65Si17 ...

铁合金早报 | | | | | | | | | | 2025/4/30 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 项目 | | 现货 | | 仓单 | | 盘面 | | | | | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 出厂价折盘面 | 最新 | | 日变化 | 周变化 | | 硅铁自然块 | 宁夏#72 | 5550 | 0 | 0 | 5850 | 主力合约 | 5608 | -40 | -58 | | | 内蒙#72 | 5550 | 0 | -50 | 5900 | 01合约 | 5708 | -52 | -76 | | 产区汇总价 | 青海#72 | 5550 | 0 | 0 | 5880 | 05合约 | 5588 | -32 | -116 | | | 陕西#72 | 5500 | 0 | 0 | 5830 | 09合约 | 5664 | -38 | -68 | | | 陕西#75 | 6000 | 0 | -50 | | 主力月基差 | 242 | 40 | 58 | | 硅铁合格块 | 江苏#7 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - For silicon manganese, the industry fundamentals have not improved significantly, cost - end support is insufficient, and high inventory suppresses price increases. The market may continue to seek a bottom and is expected to be weak in the short term, with the main contract reference range of [5600, 6000] [5] - For silicon iron, the supply - demand contradiction is gradually alleviating, the industry's production reduction progress is accelerating, but the inventory level is still relatively high. The market may continue to seek a bottom and is expected to be weak in the short term, with the main contract reference range of [5400, 5850] [46] 3. Summary according to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Silicon Manganese 3.1.1 Supply and Demand Analysis - Supply: In April, production and operating rates declined significantly. It is expected that the total silicon manganese output in April will be around 810,000 tons. Although the production decline in each production area has slowed down compared with the previous period, the daily average output in Inner Mongolia is still at a relatively high level in the same period, and the operating rate in Yunnan is also at a high level in the same period [4][18] - Demand: In April, the substantial increase in hot metal production provided rigid support for the demand for silicon manganese. However, in steel tenders, the procurement prices of mainstream steel mills decreased, and the overall price - pressing sentiment was strong. Recently, news of production cuts has disturbed the market [4] 3.1.2 Manganese Ore Overview - Price: Manganese ore prices have not stopped falling, and the decline of oxide ore is obvious. Although the inquiry enthusiasm at ports has increased recently, the overall purchasing mentality is still cautious [4] - Inventory: Port inventory has continued to rise but is still at a historically low level. The arrival volume in April increased significantly, and the floating volume at sea surged. It is expected that large ships will arrive at ports in mid - to - late May, and the inventory may return to the normal range [4] 3.1.3 Cost and Profit - The entire industry is still in a loss state, and there are still expectations for production cuts. Special attention should be paid to the production reduction progress in Inner Mongolia and Ningxia. Coke's second - round price increase was blocked, and the coke price is expected to be weak. The electricity prices in the north and south production areas have decreased to varying degrees, and there is an expectation of a decrease in Ningxia's electricity price [4] 3.1.4 Market Review - In April, the silicon manganese futures price continued to decline, and the spot price followed the decline. As of April 28, 2025, the closing price of the silicon manganese 509 contract was 5804 yuan/ton, with a cumulative decline of 6.66% compared with the beginning of the month; the price range of Inner Mongolia 6517 was 5680 - 5900 yuan/ton, with a cumulative decrease of 220 yuan/ton [6] 3.2 Silicon Iron 3.2.1 Supply and Demand Analysis - Supply: In April, the production and operating rates decreased significantly. It is expected that the national output in April will be 430,000 - 440,000 tons. Since the end of March, news of factory production cuts and shutdowns has been continuously reported, and production area shutdowns and overhauls have gradually increased since mid - April [45] - Demand: With the repair of steel mill profits, blast furnaces have been actively restarted, and hot metal production has increased more than expected. In April, steel tenders progressed slowly, and most steel mills' tender prices decreased to varying degrees compared with