Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock over the next six months [4]. Core Insights - The company has a well-established brand matrix based on skin science and biological science, focusing on the research, design, production, sales, and service of various cosmetics [1][9]. - The main brand, Marubi, has successfully implemented a big product strategy, particularly in eye care, maintaining the top sales position in this category for three consecutive years [2]. - The PL brand, focusing on base makeup, has achieved significant sales milestones, with multiple products exceeding 100 million yuan in annual GMV [3]. Financial Performance - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 2,226 million yuan in 2023, growing to 6,051 million yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 24.6% [1][10]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from 259 million yuan in 2023 to 729 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [1][10]. - The company's gross margin improved to 73.7% in 2024, up 3.01 percentage points year-on-year, driven by optimized product structure and cost control [8]. Brand Strategy - Marubi's core philosophy is centered around "focusing on reducing every fine line," which has solidified its brand identity in eye care and wrinkle reduction [2]. - The PL brand emphasizes user-friendly and high-quality products, reinforcing its market position in the base makeup category [3]. Market Position - Marubi has become a leading brand in the domestic mid-to-high-end skincare market, while PL has established itself as a strong player in the makeup segment [1][3]. - The company aims to leverage global leading technologies to develop high-quality products, guided by a long-term strategy focused on "technology-driven beauty and health" [9].

Group 1 - The consumer industry is undergoing a profound transformation from scale expansion to quality upgrading, driven by policy incentives, technological iterations, and changes in consumer preferences and habits [1][14]. - The new consumer groups represented by Generation Z, the elderly, and women are pushing consumption demand towards personalization and quality [1][17]. - Domestic brands are experiencing sustained growth, with sensory experiences becoming the core touchpoint linking consumers and products [1][29]. Group 2 - The importance of domestic demand has been reaffirmed, with a shift in focus from short-term demand stimulation to systematically enhancing consumer willingness, supported by policies such as employment and entrepreneurship initiatives [2][50]. - From January to May 2025, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 5.0% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in domestic demand [2]. Group 3 - Four major consumption trends are identified: the rise of domestic brands, emotional consumption, the silver economy, and AI+ consumption [3][4]. - The silver economy is driven by an aging population, with the proportion of individuals aged 65 and above exceeding 14% in 2021, and expected to surpass 30% by 2035 [21][23]. - Emotional consumption is characterized by a shift from functional to self-rewarding and social value, with consumers willing to pay for emotional value [3][20]. Group 4 - The report recommends focusing on structural opportunities in the consumer sector, highlighting four core investment themes: the rise of domestic brands, high-growth emotional consumption, the burgeoning silver economy, and AI+ consumption [4][18]. - Specific companies are recommended for investment, including domestic brands like Lao Pu Gold, Shangmei Co., and Midea, as well as emotional consumption leaders like Pop Mart and Heytea [5][4]. Group 5 - The integration of AI into the consumer chain is emphasized, with a focus on companies that demonstrate strong product innovation capabilities [3][4]. - The rise of online sales driven by live streaming and e-commerce is reshaping the retail landscape, with online retail sales reaching 6.0 billion in the first five months of 2025, reflecting an 8.5% year-on-year growth [41][40]. Group 6 - The sensory experience is becoming a core value of brands, with consumers increasingly demanding high-quality sensory interactions [32][39]. - The marketing landscape is shifting towards decentralized models, with KOL and KOC marketing gaining prominence, allowing brands to achieve precise targeting and higher ROI [49][40].

