Core Insights - The asphalt futures business spans the entire industry chain, including upstream production, midstream trading, and downstream applications, with significant roles played by refineries, traders, and large enterprises [1] - The asphalt market is currently facing weak supply and demand, leading to price fluctuations and financial pressures on refineries and traders [3] - A case study of Company C illustrates effective risk management through basis trading and spot distribution, enhancing trade profits while alleviating financial strain [2][4] Industry Overview - Upstream production primarily involves refineries dealing with crude oil and fuel oil, employing a "lock raw materials and sell forward" strategy [1] - Midstream trading sees traders and futures merchants engaging in arbitrage and hedging, while downstream procurement is dominated by large enterprises using buy hedging strategies [1] - The asphalt futures market is crucial for price risk hedging and speculative opportunities, with increasing sensitivity of the spot market to financial market dynamics [1] Market Dynamics - Asphalt prices are influenced by various factors, including crude oil price movements, supply-demand conditions, and seasonal demand variations [1] - The current market scenario shows a significant reliance on Shandong's local refineries, which account for approximately 60% of the national asphalt supply [2] Company C's Strategy - Company C, a trading entity, utilized a basis trading model in collaboration with a futures company's risk management subsidiary to mitigate financial and inventory pressures [2][4] - In January 2024, the risk management subsidiary locked in a price of 3,500 CNY/ton for 20,000 tons of asphalt, anticipating a rebound in prices despite weak demand [4] Results and Impact - From March to May 2024, the market behaved as expected, with stable spot prices and weakening futures, leading to a widening basis [5] - By the end of May, Company C successfully reduced capital occupation and transferred inventory risk while repurchasing asphalt at a lower market price [5] - This case exemplifies the diverse and effective services that futures can provide to the real economy, benefiting both buyers and sellers in the asphalt industry [5]

茂化实华（000637）公告，2025年第一季度营业收入7.88亿元，同比下降34.00%。净亏损3506.79万 元，去年同期净亏损4398.72万元。 ...

文 /高歌 之外，二季度宏观层面将要应对的另一个压力。 一季度开门红，基于当前的经济增长成果，甘肃将重大项目作为短期内的增长引擎，为实现全年既定 目标需要进一步压实基础。甘肃省二季度计划聚焦"两重""两新"领域加强重大项目谋划储备；抓住 二季度施工黄金期，加速形成更多实物工作量；规范推进政府和社会资本合作新机制，激发民间投资 活力等。 稳存量，抢增量。长期 而言 ，甘肃仍需要在产业焕新、消费回暖、培育增量等内生因素方面下足功 夫。同时抓住扩内需、稳外贸的政策机遇，在共建"一带一路"国家进出口方面承担更重要的角色。 01 "两重"项目挑大梁 去年四季度以来，一揽子增量政策开始显效扭转经济下滑趋势、推动经济企稳回升。反映至经济表 现，今年一季度国内经济总体延续了去年四季度以来的回升势头，更加积极的财政政策加码效果最为 明显。 一季度财政前置发力，结合社融数据来看，1-3月政府债净融资3.87 万亿，比2024年同期高出 2.51万亿元（其中有一些是要置换的），广义财政支持也呈现温和上升趋势。 今年一季度国民经济开局良好，初步核算，一季度国内生产总值318758亿元，按不变价格计算，同 比增长5.4%。除经济大省继 ...

