Market Overview - A-shares experienced collective fluctuations on July 2, with the ChiNext index leading the decline [1] - The marine economy concept stocks surged, with nearly 20 stocks including ShenKai Co., Ltd. and Giant Rope achieving the daily limit [1] - The photovoltaic concept stocks rebounded, with stocks like Yamaton hitting the daily limit [1] - The sugar substitute concept stocks were active, with Baolingbao and Bailong Chuangyuan also reaching the daily limit [1] - The multi-financial sector declined, with Aijian Group hitting the daily limit down [1] - Semiconductor concept stocks collectively adjusted, with stocks like Taiji Co., Ltd. dropping over 5% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 849.7 billion, a decrease of 110.9 billion from the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included aquaculture, photovoltaic equipment, tourism and hotels, combustible ice, marine engineering equipment, and prepared dishes [2] - The sectors with the largest declines included components, semiconductors, multi-financial, storage chips, Huawei HiSilicon, and CPO [2] Institutional Insights - Guotai Junan Securities highlighted that solid-state batteries possess high energy density and safety, meeting the needs of various fields, with the industry moving towards rapid commercialization [3] - Zhongtai Securities noted that the beverage sector maintained leading growth in the fast-moving consumer goods category, showing resilience in demand despite price pressures [3] - CITIC Securities suggested that embracing innovation and internationalization, along with reforms in marketing models, will be key strategies for the second half of the year, particularly in the innovative drug sector [3] Regulatory Developments - The National Internet Information Office launched a campaign to address online misinformation affecting enterprises, emphasizing the need for stricter management of enterprise-related information [4] - The Longhua District government in Shenzhen issued a three-year action plan to promote local companies listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to also list on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, enhancing cross-border financial services [5]

Group 1: Global Computing Power Market - The global computing power market is entering a new high prosperity cycle, with rapid expansion in the HVAC and cooling market [1] - Four companies dominate the cooling source side in overseas markets, as global computing power construction accelerates, leading to a gradually balanced supply and demand [1] - On the cabinet side, cold plate liquid cooling is the current mainstream solution, with continuous upgrades and iterations of related product solutions due to the trend of increasing server power density [1] Group 2: Pharmaceutical Innovation and Internationalization - China's innovative drug development has achieved phased results, with a focus on innovation-driven strategies and internationalization, along with self-control and outpatient marketing model reforms as key investment directions for the second half of the year [2] - The innovative drug sector is expected to benefit from strong domestic policy support in addition to overseas achievements, leading to a steady upward trend in the sector [2] - It is recommended to focus on three areas: innovation-driven strategies, internationalization, and outpatient marketing model reforms, particularly in the innovative drug field which has the highest beta effect [2] Group 3: Solid-State Battery Commercialization - Solid-state batteries are expected to achieve commercial application by 2027, with equipment leading the way as the lithium battery equipment industry gradually emerges from the bottom [3] - Since September 2024, the operating rates of leading domestic battery manufacturers have improved, and overseas orders for leading lithium battery equipment companies have continued, with significant domestic improvements expected [3] - Recent catalysts for solid-state batteries include developments from companies like Guoxuan High-Tech and QuantumScape, indicating a strong momentum in the industry [3]

Marine Economy - The Central Financial Committee's sixth meeting emphasized the need for top-level design and increased policy support to promote high-quality development of the marine economy, encouraging social capital participation [1][4] - The marine economy's production value is projected to exceed 10 trillion yuan in 2024, accounting for 7.8% of the national GDP, with a contribution of 11.5% to economic growth, highlighting its importance as a new growth engine [1][4] Solid-State Batteries - The Chinese Academy of Sciences has developed a new type of sulfide solid electrolyte with high conductivity and water resistance, addressing the interface contact issues in all-solid-state batteries [2] - A new high-entropy lithium alloy anode has also been achieved, enabling all-solid-state batteries to charge and discharge in one minute, with plans to produce samples by August [2] - Sulfide solid-state batteries are seen as a disruptive technology with high energy density and safety, crucial for countries aiming to dominate the electric vehicle market [2][3] Nuclear Fusion - Google has signed a power purchase agreement with Commonwealth Fusion Systems, marking a significant step for the nascent nuclear fusion energy sector [3] - Nuclear fusion is theoretically capable of providing long-term energy without producing nuclear waste or carbon emissions, making it an ideal solution for tech companies seeking to meet high computational demands while achieving carbon neutrality [3]

