2025 年 10 月 13 日 发恒生港股通科技主题 ETF: 洛 股硬科技，从互联网到"AI+" 指数基金产品研究系列报告之二百五十六 相关研究 证券分析师 方思齐 A0230525090002 fangsg@swsresearch.com 邓虎 A0230520070003 denghu@swsresearch.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 AI 时代下,互联网巨头转型进化。中国互联网巨头在过去的十多年间,依托庞大的用户 ● 基础和生态系统, 构建了难以复制的竞争壁垒。这些互联网起家的企业拥有超大规模的用 户基础、丰富的数据资源和强大的工程实现能力，这些都是发展人工智能不可或缺的关键 雙素。 港股科技在人工智能浪潮下投资价值上升。全球 AI 算力产业链景气度持续攀升,国内科 ○ 技自主化需求迫切，港股科技板块作为国产 AI 核心资产聚集地，直接受益于行业发展浪 潮。南向资金年内净流入已超万亿元，南向资金持续加大港股配置力度，为港股科技板块 提供充足流动性支撑。资本市场为新质生产力再助力，关注港股通科技成长潜力 恒生港股通科技主题指数 (指数代码：HSSCITI.HK) 是由恒生指数 ...

2025 年 10 月 13 日 广发恒生港股通科技主题 ETF：港 股硬科技，从互联网到"AI+" ——指数基金产品研究系列报告之二百五十六 证券分析师 方思齐 A0230525090002 fangsq@swsresearch.com 邓虎 A0230520070003 denghu@swsresearch.com 联系人 方思齐 (8621)23297818× fangsq@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 相关研究 权 益 量 化 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 股 票 基 金 - ⚫ AI 时代下，互联网巨头转型进化。中国互联网巨头在过去的十多年间，依托庞大的用户 基础和生态系统，构建了难以复制的竞争壁垒。这些互联网起家的企业拥有超大规模的用 户基础、丰富的数据资源和强大的工程实现能力，这些都是发展人工智能不可或缺的关键 要素。 ⚫ 港股科技在人工智能浪潮下投资价值上升。全球 AI 算力产业链景气度持续攀升，国内科 技自主化需求迫切，港股科技板块作为国产 AI 核心资产聚集地，直接受益于行业发展浪 潮。南向资金 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market has experienced a significant rebound over the past year, particularly in the technology sector, with notable index performances [1][4]. Group 1: Index Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 42.77%, while the Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 73.68%, and the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Theme Index surged by 109.25% [1][4]. - Investors are eager to invest in Hong Kong technology through index products, but there are many similar-sounding indices with varying performances [4]. Group 2: Index Compilation - Differences in index compilation methodologies lead to varying characteristics among the indices. Most indices consist of 30 constituent stocks, except for the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index, which has 50 [5][6]. - The Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Theme Index and the National Index have a higher individual stock weight limit of 15%, resulting in greater concentration of leading stocks [5][6]. Group 3: Industry Distribution - The Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Theme Index excludes industries such as pharmaceuticals, automobiles, and home appliances, focusing more on pure technology sectors [5][7]. - The CSI and National indices include a broader range of industries, which affects the "purity" of the technology focus [5][9]. Group 4: Historical Performance - Over the past year, the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Theme Index achieved the highest increase of 109%, confirming that higher purity leads to better performance [12][15]. - Over three years, the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Theme Index has shown a cumulative increase of over 92%, with an annualized return of nearly 25% [15][16].

来源：中证网 中证网讯 9月18日，港股科技股走强，芯片股上涨，港股通科技ETF（159262）盘中一度涨超2%，成交 额超7亿元，在同类产品中交投活跃度领先。Wind数据显示，截至9月17日，港股通科技ETF（159262） 已连续29个交易日没有资金净流出，最新规模超过42亿元，近一个月日均成交额超3.5亿元，规模、流 动性同类居首。 据悉，港股通科技ETF（159262）跟踪恒生港股通科技主题指数。相较于传统的恒生科技指数，该指数 在三方面做了"提纯"：其一，专注港股通科技标的，有望持续受益南向资金流入；其二，科技成分更纯 粹，剔除汽车、家电等行业，更纯粹聚焦在以AI、Semi为代表的互联网、半导体等核心科技领域；其 三，个股权重上限提升至15%，前十大成分股权重合计近80%，覆盖包括阿里巴巴、腾讯控股、小米集 团、中芯国际等科技巨头，更好把握科技龙头效应。当前该指数因高纯度、高锐度、高夏普比率而备受 关注。截至9月17日，恒生港股通科技主题指数近一年涨超110%。 展望后市，中信证券认为，美联储降息后，短期港股科技、可选消费、医药等成长板块有望受益。当前 外资增配空间广阔，在我国稳增长政策落地与基本面 ...