大越期货：预计燃料油价格继续随势震荡 由于本周下游船燃需求相对稳定，亚洲低硫燃料油市场结构维持在当前水平附近，而贸易商预计5月东 西方套利到货量减少将在短期内支撑市场基本面。贸易商表示，尽管新加坡整体库存水平较高，但符合 规格的现货供应有限，预计短期内市场将延续温和上行趋势。高硫方面，高硫燃料油市场目前受益于中 东夏季发电需求改善预期的支撑，不过贸易商指出，下游船燃需求疲软及原料采购需求低迷仍将持续施 压高硫市场。新加坡现货市场仍有大量高硫燃料油船货待售，且来自中东货源将在4月底陆续抵达，不 过5月到港量或将减少。原油价格或呈现震荡的态势，预计燃料油价格继续随势震荡。操作上：高硫短 线2900-31050区间操作，低硫短线3350-3550区间操作。 西南期货：燃料油走势料震荡偏强 第二季度末亚洲高硫燃料油市场通常会进入季节性需求旺季，因为中东地区的发电需求达到高峰。超低 硫燃料油市场稳中坚挺，因为供应和需求基本面趋于平衡，市场商家关注来自亚洲外的供应。亚洲地区 的低硫燃料油供应有限，因为炼油厂检修以及炼油利润不佳产量减少。韩国的部分炼油商正考虑购买船 用燃料油。中石油公司装运了13万吨4月初从巴西装船的含硫 ...

Economic Overview - The province's GDP reached 190.42 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.0% [1] - The primary industry added value was 39.35 billion yuan, growing by 4.8%; the secondary industry added value was 29.23 billion yuan, growing by 8.0%; and the tertiary industry added value was 121.84 billion yuan, growing by 2.9% [1] Agriculture - Agricultural production showed positive trends, with total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery at 61.08 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.1% [2] - Key agricultural products saw significant growth, with vegetable production up 3.2% and fruit production up 3.3%, particularly pineapples and mangoes, which grew by 19.8% and 3.1% respectively [2] - Livestock production also increased, with pig output up 1.1% and poultry output up 4.2% [2] - Aquaculture production rose by 7.9%, with marine and freshwater aquaculture increasing by 11.2% and 11.9% respectively [2] Industry - Industrial production accelerated, with a year-on-year increase of 9.7% in the first quarter, 2.3 percentage points higher than the previous year [3] - The processing industry benefited from free trade port policies, with significant growth in petroleum, coal, and other fuel processing industries, which saw a 26.7% increase [3] - The oil and gas extraction industry grew by 28.0%, while the agricultural and sideline food processing industry surged by 50.4% [3] - Production of automobiles, transformers, and optical fibers increased by 782.4%, 5.1%, and 28.8% respectively [3] Services - The service sector continued to recover, with a year-on-year increase of 2.9% in the first quarter [4] - Wholesale and retail trade grew by 4.7%, while transportation, warehousing, and postal services increased by 8.5% [4] - Real estate transactions became more active, with new commercial housing sales area increasing by 19.4% [4] - The total service import and export value reached 15.96 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.8%, with exports growing by 47.3% [4] Investment - Fixed asset investment decreased by 1.2%, but construction and installation investment grew by 6.1% [5] - Infrastructure investment (excluding electricity, gas, and water supply) surged by 26.8%, significantly higher than the overall investment growth rate [5] - Public service investment increased by 43.1%, with first industry investment growing by 91.8% [5] Consumer Market - Retail sales of consumer goods totaled 64.96 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.2% [6] - Sales of basic living goods performed well, with food and beverage retail sales increasing by 17.4% and 11.6% respectively [6] - The promotion of replacing old goods with new ones led to significant sales growth in various categories, including home appliances and furniture [6] Income and Prices - Per capita disposable income reached 9,803 yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.5% [7] - Consumer prices slightly decreased by 0.4%, with specific categories showing varied price changes [8] Environmental Quality - The province maintained a good environmental quality, with an air quality excellent rate of 96.4% [9] - Water quality in urban water sources met standards at a rate of 100% [9] - Clean energy generation, particularly wind and hydropower, saw significant growth [9]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - Oil prices experienced slight fluctuations as of April 25, 2025, with Brent and WTI prices at $65.80 and $63.02 per barrel respectively [7][22] - OPEC+ may accelerate the exit from voluntary production cuts in June, raising concerns about supply increases [7] - Kazakhstan's energy minister indicated that national interests would take precedence over OPEC+ interests, further intensifying supply concerns [7] - The market faces multiple uncertainties, including tariffs and geopolitical tensions involving the US, Iran, and Russia-Ukraine negotiations [7] Oil Price Summary - As of April 25, 2025, Brent crude futures settled at $65.80 per barrel, down $0.46 (-0.69%) from the previous week; WTI crude futures settled at $63.02 per barrel, up $0.61 (+0.98%) [22] - Russian Urals crude spot price remained stable at $65.49 per barrel, while Russian ESPO crude price decreased by $0.32 (-0.51%) to $62.28 per barrel [22] Offshore Drilling Services - As of April 21, 2025, the number of global offshore self-elevating drilling rigs was 381, an increase of 1 from the previous week; the number of floating drilling rigs was 141, also up by 1 [26] US Oil Supply - As of April 18, 2025, US crude oil production was 13.46 million barrels per day, a decrease of 0.02 million barrels per day from the previous week [42] - The number of active drilling rigs in the US increased by 2 to 483 as of April 25, 2025 [42] - The number of fracturing fleets in the US rose by 5 to 205 as of April 25, 2025 [42] US Oil Demand - As of April 18, 2025, US refinery crude oil processing volume was 15.89 million barrels per day, an increase of 325,000 barrels per day from the previous week, with a refinery utilization rate of 88.10%, up 1.8 percentage points [53] US Oil Inventory - As of April 18, 2025, total US crude oil inventory was 841 million barrels, an increase of 712,000 barrels (+0.08%) from the previous week [64] - Strategic oil inventory was 397 million barrels, up 468,000 barrels (+0.12%); commercial crude oil inventory was 443 million barrels, up 244,000 barrels (+0.06%) [64] Related Companies - Key companies in the industry include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), and China National Petroleum Corporation (PetroChina) [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Neutral" as the industry index is expected to be in line with the benchmark [128] Core Viewpoints - Concerns over tariffs persist, leading to weakened downstream demand in the refining sector [1] - The Brent crude oil average price for the week ending April 25, 2025, was $66.54 per barrel, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.39% [1][2] - Domestic and international refining project price differentials are being closely monitored, with domestic projects showing a decrease of 0.99% and international projects increasing by 1.63% [2] Summary by Sections Refining Sector - The refining sector is experiencing volatility due to geopolitical tensions and OPEC production adjustments, with Brent and WTI prices at $66.87 and $63.02 per barrel respectively [1][15] - Domestic refined oil prices have generally decreased, while overseas prices have seen some increases [1] - The stock performance of six major private refining companies varied, with notable increases for companies like Dongfang Shenghong (+7.59%) and Rongsheng Petrochemical (+2.24%) over the past week [1][116] Chemical Sector - Chemical products are facing price declines due to tariff impacts, with polyethylene demand remaining weak and prices for polypropylene also decreasing [1][56] - The price of MMA has decreased slightly, while the price of styrene has seen a minor increase due to reduced inventory levels [1][56] Polyester Sector - The polyester sector is still affected by tariffs, with weak demand leading to price declines in polyester filament [1][96] - PX prices have shown a slight increase, while MEG prices continue to decline [1][87][98] Price Differentials - As of April 25, 2025, the domestic refining project price differential was 2303.99 CNY/ton, down by 22.98 CNY/ton, while the international differential was 945.20 CNY/ton, up by 15.16 CNY/ton [2]

Group 1 - The State Intellectual Property Office of China has published a patent application by China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) for a method and device for controlling the feed rate of a heating furnace, aimed at preventing premature coking and insufficient heating in the furnace [1] - The patent application, titled "Storage Medium, Feed Rate Control Method, Device and Equipment for Heating Furnace," was filed on October 2023 and includes a three-dimensional thermodynamic model for optimizing feed rate parameters [1] - The invention is expected to enhance the control effectiveness of heating furnaces, which is crucial for operational efficiency in the petrochemical industry [1] Group 2 - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, established in 2000, is primarily engaged in the petroleum, coal, and other fuel