Group 1: Cross-Border Payment and Stablecoins - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority will announce the results of the first batch of stablecoin sandbox participants in July, marking a compliance milestone after the enactment of the Stablecoin Ordinance. The offshore RMB stablecoin scheme tested in the sandbox can provide new tools for the cross-border circulation of RMB [2] Group 2: BRICS Summit and Global Digital Economy Conference - The 2025 BRICS Summit will be held in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, from July 6 to 7, with a focus on "de-dollarization" as a priority agenda, aiming to increase the proportion of local currency settlements from the current 28% to 50% [3] - The 2025 Global Digital Economy Conference will take place in Beijing from July 2 to 5, with a sub-forum expected to discuss the application of stablecoins in cross-border transactions of data assets [3] Group 3: Solid-State Battery Conferences - The Fourth Solid-State Battery Conference and Silicon-Based Anode Industry Innovation Conference will be held in Ningbo, Zhejiang, from July 3 to 5, featuring companies like CATL and BYD sharing pilot line progress and industrialization cases [7] - The Third China Solid-State Battery Technology Development and Market Outlook Summit will occur in Shanghai on July 8-9, covering the entire chain from material research and development to equipment implementation [7] - The Shanghai International Solid-State Battery Conference will be held from July 29 to 31, focusing on the research and development of all-solid-state battery materials, manufacturing process optimization, and market applications [9] Group 4: Artificial Intelligence Developments - Elon Musk announced that xAI will skip Grok 3.5 and directly launch Grok 4 after July 4, focusing on upgrading programming capabilities and restructuring the knowledge base [13] - OpenAI representatives indicated that GPT-5 will significantly outperform existing models, with a preliminary release date set for July [14] - The 2025 World Artificial Intelligence Conference will take place in Shanghai from July 26 to 28, featuring over 800 companies and showcasing more than 3,000 cutting-edge technology products [15] Group 5: Trade Policy Updates - The Trump administration's tariff policy will come into effect on July 9 if no agreement is reached with trade partners, with ongoing negotiations showing varying progress and disagreements among major countries [22][23]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of focusing on structural alpha opportunities in various sectors, particularly in real estate and metals, as market conditions evolve and performance indicators shift [4][5][6]. Group 1: Market Overview - In June, major A-share indices experienced an overall increase, with the ChiNext index rising by 6.1% [4]. - The Hong Kong stock market showed a fluctuating upward trend due to improved overseas conditions and domestic risk appetite [4]. Group 2: Real Estate Sector - The real estate sector is currently exhibiting weak beta, but structural highlights are emerging due to further regional and urban differentiation [5]. - From January to May 2025, the sales amount of commercial residential properties in key cities (Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Hangzhou, and Chengdu) increased by 14.4% [5]. - The transaction volume and price of land in 30 core cities tracked by Everbright rose, with a transaction area increase of 15.6% and a floor price increase of 23.9% [5]. Group 3: Metals Sector - The price of electrolytic aluminum reached a three-month high, indicating potential recovery in the steel sector's profitability towards historical average levels [6]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology revised the "Steel Industry Normative Conditions," which may positively impact steel companies [6]. Group 4: Copper Industry - LME copper inventory has dropped to a 22-month low, leading to tight copper supply outside the U.S. and a subsequent price increase due to short-covering [8]. - Domestic air conditioning production is expected to decline by 13% year-on-year from July to September, indicating a slowdown in demand [8]. Group 5: Semiconductor and Chemical Materials - The global semiconductor sales are projected to reach approximately $630.5 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of about 19.7% [9]. - The steady growth in the semiconductor market is expected to drive demand for semiconductor materials [9]. Group 6: Renewable Energy - The wind power sector is anticipated to see improved profitability due to stable pricing and cost reductions in components [10]. - The photovoltaic sector is expected to benefit from upcoming policies aimed at preventing excessive competition, with a focus on specific technologies and companies [10].

