Core Insights - The trend towards pure electric vehicles (EVs) is becoming increasingly clear in the automotive industry [1] - Market data indicates a 20% increase in pure electric vehicle sales in October, while range-extended models saw a 20% decline [1][2] Group 1: Industry Trends - The automotive industry requires product decisions to be made two to three years in advance, making it challenging to predict future trends [1] - There has been a shift in consumer mindset, with users becoming more accepting of the development of pure electric technology [2] Group 2: Company Positioning - The company will continue to adhere to a technology route that aligns with market trends and will improve products and business models based on market feedback [2] - The founder of the company expressed that large battery range-extended vehicles compromise on design aspects to accommodate their transitional role, affecting battery usability, range, cost, and weight compared to pure electric products [1]

专题：2025广州国际车展 对于"有人认为大电池的增程就是纯电"这个观点，李斌表示，大电池增程车型在前备箱空间、后备箱空 间布置增程器油箱等方面会做出妥协，以适应其作为过渡方案的定位。此外，电池容量虽大，但仍需为 纯电行驶区间做设计上的调整，导致其在电池可用区间、续航能力、成本和重量等方面相比纯电产品有 所牺牲。 "这只是我的理解，不代表用户的看法。这个最后还是市场说了算。如果大家都买大电池增城，那说明 他们就对了。"但李斌也表示，目前市场数据显示，纯电车型的销量在增长10月份增长了20%，而增程 车型则有所下降，10月份下降了20%。 用户的心智也在发生变化，倾向于更加接受纯电技术的发展方向。公司将继续坚持符合趋势的技术路 线，并根据市场反馈不断改进和改善产品与商业模式。 责任编辑：李思阳 11月21日，在广州车展上，蔚来汽车创始人、董事长、CEO李斌表示，纯电趋势已经越来越清楚。 李斌表示，汽车行业的产品决策通常需要提前两三年去预判未来的趋势。很多友商两年前或三年前决策 做增程路线的产品，这个路线完全可以理解。 "因为在那个时间点，这个增程确实是巅峰的时期，在那个时间点有大的大增城大的SUV的产品，不管 ...

Core Insights - The overall range of electric vehicles (EVs) continues to grow, particularly for pure electric vehicles from 2018 to 2023, with a notable increase in models offering ranges of 300-400 kilometers by 2025 [1][9] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has published 22 batches of tax-exempt new energy vehicle models, with a total of 4,460 models listed for 2025, including 414 new models in October, indicating a decrease compared to previous quarters and the same period in 2024 [1][2] - The technology of tax-exempt models has shown steady improvement, with many pure electric passenger vehicles exceeding 600 kilometers in range as of October [1][9] Summary by Category 1. Tax-Exempt Vehicle Directory for 2025 - The 2025 tax-exempt directory includes 4,460 new energy vehicle models, with 414 new models added in October, reflecting a decrease from previous months in 2024 [2] - The overall number of new energy passenger vehicles in the directory for 2024-2025 is significantly higher than in previous years, indicating robust growth in the sector [3] 2. Changes in Powertrain Structure - The market for range-extended and plug-in hybrid vehicles is expected to see significant growth in 2025, despite a weaker performance in recent years [5] - Pure electric vehicles remain dominant in the bus segment, while hydrogen fuel vehicles are gaining attention, although no new hydrogen fuel passenger vehicles have been launched since the second half of 2024 [5] 3. Battery Energy Density - The energy density of batteries in pure electric vehicles has been gradually increasing, with a notable market push expected in 2025, particularly for models with energy densities around 130-145 Wh/kg [10][11] - Plug-in hybrids generally exhibit lower energy densities, with many products falling within the 100-120 Wh/kg range, while range-extended vehicles are increasingly equipped with high-energy-density batteries [11] 4. Electric Vehicle Range Analysis - The average range of pure electric passenger vehicles has reached 528 kilometers, with a growing number of models exceeding 600 kilometers in range by 2025 [9] - The average range for plug-in hybrid vehicles is around 137 kilometers, primarily concentrated in the 100-200 kilometer range, while range-extended vehicles average 205 kilometers [9] 5. Battery Technology and Market Trends - The market for battery technology is evolving, with a focus on higher energy densities and improved performance metrics for new energy vehicles, reflecting a shift towards more competitive and efficient products [10][11] - The introduction of new models from domestic brands such as BYD, Changan, and Geely is enhancing market competitiveness, with some models achieving low energy consumption rates [14][16]