流动性方面，港股通科技ETF嘉实盘中换手20.96%，成交7065.44万元，市场交投活跃。拉长时间看，截至8月21日，港股通科技ETF嘉实近1年日均成交 6475.89万元。 截至2025年8月22日 13:34，港股通科技ETF嘉实(520670)上涨3.02%；成分股方面，华虹半导体涨超11%，中兴通讯涨超10%，黑芝麻智能、中芯国际等跟 涨。 港股通科技ETF嘉实紧密跟踪恒生港股通科技主题指数，恒生港股通科技主题指数（「HSSCITI」）旨在反映能通过港股通买卖，业务与科技主题相关的香 港上市公司之表现。 伴随着龙头中报业绩的验证、美联储降息预期的强化、Al商业化进程的加速，市场对于港股科技板块的信心逐步回归，资金开始提前蓄力伏击，关注其补涨 潜力。国投证券表示，从60日滚动收益率差值来看，历史上创业板指和恒生科技两者存在明确交替轮动关系，当创业板指涨幅领先恒生科技20pct时，多数 意味着恒生科技指数相对将迎来补涨，目前两者收益率差值已经来到18pct。 申万宏源证券认为，港股指数层面的阶段性跑输只是对前期上涨较快的阶段性盘整，而伴随着中报季业绩披露的逐渐展开，此前业绩预期较低的板块有望重 新获得市 ...

截至2025年8月13日 10:07，港股通科技ETF(159262)上涨2.01%，成分股FIT HON TENG涨近8%，瑞声 科技、高伟电子涨超4%，哔哩哔哩-W、舜宇光学科技等跟涨。拉长时间看，截至2025年8月12日，港 股通科技ETF近1月累计上涨8.21%，涨幅排名可比基金第一。 近期，国产芯片和下游应用回暖反弹，相关标的指数应声上涨。Wind数据显示，恒生港股通科技主题 指数(HSSCITI)盘中上涨1.77%，相较于同类标的恒生互联网科技业、恒生科技、港股通互联网、港股 通科技等指数，超额收益明显。 流动性方面，港股通科技ETF盘中换手4.9%，成交1.60亿元。拉长时间看，截至8月12日，港股通科技 ETF近1年日均成交2.92亿元。规模方面，港股通科技ETF最新规模达29.73亿元，创成立以来新高，位 居可比基金第一。份额方面，港股通科技ETF最新份额达27.31亿份，创成立以来新高，位居可比基金 第一。 从资金净流入方面来看，港股通科技ETF近3天获得连续资金净流入，最高单日获得2.73亿元净流入， 合计"吸金"3.06亿元。 港股通科技ETF紧密跟踪恒生港股通科技主题指数，恒生港股通 ...

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods - **Model Name**: Hang Seng Stock Connect Hong Kong Technology Theme Index (HSSCITI.HI) **Model Construction Idea**: The index focuses on the TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) sector, ensuring high "technology purity" by excluding industries such as pharmaceuticals, home appliances, and automobiles, which may dilute the thematic investment returns[2][28][29] **Model Construction Process**: 1. The index selects stocks listed in Hong Kong that qualify for Southbound trading under the Stock Connect program[34] 2. It focuses on companies in the technology sector, including software, hardware, semiconductors, and internet services, while excluding non-core technology industries[29][34] 3. The index uses free-float market capitalization weighting, with individual stock weight capped at 10%[34] 4. The index is rebalanced semi-annually to ensure alignment with its thematic focus[34] **Model Evaluation**: The index demonstrates a high level of thematic focus, capturing the growth potential of the TMT sector while avoiding the risks associated with unrelated industries[29][34] Model Backtesting Results - **Hang Seng Stock Connect Hong Kong Technology Theme Index**: - 1-year annualized return: 55.90% - 3-year annualized return: 8.83% - Comparative performance: Outperformed the Hang Seng Index, which had 1-year and 3-year annualized returns of 36.31% and 3.55%, respectively[43] Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods - **Factor Name**: Technology Sector Focus **Factor Construction Idea**: The factor emphasizes the concentration of investments in the TMT sector to maximize exposure to technology-driven growth opportunities[29][34] **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Stocks are selected based on their classification within technology-related industries such as software, hardware, and semiconductors[29][34] 2. Non-technology sectors like pharmaceuticals, home appliances, and automobiles are excluded to maintain thematic purity[29][34] 3. The weighting scheme ensures a balanced representation of sub-sectors within the TMT domain, with significant allocations to internet platforms, hardware, and software companies[29][33] **Factor Evaluation**: The factor effectively captures the growth dynamics of the technology sector while minimizing exposure to unrelated industries, enhancing the thematic investment appeal[29][34] Factor Backtesting Results - **Technology Sector Focus Factor**: - Sector allocation: Information Technology (66.55%), Consumer Discretionary (18.25%), Communication Services (15.20%)[33] - Sub-sector allocation: Hardware (27.35%), Software (25.75%), Semiconductors (13.45%), Media (14.42%)[31][33] - Top contributors: Internet platform companies (e.g., Tencent, Alibaba, Meituan) accounted for approximately 44% of the index weight[29][32]