Overall Viewpoint - Wind power: The price of wind turbine units is stabilizing, and the trend towards larger units along with cost reductions in components will drive continuous improvement in profitability for the turbine segment through 2026. The 136 document reshapes the logic of new energy installations, as wind power has a favorable output curve, leading to a potential recovery in wind power development and power station sales. Short-term pressure is expected from June wind power bidding and Q2 performance, but the market is gradually digesting these issues, and expectations for improvement in related indicators are forming [2]. Component Segment - Attention is drawn to the trend of larger turbine units, particularly in the bearing segment, and investment opportunities in European offshore wind products. The current timing is crucial for performance realization [3]. Photovoltaics - This week, the price of polysilicon futures has rebounded due to news factors. After experiencing internal competition policies in Q4 2024 and a rush for installations in Q1 2025, the photovoltaic sector's debt repayment ability did not continue to deteriorate during Q1 2025. However, starting in May 2025, production and prices in the photovoltaic sector have declined, further worsening the sector's debt repayment and profitability. It is anticipated that supply or demand-side support policies will strengthen in the next phase, with a focus on BC cells, perovskite, silicon materials, and low-PB integrated companies [3]. Solid-State Batteries - The market for solid-state batteries has expanded to include copper foil, separators, and other segments, which are currently at low price levels and in distress, but may not have reversed yet. In the short term, there is a risk of a pullback in the solid-state battery sector. However, in the medium term, battery manufacturers are actively advancing semi-solid production lines and full solid-state experiments, leading to increased capital expenditure in the solid-state battery sector, supported by policies. Continuous attention is recommended for solid-state battery front and mid-process equipment, lithium sulfide, solid-state electrolyte membranes, and dry-process positive electrode technologies [3]. Energy Storage - There is a consensus in the market regarding the favorable outlook for large-scale energy storage in Europe and overseas commercial storage. However, there are differing views on the profitability improvement and demand rhythm for domestic large-scale storage following the 136 document. The good bidding data for large-scale storage in May-June is related to the "531" rush for installations and independent energy storage "land grabbing." The mid-term profitability improvement for large-scale storage relies on the construction of the electricity market and improved trading flexibility, while the peak-valley price difference remains cyclical. In the short term, large-scale storage still requires substantial subsidies, but the commercial model is expected to improve, necessitating continuous monitoring of large-scale storage bidding data changes in the second half of the year [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is entering the second phase of a bull market, with significant opportunities arising from upcoming mid-year earnings reports and structural market changes [22][23]. Market Performance - A-shares closed the first half of the year with major indices showing positive performance, particularly the military and aerospace sectors leading the gains [1][7]. - The A-share market saw a nearly 20% increase in the non-ferrous metals sector during the first half of the year [2][14]. - The total trading volume in the two markets reached 1.49 trillion yuan, with aerospace, medical, and photovoltaic sectors showing strong performance [5][6]. Market Drivers - Analysts attribute the recent market rebound to multiple favorable factors, including easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and the resurgence of new market hotspots such as stablecoins and military sectors [8][9][10][11]. - The gold price has risen by 34.8% year-to-date, contributing to the strength of the precious metals sector [14]. Earnings Reports and Investment Strategy - The upcoming mid-year earnings reports are expected to catalyze market movements, with July being a critical month for performance evaluations [15]. - Investment strategies should focus on sectors with high growth potential, particularly in military, new energy, and resource sectors like steel and chemicals [17]. Market Outlook - The current bull market phase is characterized by a focus on high internal return stocks and a potential revaluation of A-share valuations [22]. - Key investment themes include AI hardware and applications, humanoid robots, solid-state batteries, and innovative pharmaceuticals, which are expected to drive market growth [24][26]. - A balanced investment approach is recommended, combining growth and value styles to adapt to market fluctuations [26][27].