Core Insights - The automotive market in September 2025 experienced both month-on-month and year-on-year growth, with retail sales reaching 2.241 million units, a 6.3% increase year-on-year and an 11.0% increase month-on-month [1] - The overall retail sales for the year reached 17.005 million units, marking a 9.2% year-on-year increase, setting a new historical peak [1] - The market is shifting towards a more stable operation characterized by reduced price competition and moderate promotions, driven by a wave against "involution" [1] Domestic Brands Performance - Domestic brands captured 66.9% of the market share in September, with retail sales of 1.5 million units, reflecting a 13% year-on-year increase and a 12.9% month-on-month increase [2] - From January to September, the market share of domestic brands was 64.8%, up 5.9 percentage points from the previous year [2] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles (NEVs) among domestic brands reached 78.1%, solidifying their position as a sales engine [2] - BYD, while still leading domestic brands, saw a 5.52% year-on-year decline in September sales, totaling 396,200 units, ending an 18-month growth streak [2][4] Key Competitors in Domestic Market - Geely and Chery are gaining traction in the NEV market, with Geely reporting sales of 273,100 units in September, a 35.24% year-on-year increase [4] - Chery, which went public in Hong Kong in September, achieved sales of 255,600 units, a year-on-year increase of 8.90% [4] - Changan and Great Wall Motors also reported significant growth, with Changan's sales at 266,300 units (up 24.92% year-on-year) and Great Wall's at over 133,600 units (up 23.29% year-on-year) [5] Joint Venture and Luxury Brands - Joint venture brands faced challenges, with retail sales of 490,000 units in September, down 6% year-on-year, despite a 4% month-on-month increase [6] - Luxury brands sold 240,000 units, down 1% year-on-year, but up 16% month-on-month, with a NEV penetration rate of 40% [6] - Volkswagen's joint ventures showed mixed results, with SAIC Volkswagen achieving a record high of 94,100 units sold, while FAW-Volkswagen experienced a year-on-year decline [6] New Energy Vehicle Market Dynamics - The new energy vehicle segment is seeing a shift, with the penetration of pure electric vehicles increasing significantly [12] - The new energy vehicle market is characterized by a growing share of small and high-end electric vehicles, driven by declining battery costs and the introduction of new models [12] - The market share of independent new energy brands reached 12.5%, up 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, with brands like Deep Blue and Zeekr performing well [12] Emerging Players in the Market - New energy vehicle startups are showing strong performance, with Leap Motor leading the segment with approximately 66,700 units delivered in September, a 97% year-on-year increase [8] - Xiaopeng and Xiaomi both surpassed 40,000 units in monthly sales, marking a significant milestone for the new energy vehicle sector [11] - Overall, the new energy vehicle startups achieved a retail market share of 20.2% in September, up 3.4 percentage points year-on-year [11]

Core Viewpoint - The strong performance of domestic automobile sales and the reintroduction of subsidy policies in multiple regions have positively impacted Hong Kong's automotive stocks [1] Industry Performance - The China Automobile Dealers Association's Passenger Car Market Information Joint Conference reported that in August, retail, export, wholesale, and production of passenger cars reached historical highs for the month, indicating a robust market recovery [2] - In August, the retail sales of passenger cars reached 1.995 million units, a year-on-year increase of 4.6% and a month-on-month increase of 8.2%. Cumulatively, 14.741 million units were sold from January to August, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.5% [4] Policy Impact - A new round of funding has led to the recent reintroduction of automobile consumption subsidies in various regions, which is expected to further boost automobile sales [3] - The "national subsidy" is anticipated to contribute to a 10% increase in sales, with over 180 billion yuan allocated for trade-in subsidies this year, which is expected to drive a similar growth rate as last year [12] Market Trends - The market is shifting towards a trend of "reducing price wars and stabilizing promotions," leading to a more stable automotive market environment [5] - In August, the retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 1.101 million units, marking a year-on-year increase of 7.5% and a month-on-month increase of 11.6%. Cumulatively, 7.556 million units were sold from January to August, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25.8% [6] New Energy Vehicle Insights - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in domestic retail sales exceeded 50% for the sixth consecutive month, reaching 55.2% in August. Exports of new energy vehicles also saw a significant year-on-year increase of 102.7%, totaling 204,000 units, which accounted for 18.5% of the monthly retail sales [7][9] - In the segmented market, pure electric vehicles maintained high growth, with wholesale sales in August showing a year-on-year increase of 38.5%. In contrast, the wholesale sales of range-extended vehicles decreased by 9.5% year-on-year [10]

