Core Viewpoint - The report from Shenwan Hongyuan Securities indicates that in Q4 2025, actively managed equity public funds are increasing allocations to technology manufacturing (communication, automotive, machinery), cyclical sectors (non-ferrous metals, chemicals, construction materials), service consumption, and non-bank financials, while reducing allocations to media, computing, military, real estate, and pharmaceuticals [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Allocation Trends - Actively managed equity funds are embracing AI and positioning for recovery, with significant increases in cyclical sectors [1]. - Non-ferrous metals saw a 2.1 percentage point increase in allocation to 8.0%, reaching a historical high, with a configuration coefficient of 1.7 times [1]. - Basic chemicals, automotive, construction materials, and steel also received increased allocations, with respective holding ratios of 3.2%, 5.1%, 0.7%, and 0.4% [1]. Group 2: Sector Performance and Adjustments - Non-bank financials, despite underperforming in 2025, received an allocation increase to 2.4%, which is at the 33rd percentile historically [2]. - The communication sector's allocation rose by 1.8 percentage points to 11.1%, marking a historical high, with a configuration coefficient exceeding 3 times [3]. - The real estate sector saw a decline in allocation to 0.3%, with a configuration coefficient of 0.24 times, both at historical lows [4]. Group 3: Fund Performance and Market Outlook - The overall positions of ordinary stock, mixed equity, and flexible allocation funds decreased by 1.2, 1.4, and 1.4 percentage points to 88.3%, 86.7%, and 76.3%, respectively, while still remaining at high levels [5]. - The median net asset value increase for actively managed equity public funds in 2025 was 25.8%, which is lower than the growth of the ChiNext Index and the STAR 50 [5]. - The net redemption pressure for actively managed funds has eased, with a total redemption of 132 billion units in Q4 2025, a decrease from Q3 [5]. Group 4: ETF Market Dynamics - The total scale of stock ETFs reached nearly 3.8 trillion yuan in Q4 2025, with a holding market value ratio of 3.9%, both hitting new highs [6]. - In Q4 2025, significant inflows were observed in industry ETFs related to brokers, pharmaceuticals, robotics, and non-ferrous metals [6]. Group 5: Manager Insights and Sector Comparisons - Fund managers are optimistic about sectors with clear industrial trends, such as computing power, semiconductors, non-ferrous metals, energy storage lithium batteries, innovative pharmaceuticals, military trade, and commercial aerospace [7]. - Based on the PB-ROE framework, sectors like non-ferrous metals, basic chemicals, and AI applications are seen as attractive for allocation due to upward profit expectations and reasonable valuations [7].

以下文章来源于地球知识局 ，作者地球知识局 地球知识局 . 人文+地理+设计，全球视野新三观。 合作请联系：xiaobaibai_9999（注明品牌和需求） 以后中国人去巴西无论短期旅游， 还是长期工作、生活都更方便了。 文 ｜ 乞力马扎罗的雪 编辑 ｜ e 来源｜ 地球知识局（ID：diqiuzhishiju） 封面来源 ｜ Pixabay 在中国这边的半夜，巴西来了个好消息。巴西时间1月23日13:50（北京时间1月24日0:50）巴西总统卢拉宣布，将对中国公民部分短期签证类别实行免 签，具体实施时间和限制等细节还要等巴西外交部的消息。 之前巴西已经对申请长期签证的中国公民提供了电子签，然后近期有短期免签政策，一大原因就是之前中国对巴西实施了单方30天免签。 以后中国人去巴西无论短期旅游，还是长期工作、生活都更方便了。 虽然这是一个几乎和中国都在地球对角线的国家，一想到巴西人就是大航海时代、拉丁、葡语人口，极其遥远。即使巴西的东亚面孔，首先想到的也是日 本人。 但如果要去巴西旅游，其实也会看到不少中国面孔，会有他乡遇故知之感。其实巴西有多达30万华人，在两百多年前就已经有大量中国人来这里扎根。 他们为何远 ...