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the rapid development and commercialization of sulfide all-solid-state batteries, highlighting their potential to surpass traditional liquid lithium batteries in energy density and safety [5][11]. - The energy density of sulfide all-solid-state batteries is expected to increase from 350 Wh/kg in 2025 to 500 Wh/kg by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 7.4%, significantly outpacing liquid lithium batteries [5]. - The commercialization timeline has accelerated, with large-scale production anticipated in 2026, one year ahead of the original plan, indicating unexpected technological breakthroughs [5]. Group 2 - The article discusses the current state of sulfide all-solid-state battery technology, noting that Chinese patent applications in 2024 are projected to be three times that of Japan, although Japan still holds 40% of global foundational patents [5]. - The article outlines the importance of supply chain security, emphasizing the localization of lithium sulfide production to reduce dependence on Japanese and Korean materials, which currently cost up to 2 million yuan per ton [6]. - The article highlights the expansion of end-use applications, particularly in aviation and military sectors due to the high safety characteristics of sulfide batteries [7]. Group 3 - Innovations in production processes, such as the integration of dry electrode technology with sulfide electrolyte membranes, are expected to reduce manufacturing costs by over 30% compared to traditional liquid batteries [8]. - The article notes that national policies are driving the industry, with China setting a target for vehicle installation by 2027, and many companies advancing their timelines by six months [9]. - The collaboration among industry players is crucial, as seen with CATL's extensive R&D team and pilot platform, which reflects the commitment to establishing industry standards [10]. Group 4 - The market window for sulfide batteries is projected to be critical from 2025 to 2030, with an expected global market size of $20 billion by 2030 and a compound annual growth rate exceeding 45% [11]. - The article details advancements in sulfide electrolyte materials, including breakthroughs in ionic conductivity and stability, which are essential for high-performance applications [13][15]. - The development of low-cost synthesis processes has led to a 40% reduction in material costs compared to 2023, enhancing the economic viability of sulfide batteries [16]. Group 5 - The agenda for the 2025 International Summit on Sulfide All-Solid-State Batteries includes the release of a white paper outlining the technology roadmap and key milestones for the industry [32]. - The establishment of the All-Solid-State Battery Industry Alliance aims to foster collaboration across the supply chain, focusing on critical technology challenges and breakthroughs [33][34]. - Specialized forums will address various technical topics, including the challenges of scaling up production and optimizing manufacturing processes for sulfide batteries [35][38].

Market Overview - On June 30, A-shares saw all three major indices rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.59%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.83%, and the ChiNext Index up by 1.35% [1] - The STAR Market Composite Index led the gains with an increase of 1.70% [2] - Over 4,000 stocks in the market experienced an increase [1] Hong Kong Market - On the same day, major indices in the Hong Kong stock market collectively declined, with the Hang Seng Technology Index down by 0.72% [4] - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.87% [5] Sector Performance - The defense and military sector saw the highest gains, with an increase of 4.35%, followed by media at 2.82% and telecommunications at 1.90% [7] - In contrast, non-bank financials decreased by 0.77%, banks by 0.34%, and transportation by 0.09% [7] Industry Highlights Solid-State Battery Technology - A pilot project for all-solid-state battery electric bicycles was launched in Beijing, marking a significant step towards the commercialization of solid-state battery products [8] - Century Securities reported that the solid-state battery industry is progressing towards commercialization, with a recent announcement from a U.S. company indicating a 25-fold increase in heat treatment speed, leading to a 76.67% increase in stock prices over two days [8] Defense and Military Sector - There has been a significant inflow of capital into the defense and military sector, with the Defense ETF rising by 4.88% [9] - Northeast Securities highlighted the long-term growth certainty of the defense and military sector, noting that the industry is expected to recover as demand increases and structural capacity improves [9]

Group 1 - The solid-state battery industry is experiencing dual drivers from policy and technology, with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology including all-solid-state batteries in the new industrial standard system, accelerating technological iteration and industrialization [1] - Solid-state batteries offer high energy density (semi-solid 350-400Wh/kg, all-solid over 500Wh/kg) and high safety advantages, with applications expanding in new energy vehicles, consumer electronics, and low-altitude economy [1] - It is expected that the global penetration rate of solid-state batteries will reach 3% (76GWh) by 2027 and increase to 8% (271GWh) by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 92% from 2024 to 2030 [1] Group 2 - In the industry chain, sulfide solid electrolytes are becoming the mainstream route for all-solid-state batteries, although current costs are high (hundreds of thousands of yuan per ton) [1] - Silicon-based anodes are seen as a medium-term solution, with production capacity expected to be released in 2025 [1] - The equipment sector is expected to see incremental space due to new process demands such as dry electrode and isostatic pressing [1] Group 3 - The mechanical ETF tracks a segmented mechanical index compiled by China Securities Index Co., Ltd., selecting listed company securities from the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets involved in engineering machinery and industrial robots to reflect the overall performance of quality enterprises in the mechanical equipment industry [1] - This index has strong industry representativeness and is suitable for investors focusing on the development of the mechanical equipment industry [1]