Group 1: Chemical Industry Performance - The chemical raw materials index increased by 4.45%, the chemical machinery index rose by 2.16%, the chemical pharmaceuticals index grew by 0.94%, and the pesticide and fertilizer index surged by 5.43% during the week of July 21 to 25 [1] - The oil processing index increased by 3.53%, while the oil extraction index decreased by 1.86%, and the oil trading index rose by 1.20% [1] Group 2: Oil Price Trends - As of July 25, the WTI crude oil futures settled at $65.16 per barrel, down 3.24% from July 18, while Brent crude oil futures settled at $68.44 per barrel, down 1.21% from July 18 [1] Group 3: Petrochemical Product Price Changes - The top five petrochemical products with price increases were Vitamin D3 (up 12.12%), battery-grade lithium carbonate (up 11.62%), organic silicon DMC (up 11.61%), raw rubber (up 9.76%), and 107 glue (up 8.33%) [1] - The top five petrochemical products with price decreases were Atrazine (down 14.73%), methyl acrylate (down 9.47%), hydrochloric acid (down 6.32%), cracked carbon nine (down 5.84%), and folic acid (down 5.66%) [1] Group 4: Capital Market Performance of Chemical Companies - The top five performing listed chemical companies were Shangwei New Materials (up 97.37%), Yokogawa Precision (up 64.42%), Poly United (up 52.73%), Gaozheng Mining Explosives (up 39.83%), and Subote (up 31.83%) [2] - The bottom five performing listed chemical companies were Pioneer New Materials (down 11.67%), Dazhongnan (down 9.90%), Qide New Materials (down 9.61%), Yueyang Xingchang (down 9.38%), and Qingdao Jinwang (down 8.50%) [2]

沥青期货早报 2025年7月29日 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号：F3048432 投资咨询证：Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 1 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议 。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 目 录 1 每日观点 2 基本面/持仓数据 每日观点 交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 供给端来看，根据隆众，2025年7月份国内沥青总计划排产量为253.9万吨，环比增幅5.9%, 同比增幅23.4%。本周国内石油沥青样本产能利用率为30.9204%，环比减少3.36个百分 点，全国样本企业出货26.9万吨，环比增加8.03%,样本企业产量为51.6万吨，环比减少 9.79%,样本企业装置检修量预估为64.2万吨，环比增加11.85%,本周炼厂有所减产，降低 供应压力。下周或将增加供给压力。 需求端来看，重交沥青开工率为28.8%，环比减少0.12个百分点，低于历史平均水平；建筑 沥青开工率为18.2%，环比持平，低于历史平均水平；改性沥青开 ...

Group 1 - Domestic refined oil price adjustment is expected to be suspended, with the new adjustment window opening on July 29. This year, there have been fourteen rounds of price adjustments, resulting in six increases, six decreases, and two suspensions. After adjustments, the domestic gasoline and diesel prices have decreased by 225 yuan and 215 yuan per ton compared to the end of last year. If this round is suspended, the adjustment pattern will change to six increases, six decreases, and three suspensions by 2025 [1] Group 2 - A total of 347.52 billion yuan in market value of restricted stocks will be unlocked today, with 13 companies having a total of 5.65 billion shares released. Four companies have more than 10 million shares unlocked, with Huada Jiutian, Xinghuo Technology, and Changrun Co., Ltd. leading in terms of unlocked shares at 281 million, 146 million, and 110 million shares respectively. In terms of market value, Huada Jiutian, Changrun Co., Ltd., and Xinghuo Technology have the highest unlocked values at 30.899 billion yuan, 1.856 billion yuan, and 1.184 billion yuan respectively [4]

墨西哥国家石油公司（PEMEX）第二季度原油加工量为98.7万桶/日，同比增长11%。 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment view of the asphalt industry is "oscillation", with a short - term trading strategy of "oscillation" for the single - side and an arbitrage strategy of paying attention to the 9 - 12 reverse spread [3]. Core View of the Report - The supply and demand of asphalt both increase, and there is no significant contradiction in its own supply - demand relationship, so it follows the trend of crude oil. The short - term supply - demand contradiction is not prominent, and it will move in line with crude oil [3]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Main Views and Strategy Overview - **Supply**: The asphalt production plan of local refineries in August 2025 is tentatively set at around 1.26 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 250,000 tons (27%) and a month - on - month increase of 60,000 tons (5%). The total asphalt production of local refineries from January to August 2025 is expected to be about 8.89 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 1.11 million tons (14%). The supply of imported asphalt is expected to shrink, supporting the import price. [3] - **Demand**: The release of demand falls short of expectations. Overall capital issues, the northern flood season, and the southern rainy season suppress demand. The downstream construction in the north is gradually recovering, while there is no obvious improvement in the south. The total shipment volume of 54 domestic asphalt enterprises this week is 415,000 tons, a slight month - on - month increase of 0.2%. [3] - **Inventory**: The factory inventory decreased significantly this week, from 773,000 tons last Thursday to 723,000 tons this Thursday. The social inventory increased slightly, from 1.827 million tons last Thursday to 1.857 million tons this Thursday. [3] - **Cost**: The current crude oil market is in an adjustment period after intense geopolitical fluctuations. In the short term, the market is likely to move sideways with support below and limited upside. In the medium term, it is unfavorable for the bulls. [3] 2. Price - The report presents the mainstream market prices of heavy - traffic asphalt in regions such as East China, South China, North China, and Shandong, as well as the import prices from South Korea and Singapore [5][12]. 