Core Viewpoint - Marubi Biological has successfully passed the ISO56005 certification, emphasizing its commitment to technological innovation as a driving force for development and aiming to become an internationally influential beauty technology enterprise [1] Innovation-Driven Development - The ISO56005 standard is the first international standard for intellectual property management in China, aimed at enhancing the effectiveness of intellectual property management and innovation capabilities [1] - Marubi has established a systematic innovation management system centered on intellectual property and big data analysis, marking a strategic upgrade from "experience-based R&D" to "systematic innovation" [1] - The recent certification indicates Marubi's capability to transform intellectual property into commercial competitiveness, positioning it among the top tier in the beauty industry for innovation management and intellectual property integration [1] Strategic Transformation - Founded in 2002 and listed in 2019, Marubi focuses on skin science and biological research, with its main business encompassing the R&D, design, production, sales, and service of various cosmetics [2] - The company has deepened its technological innovation strategy, leveraging cutting-edge technologies like big data and artificial intelligence for R&D and product innovation [2] - In 2024, Marubi applied for 86 new domestic and international patents, with a total of 596 patent applications, including 475 invention patents, and has obtained 319 authorized patents, ranking high in the beauty industry for patent reserves [2] Market Operations - In 2024, Marubi's online channel revenue reached 2.541 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.77%, accounting for 85.61% of total revenue, while offline channel revenue was 427 million yuan, up 20.79%, making up 14.39% of total revenue [3] - The company has experienced rapid revenue and profit growth for nine consecutive quarters since its channel transformation, with plans to further solidify online transformation results [3] - Marubi's stock name changed from "Marubi Co., Ltd." to "Marubi Biological" in December 2024, reflecting its strategic shift towards becoming a biotechnology beauty company [3] Steady Development - In Q1 2025, Marubi achieved revenue of 847 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.01%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 135 million yuan, up 22.07% [4] - For 2024, the company reported revenue of 2.97 billion yuan, a 33.44% increase, and a net profit of 342 million yuan, growing by 31.69% [4] - The main brand "Marubi" generated revenue of 2.055 billion yuan in 2024, a 31.69% increase, while the second brand "PL Love Fire" achieved 905 million yuan, up 40.72% [4] - The overall gross margin for 2024 reached 73.7%, an increase of 3.01 percentage points from 2023, attributed to optimized product structure and cost control [4]

Core Viewpoint - The controversy surrounding Juzhibio's flagship product, Kefu Mei, has raised significant concerns about the authenticity of its collagen claims, leading to a crisis of trust among investors and consumers [1][3][6]. Company Summary - Juzhibio, known as a leader in recombinant collagen, has faced allegations of product falsification, particularly regarding its Kefu Mei product, which reportedly contains only 0.0177% collagen, below the regulatory threshold of 0.1% [3][4]. - The company has stated that all its products are compliant with regulatory standards and have undergone rigorous quality checks [4][6]. - Following the controversy, Juzhibio's stock price fell by 4.04% to HKD 73.6, with a total market capitalization of HKD 788.19 billion as of May 26 [2]. Industry Summary - The demand for aesthetic products, including hyaluronic acid and collagen, has been rising, with major players like Juzhibio and Jinbo Bio seeing growth despite market challenges [2][9]. - The recombinant collagen market in China is projected to grow significantly, reaching CNY 585.7 billion by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of 44.93% [10][12]. - The lack of standardized testing methods for collagen products has led to discrepancies in product claims and consumer trust issues, highlighting the need for regulatory frameworks in the industry [5][8][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the beauty and personal care industry, highlighting the continued growth of leading domestic brands [2]. Core Insights - The beauty and personal care sector has shown a divergence in performance, with leading domestic brands achieving good growth due to their competitive pricing, differentiated products, and effective online operations [1][10]. - The upcoming 618 shopping festival is expected to further catalyze growth for domestic brands, particularly in the cosmetics sector [1][6]. Summary by Sections Cosmetics - In 2024 and Q1 2025, leading domestic brands continued to show strong growth, with significant revenue increases reported: - Molybdenum Biological: +33% revenue, +32% net profit - Giant Biological: +57% revenue, +42% net profit - Upper Beauty: +62% revenue, +69% net profit [11][13]. - The overall performance of the cosmetics sector is characterized by a mix of growth and decline among various companies, with some like Proya showing resilience in profit despite revenue slowdowns [12][13]. - The report suggests focusing on brands with strong single-product strategies and innovative ingredients, such as Giant Biological and Molybdenum Biological, as well as those with strong brand positioning like Mao Geping [1][6]. Personal Care - The personal care segment has seen robust performance from leading domestic brands, with notable revenue growth in Q1 2025: - Baiya: +30% - Stable Medical: +36% - Hao Yue Care: +42% [6][12]. - The report emphasizes the importance of product upgrades and channel expansion for these brands, which have outperformed OEM companies [1][6]. - The ongoing trend of online expansion and the shift towards mid-to-high-end branding remains strong, with companies like Baiya and Stable Medical showing promising developments [6][12]. Market Trends - The overall market for cosmetics in early 2025 showed a slight increase in retail sales, with a year-on-year growth of 4.0% in the first four months [23]. - Online platforms like Tmall and Douyin have seen varying performance, with Douyin showing higher growth rates in certain categories compared to Tmall [26][29]. Key Brand Performance - Key brands have demonstrated significant growth in both Tmall and Douyin platforms, with notable increases in GMV for brands like Mao Geping and Kefu Mei [33]. - The report highlights the competitive landscape, with domestic brands increasingly capturing market share from international brands due to their pricing and innovative marketing strategies [1][6].

