本周建筑材料赛道涨幅居前，北交所新股申购资金首次突破万亿元关口 ——北交所周报（1.19-1.23） 评级： 增持（维持） Email：fengsheng@zts.com.cn 分析师：万欣怡 执业证书编号：S0740524070005 Email：wanxy@zts.com.cn | 上市公司数 | 290 | | --- | --- | | 行业总市值(亿元) | 9,670.53 | | 行业流通市值(亿元) | 6,035.44 | 最近一年北证 50 VS 沪深 300 分析师：冯胜 执业证书编号：S0740519050004 本周北交所新股： 北交所 证券研究报告/行业定期报告 2026 年 01 月 26 日 北交所基本状况 本周暂无新股发行。按最新审核状态分类，2026 年 1 月 19 日-1 月 23 日更新信息： 17 家企业更新审核状态至已问询；4 家企业更新审核状态至上市委会议通过；3 家企 业更新审核状态至注册；1 家企业更新审核状态至上市委会议暂缓。 北交所相关新闻： 报告摘要 北交所行情概览： 1）整体行情：截至 2026 年 1 月 23 日，北证成份股 290 个，平均市值 ...

智通财经APP讯，瑞安房地产(00272)发布公告，董事会欣然宣布，于2026年1月26日，购买协议项下的 所有先决条件已获达成，且票据(将由Shui On Development发行于2029年到期的3亿美元9.75%优先票据) 发行亦已完成。 ...

每日经济新闻 （记者 曾健辉） 免责声明：本文内容与数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。据此操作，风险自担。 每经AI快讯，开源证券1月26日发布研报称，给予建发股份（600153.SH）"买入"评级。评级理由主要包 括：1）美凯龙及联发集团预计归母净利润为负，影响公司全年业绩；2）供应链运营业务稳健盈利，海 外业务规模同比增长；3）房产销售数据有所下降。风险提示：大宗商品经营不及预期、房地产行业恢 复不及预期。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——国际金价冲破5000美元！7年涨了280%，什么时候才见顶？专家：关键还 看美元，重点关注国际货币体系、降息和科技革命 ...

Core Viewpoint - UBS downgraded the rating of Henderson Land Development (00012) from "Buy" to "Neutral," citing that the risk and return have become balanced after the stock price increase driven by the recovery of the Hong Kong residential and office market [1] Group 1: Rating and Target Price - UBS raised the target price from HKD 29 to HKD 30.5 [1] Group 2: Dividend Sustainability Concerns - Recent market focus has been on the sustainability of the company's dividends [1] - The lack of whole property transactions and the 2025 agricultural land conversion project may lead to a projected negative free cash flow of HKD 4.8 billion after dividends in 2025 [1] Group 3: Dividend Reduction Scenarios - UBS's scenario analysis indicates that a potential 55% reduction in dividends (to HKD 0.81 per share) could achieve free cash flow balance, allowing the controlling family to receive more cash due to reduced shareholder loan contributions [1] - The probability-weighted dividend per share, assuming a 50% chance of a reduction to HKD 0.81, is calculated at HKD 1.3, with the current dividend yield at 4.3%, comparable to Cheung Kong Group (01113) [1] - This suggests that the market has partially reflected the risk of dividend reduction, further supporting UBS's view of balanced risk and return [1] - UBS maintains its forecast for Henderson Land's 2025 dividend per share at HKD 1.8 [1]

分析师：冯胜 执业证书编号：S0740519050004 Email：fengsheng@zts.com.cn 本周建筑材料赛道涨幅居前，北交所新股申购资金首次突破万亿元关口 ——北交所周报（1.19-1.23） 评级： 增持（维持） 分析师：万欣怡 执业证书编号：S0740524070005 Email：wanxy@zts.com.cn | 上市公司数 | 290 | | --- | --- | | 行业总市值(亿元) | 9,670.53 | | 行业流通市值(亿元) | 6,035.44 | 最近一年北证 50 VS 沪深 300 北交所 证券研究报告/行业定期报告 2026 年 01 月 26 日 报告摘要 北交所行情概览： 1）整体行情：截至 2026 年 1 月 23 日，北证成份股 290 个，平均市值 33.35 亿元。 本周北证 50 指数涨跌幅+2.58%，收盘 1588.66 点；同期沪深 300、创业板指、科创 50 涨跌幅分别为-0.68%、+0.36%、+3.11%。 2）赛道行情：本周 A 股涨幅前五的行业为建筑材料、钢铁、有色金属、化工、房地 产，涨幅分别为 7.50%、6.3 ...

