Core Viewpoint - Precious metal prices surged on Monday, with gold reaching a record high due to concerns over a potential U.S. government shutdown, which could delay key employment data and cloud the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path [1] Group 1: Gold Market Dynamics - Spot gold prices rose by 1% to a record high of $3,798.73 per ounce, surpassing last Tuesday's peak, marking six consecutive weeks of price increases [1] - Year-to-date, gold prices have surged over 40%, driven by central bank demand and the Federal Reserve's return to interest rate cuts, with expectations of continued upward momentum [1] - Gold ETFs are at their highest holdings since 2022, indicating strong investor interest and support for the price increase [1] Group 2: Other Precious Metals - Silver prices increased by 1.2%, while platinum and palladium also saw significant gains, supported by ongoing market supply tightness and inflows into precious metal-backed ETFs [1] Group 3: Economic and Policy Implications - Investors are closely watching a meeting between U.S. congressional leaders and Trump, as failure to reach an agreement on a short-term spending bill could lead to a government shutdown, threatening the release of critical economic data, including the employment report expected to show a slowdown in job growth for September [1] - Barclays strategists noted that gold prices do not appear overvalued relative to the U.S. dollar and government bonds, suggesting that gold should carry a certain premium related to the risks of the Federal Reserve losing its independence [1]

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve has officially initiated interest rate cuts, leading to increased market liquidity and a surge in gold prices, which have risen for four consecutive weeks and are hovering near historical highs, with a potential breakthrough of the 3700 mark [1] - The decision to cut rates is primarily driven by structural weaknesses in the job market, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.3% in August and non-farm payrolls increasing by only 22,000, significantly below the expected 150,000 [1] - Market expectations suggest that the Federal Reserve may implement three rate cuts this year, reinforcing strong support for gold prices, with a consensus that prices could reach 4000 USD by the end of the year [1] Group 2 - Current bullish momentum in gold suggests that any pullback may present a good entry opportunity, with a 91.9% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in October [2] - A promotional campaign by the company offers double points for trading gold and silver, incentivizing traders to participate in the market during this bullish phase [2][4] - The points earned from trading can be redeemed for bonuses, enhancing the trading experience and encouraging more transactions [4][5]

Group 1 - The article discusses the recent surge in gold prices, reaching $3750, driven by expectations of further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve and increased demand for safe-haven assets due to geopolitical risks [1] - It highlights the importance of monitoring key events such as speeches by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and PCE data, which are expected to influence short-term gold price movements [5] - The long-term outlook for gold remains positive, supported by the onset of a global rate-cutting cycle and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, suggesting a solid foundation for a bull market in gold [5] Group 2 - The company, Lingfeng Precious Metals, emphasizes its commitment to providing secure and transparent trading services, holding a top-tier trading license and adhering to strict regulations [1] - The MT4 trading system offered by Lingfeng is noted for its stability, efficiency, and user-friendliness, allowing investors to execute trades with millisecond order execution speeds [2] - Lingfeng's mobile app facilitates easy trading for investors, enabling them to capture opportunities in the gold market regardless of their location, thus simplifying the trading process for both experienced and novice investors [5]