Core Viewpoint - The 2024 Annual Shareholders' Meeting of Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology Co., Ltd. outlines the company's operational performance, strategic initiatives, and financial results, emphasizing growth in revenue and profit, alongside a focus on innovation and brand development in the beauty industry. Financial Performance - The company achieved a total revenue of 2.97 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 33.44% [29] - The main brand Marubi generated 2.06 billion yuan in revenue, up 31.69% year-on-year, while the PL brand reached 905 million yuan, a growth of 40.72% [31] - The gross profit margin improved to 73.7%, an increase of 3.01 percentage points, attributed to optimized product structure and cost control [31] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 342 million yuan, up 31.69%, with a higher growth rate of 73.86% for net profit after excluding non-recurring gains and losses [31] R&D and Innovation - The company established a Life Sciences Center to explore new fields such as oral health and oral beauty, enhancing its R&D capabilities [8] - Marubi conducted 42 specialized research projects on raw materials, focusing on innovative plant extracts and bioengineering technologies [9] - The company received recognition as a "National Research Center for Recombinant Functional Proteins," highlighting its advancements in recombinant collagen technology [9] Brand Development - Marubi maintained its position as the top seller in the eye care category for three consecutive years, with the "Peptide Little Red Pen" eye cream achieving online sales of 533 million yuan, a 146% increase [12] - The PL brand successfully launched several products, with six foundation products each generating over 100 million yuan in annual GMV [14] - The company emphasized a dual-brand strategy, focusing on both Marubi and PL to drive growth and market presence [24] Marketing and Sales Strategy - The company implemented a multi-channel marketing strategy, achieving significant online sales growth, with online channels contributing 85.61% of total revenue [31] - Marubi's Tmall flagship store saw a 28% increase in sales, with a focus on enhancing user experience and member engagement [16] - The company utilized emotional and interactive marketing campaigns to strengthen brand recognition and consumer connection [13] Organizational Development - The company is committed to building a young, knowledgeable, and professional workforce, enhancing organizational agility and collaboration [20] - Marubi launched the "Marubi YOUNG Plan" to nurture new talent and improve overall employee capabilities [21] - The company emphasized a culture of innovation and teamwork through various creative activities and training programs [21]

Core Insights - The performance of domestic beauty companies in China is showing significant divergence, with some achieving remarkable growth while others face declines, indicating a reshaping of the market landscape [1][4][42] Group 1: Company Performance - Proya has become the first domestic beauty company to enter the 10 billion yuan club, with a revenue of 10.778 billion yuan, growing by 21.04% [2] - Other companies like Shangmei and Juzi Biological also reported substantial revenue increases of 62.08% and 57.17% respectively, while Shanghai Jahwa experienced a revenue decline of 13.93% [2][3] - Six beauty companies have revenues exceeding 5 billion yuan, suggesting that this threshold will soon become a significant benchmark for the top 10 domestic beauty brands [1] Group 2: Profitability Trends - Juzi Biological leads in profitability with a profit of 2.062 billion yuan, up 42.06%, while Proya's profit reached 1.552 billion yuan, growing by 30% [3] - In contrast, Shanghai Jahwa reported a loss of 833 million yuan, marking a 266.60% decline, highlighting the stark differences in profitability among companies [3][11] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The current market dynamics indicate a shift towards efficacy-driven products, with companies that successfully launched standout products seeing better performance [4][5] - The competition is intensifying, with new entrants emerging and established brands needing to adapt to changing consumer preferences and market trends [7][30] Group 4: R&D and Strategic Focus - Companies are increasingly focusing on R&D, with most reporting a rise in R&D expenditures, indicating a strategic shift towards innovation and efficacy [20][21] - The trend of acquisitions and investments in technology is becoming a key strategy for companies aiming to enhance market share and scale [23][24] Group 5: Emerging Opportunities - The male skincare market is growing rapidly, presenting new opportunities for brands to capture this segment [36] - The aging population is creating demand for products targeting older consumers, which remains largely untapped [39] - As online sales plateau, brands are shifting focus to offline channels, indicating a potential new battleground for market share [40]