the previous round. Non - steel demand remained stable, and downstream pre - holiday restocking was mainly based on demand - based procurement. The cumulative silicon iron export volume from January to March decreased significantly year - on - year [45] 3.2.2 Cost and Profit - The semi - coke market has been stable recently. The price of lump coal in the raw material end has declined, weakening the cost support for semi - coke. The overall operating rate of semi - coke enterprises is low, and they have entered the regular maintenance season, with the overall supply continuing to shrink. The price of small materials in Shaanxi has not changed significantly this month. The electricity price in Inner Mongolia was reduced by 0.015 yuan in mid - April, and there is an expectation of a decrease in Ningxia's electricity price [45] 3.2.3 Market Review - In April, the silicon iron futures price continued to decline, and the spot price followed the decline. As of April 28, 2025, the closing price of the silicon iron 506 contract was 5648 yuan/ton, and the silicon iron 72 in Inner Mongolia was in the price range of 5550 - 5700 yuan/ton, with a cumulative decrease of 150 yuan/ton [49]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View The report indicates that silicon ferroalloy is experiencing low - level oscillations due to the resonance of the black sector, while manganese ferroalloy is also in a low - level oscillation state affected by information disturbances from the ore end [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Data**: Silicon ferroalloy futures contracts 2506 and 2509 closed at 5608 and 5664 respectively, down 40 and 38 from the previous trading day. Manganese ferroalloy futures contracts 2506 and 2509 closed at 5700 and 5758 respectively, down 46 from the previous trading day [1]. - **Spot Data**: The price of silicon ferroalloy FeSi75 - B in Inner Mongolia was 5550 yuan/ton, and the price of silicon manganese FeMn65Si17 in Inner Mongolia was 5680 yuan/ton. The price of manganese ore Mn44 block was 37.0 yuan/ton degree, and the price of semi - coke small material in Shenmu was 620 yuan/ton [1]. - **Spread Data**: The spot - futures spread of silicon ferroalloy (spot - 06 futures) was - 58 yuan/ton, up 40; the spot - futures spread of manganese ferroalloy (spot - 09 futures) was - 78 yuan/ton, up 46. The near - far month spread of silicon ferroalloy 2506 - 2509 was - 56 yuan/ton, down 2; the near - far month spread of manganese ferroalloy 2506 - 2509 was - 58 yuan/ton, unchanged. The cross - variety spread of manganese ferroalloy 2506 - silicon ferroalloy 2506 was 92 yuan/ton, down 6; the cross - variety spread of manganese ferroalloy 2509 - silicon ferroalloy 2509 was 94 yuan/ton, down 8 [1]. 3.2 Macro and Industry News - **Price Information**: On April 29, the price of 72 silicon ferroalloy in Shaanxi was 5400 - 5500 yuan/ton (down 50), and the price of 75 silicon ferroalloy in Shaanxi was 6000 - 6100 yuan/ton. The mainstream price of 6517 silicon manganese was in the range of 5600 - 5800 yuan/ton [1][3]. - **Production and Capacity**: In April, the operating rate of silicon ferroalloy enterprises in Inner Mongolia was 80.99%, up 0.82% from March, with an estimated output of 15.88 tons, up 0.52 tons from March. The operating rate of silicon ferroalloy enterprises in Gansu was 36.11%, down 12.46% from March, with an estimated output of 3.72 tons, down 1.71 tons from March. In April, 7 ferromanganese slag blast furnaces in Liaoning were in production, unchanged from the previous month; 4 in Ningxia, down 1 from the previous month; 7 in Gansu, unchanged from the previous month; and 4 in Inner Mongolia, unchanged from the previous month [1][3]. - **Manganese Ore Supply**: South32's Australian manganese ore is ready to resume shipments. The first shipment is expected to load at Groote Eylandt, indicating that normal production and export may resume soon. In May, the first batch of manganese ore arriving at the port will be mostly supplied to long - term strategic customers, with index - based pricing, and there is no plan to sell through the open market for now [3]. 3.3 Trend Strength The trend strength of silicon ferroalloy is 0, and the trend strength of manganese ferroalloy is also 0, indicating a neutral outlook [4].