Core Viewpoint - The AI Fund Ping An Hong Kong Stock Connect Dividend Select Mixed Fund A (021046) reported a profit of 11.96 million yuan for Q4 2025, with a net asset value growth rate of 3.5% during the period [3]. Fund Performance - As of January 22, the fund's unit net value was 1.286 yuan, with a fund size of 389 million yuan [3][17]. - The fund's performance over the past three months showed a return of -0.63%, ranking 588 out of 621 comparable funds; over the past six months, it returned -0.69%, ranking 607 out of 621; and over the past year, it achieved a return of 19.68%, ranking 525 out of 613 [4]. Investment Strategy - The fund manager indicated that in the context of declining cash yields, high-dividend assets have shown a "quasi-fixed income" characteristic, becoming a dominant investment style in Q4. In contrast, growth sectors faced increased volatility and pressure due to market sentiment and fluctuating fundamental expectations [3]. - The fund will continue to focus on stable high-dividend stocks, particularly in the financial, telecommunications, energy, and public utility sectors, which are expected to provide visibility and stable profits during the economic recovery [3]. Risk Metrics - The fund's Sharpe ratio since inception is 1.3198, indicating a favorable risk-adjusted return [9]. - The maximum drawdown since inception is 10.87%, with the largest quarterly drawdown occurring in Q2 2025 at 9.1% [12]. Portfolio Composition - The average stock position since inception is 85.49%, with a peak of 89.53% at the end of H1 2024 and a low of 71.51% at the end of Q3 2024 [15]. - The fund has a high concentration of holdings, with the top ten stocks including China National Offshore Oil, China Mobile, CITIC Bank, Bank of China, and others [20].

Market Overview - Global markets experienced a downturn, with the Dow Jones falling by 0.53%, S&P 500 by 0.35%, and Nasdaq by 0.06%, primarily due to uncertainty regarding AI profitability and Federal Reserve interest rate decisions [1] - European markets fared worse, with Germany's DAX index dropping by 1.57% and France's index by 1.40%, driven by trade tensions and economic growth concerns [1] - In contrast, Brazil's stock market surged by 8.53%, while South Korea and Taiwan saw gains of 3.08% and 1.76%, respectively, indicating resilience in Asia [1] A-Share Market Dynamics - The A-share market exhibited a unique trend where individual stocks performed well despite the overall index remaining relatively stable [2][3] - The small-cap stocks, represented by the Wind Micro Cap Index, surged by 5.25%, while the CSI 500 and CSI 2000 indices rose over 4% [3] - Conversely, large-cap indices like the Shanghai Composite Index increased by only 0.84%, and the CSI 300 index fell by 0.62%, with the CSI A50 index declining by 1.81% [3] ETF Activity and Market Sentiment - Significant trading activity was observed in the CSI 300 ETF, suggesting a strategic adjustment rather than a blind market support, with a focus on cooling overheated sectors [4] - This adjustment negatively impacted major sectors such as banking and beverages, which saw declines of 2.70% and 1.41%, respectively, due to structural trading dynamics rather than fundamental deterioration [4] Sector Performance - Capital flowed into cyclical stocks, with the construction materials sector skyrocketing by 9.23%, and the oil and petrochemical sector rising by 7.71%, alongside gains in steel, chemicals, and non-ferrous metals exceeding 6% [5] - Within the technology sector, there was a notable shift, with the communications sector declining by 2.12%, while advanced topics like humanoid robots saw a rise of 1.38% [5] Future Outlook - The A-share market's divergent trends are expected to continue, with positive factors such as supportive policies and upcoming manufacturing PMI data potentially boosting confidence [6] - However, risks remain, particularly with the Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting, which could introduce volatility if hawkish signals are perceived [6] - The recent surge in small-cap stocks may indicate overheating, warranting caution for potential short-term corrections [6] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to focus on cyclical and hard-tech sectors, including oil and petrochemicals, basic chemicals, and commercial aerospace, as well as semiconductors and robotics with solid policy backing [9] - Caution is advised regarding large-cap sectors like banking and beverages, which may face short-term pressure from capital outflows [9] - For already inflated small-cap stocks, vigilance is necessary to avoid being the last buyer in a potential downturn [9] - Opportunities in the Hong Kong market should be explored, particularly in consumer and technology leaders that resonate with A-share movements [9]