Core Insights - The sales momentum of new energy vehicles (NEVs) remains strong in the first half of the year, with significant improvements in various technical aspects such as power structure, range, and battery energy density [1][2][4] Group 1: Sales and Market Trends - In June, the wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 1.26 million units, a year-on-year increase of 29%, with a total of 6.47 million units sold in the first half of the year, marking a 38% year-on-year growth [2] - The number of new energy vehicle models in the tax exemption directory for 2025 is 2,533, which is fewer compared to previous years, indicating a stable technical upgrade in exempt models [2][3] Group 2: Technical Developments - The majority of new pure electric passenger vehicles launched this year have a range exceeding 600 kilometers, with a notable increase in high-energy density battery products [2][4] - The market for short-range products is diminishing, while the demand for low-speed electric vehicles remains significant, suggesting potential growth in this segment [6] Group 3: Product Differentiation - Hydrogen fuel commercial vehicles have gained traction due to substantial subsidies, surpassing plug-in hybrids in the number of models submitted for approval [3] - The new models of plug-in hybrids are primarily focused on higher mileage, with most having a range of 100-200 kilometers, while range-extended vehicles are also seeing rapid growth [7] Group 4: Cost and Performance Considerations - The industry is shifting from merely competing on data to a more pragmatic approach, with manufacturers focusing on safety, cost, and overall performance of new models [8] - The effective control of battery costs has allowed manufacturers to offer vehicles with high ranges (500-600 kilometers) at lower price points, enhancing market accessibility [8]

Core Insights - The fifth International Forum on Automotive Power Systems was held in Shanghai, focusing on the diverse development of global automotive power systems [1] - Xu Changming presented a keynote report on the current status and future prospects of the hybrid vehicle market in China and abroad [1] Hybrid Vehicle Market in China - Since 2021, China's hybrid vehicle sales (including HEV, PHEV, REEV) have experienced exponential growth, with an annual growth rate of at least 50%, increasing from less than 1 million to nearly 6 million units [3] - PHEVs have seen a rapid increase in market share, reaching 62.6% last year and 62.7% in the first four months of this year, while HEV's share is declining [3] - The rapid development of PHEVs and range-extended vehicles is attributed to three main factors: supply-side push from brands like BYD and Li Auto, consumer preference for better economy and driving experience, and supportive government policies [3][4] Government Policies and Future Outlook - PHEVs and range-extended vehicles enjoy similar incentives as pure electric vehicles, with expectations that these policies will remain largely unchanged or slightly adjusted in the next 2-3 years [4] - There is a potential for PHEVs and range-extended vehicles to surpass pure electric vehicles in market share in the short term [4] Global Hybrid Vehicle Market Trends - The hybrid vehicle market overseas has also seen rapid growth, with a growth rate of 20%-30% in 2023, slightly lower than China's market [4] - In the overseas market, HEVs dominate with a share of about 78%, while PHEVs account for approximately 20% [4] - The only regions where hybrid vehicles have a higher market share than in China are Japan and South Korea, where hybrids account for about one-third of the market [4] Opportunities for Chinese Hybrid Vehicles Abroad - Chinese hybrid vehicles are expected to play a significant role in the global hybrid market, with Brazil projected to have the highest sales of Chinese brand hybrids at 59,000 units in 2024, primarily PHEVs [5] - Future opportunities for Chinese hybrid vehicles lie in countries with good home charging conditions and younger populations, such as Brazil, Russia, and Uzbekistan [5]

Group 1: Passenger Vehicles - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in China is expected to reach 55% by 2025, with multiple hybrid models launching in the second half of the year [1] - The retail and export of passenger vehicles in mainland China are projected to grow by 2.9% and 10% year-on-year, respectively, in 2025 [1] - The price of intelligent driving models is anticipated to drop below 200,000 RMB, with domestic software like Momenta leading the market [1] - Increased competition in the automotive market is expected in the second half of the year, with a focus on companies like BYD and XPeng Motors [1] Group 2: Heavy Trucks - Heavy truck sales in China are projected to reach 950,000 units (including exports) in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5% [1] - The market performance for heavy trucks has been relatively flat, with cumulative sales of 350,000 units in the first four months of 2025 [2] - Local policies are expected to boost market conditions in the second half of the year, enhancing the market share of leading companies [2] Group 3: Two-Wheelers - The new national standards and trade-in policies are expected to support a recovery in the two-wheeler market, with sales projected to reach 56 million units in 2025 [2] - The new standards raise production technology requirements and emphasize the importance of smart technology in the industry [2] - Industry leader Yadea is favored for its strong market position [2] Group 4: Batteries - The trend is shifting towards range-extending large batteries, with a focus on commercial vehicle batteries [2] - The recent phase of tariff agreements between China and the U.S. introduces uncertainties, while South Korean companies are increasing their presence in the North American market [2] - CATL is recommended for its technological advancements and overseas expansion [2] Group 5: Robotics - The industrialization of robotics is approaching, with companies like Tesla and UBTECH announcing mass production plans [2] - Chinese companies are expected to benefit from cost advantages and technological accumulation [2] - Attention is drawn to core components with low domestic production rates and high value proportions, such as planetary roller screws and six-dimensional force sensors [2]