3. Spread, Basis, and Delivery Profit - The report shows the trends of asphalt cracking spread, asphalt - coker feedstock spread, and the basis in major regions [17][21]. 4. Supply - **Scheduled Production Expectation**: It shows the monthly scheduled production and actual production of asphalt in China from 2025 - 01 to 2025 - 08, as well as the production in different regions in recent years [25]. - **Capacity Utilization**: It presents the capacity utilization rates of heavy - traffic asphalt in China and different regions from 2019 to 2025, and the weekly and monthly maintenance loss volumes of asphalt in China from 2018 to 2025 [34][40]. 5. Cost and Profit - It shows the production gross profit of asphalt in Shandong from 2021 to 2025, and the price, premium, and port inventory of diluted asphalt [43][46]. 6. Inventory - **Factory Inventory**: It shows the factory inventory and inventory rate of asphalt in China and different regions from 2019 to 2025 [51][54]. - **Social Inventory**: It shows the social inventory of asphalt in China and different regions from 2022 to 2025 [57]. 7. Demand - **Shipment Volume**: It shows the shipment volumes of asphalt in China and different regions from 2022 to 2025 [60]. - **Downstream Operating Rate**: It shows the operating rates of road - modified asphalt, modified asphalt, building asphalt, waterproofing membranes, and modified asphalt in different regions in recent years [62][66][69].

Core Insights - Suzhou has entered the "trillion club" with seven private enterprises achieving over 100 billion yuan in revenue, showcasing the vitality of its private economy [1][2] - The "2025 Suzhou Top 100 Private Enterprises" list reflects the robust growth of private enterprises in Suzhou, with total revenue reaching 37,457.36 billion yuan, a 6.82% increase from the previous year [2][3] - The private sector in Suzhou contributes significantly to the local economy, accounting for over 60% of tax revenue and 80% of urban employment [3][4] Group 1: Company Performance - Seven companies in Suzhou reported revenues exceeding 100 billion yuan, with Hengli Group leading at 871.52 billion yuan [2] - The revenue threshold for the list was set at 3.32 billion yuan, with an average revenue of 374.57 million yuan per company [2] - The total tax contribution from these enterprises was 90.71 billion yuan, averaging 9.07 million yuan per company [2] Group 2: Industry Distribution - The top companies span various sectors, including petroleum processing, electronics manufacturing, and internet services, indicating a diverse economic landscape [3] - Manufacturing firms dominate the list with 65 companies, highlighting Suzhou's strength in this sector [3] - The rise of internet and emerging industries reflects the successful economic transformation in Suzhou [3] Group 3: Economic Environment - Suzhou has improved its business environment, recognized as a top investment destination in China, and has received accolades from the World Bank and Forbes [4] - The city has focused on modern enterprise systems and enhancing core competitiveness, contributing to high-quality economic development [4] - Continuous policy support and a favorable business climate have attracted both domestic and international investments [4][8] Group 4: National Trends - Nationwide, the number of private enterprises with revenues exceeding 100 billion yuan has increased to 97, up from 56 in 2019, indicating a significant expansion [6][7] - The private sector's innovation capabilities have improved, with many companies leading in technology and industry upgrades [7] - Recent policies have aimed to bolster private enterprises, with notable growth in infrastructure and manufacturing investments [8]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core View The report focuses on the asphalt market, showing that the asphalt market is experiencing slow shipments and repeated fluctuations. The current trend strength is neutral, and the market is following the oil price to fluctuate within a range, while regional spot price differences are stabilizing with fluctuations. 