Core Insights - The 2025 precious metals market is expected to experience increased volatility due to factors such as geopolitical conflicts, policy shifts, and AI trading, leading traders to pursue "stable profits" [1] - Compliance platforms like Giant Gold Industry are offering MT4 demo accounts to guide ordinary investors from "blind exploration" to "systematic profitability" in spot gold trading [1] Group 1: MT4 Demo Trading Features - New users at Giant Gold Industry receive $200,000 in virtual funds for trading in international spot gold and silver markets, allowing risk-free strategy testing [2] - The demo trading environment shares real-time market data with live trading, ensuring consistency in price, spreads, and slippage rates, thus minimizing cognitive biases [2] - The platform supports 29 technical indicators and various charting tools, enabling traders to analyze market conditions and optimize their trading strategies [2] Group 2: Three-Stage Simulation Training - **Stage 1: Basic Entry (1-2 weeks)** - Focus on mastering trading operations such as placing orders and analyzing charts, with daily trading practice and performance reviews [3] - **Stage 2: Strategy Refinement (3-4 weeks)** - Utilize MT4's strategy testing features to backtest selected investment strategies, analyzing win rates and adjusting parameters for optimization [3] - **Stage 3: Psychological Training (1 month+)** - Establish strict trading rules and maintain a trading journal to assess the impact of emotions on decision-making [3] Group 3: Real Trading Challenges - **Psychological Transition** - Traders may find it easier to profit in demo trading but face fear during real trading losses; starting with a small investment can help mitigate this [4] - **Strategy Adaptation** - Real trading may present challenges such as slippage and unexpected news impacts; traders should adjust their strategies accordingly [4] Group 4: Continuous Improvement - Weekly reviews of real trading performance are essential for evaluating strategies and making necessary adjustments based on discrepancies between demo and real trading [4] - Educational resources provided by regulated trading firms like Giant Gold Industry can enhance traders' understanding and skills in precious metals trading [4]

•随着交易员继续在历史高位附近了结获利，金价在上涨和下跌之间摇摆。 黄金市场基本持平，交易商忽视美元涨势和 •银价反弹至45.00美元，美国GDP增速超过分析师预期。 •由于对贵金属的需求强劲，铂金上涨4%。 黄金 铂金 从技术面看，黄金需要稳定在3780-3790美元阻力位上方，才能在短期内获得额外的上行动力。 白银 随着金银比回落至84.00以下，白银测试多年高点。 相对强弱指标处于超买区域，因此回调的风险正在增加。 铂金成功突破了1500-1505美元阻力位，并向1550美元移动。 如果铂金收于1550美元以上，则将获得额外的动力并向1600美元前进。 美国时间9月25日，全球最大白银ETF——iShares Silver Trust的白银持仓量为15390.07吨，较前一交易日减少79.05吨。 白银网 ...

Group 1 - The international precious metals market showed mixed trends on September 25, with gold prices consolidating at high levels while silver prices surged significantly [1] - The most actively traded December 2025 gold futures closed at $3780.5 per ounce, up $12 from the previous trading day, reflecting a 0.32% increase [1] - The U.S. economic data released on the same day exceeded expectations, strengthening the dollar and putting pressure on gold prices, with the dollar index rising by 0.7% to 98.554 [1] Group 2 - The U.S. second-quarter GDP annualized growth rate was significantly revised up to 3.8%, driven by strong consumption and a slowdown in imports, contrary to analysts' expectations of no revision [1] - Initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending September 20 were reported at 218,000, lower than the expected 235,000, indicating resilience in the labor market [1] - The overall expectation for policy easing remains unchanged, with safe-haven sentiment and bullish funds driving demand for precious metals, allowing silver to continue its upward trend [2]

影响走势的关键事件主要集中在三个方面：一是美联储的政策动向，任何关于降息节奏的言论或数据 （如即将公布的PCE物价指数）都会引起市场剧烈波动；二是地缘政治风险，如北约与俄罗斯关系的紧 张升级，持续为市场注入避险需求；三是全球央行的购金行为，例如中国人民银行持续的黄金储备增 持，为金价提供了结构性的需求基础。因此，操作上需在短期技术调整与中长期宏观利好之间寻找平衡 点，并密切关注上述事件的进展。 今日的操作思路应以高位震荡对待。由于金价在连续上涨后处于技术性超买状态，且美元指数出现短线 反弹迹象，直接追多风险较大。建议上方重点关注3750-3760美元区间的阻力效果，若能在此区域承 压，可考虑轻仓尝试短线空单，目标看向3700美元整数关口附近，止损设于3760美元上方。反之，若金 价回落至3700美元附近获得支撑，或是有效跌破3680-3650美元这一更强支撑带，则是为中长期布局多 单的较好机会，因为整体的看涨逻辑并未改变。 展望黄金后期走势，短期可能面临获利了结带来的回调压力，但中长期前景依然偏向乐观。推动金价的 核心动力来自于全球主要央行，尤其是美联储的降息预期。目前市场普遍预测美联储将在年内继续降 息，这 ...

