黄金无疑是近年来表现最好的资产之一，2024年上涨28%，2025年以来已经上涨超过25%。在此背景下，银行理财、公募FOF、保险资管等机构纷纷推 出"黄金+"多资产策略产品。在我们看来，"黄金+"策略日益受到资管机构重视和个人投资者青睐，标志着黄金的角色正逐步从资产配置"战术工具"向"战 略底仓"进阶。 A."黄金+"：从"战术工具"到"战略底仓" 黄金应被视为宏观对冲、货币对冲及获取稳健长期回报的"战略底仓"，而非获取短期回报的"战术工具"。 当前宏观环境及外部冲击（如对等关税、半导体行业限制、国际地缘政治冲突等）对人民币资产（权益、固收）的整体影响远超单一资产自身变量。同 时，在经济增速换挡、低利率常态化的环境下，低风险偏好客户难以继续"躺赢"高固定收益。 提供长期稳健回报 以人民币计价计算，过去20年黄金年化收益超10%，在10年和5年维度同样跑赢多数主流资产。金融市场投资者经常主导短期金价走势，而黄金的长期收 益则更多由全球GDP增长推动的实物黄金需求（包括央行购金、金融投资、金条金币、金饰和科技用金）所驱动。这也是为什么黄金可以提供稳健长期收 益来源的原因。 注：数据截至2025年7月31日。基于 ...

黄金无疑是近年来表现最好的资产之一， 2024年上涨 28%， 202 5 年以来已经上涨超过 25 %。 在此背景下，银行理财、公募FOF、保险资管等机构纷纷推出"黄金+"多资产策略产品。在我们看 来，"黄金+"策略日益受到资管机构重视和个人投资者青睐，标志着黄金的角色正逐步从 资产配置 "战术工具"向"战略底仓"进阶。 A. " 黄金 +" ：从 "战术工具"到"战略底仓" 提供长期稳健回报 以人民币计价计算，过去 20年黄金年化收益超10%，在10年和5年维度同样跑赢多数主流资产。金 融市场投资者经常主导短期金价走势，而黄金的长期收益则更多由全球GDP增长推动的实物黄金需求 （包括央行购金、金融投资、金条金币、金饰和科技用金）所驱动。这也是为什么黄金可以提供稳健 长期收益来源的原因。 黄金应被视为宏观对冲、货币对冲及获取稳健长期回报的 "战略底仓"，而非获取短期回报的"战术工 具" 。 当前宏观 环境 及外部冲击（如对等关税、半导体行业限制、国际地缘政治冲突 等 ）对人民币资产 （权益、固收）的整体影响远超单一资产自身变量。同时，在经济增速换挡、低利率常态化的环境 下，低风险偏好客户难以继续 "躺赢"高 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that 博汇股份 is taking multiple measures to address its declining performance, including accelerating global sourcing, improving product quality, and expanding into international markets [1] - 博汇股份 is engaging in commodity futures hedging to mitigate risks associated with price volatility [1] - The company plans to issue 73,644,312 shares to state-owned enterprises, which will increase state ownership to approximately 33.13% after the conversion of convertible bonds [1] - 博汇股份 has established a wholly-owned subsidiary, 无锡极致液冷科技有限公司, to enter the liquid cooling industry, optimizing its business structure and creating new growth potential [1] Group 2 - 深圳市凯丰投资管理有限公司 is a macro-hedge fund management company that invests in global bulk commodities, bonds, equity assets, and their derivatives [2] - 凯丰投资 has received multiple awards for its fund management, including "2014年度金牛私募管理公司（宏观期货策略）" and "2015年度金牛私募管理公司（宏观期货策略）" [2] - The company emphasizes the importance of detailed industry research and aims to strengthen communication and cooperation with real enterprises to provide comprehensive solutions within the industry chain [2]

Core Viewpoint - The founder of macro hedge fund Tudor Investment Corp., Jones, suggests that even if Trump takes action, the stock market may still hit new lows due to the conflicting focus on tariffs and the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates [1] Group 1 - Trump's focus is primarily on tariffs, which may not be sufficient to support the stock market [1] - The Federal Reserve is maintaining its position of not lowering interest rates, which is unfavorable for the stock market [1]

Core Viewpoint - The current U.S. tariff war is an attempt to address the structural contradictions within the U.S. debt-dollar system, which is an evolution of the "Triffin Dilemma" [2][5] Summary by Sections U.S. Tariff War Reasons - The tariff war is initiated to tackle the unsustainable fiscal situation caused by trade deficits, aiming to resolve the inherent contradictions of the U.S. debt-dollar system [2] - The U.S. has imposed tariffs on various imports, including a 25% tariff on imported cars and a 30% tariff on goods valued under $800 [1] Tariff Calculation Issues - The U.S. tariff calculation method is flawed, using a formula that overestimates the necessary tariff rates by about double [3][4] - The formula's assumptions regarding price elasticity of demand and supply are inaccurate, leading to potential miscalculations in expected tariff impacts [3][4] Economic Impact of Tariffs - The tariff increases are expected to raise domestic prices, with an average cost increase of $2,700 per household and a potential rise in core inflation by 1.7% to 2.1% [7] - The tariff war is likely to reduce bilateral trade and weaken the dollar's status as a reserve currency, as evidenced by rising U.S. debt yields and a declining dollar index [5][7] Recommendations for Response - The company suggests increasing macroeconomic countermeasures, including fiscal and monetary policies to mitigate the impact of tariffs [9][10] - Emphasis on enhancing consumer income and building a robust domestic demand market is recommended to counteract the effects of the tariff war [10] - The company advocates for further innovation support to maintain a competitive edge in global supply chains, particularly in high-tech and emerging industries [11]

Core Insights - Over 630 "fixed income +" products have reached new net asset value highs this year, with a net value growth rate exceeding 10% for some products [1][2] - The "fixed income +" strategy is becoming more refined due to increased market volatility and challenges in asset allocation [1][4] Performance of "Fixed Income +" Products - As of April 25, over 60% of "fixed income +" products have positive year-to-date net value growth rates, with some funds like FuGuo JiuLi Stable Allocation A achieving a growth rate of 10.55% [2] - The overall performance of "fixed income +" products is attributed to the favorable performance of convertible bonds and bonds, with the China Convertible Bond Index recording a return of 1.67% this year [2][3] Market Conditions and Challenges - The rapid decline in bond yields has led to a net value increase for fixed income products, while equity markets face risks due to tariff policies [3] - Increased asset volatility has made timing and asset switching more challenging, necessitating a more precise approach to the "fixed income +" strategy [4] Investment Strategy Adjustments - Investment strategies are shifting towards more diversified and tactical approaches, focusing on low-volatility assets and adjusting allocations based on market conditions [4][5] - Fund managers are emphasizing the importance of macro hedging and risk parity strategies to achieve stable long-term returns in uncertain market environments [5] Focus Areas for Investment - In the current market, fund managers suggest focusing on structural opportunities in AI technology, new consumption, and value dividend stocks [5][6] - Fixed income investments should prioritize government bonds, local government bonds, and policy financial bonds for stable returns, while also considering convertible bonds for their dual characteristics [6]