Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market indices collectively rose, with the Hang Seng Index increasing by 0.68% to 24,902.53 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index up by 0.73%, and the State-Owned Enterprises Index rising by 0.65% [2] Biopharmaceutical Sector - The biopharmaceutical sector showed strong performance, with Junshi Biosciences rising over 33% following a report from CCTV on July 31, stating that the National Healthcare Security Administration supports the clinical application and pricing of new technologies like brain-computer interfaces [4] - Junshi Biosciences' stock price reached 32.180, reflecting a 33.75% increase [5] Steel Industry - The steel sector saw significant gains, with Maanshan Iron & Steel Co. rising over 15%. Despite challenges such as supply-demand imbalances, the industry is expected to maintain stable demand due to supportive policies and ongoing infrastructure investments [4] - Maanshan Iron & Steel Co.'s stock price was reported at 2.530, marking a 15.53% increase [6] Apple-Related Stocks - Apple-related stocks experienced an uptick, with BYD Electronics rising over 7%. Apple's third-quarter revenue growth was reported at 9.6%, reaching $94 billion, which is the fastest growth in nearly three years, exceeding Wall Street expectations [6] - BYD Electronics' stock price was noted at 35.420, with a 7.73% increase [7] Automotive Sector - The automotive sector faced a pullback, with NIO's stock declining over 6%. Recent sales data revealed that Leap Motor achieved over 50,000 monthly sales, while NIO delivered only 21,000 vehicles, placing it near the bottom of the sales rankings [8] - NIO's stock price was recorded at 35.700, reflecting a decrease of 6.54% [8]

Market Overview - A-shares recovered above 3600 points, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3602.13, up 0.53% [2][3] - The trading volume exceeded 1 trillion yuan, reaching 10057 billion yuan, an increase of 849 billion yuan from the previous trading day [3] Military Industry - The military sector saw significant activity, with several stocks hitting the daily limit. Notable performers included Aerospace Intelligence, which reached a 20% limit up, and Changcheng Military Industry, which also hit the limit [7][8] - Changcheng Military Industry reported a cumulative increase of 181.58% since June 18, 2025, outperforming the industry and Shanghai Composite Index [10] - Global military spending continues to rise, providing strong support for the military market, with China's military manufacturing competitive advantage being underestimated [10] Gaming Sector - The gaming sector experienced a three-day consecutive rise, driven by AI technology and summer demand [12][13] - Notable stocks included Perfect World, which rose over 4%, and other companies like Kaineng Network and Giant Network also saw significant gains [15][16] PEEK Materials - The PEEK materials sector showed strong performance, with Huami New Materials rising over 20% and several other stocks hitting the daily limit [17][18] - The trend towards lightweight humanoid robots is driving demand for PEEK materials, indicating a growing market opportunity [20] Steel Industry - The steel sector continued to strengthen, with Maanshan Steel hitting the daily limit and other companies like Baotou Steel and Fangda Special Steel also showing gains [20][21] Pharmaceutical Sector - The innovative drug sector experienced a pullback after a previous surge, with several stocks like Anglikang nearing their daily limit down [22][23]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market continued its upward trend from the previous day, with the Hang Seng Index closing up 0.27%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and Hang Seng Tech Index rising by 0.19% and 0.33% respectively, indicating a sustained recovery in market sentiment [1] Technology Sector - Major technology stocks showed mixed performance, with NetEase rising by 1.17%, while Tencent and Xiaomi experienced slight increases. Conversely, JD.com, Baidu, Meituan, and Alibaba saw declines [1] Paper and Steel Industries - Leading paper companies initiated a new round of price increases, significantly boosting paper stocks, with Chenming Paper rising by 7.4% to reach a new high. Steel stocks also saw notable gains, with Maanshan Iron & Steel surging by 9.6%, followed by Ansteel and Chongqing Iron & Steel [1] Biopharmaceutical Sector - The National Healthcare Security Administration has established a new pricing mechanism for newly listed drugs, potentially ushering in a new pricing cycle for Chinese innovative drugs. Biopharmaceutical stocks became active again, with innovative drug companies seeing substantial gains, including a more than 11% increase for Genscript Biotech, along with rises for Ascentage Pharma, Innovent Biologics, WuXi AppTec, and Hansoh Pharmaceutical [1] Gaming