Fundamental Analysis - Silver prices experienced slight increases amid high volatility, with the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut not leading to significant gains in silver prices. The dollar index rose approximately 0.65%, reaching a near two-week high, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, thus suppressing demand [1] - The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note also increased, enhancing the attractiveness of the dollar. Additionally, geopolitical developments, including Trump's peace proposal for Gaza and discussions between U.S. and Russian foreign ministers regarding the Ukraine crisis, have reduced market risk aversion [1] Federal Reserve Policy Signals - The cautious tone from the Federal Reserve, particularly from Chairman Powell, has heightened market caution. Powell emphasized the need to balance persistent inflation risks with a slowing job market, without providing new clues on future interest rate directions, interpreted as a conservative stance on further easing [3] - Market expectations indicate a 94% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in October and a 77% chance in December. However, there are notable internal divisions among Federal Reserve officials regarding aggressive rate cuts, with some warning against premature easing based on temporary inflation assumptions [3] Upcoming Economic Data and Market Expectations - The market is focused on two key U.S. economic data releases that will provide further insights into the Federal Reserve's policy direction and directly impact gold prices. The weekly initial jobless claims data is expected to reveal the latest employment market dynamics, with strong data potentially reinforcing a hawkish Fed stance [4] - The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, will be released on Friday. Higher-than-expected PCE data could validate Powell's cautious approach, while lower inflation could enhance gold's appeal as an inflation hedge [4] Market Trends and Strategies - Current silver market conditions indicate a price consolidation trend, suggesting strategies for support and resistance trading. The dollar index is showing a fluctuating downward trend [7] - Technical indicators for silver suggest that prices are near the lower boundary of the trading range, with support at 43.53. Caution is advised in trading due to reduced market activity [7] Global Financial Market Dynamics - The precious metals market continues to present investment opportunities, with investors encouraged to utilize trading platforms for real-time market updates and to seize profit opportunities [8]

根据香港黄金交易所高级行员（简称：香港第一金PPLI平台）现货黄金最新走势，国际现货伦敦金价格又暴涨了，再次刷新了历史新高现报3790美元/盎 司，距离3800美元/盎司大关仅差一步之遥。之前香港第一金市场部负责人陈生就说过黄金看似在山顶，其实只是在半山腰，黄金会涨到你心服口服，这句 话至今还适用。看到这篇文章的读者们，你是不是也觉得最近这个金价涨得太猛了，难道仅仅是因为美联储要降息就能涨这么多吗？现在国际现货黄金已经 来到3800美元/盎司大关，未来的时间里面或者国庆节假期黄金还会不会继续涨，今天，第一金陈生就用一篇文章给大家分析分析。 所以读者们，估计看到这里你们应该跟第一金陈生想法差不多，再这么发展下去，没有了纸质货币的信任度，早晚国际贸易也得回到传统货币金银本位。现 在美元在全球央行储备的份额一直在持续的下降，创下了26年来新低，好多国家也在背地里悄悄的抛售美国国债，现在的实物黄金已经成为全球央行第一大 储备资产了。现在很多国家做生意都优先不考虑美元结算，比如说俄罗斯卖石油给印度，就用卢比和卢布直接换，中国跟俄罗斯买天然气也开始用人民币和 卢布结算。这里告诉大家一个好消息，咱们中国的人民币已经跟全球4 ...

