每日港股評析 港股早晨快訊 2026 年 2 月 25 日星期三 2012-01- 17 市場回顧 中港股市短期展望 恒指料守 26,000 點：美國總統特朗普去年對多國徵收緊急關稅，遭到最 高法院推翻，但相信特朗普很大機會透過其他途徑再對外加徵關稅，以維 持原先強硬貿易政策立場，並在 3 月訪華前爭取談判籌碼。3 月企業陸續 公布業績，需留意商品價格上漲，或為企業盈利帶來壓力。AI 高速發展顛 覆企業營運模式，科網股股價走勢兩極化，重磅平台龍頭動力不足，拖累 科指續尋底，亦牽制大市上升空間。AI 行情變化如新品發布、技術升級， 以及平台龍頭在業績期對資本開支、競爭格局的表態，料為短期市場焦點。 全國兩會將於 3 月 4、5 日舉行，有關經濟增長目標、赤字率等細節公布， 以及會前政策預期升溫，有望為港股提供支持，恒指料守 26,000 點。 短期看好板塊 AI 股：AI 大模型密集升級，半導體行業高速增長 智能眼鏡：OpenAI 據報擬推 AI 智能硬件包括智能眼鏡 今日市場焦點 香港第四季GDP、財政預算案； 匯豐控股(0005)及攜程集團(9961)業績； 宏觀焦點 外圍市況展望 美聯儲1月維持利率不變， ...

Group 1 - Apple confirmed that the AI version of Siri is still on track for release within 2026, despite reports suggesting delays, which led to a 5% drop in its stock price [1][1] - The stock price decline erased Apple's gains for the year, with a nearly 4% drop attributed to the news [1] - The company aims to stabilize investor confidence by affirming its commitment to the planned release schedule [1] Group 2 - Zhao Ming, former CEO of Honor, announced his joining of Qianli Technology, expressing excitement about building an AI business ecosystem [2] - Zhao's decision to join Qianli Technology is influenced by his belief that AI is a field worth investing in for the next 20 years [2] Group 3 - Google announced a significant upgrade to its Gemini 3 Deep Think model, designed for scientific and engineering applications, achieving high performance in complex reasoning tasks [3][3] - The upgraded model demonstrated a 48.4% score on the Humanity's Last Exam and 84.6% on ARC-AGI-2, verified by ARC Prize Foundation [3] - In addition to mathematics, the model also showed strong capabilities in chemistry and physics, achieving gold medal-level results in international competitions [3][3] Group 4 - OpenAI and Cerebras launched the GPT-5.3-Codex-Spark model, aimed at real-time programming, marking their first public collaboration [4][4] - Codex-Spark is designed for high-speed interactive software development, achieving over 1000 tokens/s inference speed [5] - OpenAI emphasized the importance of developer control in the coding process, positioning Codex-Spark as a collaborative tool [5] Group 5 - Spotify revealed that its top developers have not written any code since December 2022, attributing this to the use of an internal AI system called "Honk" [6][6] - The "Honk" system utilizes generative AI technology to enhance coding speed and efficiency, allowing for real-time code deployment [6] Group 6 - Xiaomi announced that it will provide at least 10 years of spare parts support for its first-generation SU7 model, even after its discontinuation [8] - The new generation SU7 will be showcased in various cities starting February 13, with plans for a launch event in April [8] Group 7 - BMW confirmed a global recall of several hundred thousand vehicles due to a potential fire risk associated with the starter motor, affecting 16 models produced between July 2020 and July 2022 [9][9] - The company will notify affected vehicle owners to replace the potentially defective motors [9] Group 8 - Mercedes-Benz announced a recall of 11,895 EQB electric vehicles in the U.S. due to a risk of fire from the high-voltage battery [10] - The company will replace the batteries free of charge and has advised owners to park their vehicles outdoors [10] Group 9 - Sony launched the WF-1000XM6 wireless earbuds, claiming a 25% improvement in noise-canceling performance compared to the previous model [12][12] - The new earbuds feature an upgraded processor for enhanced audio processing and improved connectivity [12] Group 10 - NeuroXess announced a significant advancement in brain-computer interface technology, enabling a paralyzed patient to perform daily activities through thought control [15][15] - The patient achieved a brain control decoding rate of 5.2 BPS, comparable to international standards [15]

