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上一轮“反内卷”中,钢铁、煤炭走势如何?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-11 03:47
2015年,传统行业产能严重过剩,供给侧结构性改革成为经济工作的主线。而当前受内外部需求不足、前期产能扩张过快等因素影响,工业企业利润再度承 压,时隔十年,"反内卷"政策文件陆续出台,市场"反内卷"行情活跃。 很多投资者关心,到底"反内卷"对于行情有多大的提振呢? 复盘历史数据,上一轮供给侧改革中,钢铁、煤炭、建材等板块被列为重点行业。2016年2月,国务院发布相关行业政策,截至2017年底,煤炭板块涨幅达 18.03%、钢铁板块涨幅达20.04%、建材板块涨幅达29.96%,相较于大盘超额收益明显。供给侧改革对于行情的带动还是比较明显的。 注:数据来源wind,数据区间2016/02/01~2016/12/30;指数历史走势仅供参考,不代表投资建议,不预示未来。 那本轮"反内卷"进度如何呢?有哪些行业值得重点关注? 1、光伏 光伏作为我国整治内卷式竞争的重要行业之一,政策方向已经较为明确。中国光伏行业协会引导企业签署自愿控产自律公约;7月1日,国内头部光伏玻璃企 业宣布自7月起集体减产30%。若后续光伏行业减产政策落地,有望加快产能淘汰,助力产业链价格及盈利中枢企稳回升。 光伏估值位于历史低位 相关机会:光 ...
建材ETF(159745)涨超1.0%,行业自律或支撑水泥价格修复
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-07-08 06:00
Group 1 - The construction materials ETF (159745) has increased by over 1.0% [1] - Hunan Yunfeng Cement completed the transfer of 2500t/d cement clinker capacity on July 4, 2025 [1] - Gezhouba Cement's Xili Company won an industry award in Kazakhstan's Kyzylorda region for 2025 [1] Group 2 - The cement industry is currently facing challenges such as weak demand, overcapacity, and inventory pressure [1] - The China Cement Association has issued opinions to promote "anti-involution" and "stable growth" for high-quality development in the cement industry [1] - It is expected that cement prices will receive support and recovery, leading to improved profitability for companies [1] Group 3 - Leading companies are expected to shift from price competition to value creation through technological innovation [1] - Mergers and acquisitions will be utilized to extend the industrial chain and increase overseas expansion for further growth [1] - Enhanced industry self-discipline measures are anticipated to optimize the supply-demand structure and promote high-quality development in the industry [1] Group 4 - The construction materials ETF tracks the construction materials index, which reflects the overall performance of representative listed companies in the cement, glass, and ceramics sub-industries [1] - The index has a high degree of industry concentration and cyclical characteristics, providing a comprehensive view of market trends in the construction materials sector [1]
通信板块ETF涨幅居前;多只红利类ETF份额创新高丨ETF晚报
据证券日报,红利主题基金凭借其稳健的现金流回报与防御属性,正成为资金避险配置的核心标的之 一。近日,多只红利主题ETF份额屡创新高,基金发行端亦现多例"提前结募"产品,叠加部分产品分红 规则优化,红利资产的配置价值进一步凸显。 Wind资讯数据显示,6月17日,易方达中证红利低波动ETF、南方标普中国A股大盘红利低波50ETF、博 时中证红利低波100ETF等多个红利主题指数基金份额创下历史新高。具体来看,截至6月17日,易方达 中证红利低波动ETF份额达15.76亿份,较年初增长85%;南方标普中国A股大盘红利低波50ETF份额攀 升至65.64亿份,较年初增幅75%;博时中证红利低波100ETF份额突破9.45亿份,年内增长74%。 整体来看,今年以来,红利主题基金规模扩张迅速。Wind资讯数据显示,截至6月17日,名称包含"红 利"的217只基金(仅统计主代码,下同),整体规模较年初增长12%,至2739.41亿元。此类产品规模 扩张背后,是资金对"低估值+高股息"策略的青睐。数据显示,今年以来,截至6月17日,上述200余只 基金,整体净流入额达137.78亿元。 3.科创板ETF产品数量和规模双突破 ...