3. Content Summary by Section 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Data**: - BU2508 yesterday's closing price was 3,641 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 0.17%, and the overnight closing price was 3,620 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.58%. The trading volume was 391 lots, a decrease of 733 lots, and the open interest was 3,570 lots, a decrease of 87 lots. - BU2509 yesterday's closing price was 3,615 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 0.36%, and the overnight closing price was 3,591 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.66%. The trading volume was 205,894 lots, an increase of 38,916 lots, and the open interest was 171,367 lots, a decrease of 15,043 lots. - The total market asphalt warehouse receipts were 82,180 lots, a decrease of 120 lots [1]. - **Spread Data**: - The basis (Shandong - 08) was 139 yuan/ton, a decrease of 11 yuan from the previous day. - The 08 - 09 inter - period spread was 26 yuan/ton, a decrease of 7 yuan from the previous day. - The Shandong - South China spread was 190, a decrease of 5 from the previous day. - The East China - South China spread was 190 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day [1]. - **Spot Market Data**: - The Shandong wholesale price was 3,780 yuan/ton, a decrease of 5 yuan, with the factory - warehouse spot equivalent to the futures price of 3,913 yuan/ton and the warehouse spot equivalent to the futures price of 4,058 yuan/ton. - The Yangtze River Delta wholesale price was 3,780 yuan/ton, unchanged, with the factory - warehouse spot equivalent to the futures price of 3,701 yuan/ton and the warehouse spot equivalent to the futures price of 3,739 yuan/ton. - As of July 24, the refinery operating rate was 31.95%, a decrease of 1.29% from July 21, and the refinery inventory rate was 25.10%, a decrease of 0.79% from July 21 [1]. 3.2 Market Information - **Production Data**: In the week of 20250718 - 20250724, the domestic weekly asphalt production was 51.7 million tons, a 1.5% decrease from the previous week and a 12.1% increase year - on - year. The cumulative production from January to July was 1,755.4 million tons, a 7.7% increase year - on - year [14]. - **Inventory Data**: - As of July 24, 2025, the total inventory of 54 domestic asphalt sample factories was 72.3 million tons, a 4.0% decrease from July 21. The East China region had the largest de - stocking amplitude. - As of July 24, 2025, the total inventory of 104 domestic asphalt social warehouses was 185.7 million tons, a 0.1% decrease from July 21. The East China region's social warehouses had obvious de - stocking [14]. 3.3 Trend Strength The asphalt trend strength is 0, indicating a neutral view, with the strength range from - 2 (most bearish) to 2 (most bullish) [9].

Group 1: Report Overview - Report Title: Fuel Oil Weekly Report (July 21 - July 25) [2] - Author: Jin Zebin from the Investment Consulting Department of Dayue Futures [2] - Contact Information: 0575 - 85226759 [2] Group 2: Investment Rating - No investment rating provided in the report Group 3: Core Viewpoints - Last week, international crude oil showed a range - bound oscillation, with the weekly average price down. Fuel oil prices mainly oscillated downward, with high - sulfur fuel oil closing at 2836 yuan/ton, down 2.61% weekly, and low - sulfur fuel oil closing at 3544 yuan/ton, down 2.48% weekly [5] - The Asian low - sulfur fuel oil market structure declined slightly due to sufficient immediate supply and relatively weak downstream demand. Singapore is expected to receive 210 - 220 tons of low - sulfur fuel oil from the West in July, higher than 170 - 180 tons in June. The low - sulfur fuel oil market fundamentals are still suppressed by sufficient supply in the short term [5] - In the high - sulfur market, with continuous oversupply, the spot price difference of 380CST high - sulfur fuel oil has fallen to the largest discount level in more than five years. The summer power generation demand in South Asian countries has not supported the high - sulfur market, and the monsoon rainfall has alleviated the high - temperature weather. The Asian high - sulfur fuel oil market faces the dual pressures of sufficient supply and seasonal weakening of power generation demand [5] - International crude oil prices may oscillate in a small range, and fuel oil prices are expected to continue narrow - range fluctuations. The operation suggestions are to trade high - sulfur fuel oil in the 2780 - 2950 range and low - sulfur fuel oil in the 3500 - 3650 range [5] Group 4: Periodic and Spot Prices Futures Prices | | FU Main Contract | LU Main Contract | | --- | --- | --- | | Previous Value | 2883 | 3631 | | Current Value | 2904 | 3578 | | Change | 21 | - 53 | | Change Rate | 0.72% | - 1.47% | [6] Spot Prices | | Zhoushan High - Sulfur Fuel Oil | Zhoushan Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil | Singapore High - Sulfur Fuel Oil | Singapore Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil | Middle East High - Sulfur Fuel Oil | Singapore Diesel | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Previous