and Gambling Sector - Citigroup raised its forecast for Macau's August gaming revenue to 21.5 billion Macanese Patacas, leading to a broad increase in gaming stocks [1] Automotive Sector - The automotive sector faced some declines, with NIO falling nearly 7%, and both Li Auto and BYD also experiencing decreases [1] Other Sectors - Lithium battery stocks, medical aesthetics, education, and tobacco-related stocks mostly declined [1]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Macro Policy Shift**: The focus has shifted from short-term economic stimulus to sustained observation and timely adjustments, emphasizing efficiency in fund utilization and stable monetary policy [1][3][6] - **Domestic Demand Strategy**: Transition from "two new and two heavy" construction to high-quality promotion of "two public" construction, indicating a potential shift in subsidies from durable goods to service consumption [1][4][6] - **Capital Market Strategy**: The approach has changed from "activating financial markets" to "enhancing the attractiveness and inclusivity of capital markets," aiming to consolidate market recovery while avoiding rapid energy release [1][4][6] Key Industry Insights New Energy Sector - **Investment Strategy**: Prices for photovoltaic and lithium batteries have bottomed out, focusing on trading opportunities rather than strong growth prospects. Technologies like solid-state batteries and BC technology iterations are highlighted as areas of opportunity [1][8] Robotics Industry - **Growth Outlook**: The robotics industry is viewed optimistically, with strong growth potential and a focus on the application of Metal Injection Molding (MIM) technology. Companies like Zhiyuan and Yusheng are expected to benefit from this trend [2][9][11] Steel Industry - **Supply-Side Reform**: The government is focusing on regulating competition and promoting capacity governance in the steel industry, with measures to eliminate illegal production and enhance quality [2][17][18] Additional Important Insights - **Market Operation Model**: The market is no longer solely reliant on policy implementation but is driven by a loose funding environment and reduced policy uncertainty, indicating a slow bull market trend [1][7] - **Employment Policies**: Emphasis on employment priority policies to guide key groups into jobs and improve social welfare systems in response to tariff challenges [4][6] - **Consumer Sector**: The importance of domestic demand is highlighted, with strategies to enhance per capita GDP through industrial upgrades and social welfare transfers [13][14] - **Investment Recommendations**: Companies like Lepu Medical and Bubugao are recommended in the new consumption sector, while traditional consumer goods companies are also highlighted for their potential [14][15] Conclusion The conference call records provide a comprehensive overview of the current economic landscape, highlighting shifts in macro policies, industry-specific growth opportunities, and strategic recommendations for investors. The focus on domestic demand, technological advancements in key sectors, and regulatory reforms in traditional industries like steel and robotics are critical for understanding future investment opportunities.

Report Title - Steel and Ore Monthly Report 2025 - 08: Industrial Expectations Disappointed, Black Rebound Halted [1] Report Authors - Xie Chen, Yang Hui from Zhengxin Futures Industrial Research Center's Black Industry Group [2] Report Main Views Steel - **Price**: Spot prices rebounded significantly, and the futures market was strong. In July, the螺纹10 contract rose 208 to 3205, and the hot - rolled coil futures price rose 267 to 3390. Shanghai's spot prices for rebar and hot - rolled coil increased by 220 and 170 respectively [8]. - **Supply**: Blast furnace production remained high, and electric furnace supply increased significantly. As of August 1, the blast furnace operating rate of 247 steel mills was 83.46%, and the average capacity utilization rate of 90 independent electric arc furnace steel mills was 57.05% at the end of July [11][18]. - **Demand**: Speculative demand for building materials increased significantly, while both domestic and foreign demand for plates decreased month - on - month. In July, the average monthly apparent demand for rebar decreased by 3.4% month - on - month, and the apparent demand for hot - rolled coils decreased by 1% [24][27]. - **Profit**: Blast furnace profits continued to increase, and electric furnace production turned profitable. By August 1, the blast furnace profitability rate reached 65.4%, and the average profit of electric furnace rebar at off - peak electricity was 81 yuan/ton on July 30 [31]. - **Inventory**: The inventory accumulation rate of building materials was slower than expected, and plate inventories continued to accumulate. As of August 1, rebar social inventory increased