Core Insights - The market has shown signs of "cooling down," with major broad indices exhibiting divergence. The weight indices, such as the Shanghai Composite and CSI 300, have fallen below the 20-day moving average, entering a phase of consolidation, while most growth indices remain above the 20-day line, indicating continued upward potential [1][4][54] - The current market state is characterized by "strong small caps and weak large caps," with weight indices in a consolidation phase and growth indices remaining active. This trend is expected to persist in the short term, while the overall nature of a "systematic slow bull" remains unchanged for the quarter [1][4][54] Market Overview - The market experienced a "cooling down" period from January 19 to January 23, 2026, with a noticeable decline in trading volume. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.83%, while the Shanghai 50 and CSI 300 fell by 1.54% and 0.62%, respectively, both breaking below the 20-day moving average. In contrast, growth indices such as the CSI 500, CSI 1000, and National 2000 saw increases of 4.34%, 2.89%, and 3.33%, respectively, continuing to reach new highs in this bull market [2][12][53] - Sector performance showed that 24 out of 31 primary industries rose, with cyclical sectors like construction materials, oil and petrochemicals, steel, and real estate experiencing significant gains of 9.23%, 7.71%, 7.31%, and 5.21%, respectively. Meanwhile, the financial sector weakened, with banks and non-banking financials declining by 2.70% and 1.45% [15][53] Market Sentiment and Capital Flow - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.7 trillion yuan, reflecting a decrease compared to the previous week. The main futures contracts showed a premium, indicating a bullish sentiment among investors [21][27] - The latest margin trading balance was 2.69 trillion yuan, down by 0.24% from the previous week. In terms of ETFs, the most significant inflow was seen in the non-ferrous metals sector, while the coal sector experienced the largest outflow [27][32] Valuation Insights - The dynamic valuation model indicates that the valuation levels of major indices have increased. As of January 23, 2026, the PE-TTM for the Shanghai Composite Index was 17.1, at the 97.03 percentile, while the Shenzhen Component Index was at 33.31, at the 87.97 percentile. The ChiNext Index had a PE-TTM of 42.98, at the 35.39 percentile [44][45] Strategic Recommendations - Based on the assessment of "market cooling, index divergence, and the dominance of growth," it is recommended to maintain medium-term positions without fear of short-term fluctuations and to participate in the upcoming market momentum. Short-term positions should be cautious of volatility and avoid chasing highs [5][55] - The strategy includes balancing medium-term positions across sectors with high economic prospects and relatively reasonable stock prices, particularly in the "two electric and non-mechanical" sectors (electronics, new energy, chemicals, non-banking, and machinery). Additionally, consider the CSI 500, CSI 1000, and National 2000 indices for relative returns [5][55]

Market Overview - The A-share market has shown signs of "cooling," with major indices displaying divergence, particularly the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.83% while the Shanghai 50 and CSI 300 fell by 1.54% and 0.62%, respectively, both breaking below the 20-day moving average[12] - Growth indices such as the CSI 500, CSI 1000, and National CSI 2000 have performed better, rising by 4.34%, 2.89%, and 3.33%, respectively, continuing to reach new highs in this bull market[12] Sector Performance - Among the 31 sectors, 24 saw gains while 7 experienced declines, indicating a trend of lagging sectors catching up, with cyclical industries like construction materials, oil and petrochemicals, and real estate rising by 9.23%, 7.71%, and 5.21% respectively[15] - The financial sector weakened, with banks and non-bank financials declining by 2.70% and 1.45% respectively, while the previously strong communication sector showed signs of reversal, dropping by 2.12%[15] Market Sentiment and Capital Flow - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets decreased to 2.7 trillion yuan, reflecting a decline in market activity[22] - The margin trading balance fell by 0.24% to 2.69 trillion yuan, with the most significant net inflow seen in the non-ferrous ETF, amounting to 19.5 billion yuan[27] Economic Indicators - China's GDP for 2025 exceeded 140 trillion yuan, growing by 5.0% year-on-year, with industrial output increasing by 5.9% and service sector growth at 5.4%[49] - The People's Bank of China lowered the re-lending and re-discount rates by 0.25%, with new rates set at 0.95%, 1.15%, and 1.25% for different terms[49] Investment Strategy - The report suggests maintaining a balanced mid-term portfolio in sectors with high economic activity and reasonable valuations, particularly in the "two electricity, chemical, non-bank, and machinery" sectors, while also considering lower-positioned media and computer stocks[53] - Investors are advised to focus on the CSI 500, CSI 1000, and National CSI 2000 for relative returns, especially in a "broad-based rally" scenario[53]

"从宏观角度看，市场资金在追求短期收益与长期战略配置之间寻求平衡，对行业发展前景与政策环境的综合 考量导致了资金流向的调整。"受访人士向21世纪经济报道记者指出。 公募主动权益基金第一大重仓股有了"新面孔"。 机构最新统计数据显示，截至2025年4季度末，中际旭创代替宁德时代成为主动权益基金（包括主动股票基 金、偏股混合基金、灵活配置基金）第一大重仓股。 截至1月23日收盘，中际旭创股价报585元，总市值6500亿元。 同时，主动权益基金第二大至第十大重仓股排序均较上一季度发生变化，如新易盛取代腾讯控股成为基金第二 大重仓股，紫金矿业从第八大重仓股晋级为第五大重仓股，寒武纪-U升为第七大重仓股；而宁德时代、腾讯控 股分别退为第三、第四大重仓股，中芯国际退出了前十大重仓股队列。 另外，主动权益基金在行业配置层面也有调整。据机构统计，2025年4季度，主动权益基金增配较多的行业包 括有色金属、通信、非银、化工、机械；主要减配了电子、医药生物、传媒、计算机、电力设备等行业。 重仓股排序更迭 截至2026年1月22日，公募基金2025年第4季度报告基本披露完毕，主动权益基金前十大重仓股名单随之更新。 从持股绝对市值来 ...

