【中国银行保险资产管理业协会贺竹君：近180万亿元大资管行业进入黄金发展期】"在当前发展的关键 阶段，金融市场改革持续深化，大资管行业加速进入了一个发展黄金期。"12月12日，在第十九届华夏 机构投资者年会上，中国银行保险资产管理业协会党委委员、秘书长贺竹君称。 据贺竹君介绍，目前，国内大资管市场受托管理总规模接近180万亿元，其中，由国家金融监督管理总 局监管的银行理财、保险资管、信托业务规模合计近百万亿元，银行理财与保险资管两者占比约70万亿 元。 贺竹君指出，银行理财与保险资管作为资管市场的核心力量，主要发挥三大职能：一是为居民财富长期 稳健增值提供丰富的产品工具，是市场主要的产品供给者；二是为资本市场稳定运行提供长期融资支 持，发挥基石投资者作用；三是为实体经济高质量发展注入持续金融"活水"，成为培育新质生产力所需 的长期资金、耐心资本和股权性资金的主要供给者。 此外，贺竹君还特别介绍了保险资金服务国家战略与赋能新质生产力的进展。 在重大战略领域，保险资金通过债权、股权投资计划支持长江经济带、京津冀协同发展、大湾区建设等 项目，登记规模超3万亿元；同时加大对医疗健康、绿色环保、新能源、半导体等产业的投 ...

自资管新规颁布实施后，我国资产管理行业总体呈现平稳发展态势，各类金融机构共同参与、优势 互补、良性竞争，总体形成了涵盖银行理财、公募基金、保险资管、信托、券商资管及私募基金等多条 子赛道的"大资管"行业版图。 近期，中信金控财富委资产管理工作室发布《国内资产管理行业报告（2025年三季度）》（以下简 称《报告》）。《报告》显示，截至2025年三季度末，我国资产管理行业累计规模达179.33万亿元，较 上年末增长8.21%。 截至2025年三季度末，主要领域规模稳步增长，呈现良性发展趋势。从细分数据看，银行理财 32.13万亿元，公募基金36.74万亿元；基金公司管理的养老金6.30万亿元，信托公司信托资产规模32.43 万亿元，保险资金运用余额36.23万亿元（截至二季度末）；证券期货经营机构私募资产管理业务12.58 万亿元，私募基金20.74万亿元（截至8月末）。 目前，多资产、多策略已成为理财行业的普遍共识。今年以来，银行理财行业持续健康发展，理财 存续规模达到32.13万亿元，创历史新高。 从资产配置策略看，银行理财产品资产配置增配现金及银行存款、公募基金，债券配置占比下降。 其中，现金及银行存款占比 ...

Core Insights - The asset management scale in Beijing's Xicheng District has exceeded 20 trillion yuan, accounting for over 50% of the city's total and more than 1/8 of the national total [1] - Xicheng District is home to a significant concentration of asset management institutions, with 8 institutions listed in the "Global Asset Management Institutions 500" by IPE, representing about 1/7 of the national total [1] - The district has established a comprehensive asset management system covering various financial sectors, including banking, securities, insurance, funds, and trusts [2] Industry Development - The Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) is central to the asset management ecosystem in Xicheng District, with over 270 listed companies and a total market value exceeding 900 billion yuan [3] - The district has seen a significant increase in qualified investors, surpassing 8 million, attracting various professional investors from public funds, private funds, social security, insurance, and annuities [3] - The bond market infrastructure is robust, with nearly 80% of national bond issuance and registration handled by central institutions, enhancing the market's operational mechanisms [3] Future Goals - Xicheng District aims to become a highland for asset management in China, focusing on diversified development and optimizing the asset management industry structure [4] - The district plans to accelerate the introduction of foreign asset management institutions and enhance professional service systems [4] - Efforts will be made to attract more asset management institutions and financial talent, aiming to create a modern asset management hub with leading industry scale and innovation [4]

Core Viewpoint - By the end of 2024, China's total asset management scale is expected to reach 150 trillion yuan, indicating significant growth across various asset management sectors despite regulatory challenges and a shift towards financial disintermediation [1][5]. Group 1: Historical Development of Asset Management - The asset management industry in China has evolved significantly since the introduction of bank wealth management products in 2004, with key milestones including the rise of trust companies in 2011 and the implementation of the Asset Management New Regulations in 2018 [2]. - The industry has transitioned from rapid growth to a more regulated and transparent environment, with the establishment of wealth management subsidiaries and a focus on compliance since 2019 [2][5]. Group 2: Current Market Dynamics - As of the end of 2024, the total asset management scale in China is projected to be 157.04 trillion yuan, marking a 13.09% increase from the previous year, the highest growth rate since the introduction of the new regulations [5][6]. - The trust sector has shown the highest growth rate at 23.58%, closely followed by public funds at 20.39% and insurance at 15.08%, while bank wealth management grew by 11.75% [5][6]. Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights Bank Wealth Management - By the end of 2024, bank wealth management is expected to approach 30 trillion yuan, reflecting a recovery from previous declines due to market volatility [9][10]. - The share of bank wealth management in the overall asset management market has decreased from 38.91% in 2012 to 19.07% in 2024, as other sectors like public funds and insurance have gained traction [10]. Trust Sector - The trust industry experienced significant contraction from 2018 to 2020 but has since rebounded, with a notable increase in scale and a shift towards more diversified and professional asset management services [14][15]. Public Funds - Public funds have grown from 846 million yuan in 2000 to 32.83 trillion yuan by the end of 2024, benefiting from favorable market conditions and the shift towards net asset value-based products [16][17]. Insurance Asset Management - Insurance asset management has shown steady growth, reaching over 30 trillion yuan by the end of 2024, with a market share increase from 11.46% in 2016 to 21.18% in 2024 [18][19]. Securities Asset Management - The securities asset management sector has faced significant declines since 2018, with a 7.76% drop in 2024, reflecting the impact of regulatory changes and a shift away from traditional channel-based business models [20][21].