Group 1 - The Chinese real estate market is entering a new phase of "stabilization" as the government prioritizes market stability as an economic baseline, focusing on structural recovery rather than a broad market rebound [1][4] - The macroeconomic focus is shifting from investment-driven growth to consumption-driven growth, with policy benefits directed towards sectors like elderly care, AI efficiency, and real demand [1][6] - The rise of independent brand websites indicates that Chinese companies are striving to reduce reliance on platforms, marking a significant shift in the e-commerce landscape [1][22] Group 2 - The demand for rare metals is increasing due to the rapid development of technology sectors such as new energy vehicles and AI, while supply is constrained by declining ore grades and limited new mining projects [10] - The Chinese duty-free market is becoming increasingly significant, bolstered by policies like the Hainan closure, which enhances the market position of large enterprises and promotes industry upgrades [8] - The competitive landscape in the food delivery industry is evolving towards a duopoly, with Meituan and Alibaba dominating the market, while other players like JD maintain a niche presence [20]

智通财经APP讯，中国奥园(03883)发布公告，于2026年1月7日，根据2024年3月20日发行的2028年到期 强制性可转换债券的转换而配发及发行5.14万股新股份。 ...

交通运输/物流 建发股份（600153.SH） 全年业绩短暂承压下滑，供应链运营业务稳健盈利 2026 年 01 月 26 日 投资评级：买入（维持） 股价走势图 -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 2025-01 2025-05 2025-09 建发股份 沪深300 数据来源：聚源 相关研究报告 《营收利润同比收缩，回款比例保持 高位—公司信息更新报告》-2025.9.2 《营收规模有所收缩，增强回报保护 股 东 利 益 — 公 司 信 息 更 新 报 告 》 -2025.4.17 ——公司信息更新报告 | 齐东（分析师） | 胡耀文（分析师） | | --- | --- | | qidong@kysec.cn | huyaowen@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790522010002 | 证书编号：S0790524070001 | |  | 全年业绩短暂承压下滑，供应链运营业务稳健盈利，维持"买入"评级 | 建发股份发布 2025 年业绩预告，公司预计 2025 年度实现归母净利润为-100 亿元 到-52 亿元，预计实现扣非归母净利润为-65 亿元到-33 亿元，同比转亏。受美凯 龙业 ...

21世纪经济报道记者 周潇枭 北京报道 近日，野村中国首席经济学家陆挺在京举行媒体见面会，主题为"2026年中国宏观经济分析与展望"。 陆挺表示， 2026年作为"十五五"的开局之年，预计中国会加大宏观政策力度，推动经济平稳运行。2026年中国有望推出更大规模的政府支出计划，预计赤 字率维持在4%左右的水平，超长期特别国债、地方专项债等规模适度增加；央行有望在二季度温和降准降息，预计下调政策利率10个基点、降准50个基 点。 陆挺进一步表示，为了推动经济运行在合理区间，2026年中国有必要推出更大力度的举措，包括清理房地产行业的债务问题、推进养老金制度改革为消费提 供更可持续的支撑、完善财政体系来更好地保护经营者等。 内需依然承压 2025年中国经济首次突破140万亿元，同比增长5%，顺利实现年初5%左右的增长目标。分季度来看，一季度国内生产总值同比增长5.4%，二季度增长 5.2%，三季度增长4.8%，四季度增长4.5%，整体呈现"前高后低"的走势。 2025年中国经济还延续了"供强需弱"的特征，内需表现偏弱。其中，2025年社会消费品零售总额50.12万亿元，比上年增长3.7%；全国固定资产投资（不含 农 ...

Industrial Sector - In January, daily average pig iron production and float glass operating rates remained stable, while asphalt and some chemical products saw a decline in operating rates[4] - The apparent demand for major steel products decreased, while cement clinker capacity utilization increased[4] - The operating rate for automotive semi-steel tires increased, while full-steel tire operating rates declined[20] Real Estate - New home sales in 30 major cities decreased by 38.5% year-on-year as of January 23, with a similar decline of 38.6% for the month of January[21] - The second-hand housing listing price index fell by 0.93% week-on-week, a decrease of 0.46 percentage points from the previous value[25] Domestic Demand - Retail sales of passenger cars from January 1 to 18 dropped by 28% year-on-year, with a slight expected increase of 0.3% for the entire month due to the Spring Festival timing[29] - Major home appliance retail sales fell by 34.5% year-on-year as of January 16, a decline of 3.3 percentage points from the previous value[33] - The volume of postal express deliveries decreased by 5.4% year-on-year as of January 18, a drop of 3.2 percentage points from the previous value[32] External Demand - Port cargo throughput increased by 3.4% year-on-year as of January 18, an improvement of 1.7 percentage points from the previous value[35] - Container throughput at ports rose by 7.6% year-on-year, also showing an increase from previous values[35] Price Trends - The Nanhua Industrial Index rose by 1.1%, while the Nanhua Black Raw Materials Index fell by 0.9% and the Nanhua Nonferrous Metals Index increased by 3.0%[36] - The agricultural product wholesale price index rose by 1.7% week-on-week[40]