by 200,000 tons month - on - month, and hot - rolled coil social inventory increased by 2% in July [35][38]. - **Basis**: The basis fluctuated, and the futures - spot spread accelerated its decline. The rebar 10 - contract basis widened by 4 from the end of June to August 1, and the hot - rolled coil basis inverted [41]. - **Summary**: In July, blast furnace operations were basically flat, molten iron production remained high, and electric furnace production increased significantly. Overall supply was abundant. Demand for plates was weak due to the seasonal off - peak for manufacturing. Considering the weakening support logic in the black industry, there is significant pressure for a correction in the futures market. Maintain a short - selling strategy in the short term [3]. Iron Ore - **Price**: Spot ore prices rose significantly, and the futures market rebounded strongly. In July, the futures price rose 63.5 to 779, and the Rizhao Port PB powder price rose 64 to 779 yuan/ton [52]. - **Supply**: Global shipments decreased month - on - month, and arrivals also declined. In July, the weekly average global shipment volume was 30.73 million tons, a decrease of 3.59 million tons from the previous month [55]. - **Demand**: Molten iron production remained high, and demand was expected to remain resilient. In July, blast furnace operations were basically flat, and molten iron production remained high. It is expected that the average daily molten iron production in August will be between 2.37 and 2.4 million tons [64]. - **Inventory**: Port inventories decreased slightly, and downstream enterprises replenished stocks passively. As of August 1, the 47 - port iron ore inventory decreased by 1.74 million tons month - on - month [70]. - **Shipping**: Shipping prices increased significantly [76]. - **Spread**: There was no trading space for the futures spread, but attention should be paid to the arbitrage opportunity of shorting the coke - ore ratio 01 contract [3]. - **Summary**: In July, supply tightened while demand remained high, and the fundamentals were strong. Later, affected by the weakening industrial logic, ore prices declined from their highs. Considering the short window period for short - selling and the more certain weakening of finished products, short - selling iron ore is not recommended for now. Instead, pay attention to the operation of shorting coke and going long on iron ore [3]. Strategies - For steel, continue to hold the short positions recommended in the weekly strategy and watch for opportunities to add positions on rebounds [3]. - For iron ore, pay attention to the operation of shorting coke and going long on iron ore and the arbitrage opportunity of shorting the coke - ore ratio 01 contract [3]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content Group 2: Core View of the Report - The steel price is expected to continue adjusting, and it is recommended to wait and see. [4] Group 3: Summary According to Related Content Policy Information - On August 1st, the list of "two major" construction projects worth 800 billion yuan for this year has been fully issued, and the central budget - internal investment of 735 billion yuan has been basically issued. [3] Production Capacity Utilization - Last week, the blast - furnace iron - making capacity utilization rate of 247 steel mills was 90.24%, a decrease of 0.57 percentage points from the previous week and an increase of 1.37 percentage points year - on - year. The daily average pig iron output was 2.4071 million tons, a decrease of 15,200 tons from the previous week and an increase of 40,900 tons year - on - year. [3] - The average capacity utilization rate of 90 independent electric arc furnace steel mills nationwide was 57.05%, an increase of 1.56 percentage points from the previous week and an increase of 15.11 percentage points year - on - year. The average operating rate was 74.21%, an increase of 2.18 percentage points from the previous week and an increase of 12.75 percentage points year - on - year. [3] Market Performance and Influencing Factors - The price of finished steel rose first and then fell last week with large fluctuations. In terms of weekly fundamentals, the supply and demand of rebar both decreased and inventory increased, while the supply, demand, and inventory of hot - rolled steel all increased. The fundamentals are slightly bearish, but market sentiment has a greater impact on the market. [3] - The Politburo meeting last week was relatively calm, with no unexpected statements on anti - involution and real estate, which put pressure on the previously excited market. Recent market trends are greatly affected by macro factors and sentiment, with large price fluctuations. [3] Later Concerns - Macro policies, supply - side production reduction, and downstream demand conditions should be focused on. [4]

期货热点追踪 钢厂盈利率持续改善，高炉减产无望，铁矿石价格还是被低估了？ 相关链接 ...

1. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The bond market has stopped falling, and credit has followed the decline in interest rates. Short - duration and low - grade varieties have shown strong performance. Credit spreads have mostly increased, with some short - duration and low - grade varieties declining [2][5]. - Urban investment bond spreads have generally remained stable, with differentiation among different regions [2][9]. - Industrial bond spreads have slightly declined, and the spreads of mixed - ownership real estate bonds have also decreased [2][17]. - The yields of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds have all declined, and the spreads have generally compressed by 2 - 4BP, outperforming ordinary credit bonds [2][24]. - The excess spreads of perpetual bonds have generally increased, with a relatively large increase in the spreads of 3Y industrial perpetual bonds [2][27]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Bond Market Stabilization and Credit Spread Changes - Interest - rate bond yields first rose and then fell, with the yields of 1Y, 3Y, 5Y, 7Y, and 10Y China Development Bank bonds declining by 3BP, 4BP, 3BP, 3BP, and 5BP respectively. Credit bond yields generally followed the decline in interest rates but underperformed interest - rate bonds. The yield changes of 7Y varieties with a small previous adjustment were limited [2][5]. - Credit spreads mostly increased, with some short - duration and low - grade varieties declining. Rating spreads and term spreads showed significant differentiation [5]. 3.2 Urban Investment Bond Spreads - Overall, urban investment bond spreads remained stable, with differentiation among different regions. The credit spreads of external - rated AAA and AA platforms remained flat, while those of AA + platforms increased by 1BP [2][9]. - By administrative level, the credit spreads of provincial, municipal, and county - level platforms generally remained flat [16]. 3.3 Industrial Bond Spreads - Industrial bond spreads slightly declined, and the spreads of mixed - ownership real estate bonds also decreased. The spreads of central and local state - owned enterprise real estate bonds remained flat, those of mixed - ownership real estate bonds declined by 4BP, and those of private - enterprise real estate bonds increased by 8BP [2][17]. - The spreads of coal bonds of each grade declined by 1BP; the spreads of AAA - rated steel bonds remained flat, while those of AA + - rated steel bonds declined by 3BP; the spreads of AAA - rated chemical bonds remained flat, while those of AA + - rated chemical bonds declined by 1BP [17]. 3.4 Tier 2 and Perpetual Bonds - The yields of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds all declined, and the spreads generally compressed by 2 - 4BP, outperforming ordinary credit bonds, with high - grade varieties performing slightly better [2][24]. 3.5 Perpetual Bond Excess Spreads - The excess spreads of perpetual bonds generally increased, with a relatively large increase in the spreads of 3Y industrial perpetual bonds. The excess spreads of 3Y industrial AAA perpetual bonds increased by 3.34BP to 7.16BP, and those of 5Y industrial AAA perpetual bonds remained flat at 7.65BP [2][27]. 3.6 Credit Spread Database Compilation - The overall market credit spreads, commercial bank Tier 2 and perpetual bond spreads, and urban investment/industrial perpetual bond credit spreads are calculated based on ChinaBond medium - and short - term note and ChinaBond perpetual bond data. The historical quantiles are since the beginning of 2015 [31]. - The credit spreads of urban investment and industrial bonds are compiled and statistically analyzed by the R & D center of Cinda Securities, and the historical quantiles are also since the beginning of 2015 [31].

瑞达期货研究院 「2025.08.01」 热轧卷板市场周报 成本端支撑减弱 热卷期价高位回落 添加客服 研究员：蔡跃辉 期货从业资格号F0251444 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0013101 取 更 多 资 讯 「周度要点小结1」 业务咨询 关 注 我 们 获 目录 1、周度要点小结 2、期现市场 3、产业情况 行情回顾 3 来源：瑞达期货研究院 1. 价格：截至8月1日收盘，热卷主力合约期价为3401（-106），杭州涟钢热卷现货价格为3480（-50）。（单位： 元/吨） 2. 产量：热卷产量由降转增。322.79（+5.3）。（单位：万吨） 3. 需求：表观需求回升，重返320万吨。本期表需320（+4.76），（同比-1.3）。（单位：万吨） 4. 库存：厂库和社库双增，总库存继续增加。总库存347.95（+2.79），（同比-84.36）。（单位：万吨） 5. 盈利率：钢厂盈利率65.37%，环比上周增加1.73个百分点，同比去年增加58.88个百分点。 「 周度要点小结2」 行情展望 4 来源：瑞达期货研究院 1. 宏观方面：海外，（1）美国6月PCE数据加速上升，美联储9月降息预期再遭打压。（2 ...

Group 1 - Nanjing's industrial added value increased by 6.2% year-on-year in the first half of the year, with a 7.6% increase in June [1] - Out of 37 major industrial sectors, 30 sectors experienced year-on-year growth, resulting in a growth coverage of 81.1% [1] - The manufacturing sector's added value grew by 6.8%, with notable increases in automotive manufacturing (16.1%), black metal smelting and rolling (11.2%), and electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing (10.3%) [1] Group 2 - The brain-computer interface industry cultivation conference was held in Nanjing, leading to significant project signings and innovations [2] - Nanjing has established an industrial attack mechanism focusing on key industries, including artificial intelligence, robotics, biomedicine, and new-generation information communication [2] - Nanjing's core robotics industry achieved revenue of 19.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of approximately 20% [3] Group 3 - The software and information services industry in Nanjing generated revenue of 520 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 16.5% [3] - The artificial intelligence core industry reported revenue of 26 billion yuan, growing at a rate of 26% [3] - The biomedicine industry achieved revenue of 118.5 billion yuan, with an increase of 11.5% [3]