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the non-bank financial sector [2] Core Insights - The trend of "deposit migration" is likened to "living water" for wealth, facilitating an influx of incremental funds into risk assets. The continuous decline in deposit rates encourages clients to seek higher returns and diversified allocations, prompting financial institutions to innovate products that meet varying risk-return needs [3][4] - The non-bank financial sector presents significant investment opportunities due to performance elasticity, with the capital market entering a valuation recovery phase. The report outlines three phases of a bull market: valuation repair, hot sector rotation, and valuation bubble [3][4] - The report highlights a clear trend of increasing fixed-term deposits among residents, with the proportion exceeding 70% in early 2023 and projected to reach 72.28% by 2025, indicating a shift in savings behavior [16][21] Summary by Sections 1. Deposit Section: Turning Point of Wealth Migration - The report discusses the ongoing trend of wealth migration among residents, emphasizing the shift towards riskier assets as deposit rates decline [3][4] 2. Macro Trends: Sources of Increased Risk Appetite - The report identifies that the decline in deposit rates and the search for higher returns are driving residents to explore various financial products, including bank wealth management and public funds [3][4] 3. Asset Management Section: Adjustments in the "Dumbbell Structure" - The report notes that the asset management sector is experiencing a shift as residents move from traditional savings to more diversified investment products, reflecting a broader trend in wealth management [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - The newly implemented "Regulations on the Appropriateness Management of Financial Institution Products" (referred to as "Regulation No. 7") aims to enhance the transparency and integrity of financial product sales, particularly those with uncertain returns and potential principal loss, by prohibiting misleading practices in product promotion and sales [1][4][5]. Group 1: Overview of Regulation No. 7 - Regulation No. 7 was officially released after a three-and-a-half-month consultation period, introducing stricter guidelines for financial institutions regarding the promotion and sale of investment products [1][2]. - The regulation specifically targets investment-type products, including asset management products and other financial products, which are primarily regulated by the former China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission [2][3]. Group 2: Prohibited Practices - Financial institutions are now prohibited from misleading or inducing customers to purchase products through performance manipulation or improper presentation [4][6]. - The regulation addresses practices such as obscuring product nature, confusing product categories, exaggerating product advantages, and selectively displaying performance data [6]. Group 3: Performance Disclosure and Management - The regulation emphasizes the need for clear performance disclosure, aligning with previous guidelines issued by the National Financial Regulatory Administration regarding asset management product information disclosure [7][8]. - The phenomenon of "new product ranking," where newly launched financial products exhibit inflated returns to attract investors, is highlighted as a concern that the regulation aims to mitigate [9]. Group 4: Investor Classification and Risk Assessment - Regulation No. 7 mandates the classification of investment products by risk level and requires an assessment of investors' risk tolerance, distinguishing between professional and ordinary investors [10][14]. - The regulation specifies that only products rated below an investor's risk level can be purchased, ensuring that investments align with the investor's risk capacity [14][15]. Group 5: Special Considerations for High-Age Clients - Financial institutions are required to exercise special care when dealing with clients aged 65 and above, implementing stricter operational procedures for high-risk product sales [18][19]. Group 6: Risk Assessment Frequency and Validity - The regulation standardizes the validity period for risk tolerance assessments to twelve months, limiting the frequency of assessments to prevent excessive evaluations aimed at selling high-risk products [20].