作者 丨易妍君 截至2026年1月22日，公募基金2025年第4季度报告基本披露完毕，主动权益基金前十大重仓 股名单随之更新。 从持股绝对市值来看，据国信证券经济研究所金融工程组统计， 截至2025年4季度末，主动权 益基金持有市值排名前十的个股依次是：中际旭创、新易盛、宁德时代、腾讯控股、紫金矿 业、阿里巴巴-W、寒武纪-U、立讯精密、贵州茅台、东山精密。 编辑丨张星 公募主动权益基金第一大重仓股有了"新面孔"。 机构最新统计数据显示，截至2025年4季度末， 中际旭创代替宁德时代成为主动权益基金（包 括主动股票基金、偏股混合基金、灵活配置基金）第一大重仓股。 截至1月23日收盘，中际旭创 股价 报585 元，总市值6500亿元。 同时，主动权益基金第二大至第十大重仓股排序均较上一季度发生变化，如新易盛取代腾讯控 股成为基金第二大重仓股，紫金矿业从第八大重仓股晋级为第五大重仓股，寒武纪-U升为第七 大重仓股；而宁德时代、腾讯控股分别退为第三、第四大重仓股，中芯国际退出了前十大重仓 股队列。 另外，主动权益基金在行业配置层面也有调整。据机构统计，2025年4季度，主动权益基金增 配较多的行业包括有色金属、通信 ...

Group 1 - The core focus of several prominent fund managers, including Xie Zhiyu and Fu Pengbo, has shifted towards the technology sector, with increased allocations in semiconductor and AI-related companies [1][2] - Xie Zhiyu's fund, Xingquan Helun Mixed Fund, significantly increased its holdings in technology stocks, particularly in the semiconductor industry, with companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and Ningde Times among the top ten holdings [1] - Fu Pengbo's Ruiyuan Growth Value Mixed Fund raised its stock position and concentrated its top ten holdings, increasing the proportion of assets from 66.04% at the end of Q3 2025 to 70.38% at the end of Q4 2025 [2] Group 2 - The Ruiyuan Growth Value Mixed Fund has prepared for 2026 by reducing positions in companies with weak fundamentals and increasing investments in data center cooling and computing power-related firms [2] - The top ten holdings of the E Fund Blue Chip Selected Mixed Fund remained consistent with Q3 2025, with notable adjustments in share quantities, including increased holdings in Alibaba and reduced positions in JD Health and Focus Media [2] - Morgan Stanley's Digital Economy Mixed Fund, managed by Lei Zhiyong, focused on the digital economy sector, particularly the AI computing power industry, with new additions to its top ten holdings including Xunwei Communication and Dongshan Precision [3] Group 3 - Lei Zhiyong expressed optimism about the ongoing A-share bull market, citing sustained investor confidence and a favorable market environment [3] - The fund manager highlighted continued interest in AI, military industry, nuclear power, wind power, and energy storage sectors, as well as traditional industry leaders leveraging AI for transformation [3]

- The overall disclosure rate of 2025 annual performance forecasts is approximately 13.1%, with a cumulative positive performance rate of about 40.3%[4][20] - Among the disclosed performance forecasts, 180 companies have forecasted performance growth, accounting for 25.1%[4][20] - The advanced manufacturing sector shows a high growth trend, with the machinery and equipment industry having a net profit growth rate of 890.3%[4][39] - The pharmaceutical and medical sector's performance matches the market performance moderately, with the pharmaceutical and biological industry having a net profit growth rate of 10.35%[4][40] - The cyclical sector shows significant internal performance differentiation, with the basic chemical and non-ferrous metal industries having strong performance, with profit growth rates of 135.5% and 57.02%, respectively[4][40] - The consumer sector shows large performance elasticity, with the social services and automotive industries having net profit growth rates of 1900.3% and 587.7%, respectively[4][42] - The technology (TMT) sector shows a divergence, with the media industry having a net profit decline of 65.62%, but the index has increased by 17.69% since the beginning of the year[4][42] - The financial and real estate sectors show mixed performance, with the real estate industry having a net profit decline of 100.5%, but the index has increased by 6.66%[4][42]