processing industries, with a registered capital of approximately 12.17 billion RMB [2] - The company has made investments in 256 enterprises and participated in 5,000 bidding projects, holding 45 trademark registrations and 5,000 patent records [2] - Sinopec (Dalian) Petrochemical Research Institute, founded in 2022, focuses on research and experimental development, with a registered capital of approximately 338.46 million RMB and has participated in 695 bidding projects [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - Last week, asphalt production increased slightly, and terminal demand recovered seasonally. Some refineries fulfilled contracts at the end of the month, boosting overall shipments. However, demand recovery was slow amidst increased production, leading to inventory accumulation. With rising and stabilizing temperatures in the north and the absence of the rainy season in the south, road construction conditions have improved, and demand is expected to continue rising under the catch - up construction expectations in the final year of the 14th Five - Year Plan. Currently, the asphalt crack spread is at a high level, with limited upside potential. It may fluctuate under the continuous rebound of crude oil. It is advisable to wait and see. The reference support for BU2506 is 3000, and the pressure is 3600 [5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Supply - **Profit**: The asphalt crack spread decreased. The profit of independent refineries' atmospheric and vacuum distillation units decreased, while that of major refineries increased. The production profit of asphalt decreased [4][6][8]. - **Capacity Utilization**: The capacity utilization rates of both independent and major refineries slightly decreased. However, the stable production of Xinjiang Tianze, Qilu Petrochemical, CNOOC Sichuan, and Yunnan Petrochemical, along with the resumption of asphalt production at Jiangsu Xinhai and Henan Fengli, increased the overall capacity utilization and production [4][8][19]. - **Production**: As of the 16th, the Longzhong petroleum asphalt operating rate was 28.7%, a 4% increase from the previous period. The large - sample production was 492,000 tons, a 13,000 - ton (2.7%) increase [19]. Demand - **Shipment Volume**: The weekly shipment volume increased, mainly in Shandong. The shipment volume of 54 samples reached 367,100 tons, a 14.6% increase. Shandong's shipment volume increased significantly due to the resumption of asphalt production at Shandong Dongming Petrochemical and the fulfillment of contracts by some refineries. In contrast, the shipment volume in the Northeast decreased significantly due to the impact of falling international oil prices on downstream purchasing enthusiasm [19]. - **Modified Asphalt Operating Rate**: Last week, the operating rates of downstream rubber shoe materials, road modified asphalt, and waterproofing membranes remained flat at 23.33%, 20%, and 32% respectively. Currently, the operating rates of various modified asphalts have basically returned to seasonal levels but are still relatively low compared to historical periods. The capacity utilization rate of 69 modified asphalt plants was 6.4%, a 1.1% increase. The resumption of work in the modified asphalt industry accelerated intermittently, especially in the north where good weather boosted production enthusiasm, while the south showed a slow increase [33]. Inventory - The weekly factory inventory, social inventory, and total inventory all increased. As of the 14th, the inventory of 54 Longzhong asphalt factories was 917,000 tons, a 0.8% (7500 - ton) increase. Except for Shandong, inventories increased in all regions, with the largest increase in the Northeast due to slow downstream demand. The inventory of 76 social warehouses was 1.393 million tons, a 1.2% (16,000 - ton) increase, mainly in Central China due to concentrated stocking by some traders [22].

前十大流通股东累计持有： 8830.65万股，累计占流通股比： 68.12%，较上期变化： -244.17万股。 | 名称 持有数量(万股) | | 占总股本比例 | 增减情况(万 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | (%) | 股) | | 中国石油大庆石油化工有限公司 | 7133.97 | 55.03 | 不变 | | 大庆高新国有资产运营有限公司 | 1098.09 | 8.47 | 不变 | | 全国社保基金六零四组合 | 145.75 | 1.12 | 新进 | | 李永良 | 83.74 | 0.65 | 新进 | | 王琼 | 74.57 | 0.58 | 新进 | | 周顺东 | 66.50 | 0.51 | -34.08 | | 张彪 | 64.14 | 0.49 | 新进 | | 磐厚动量(上海)资本管理有限公司-磐厚动量-旅行者2 | | | | | 号私募基金 | 58.37 | 0.45 | 新进 | | 侯盾 | 55.52 | 0.43 | -146.14 | | 荣海翠 | 50.00 | 0.39 | 新进 | | 较上个报告期退出前十大股东 ...