Group 1: Apple iPhone 18 Pro Series Pricing and Sales Performance - Apple plans to keep the starting price of the upcoming iPhone 18 Pro and iPhone 18 Pro Max the same as the iPhone 17 Pro series, focusing on cost control amid rising DRAM and NAND chip prices [1][2] - Analysts predict that Apple is negotiating with Samsung and SK Hynix for better memory chip procurement prices and will seek to reduce costs for other key components like displays and cameras [1][2] - The iPhone 17 series has seen a strong rebound in sales in China, ending a three-year decline, with the "Starry Orange" color variant driving significant consumer interest [1][2] Group 2: Apple Developer Commitments in Response to UK Antitrust Investigation - Apple and Google have made four commitments to third-party developers in response to the UK Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) investigation, ensuring fair and transparent app store review processes [5][6] - The commitments include fair evaluation methods for app store rankings and protection of data collected from third-party developers during the review process [6][7] - Developers will have easier access to unique iOS features to enhance interoperability, with a deadline for Apple to implement these measures by April 1 [7] Group 3: iPhone 17 Pro Max Battery Performance - Recent tests show that the iPhone 17 Pro Max has approximately three more hours of usage time on WiFi compared to 5G networks, highlighting the efficiency of WiFi [8] - The tests were conducted under simulated daily usage scenarios, indicating that the performance may vary based on location and network conditions [8] Group 4: Xiaomi SU7 Electric Vehicle Developments - The new Xiaomi SU7 electric vehicle will offer three battery options with ranges from 630 km to 902 km, reflecting significant improvements in battery technology [9][10] - The standard and Pro versions of the SU7 have upgraded to a 752V high-voltage platform, enhancing fast-charging capabilities [10] - Xiaomi's founder announced the end of production for the initial SU7 model, which saw nearly 370,000 units produced [11][12] Group 5: BYD's Legal Challenge Against US Tariffs - BYD has filed a lawsuit against the US government regarding tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, seeking a refund for taxes paid since April 2025 [13] - This marks the first legal challenge by a Chinese automaker against US tariffs, despite BYD not currently selling passenger vehicles in the US [13]

Core Viewpoint - The Japanese automotive market, historically dominated by local brands, is witnessing a significant shift as foreign electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers are beginning to penetrate this previously closed market, driven by the slow electrification of domestic brands and changing consumer preferences [4][5][6]. Group 1: Market Overview - Japan's automotive market has long been considered one of the most challenging for foreign brands, with local manufacturers holding over 90% market share [4]. - In 2025, Japan's total new car sales are projected to reach 4.5658 million units, with a 3.3% year-on-year increase, while foreign brands are starting to gain traction [5]. - The electric vehicle market in Japan is still in its infancy, with only 60,677 EVs sold in 2025, representing a mere 1.6% of total vehicle sales [5]. Group 2: Foreign Brands' Entry - The Japanese Imported Automobile Association reported a 7% increase in non-local brand vehicle sales in 2025, totaling 243,129 units, with pure electric imports surging by 26% to a record 30,513 units [6]. - Hyundai is making a comeback in Japan, with a 89% increase in sales in 2025, reaching 1,169 units, driven by the introduction of several electric models [8][10]. - Tesla's sales in Japan saw a remarkable 90% increase in 2025, reaching approximately 10,600 units, attributed to a shift in sales strategy towards physical stores [12][14]. Group 3: Chinese Brands' Expansion - BYD entered the Japanese market in 2023 and aims to establish 100 dedicated stores by 2025, achieving a 62% sales increase to 3,870 units in 2025 [15][18]. - Other Chinese brands, such as Zeekr and GAC, are also planning to enter the Japanese market, with unique offerings tailored to local consumer preferences [19][21]. Group 4: Domestic Brands' Response - Japanese automakers are not standing still; Toyota's new EV model bZ4X received over 10,000 orders within three months of its launch in late 2025, becoming the top-selling EV in Japan [24][27]. - Nissan and Honda are also launching new EV models to compete with foreign brands, with Nissan's new LEAF and Honda's N-ONE e: entering the market [27][28].

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi's SU7 electric vehicle has achieved the highest resale value among electric cars in China, with a 2025 projected resale rate of 86.05%, leading the market and countering negative claims from some second-hand car dealers [4][6][7]. Group 1: Company Insights - Xiaomi's founder and CEO Lei Jun discussed the development process of the new SU7 model during a live stream event [1]. - The company addressed recent controversies regarding the SU7's resale value, particularly a situation where some second-hand car dealers claimed that Xiaomi's second-hand cars were "crashing" in value [4]. Group 2: Industry Performance - According to the "2025 China Automotive Resale Report" published by the China Automotive Circulation Association and Jingzhen Estimate, the SU7's resale rate of 86.05% is the highest among electric vehicles, outperforming competitors like Porsche Taycan (80.66%) and Tesla Model S (81.72%) [6][7]. - The SU7 has consistently ranked first in resale value over the past few years, indicating strong market performance and consumer confidence [7].