核心观点 公司Q4 单季度营收10.17 亿元，同比增长47.64%，较24Q3 的+25.8%进一步加速，25Q1 营收+28%维持 在高位。盈利端24Q4对应扣非净利润率9.85%，全年扣非净利润率11%，+2.6pct，此次24Q4 验证大促 期的盈利稳定性已形成。2024 年线上营收25.41亿元/+35.77%，占比提升至85.61%，线上运营持续精 进。丸美小红笔眼霜3.0 全年线上GMV达5.33 亿元/+146%,小金针次抛精华2.0 线上GMV 达3.5 亿 元/+96%，大单品策略下毛利率提升显著。 2025 年公司进一步对小红笔及小金针系列进行扩充升级，推出小红笔水乳2.0，小金针超级面膜，并推 出大红盾进入防晒市场，恋火近期推出海岛限定系列拓宽人群，产品、渠道、品牌三维提升下今年增速 及业绩兑现值得期待。 事件 公司披露2024 年年报及2025 年一季报：Q4 实现营收10.17 亿元，+47.64%，归属股东净利润1.03 亿 元，+20.14%；扣非净利润1.00亿元，+225.88%。24 年全年营收29.70 亿元，+33.44%，归母净利润3.42 亿/+31.69%；扣非 ...

Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a collective decline in the A-share market indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.05% to 3286.65 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index also down by 0.05% [1][6] - The report notes a significant increase in the inbound tourism market in China, with an expected daily average of 2.15 million inbound and outbound travelers during the upcoming "May Day" holiday, representing a year-on-year growth of 27% [2][7] - The report emphasizes the strong performance of Marubi Biotechnology (丸美生物), with a 33.44% year-on-year increase in revenue for 2024, reaching 2.97 billion yuan, and a net profit of 342 million yuan, up 31.69% [8][12] Market Performance - The A-share market saw a total trading volume of 1.02 trillion yuan, with sectors such as beauty care, machinery, and media leading the gains, while public utilities, oil and petrochemicals, and coal sectors lagged [1][6] - The report indicates that the online sales channel for Marubi achieved a revenue of 2.54 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 35.77%, accounting for 85.61% of total revenue [9][12] Company Analysis - Marubi's main brand generated 2.06 billion yuan in revenue, representing a 31.69% increase, while its second brand, PL, achieved 905 million yuan, up 40.72% [9][12] - The gross margin for Marubi improved to 73.70% in 2024 and 76.05% in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.01 percentage points and 1.45 percentage points, respectively [10][12] - The company is transitioning from a traditional cosmetics firm to a biotechnology cosmetics company, focusing on key technologies and core raw material research, particularly in recombinant collagen technology [11][12] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The report adjusts profit forecasts for Marubi, estimating net profits of 411 million yuan, 476 million yuan, and 537 million yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 20.40%, 15.75%, and 12.69% respectively [12]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Marubi Biotechnology (丸美生物) is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the overall sentiment appears positive based on the performance metrics and growth projections. Core Insights - Marubi Biotechnology reported a revenue of 2.97 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 33.4%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 342 million yuan, up 31.7% year-over-year [1] - The company is experiencing continuous growth driven by both product innovation and technological advancements, positioning itself as a leader in the collagen industry [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.97 billion yuan and a net profit of 342 million yuan, with a significant increase in net profit margin [1] - For Q1 2025, revenue reached 847 million yuan, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 28% [1] - The gross profit margin improved to 74.6% in 2024, with a further increase to 76% in Q1 2025 [4] Product and Brand Development - The product structure is continuously optimized, with skincare, eye care, cleansing, and beauty products generating revenues of 1.125 billion, 689 million, 241 million, and 913 million yuan respectively in 2024 [2] - The eye care segment saw significant growth, particularly with the "胜肽小红笔眼霜" product, which achieved an online GMV of 533 million yuan, up 146% year-over-year [2] Sales Channels - Online sales accounted for 25.41 billion yuan in 2024, growing by 35.8% year-over-year, while offline sales reached 4.27 billion yuan, up 20.8% [3] - The online sales proportion increased to 86%, indicating a strong digital presence and effective multi-platform strategies [3] Cost Management and Efficiency - The company maintained stable expense ratios across sales, management, and R&D, with a sales expense ratio of 55% in 2024 [4] - Inventory turnover days improved to approximately 90.2 days in 2024, indicating enhanced operational efficiency [4] Future Projections - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 450 million yuan in 2025, 582 million yuan in 2026, and 692 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a consistent growth trajectory [8] - The expected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 38.9X, 30.1X, and 25.3X respectively, suggesting a favorable valuation outlook [6]