Investment Rating - The report rates the Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF (159262) as "Outperform" compared to the market [1]. Core Insights - The Hong Kong technology sector is positioned at the peak of the AI innovation wave, with the next 3-4 years expected to be a critical phase for the application and monetization of AI technologies [1]. - Historical trends from the US stock market indicate that during previous technology revolutions, the Nasdaq index significantly outperformed other periods, suggesting a similar pattern may emerge in the Hong Kong technology sector [1]. - The report highlights that the Hong Kong technology sector includes key players in AI, such as internet, consumer electronics, semiconductors, and software, all of which stand to benefit from AI advancements [1]. Summary by Sections 1. Technology Investment Trends - The AI technology cycle is entering a heated phase, with the current period being the third Kitchin cycle of the AI era, focusing on the development of large models [13][14]. - The internet sector is shifting from "traffic expansion" to "value cultivation," with significant growth potential in AI applications [20]. - Consumer electronics are set for a major upgrade driven by AI, with AI smartphones expected to increase from 18% of shipments in 2024 to 34% in 2025 [43]. - The semiconductor industry is experiencing rapid growth, with the global market projected to reach $635.1 billion in 2024, a 19.8% year-on-year increase [49][52]. - The software industry, particularly SaaS, is expected to grow significantly, with the market projected to reach approximately 703 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting a 26.6% year-on-year growth [57]. 2. Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index (HSSCITI) Analysis - The HSSCITI focuses on high liquidity technology stocks, covering major sectors such as internet, semiconductors, consumer electronics, and software [61][62]. - The index has shown superior performance with a cumulative price return of 9.6% from 2022 to present, outperforming other indices [70]. - The index's annualized alpha is approximately 3.6%, indicating strong excess return potential compared to the Hang Seng Index [78]. 3. Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF (159262) Analysis - The ETF was launched on June 26, 2025, with a total size of 13.41 billion RMB, making it a significant player in the Hong Kong technology investment landscape [90]. - The fund manager, Xia Haoyang, has extensive experience in managing passive index funds, overseeing a total of 100 billion RMB in assets [91].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock technology sector has regained momentum after a significant pullback in April, driven by advancements in AI and cloud computing, policy support for Chinese companies returning to Hong Kong, and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1] Group 1: Index Comparison - The Hang Seng Technology Index consists of 30 selected Hong Kong-listed companies highly related to technology, with a weight limit of 8% for non-foreign companies and 4% for foreign companies, adjusted quarterly [2] - The Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Theme Index reflects the performance of 30 Hong Kong-listed companies related to technology that can be traded through Stock Connect, with a weight limit of 10% per stock and adjusted semi-annually [2] Group 2: Industry Distribution - The Hang Seng Technology Index includes approximately 17% automotive weight and about 10% in tourism, home appliances, and pharmaceutical stocks, while the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Theme Index excludes these consumer sectors, focusing more on software services, information technology equipment, and semiconductors [4] Group 3: Concentration of Weighting Stocks - As of June 9, the top ten stocks in the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Theme Index accounted for 76% of its total weight, higher than the 71% concentration in the Hang Seng Technology Index, indicating greater potential for returns but also higher volatility risk [6][10] Group 4: QDII Quota Utilization - The Hang Seng Technology Index includes non-Stock Connect stocks, which may face quota restrictions when investing through QDII channels, while all stocks in the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Theme Index can be traded through Stock Connect, enhancing convenience [9] Group 5: Historical Performance - Over the past year, the Hang Seng Technology Index experienced a return of 44%, while the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Theme Index, due to its higher concentration, achieved a return of 51.4%, with both indices exhibiting high volatility around 40% [10]