Report Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - On September 23, the prices of precious metals continued to rise strongly. The price of London gold broke through the $3,700 per ounce mark, and the main contract of Shanghai gold futures broke through the 85 yuan per gram mark, both hitting new all - time highs. Silver prices also rose, but the short - term upward momentum slowed down [4][5]. - In the short term, precious metal prices will remain high and strong. It is recommended to hold long positions, but investors should be cautious about chasing high prices due to potential increased volatility during the National Day holiday [5]. - In the long term, factors such as the Fed's potential interest rate cuts, global geopolitical uncertainties, the unsustainable US debt, and the intensification of great - power competition will increase the risk of the US dollar's credit, and the central banks' gold purchases will continue. Therefore, the long - term price center of gold is likely to move upward [5]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Price Tracking - **Precious Metal Prices**: On September 23, compared with September 22, London gold spot rose 1.0% to $3,752.14 per ounce, London silver spot rose 0.1% to $43.74 per ounce, COMEX gold rose 1.0% to $3,786.20 per ounce, COMEX silver rose 0.3% to $44.11 per ounce, AU2510 rose 1.1% to 851.92 yuan per gram, AG2510 rose 0.2% to 10,306 yuan per kilogram, AU (T + D) rose 1.1% to 849.90 yuan per gram, and AG (T + D) rose 0.3% to 10,279 yuan per kilogram [3]. - **Price Spreads/Ratios**: From September 22 to September 23, the spread of gold TD - SHFE active price changed from - 2.5 yuan per gram to - 2.02 yuan per gram, a change of - 19.2%; the spread of silver TD - SHFE active price changed from - 31 yuan per kilogram to - 27 yuan per kilogram, a change of - 12.9%; the gold's internal - external spread (TD - London) changed from - 8.56 yuan per gram to - 7.29 yuan per gram, a change of - 14.9%; the silver's internal - external spread (TD - London) changed from - 914 yuan per kilogram to - 895 yuan per kilogram, a change of - 2.0%; the SHFE gold - silver ratio rose 0.8% to 82.66; the COMEX gold - silver ratio rose 0.7% to 85.85; the spread between AU2512 - 2510 rose 0.6% to 3.52 yuan per gram; the spread between AG2512 - 2510 rose 26.5% to 43 yuan per kilogram [3]. Position Data - **Non - commercial Positions in COMEX**: As of September 16 (weekly data), compared with September 19, the non - commercial long positions in COMEX gold increased 0.59% to 326,778 contracts, the non - commercial short positions decreased 4.38% to 60,368 contracts, and the net long positions increased 1.78% to 266,410 contracts; the non - commercial long positions in COMEX silver decreased 1.14% to 71,623 contracts, the non - commercial short positions increased 8.49% to 20,085 contracts, and the net long positions decreased 4.45% to 51,538 contracts [3]. - **ETF Positions**: From September 19 to September 22, the gold ETF - SPDR position increased 0.60% to 1,000.57 tons, and the silver ETF - SLV position increased 1.08% to 15,368.89554 tons [3]. Inventory Data - **SHFE Inventory**: From September 22 to September 23, the SHFE gold inventory increased 2.76% to 59,013 kilograms, and the SHFE silver inventory increased 0.04% to 1,149,043 kilograms [3]. - **COMEX Inventory**: From September 19 to September 22, the COMEX gold inventory increased 0.56% to 39,682,786 troy ounces, and the COMEX silver inventory increased 0.06% to 524,378,224 troy ounces [3]. Market Review and Analysis - **Market Review**: On September 23, the main contract of Shanghai gold futures rose 1.99% to 85.44 yuan per gram, and the main contract of Shanghai silver futures rose 1.78% to 10,349 yuan per kilogram [4]. - **Logic Analysis**: After the Fed's interest rate cut in September, the market continued to bet on two more rate cuts this year. The potential government "shutdown" and the cryptocurrency market turmoil increased market risk - aversion sentiment, leading to a strong rise in precious metal prices. Silver's short - term upward momentum slowed down. In the short term, precious metal prices will remain high, but investors should be cautious about increased volatility. In the long term, gold's price center is likely to move upward [5].