其 他 报 告 2025年07月01日 晨会纪要 | 国内市场 | | 涨跌幅（%） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数 | 收盘 | 1日 | 上周 | | 上证综合指数 | 3444 | 0.59 | 1.91 | | 深证成份指数 | 10465 | 0.83 | 3.73 | | 沪深300指数 | 3936 | 0.37 | 1.95 | | 创业板指数 | 2153 | 1.35 | 5.69 | | 上证国债指数 | 226 | 0.04 | 0.02 | | 上证基金指数 | 6939 | 0.11 | 0.37 | 资料来源:同花顺iFinD | 海外市场 | | 涨跌幅（%） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数 | 收盘 | 1日 | 上周 | | 中国香港恒生指数 | 24072 | -0.87 | 3.20 | | 中国香港国企指数 | 8678 | -0.96 | 2.76 | | 中国台湾加权指数 | 22256 | -1.44 | 2.42 | | 道琼斯指数 | 43819 | 1.00 | 3.82 | | ...

Core Insights - On June 26, 2025, a total of 310 ETF funds experienced net buying from major funds, while 263 ETF funds faced net selling [1] - The top five ETFs with net buying exceeding 100 million yuan included Credit Bond ETF Dachen, National Bond ETF, 5-Year Local Bond ETF, 0-4 Year Local Bond ETF, and 30-Year National Bond ETF Boshi, with net buying amounts of 2.32 billion yuan, 1.56 billion yuan, 1.36 billion yuan, 1.02 billion yuan, and 960 million yuan respectively [3][5] - Among stock ETFs, 64 funds saw net buying over 10 million yuan, with the top five being CSI A500 ETF, Sci-Tech Innovation Index ETF Huaxia, Bank ETF, Sci-Tech 50 ETF, and Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF, with net buying amounts of 584 million yuan, 107 million yuan, 89 million yuan, 77 million yuan, and 77 million yuan respectively [5][7] Net Buying and Selling Trends - Major funds have continuously net bought 201 ETFs recently, with the top five being Entrepreneur Large Cap ETF (28 days), Hong Kong Stock Connect Pharmaceutical ETF (12 days), Nasdaq ETF (11 days), Nasdaq 100 ETF (10 days), and Hang Seng Pharmaceutical ETF (9 days), with net buying amounts of 327 million yuan, 202 million yuan, 248 million yuan, 105 million yuan, and 633 million yuan respectively [9][11] - Conversely, 109 ETFs have seen continuous net selling, with the top five being Bank ETF Southern (10 days), Innovative Drug ETF (9 days), Bank ETF Leader (8 days), Bank AH Preferred ETF (8 days), and Pharmaceutical ETF (8 days), with net selling amounts of 165 million yuan, 75 million yuan, 97 million yuan, 89 million yuan, and 41 million yuan respectively [15][16] Recent Performance - Over the past five days, 87 ETFs have experienced net buying exceeding 100 million yuan, with the top five being Credit Bond ETF Fund, Company Bond ETF, Hong Kong Securities ETF, Credit Bond ETF Boshi, and Policy Financial Bond ETF, with net buying amounts of 13.93 billion yuan, 4.98 billion yuan, 4.72 billion yuan, 4.35 billion yuan, and 3.56 billion yuan respectively [18][20] - In contrast, 18 ETFs have seen net selling exceeding 100 million yuan, with the top five being Yin Hua Daily ETF, Credit Bond ETF, Short-term Bond ETF, Hua Bao Tian Yi ETF, and National Bond ETF Dongcai, with net selling amounts of 1.43 billion yuan, 379 million yuan, 342 million yuan, 320 million yuan, and 255 million yuan respectively [22][24]

海富通基金表示，未来将持续提升债券ETF的市场影响力，力争打造更具规模和影响力的债券ETF产品 线。在公募基金行业深化改革的背景下，公司将始终坚持以投资者回报为导向的理念，持续为投资者提 供优质的产品与服务。 MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ 责任编辑：何俊熹 短融ETF（511360）作为一款低风险、高流动性的短期资金管理工具，其规模和流动性长期位居债券 ETF前列，深受投资者认可。今年以来，其规模增长已超200亿元。城投债ETF（511220）是专注于城 投债投资的ETF产品，为投资者提供了一篮子城投债投资的有效工具，今年以来规模增长超60亿元。信 用债ETF（511190）紧密跟踪上证基准做市公司债指数，是市场上首批可作为通用质押式回购担保品的 信用债ETF之一，最新规模达到122.77亿元，自今年1月成立以来规模增长已超90亿元。 此外，在利率债领域，海富通基金已布局5年期地方债ETF（511060）和10年期地方债ETF（511270）； 在可转债领域，海富通基金推出的上证可转债ETF（511180）成为市场上较为稀缺的可转债ETF产品之 一。公司旗下债券ETF产品全面覆盖信用债、利率债和可转 ...