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the public fund industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - Public funds in China have core advantages over bank wealth management subsidiaries and insurance asset management, including high specialization, flexible transparency, and market-oriented operation mechanisms. The long-term core competitiveness lies in active equity investment, supported by in-depth industry research and diversified strategy tools [2] - The governance of companies is improving, and increased dividends from listed companies are fostering long-term capital. Public funds are expected to become the core managers of long-term funds, which will enhance market resilience and risk resistance [2] - Public funds are advancing towards platform-based, integrated, and multi-strategy development to achieve high-quality growth. This includes the integration of IT systems for comprehensive data analysis and resource collaboration, enhancing decision-making efficiency [2] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Positioning - Public funds are positioned as the "vanguard" of the asset management industry, with a management scale of approximately 31.77 trillion yuan, ranking second in the industry [11] 2. Development Path - The overall scale of the public fund industry is stabilizing and recovering, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.1% from 2016 to 2024, compared to other asset management products [5] 3. Market Opportunities - The total assets of Chinese residents are estimated to be around 550 trillion yuan, with financial assets accounting for approximately 32%, indicating a growing trend towards capital market investments [4] 4. Structural Changes - As of the first quarter of 2025, the scale of money market funds and bond funds has expanded to 13.33 trillion yuan and 10.10 trillion yuan, respectively, while mixed funds have seen a decline of about 15% since the end of 2023 [15]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for banks and securities [10] Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery in wealth management product yields and an increase in the scale of bank wealth management products, with a total scale of 30.95 trillion yuan as of April 2025, up by 2.06 trillion yuan month-on-month [2][3][17] - The report suggests focusing on high-quality individual stocks, recommending China Merchants Bank (招商银行) and securities firms with strong advantages in the wealth management industry, such as Guangfa Securities (广发证券) and Dongfang Securities (东方证券) [2][17] Summary by Sections Bank Wealth Management - In April 2025, the total number of wealth management products issued was 5,985, a decrease of 3.2% month-on-month, while the total scale of bank wealth management products reached 30.95 trillion yuan, an increase of 7.15% month-on-month [3][38] - The overall yield of wealth management products has increased, driven by a strong bond market, although equity product yields have declined due to market volatility [3][18] Public Funds - As of the end of April 2025, the total scale of public funds reached 31.92 trillion yuan, up by 0.99% month-on-month and 9.84% year-on-year [4][17] - The issuance of public funds in April was 92.5 billion units, a decrease of 8.36% month-on-month, while stock ETF shares and net asset values increased by 4% to 2.03 trillion units and 2.95 trillion yuan, respectively [4][17] Securities Asset Management - As of Q4 2024, the scale of securities asset management was 6.10 trillion yuan, down by 3% quarter-on-quarter, with new issuance in April 2025 totaling 2.322 billion units, a decrease of 8.57% [5][17] Private Funds - As of the end of March 2025, the total scale of private funds was 19.97 trillion yuan, with a slight month-on-month increase of 0.17% [6][17] - The newly registered scale of private securities investment funds increased significantly year-on-year, with a total of 329.78 billion yuan, up by 232.74% [6][17] Insurance Asset Management - As of Q4 2024, the balance of insurance funds reached 33.26 trillion yuan, an increase of 15.08% year-on-year, with investments in bonds and stocks both increasing [7][17] Trusts - As of Q2 2024, the total asset scale of the trust industry was 27.00 trillion yuan, an increase of 12.87% year-to-date and 24.52% year-on-year [8][17] - In April 2025, the issuance scale of trust products was 20.555 billion yuan, a significant decrease of 78.84% month-on-month [8][17]