Core Viewpoint - The forum emphasizes that hybrid powertrains are essential for achieving net-zero emissions in the automotive industry [1] Company Overview - Horse Powertrain was established in May 2024 and has its global headquarters in London, UK, with 17 manufacturing bases and 5 R&D centers [3] - The company employs 19,000 staff globally, including 3,000 engineers, and has an annual revenue of €15 billion (approximately ¥123.3 billion) [3] - Horse Powertrain's annual sales reach about 8 million powertrains, including engines, transmissions, and batteries [3] Product Portfolio - The company offers a diverse product range, including fuel engines, hybrid engines, plug-in hybrid engines, and transmissions [3] - Horse Powertrain can produce energy power systems using gasoline, diesel, liquefied petroleum gas, compressed natural gas, and methanol [3] Market Insights - By 2040, it is projected that around 50% of vehicles in the global market will still be internal combustion engine vehicles, equating to approximately 54 million vehicles annually [4] - The global stock of fuel vehicles exceeds 1 billion, with an average lifespan of 15 years, indicating a prolonged presence of internal combustion engines in the automotive industry [4] Technological Approach - The company believes that the transition to electrification should not focus on a single technology but rather embrace a multi-path development strategy [4] - Horse Powertrain aims to provide hybrid solutions that complement the development of pure electric vehicles, facilitating the transition for consumers hesitant about electrification [5] Energy Solutions - The company is exploring alternative fuels such as hydrogen, methanol, and synthetic fuels, which are expected to gain widespread use in the future [5] - Current challenges include high production costs for synthetic fuels, necessitating ongoing policy support for large-scale production and application [5] Future Developments - At the 2025 Shanghai Auto Show, Horse Powertrain will showcase alternative fuel solutions, including methanol, ethanol, hydrogen, and synthetic fuels [6] - The company has improved the combustion efficiency and emissions treatment of methanol engines, achieving a 30% reduction in carbon emissions compared to traditional gasoline engines [6] - Horse Powertrain aims to become an ecological coordinator and system integrator, developing a flexible and sustainable power technology platform tailored to regional fuel preferences [6]

Group 1: Bond ETF Market - The bond ETF market has seen significant growth, with over 40 billion yuan in net inflows in May alone, reaching a new high in total scale [1] - On May 30, 10 out of the top 12 ETF products by trading volume were bond ETFs, indicating strong market participation [1] - Nine bond ETFs have been approved for use as collateral in general pledge-style repurchase agreements, which may accelerate the expansion of the bond ETF market [1] Group 2: Public Fund Issuance - In May, bond funds dominated the public fund issuance market with a 55.07% issuance ratio, while equity products faced uneven demand [1] - The issuance of ETFs has declined for four consecutive months, raising only 11.068 billion units in May [1] - The market reflects a struggle between stability and change, with bond funds providing a safety net while equity products seek growth in niche segments [1] Group 3: Private Equity and ETF Investment - Private equity firms have shown strong interest in newly listed ETFs, with 104 firms holding a total of 1.783 billion shares in 97 ETFs [2] - The preferred themes for private equity investments are technology innovation and free cash flow [2] Group 4: Insurance Companies' Stock Purchases - As of the end of May, seven insurance companies have made 15 stock purchases this year, surpassing the total for 2023 and the first nine months of 2024 [2] - The majority of these purchases have been in bank stocks, with additional investments in public utilities, energy, and transportation sectors [2] Group 5: Corporate Developments - 28 companies have successfully removed their ST (Special Treatment) status this year, primarily through financial improvements, internal control repairs, and bankruptcy restructuring [3] - The airline industry is expected to see improved profitability due to falling oil prices and recovering demand, with a projected net profit margin of 3.7% for 2025 [3] - Domestic new energy vehicle manufacturers reported significant sales growth in May, with several companies achieving monthly sales exceeding 40,000 units, driven by extended-range vehicles [4] Group 6: Tesla's Sales Decline - Tesla's sales in France plummeted by 67% in May, marking the lowest sales level in nearly three years, despite the launch of a new version of its Model Y [6]