新华财经北京6月9日电（王菁）在首批信用债ETF试点质押式回购业务正式落地后，又一只信用债ETF 规模突破百亿。截至6月6日，海富通上证基准做市公司债ETF（扩位简称：信用债ETF；基金代码： 511190）规模首次突破百亿，达到102.52亿元。自6月6日起，该基金可申报作为质押券进行质押式回购 交易，是市场上首批可作为通用质押式回购担保品的信用债ETF之一。 信用债ETF（511190）跟踪上证基准做市公司债指数，该指数从上海证券交易所上市的债券中，选取符 合上交所基准做市品种规则的债券作为指数样本，以反映上海证券交易所流动性较好债券的整体表现。 指数成份券主要由资质优良的AAA级债券构成，发行人以央国企为主，信用评级高，且在交易所均有 做市支持，流动性较好，信用风险较低。 在市场环境、政策导向和产品扩容的多重作用下，信用债ETF今年以来已成为债券型ETF的"吸金"主力 军。6月6日，经中国证券登记结算有限责任公司和交易所同意，9只信用债ETF被正式纳入回购质押 库。业内人士表示，通用质押式回购业务有助于投资者提高资金使用效率，满足多元投资策略，从而进 一步提升信用债ETF的吸引力。 （文章来源：新华财经 ...

固定收益丨深度报告 [Table_Title] 2025 年地方债投资一本通（上） 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 27 research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 本报告为《地方债投资指南》系列的上篇，主要从一级市场发行特征和二级市场交易特征视角 观察地方债投资价值。近年来，地方债发行节奏月末冲刺现象显著，定价机制逐步市场化，锚 定国债收益率且利率贴近投标下限，但少数地区存在"发飞"现象。银行、保险等配置型机构 主导使其在调整期展现抗跌属性。地方债在利率下行周期中配置价值凸显，区域间浮盈分化明 显，经济发达地区套利空间较小，特殊再融资债及低"发飞"地区浮盈概率较高。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵增辉 赖逸儒 SAC：S0490524080003 SAC：S0490524120005 SFC：BVN394 SFC：BVZ968 %% %% %% %% %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 [Table_Title2] 2025 年地方债投资一本通（上） [Table_Summary2] 地方债发行节 ...

Core Insights - The total trading volume of non-monetary ETFs reached 203.06 billion yuan, with 50 ETFs exceeding 1 billion yuan in trading volume [1] - The top three ETFs by trading volume were Short-term Bond ETF, Policy Financial Bond ETF, and 30-Year Treasury Bond ETF, with volumes of 13.40 billion, 11.81 billion, and 7.70 billion yuan respectively [1] - The highest turnover rates were recorded by S&P Consumer ETF, S&P 500 ETF, and New Economy ETF, with rates of 723.92%, 502.64%, and 377.92% respectively [1][7] Trading Volume Summary - Short-term Bond ETF (511360.SH) had a trading volume of 13.40 billion yuan, with a recent average daily trading volume of 10.04 billion yuan over the last 5 days [2] - Policy Financial Bond ETF (511520.SH) recorded a trading volume of 11.81 billion yuan, with a recent average daily trading volume of 8.26 billion yuan over the last 20 days [2] - 30-Year Treasury Bond ETF (511090.SH) achieved a trading volume of 7.70 billion yuan, with a recent average daily trading volume of 9.23 billion yuan over the last 5 days [3] Turnover Rate Summary - S&P Consumer ETF (159529.SZ) had a turnover rate of 723.92%, indicating high trading activity [7] - S&P 500 ETF (159612.SZ) recorded a turnover rate of 502.64%, reflecting significant investor interest [7] - New Economy ETF (159822.SZ) had a turnover rate of 377.92%, showcasing its popularity among investors [7] ETF Performance Summary - Short-term Bond ETF's trading volume increased by 41.00% compared to the previous trading day, indicating a surge in interest [2] - Policy Financial Bond ETF's trading volume grew by 29.16% from the previous day, showing increased market activity [3] - S&P 500 ETF's trading volume rose by 57.88% compared to the previous trading day, reflecting strong demand [3] ETF Rankings by Trading Volume - The top five ETFs by trading volume included Short-term Bond ETF, Policy Financial Bond ETF, 30-Year Treasury Bond ETF, Credit Bond ETF, and Gold ETF, with volumes of 13.40 billion, 11.81 billion, 7.70 billion, 6.75 billion, and 6.14 billion yuan respectively [4] - The rankings indicate a strong preference for bond-related ETFs among investors [4] ETF Rankings by Turnover Rate - The top three ETFs by turnover rate were S&P Consumer ETF, S&P 500 ETF, and New Economy ETF, with rates of 723.92%, 502.64%, and 377.92% respectively [7] - This highlights the active trading environment for these ETFs, particularly in the consumer and technology sectors [7]