Value | 505.00 | 515.00 | 398.99 | 504.50 | 379.63 | 659.10 | | Current Value | 507.00 | 515.00 | 401.21 | 504.50 | 381.85 | 664.46 | | Change | 2.00 | 0.00 | 2.22 | 0.00 | 2.22 | 5.37 | | Change Rate | 0.40% | 0.00% | 0.56% | 0.00% | 0.58% | 0.81% | [7] Group 5: Fundamental Data - Singapore's fuel oil consumption data from 2021 - 2025 is presented in a chart [8] - China's fuel oil consumption data from 2021 - 2025 is presented in a chart [9] - Shandong's fuel oil coking gross profit data from 2021 - 2025 is presented in a chart [10] Group 6: Inventory Data Singapore Fuel Oil Inventory | Time | Inventory (10,000 barrels) | Change (10,000 barrels) | | --- | --- | --- | | May 7 | 2412.9 | 40 | | May 14 | 2490.9 | 78 | | May 21 | 2563.9 | 73 | | May 28 | 2201.9 | - 362 | | June 4 | 2140.9 | - 61 | | June 11 | 2311.9 | 171 | | June 18 | 2289.9 | - 22 | | June 25 | 2274.9 | - 15 | | July 2 | 2132.9 | - 142 | | July 9 | 2080.9 | - 52 | | July 16 | 2035.9 | - 45 | | July 23 | 1990.9 | - 45 | [11][12] - Singapore's inventory seasonal trend is presented in a chart [13] - Zhoushan Port's fuel oil inventory trend is presented in a chart [14] Group 7: Spread Data - The high - low sulfur futures spread data is presented in a chart [16]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - Oil prices have experienced a slight decline, with Brent and WTI prices at $67.66 and $65.16 per barrel respectively as of July 25, 2025 [2][8] - The oil market is facing cautious funding due to geopolitical tensions and limited supply impacts from EU sanctions on Russia [2][8] - The oil and petrochemical sector has shown a positive performance, with the sector rising by 2.58% compared to the 1.69% increase in the CSI 300 index [9] Summary by Sections Oil Price Review - Brent crude futures settled at $67.66 per barrel, down $1.62 (-2.34%) from the previous week, while WTI crude futures settled at $65.16 per barrel, down $0.89 (-1.35%) [26] - The price of Russian Urals crude remained stable at $65.49 per barrel, while ESPO crude rose by $0.79 (+1.22%) to $65.75 per barrel [26] Offshore Drilling Services - As of July 21, 2025, the number of global offshore self-elevating drilling platforms was 381, a decrease of 2 from the previous week [32] Oil Supply - As of July 18, 2025, U.S. crude oil production was 13.273 million barrels per day, down by 102,000 barrels per day from the previous week [48] - The number of active drilling rigs in the U.S. decreased to 415, down by 7 rigs [48] Oil Demand - U.S. refinery crude oil processing increased to 16.936 million barrels per day, up by 87,000 barrels per day, with a refinery utilization rate of 95.50%, up by 1.6 percentage points [59] Oil Inventory - As of July 18, 2025, total U.S. crude oil inventories were 821 million barrels, a decrease of 3.369 million barrels (-0.41%) [69] - Strategic oil inventories were 403 million barrels, down by 200,000 barrels (-0.05%) [69] Related Companies - Key companies in the sector include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), and China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Neutral" based on the performance of the industry index relative to the benchmark [135] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a significant reduction in inventory for polyester filament due to concentrated purchasing by downstream users, alongside a slight increase in upstream prices [1][96] - Brent crude oil prices experienced fluctuations, with a weekly average of $68.91 per barrel, reflecting a decrease of 0.27% [1][2] - The report indicates that the domestic price difference for key refining projects is 2387.33 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 2.44% [2][1] Summary by Sections Refining Sector - The report notes that international oil prices rose initially due to a drone attack in Iraq but later fell due to concerns over economic activity and tariff negotiations [1][14] - Domestic and international refined oil prices are experiencing fluctuations, with domestic diesel and gasoline prices at 7117.86 CNY/ton and 8179.14 CNY/ton respectively [14] Chemical Sector - Demand for chemical products remains weak, leading to a slight decrease in price differentials for various chemicals [1][55] - Polypropylene prices have slightly decreased, with the average price at 6311.86 CNY/ton [70] Polyester Sector - The PX market is seeing a slight increase in supply, with prices rising to 6036.48 CNY/ton, and the PTA market is also showing price increases [87][98] - The report indicates that the average price for polyester filament is stable, with significant inventory reduction due to increased purchasing [96] Market Performance of Major Refining Companies - The report tracks the stock performance of six major refining companies, with notable increases in stock prices over the past week and month [123][124] - The overall performance of the refining index has increased by 26.53% since September 2017, outperforming the broader market [124]