Group 1: Apple App Store Advertising Expansion - Apple will introduce more advertising placements in App Store search results starting March 3, 2024, with a global rollout planned by the end of March [3][4] - The new ad placements will appear in various locations within search results, expanding beyond the current top promotional spots [3] - Approximately 65% of app downloads occur after a search, indicating the importance of search in app discovery [3] Group 2: Xiaomi SU7 Pre-Sales - Xiaomi's new SU7 model has received nearly 100,000 pre-orders within 15 days of its launch on January 7, 2024, despite a price increase of 14,000 yuan [6][7] - The vehicle is expected to launch in April 2024, with a production capacity adjustment to prioritize the SU7 and the upcoming YU7 model [6][7] - Xiaomi aims to deliver 550,000 vehicles in 2024, up from 411,800 in the previous year [7] Group 3: Apple Executive Restructuring - Craig Federighi has taken over Apple's AI department, while John Ternus's role has expanded, positioning him as a potential successor to CEO Tim Cook [10][11] - Federighi's leadership is expected to focus on enhancing Siri and optimizing AI models, while Ternus will oversee the integration of design and hardware [10][12] - This restructuring reflects Apple's strategy to prioritize productization and cost control in AI development [12] Group 4: Intel Stock Performance and Valuation Concerns - Intel's stock price has doubled over five months but recently fell due to concerns over its high valuation compared to its fundamentals [13][15] - Analysts note that Intel's projected revenue growth is only about 2.8% for the year, contrasting with TSMC's expected growth of nearly 30% [17][21] - Despite a strong fourth-quarter revenue of $13.7 billion, Intel's first-quarter guidance fell short of market expectations [19][20] Group 5: Anthropic's Margin Forecast Adjustment - Anthropic has lowered its 2025 gross margin forecast to 40%, citing higher-than-expected inference costs [25][26] - The company anticipates significant revenue growth, projecting $4.5 billion in 2025, up from $381 million in 2024 [26][28] - Anthropic is in discussions for over $10 billion in new funding, with a pre-funding valuation of approximately $350 billion [28] Group 6: Kimi Model Valuation Increase - The valuation of Moonlight's Kimi model has risen to $4.8 billion ahead of its new version release [29][31] - The company claims to have achieved significant performance metrics with limited resources, indicating a competitive edge in AI model development [31][32] Group 7: AI in Healthcare - AI is positioned as a key technology to address healthcare accessibility issues, according to Chinese academician Zhong Nanshan [35][36] - The integration of AI in healthcare aims to enhance efficiency and resource distribution, particularly in rural areas [35][36] Group 8: Samsung Exynos 2600 Performance - Samsung's Exynos 2600 chip has shown competitive performance, nearing that of Qualcomm's Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 5 in benchmarks [57] - The Exynos 2600 is based on a 2nm process and features a custom GPU architecture, promising significant improvements in performance [57]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the emergence of AI-generated negative press targeting the Deep Blue S07, highlighting the competitive tactics in the automotive industry and the response from Deep Blue's CEO to combat this issue through legal means [1][5]. Group 1: AI-Generated Negative Press - A significant number of AI-generated articles have appeared online, comparing a certain brand unfavorably against the Deep Blue S07, with clear signs of bias and poor logic [2][4]. - The phenomenon of AI-generated negative press is suspected to be orchestrated by industry black operations, as evidenced by previous incidents involving organized AI troll farms [4][5]. Group 2: Industry Response - Deep Blue's CEO, Jiang Hairong, has vowed to take legal action against these malicious attacks, emphasizing the need to maintain a clean public discourse [5][9]. - The article draws parallels with past instances in the automotive industry, such as Tesla and Xiaomi, which faced similar organized smear campaigns, indicating a pattern of black public relations tactics in the sector [7][9]. Group 3: Consumer Impact - The prevalence of such negative press can mislead potential car buyers, affecting their decision-making process and potentially causing them to overlook quality vehicles [9]. - The article encourages consumers to rely on authoritative information and personal test drives rather than anonymous online reviews or AI-generated content [9].

Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing observation of the Federal Reserve regarding the effects of interest rate cuts, indicating a cautious approach to further rate reductions in 2026 [9][11] - The report notes a significant increase in the Producer Price Index (PPI) and consumer price trends, suggesting a potential shift towards inflationary pressures in the economy [13][19] Industry Analysis Real Estate and Construction - The consumption REITs have shown strong weekly performance, with the market remaining active in issuance, indicating a favorable environment for investment in this sector [45][46] - The report mentions that the REITs market is expected to benefit from lower bond market interest rates, enhancing the attractiveness of REITs as a high-dividend, low-risk asset class [45] Non-Banking Financials - The report emphasizes the importance of earnings forecasts and the resilience of the non-banking financial sector despite recent market fluctuations, suggesting a positive outlook for insurance and brokerage firms [49][51] - The insurance sector is expected to see growth driven by favorable conditions in both liability and asset sides, with a focus on health insurance and individual insurance channels [51][52] Technology and AI - The brain-computer interface sector has gained significant attention, with a notable increase in the index tracking this technology, reflecting strong market interest and potential for growth [35][36] - The report suggests that the AI hardware sector is not in a bubble but may require adjustments in positions due to accumulated gains, indicating ongoing investment opportunities [24][30] Market Trends - The report identifies a trend of increasing liquidity and capital inflow into the market, particularly in small-cap stocks, which are expected to perform well in the current economic environment [23][24] - The report also highlights the dual focus on technology and cyclical sectors, suggesting a balanced investment strategy to capitalize on emerging opportunities [25][26]

今早 8 点，雷军首次透露了新一代小米 SU7 的相关信息。他表示，新一代 SU7 的内外饰、安全、辅助驾驶、续航等方面均有较大升级。 新一代小米 SU7 的预售价从 22.99 万元起跳，Pro 版为 25.99 万元，Max 版则守在了 30.99 万元的位置。小米汽车称，新车计划在今年 4 月份正式上市。 这次，安全被放在了所有升级的首位。 新一代小米 SU7 用上了 2200MPa 的超强钢来构建「内嵌式防滚架」，并把全车气囊数补齐到了 9 个，增加了后排侧气囊，而且是全系标配。针对纯电车 最脆弱的底部，小米新增了 1500MPa 的防刮底横梁和底部「防弹涂层」的设计。 在智能化普及上，小米表现得很果断。激光雷达、700TOPS 的辅助驾驶算力以及全场景端到端辅助驾驶（Xiaomi HAD）现在成了全系标配，大概会给同 价位的竞争对手带来不小的压力。 可以发现，和上一代车型相比，小米 SU7 产品线的逻辑有了一些微妙的变化：标准版的基准线比之前高了不少，尤其是在辅助驾驶方面。 此外，得益于 752V 碳化硅高压平台的加入，标准版的 CLTC 续航里程来到了 720km。性能表现也有了进阶，全系换装了 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in new car registrations in Hunan Province, with a total of 67,383 vehicles registered in November, of which 36,680 were new energy vehicles (NEVs), representing 54.44% of the total, up from 43.33% the previous month [1][4]. Group 1: New Car Registrations - In November, Hunan Province saw a total of 67,383 new car registrations, with 36,680 being new energy vehicles, marking a month-over-month increase [1]. - The city of Changsha led the province with 29,684 new car registrations, followed by Zhuzhou with 4,998 and Hengyang with 4,322 [4]. Group 2: New Energy Vehicle Market - The proportion of new energy vehicles in Hunan's total new car registrations rose significantly, with seven cities reporting NEV registration rates above 50% in November [4]. - Changsha recorded the highest NEV registration rate at 59.37%, followed by Xiangxi Autonomous Prefecture at 57.32% and Yueyang at 54.81% [4]. Group 3: Leading Models and Brands - The top-selling model in November was the Wuling Hongguang MINI with 2,708 registrations, followed by the Nissan Sylphy with 1,607 and the Xiaomi YU7 with 1,007 [5]. - Notably, BYD secured six positions in the top 16 new car registrations, indicating its strong market presence despite no single model making it to the top three [5][8]. Group 4: Regional Performance - In Changsha, the Xiaomi YU7 was the best-selling model with 998 registrations, while the Wuling Hongguang MINI followed with 867 [9]. - Traditional fuel vehicles like the Nissan Sylphy and Toyota Camry continue to show strong demand, with the Camry ranking sixth in the overall provincial new car registration list [8].