Group 1 - The short-term bond ETF (511360) has seen significant trading activity, with a net inflow of over 900 million yuan on May 15, and a total of over 7.4 billion yuan in the last 10 trading days [1] - As of May 15, the total scale of the short-term bond ETF reached a historical high of 40.041 billion yuan, with a circulating share of 358 million [1] - The ETF tracks the CSI Short-term Bond Index, which selects investment-grade short-term bonds from the interbank market to reflect the overall performance of such bonds [1] Group 2 - The total management scale of bond ETFs by Hai Fu Tong Fund has exceeded 71.3 billion yuan, growing over 40% since the beginning of the year [1] - According to Huachuang Securities, in the first quarter of 2025, bond funds are expected to increase allocations to financial bonds, medium-term notes, short-term financing bonds, and treasury bonds, while slightly reducing allocations to corporate bonds and government-supported agency bonds [1] - The implementation of the dual reduction policy and the emphasis on quantitative tools in monetary policy are expected to favor the short end of the market, potentially leading to trend opportunities if funding rates decline [2]

据了解，海富通基金致力于打造债券ETF旗舰品牌，目前是全市场债券ETF数量最多、品类最丰富、规 模最大的基金公司，旗下包括短融ETF（511360）、上证可转债ETF（511180）、城投债ETF （511220）、10年地方债ETF（511270）、5年地方债ETF（511060）和信用债ETF（511190），涵盖了 信用债、利率债、可转债不同种类，债券久期横跨中短长，能够满足投资者多样化的配置需求。 新华财经北京5月13日电今年以来，在全球宏观环境不确定的背景下，叠加当前存款利率不断下行和货 币持续宽松态势，债券ETF凭借其独特产品特性获得了市场资金的持续关注。截至5月12日，海富通基 金旗下6只债券ETF总管理规模突破700亿元，创下历史新高。 在业内人士看来，债券ETF规模的持续增长，或得益于市场需求等多重因素的共同推动。一方面，债券 ETF作为资产配置的重要工具之一，具备风险收益特征清晰、底层资产透明以及仓位稳定等突出优点， 能够满足各类型投资者的多样化配置需求。另一方面，债券ETF还具备较高的灵活性和流动性，不仅投 资ETF的门槛较低，且操作十分便利，采用T+0交易机制，为中低风险偏好的投资者提 ...

肖斐斐 ｜中信证券银行业首席分析师 S1010510120057 银行｜量化回测：银行"质优"与"价美"的回测视角 从银行板块量化回测结果看：低估值策略小幅贡献超额收益，同时可有效降低回撤；基本面因子中，高ROE和高"拨 贷比-不良率-关注率"策略表现占优，而短期改善策略表现均不佳；所有策略中，基于基本面+估值因子的高ROE/PB 和高"（拨贷比-不良率-关注率）×股息率"策略，2011年以来累计超额收益均达到300%+且超额稳定，反映"质 优"与"价美"对银行股投资的重要性。 风险因素：宏观经济增速大幅下行；银行资产质量超预期恶化；监管与行业政策的不利变化；量化回测结果的阶段性 失效。 铜行业｜关税扰动或推动铜价重回巅峰时刻 近期美国进口铜关税预期不断升级，COMEX铜价以及较LME价差创阶段新高。关税预期强化或导致美国短期缺口难 解，COMEX交易的持续性和幅度料将不断得到验证。美国加征关税对我国需求的抑制或有限，反而可能会制约我国 精炼铜和废铜进口。叠加政策暖风频吹，交易面和基本面加速共振，铜价有望冲击前高。全面推荐铜板块投资价值。 风险因素：铜价大幅下跌的风险；美国关税预期波动及其引发的铜价交易风险； ...