Core Viewpoint - The Chinese fund industry in 2025 presents a stark contrast, with private equity funds performing exceptionally well while public funds struggle significantly, revealing systemic issues in the industry after over two decades of rapid development [1] Performance Disparity: A True Reflection of the Market - In 2025, the structural market conditions of A-shares serve as a key differentiator for performance, leading to a stark contrast between public and private fund results [1] - Private equity securities products show strong profitability, with over 90% achieving positive returns and an average return rate of 22.61%, while stock strategies yield an impressive average return of 27.07% [2] Public Fund Struggles - Among 6,129 public active equity products that have been established for over three years, 60.5% failed to outperform their benchmarks [3] - A significant number of funds, 2,454, lagged their benchmarks by over 10 percentage points, indicating a consistent underperformance compared to market averages [3] Investor Losses: The Cost of Silence - The performance disparity results in real financial losses for investors, with previously celebrated fund managers delivering disappointing results [4] - For instance, a fund managed by Liu Yanchun reported a return of -23.05% over three years, while its benchmark yielded a positive 14.41%, resulting in a 37.46 percentage point gap [4] Corporate Profit vs. Investor Loss - Despite poor performance, some fund companies continue to distribute substantial dividends, creating a stark contrast with the losses faced by investors [5] - A leading fund company distributed nearly 83 billion yuan in dividends over ten years, while its products collectively lost 1,004 billion yuan in the same period [5] Structural Issues: Root Causes of Industry Ailments - The root of performance disparity lies in differing incentive mechanisms, with private funds typically using a performance-based compensation model that aligns managers' interests with those of investors [6] - In contrast, public funds often rely on management scale for fees, leading to a focus on growth rather than performance [6] - Only three out of 28 large-scale active equity funds managed to achieve excess returns while maintaining positive profits over the past three years [6] Regulatory Restructuring: From Scale-Oriented to Performance-Linked - In response to industry issues, regulators are implementing new performance assessment guidelines that tie fund managers' compensation directly to product performance and investor profits [10] - This shift is expected to drive significant changes in the industry, with many active equity fund managers adjusting their strategies to align more closely with benchmark indices [10] Market Trends: Shifts in Fund Flows - Under regulatory and market pressures, there is a noticeable change in fund flows, with private equity products showing a 90.66% positive return rate compared to public funds [12] - High-net-worth clients and institutional investors are increasingly turning to private equity, particularly quantitative strategy products, while ordinary investors are becoming more cautious and reevaluating their investment strategies [12]

Core Viewpoint - The new performance assessment guidelines for fund management companies signify a major reform in the public fund industry, linking fund managers' compensation directly to the actual returns for investors, thereby emphasizing performance over mere management fees [1][2][31]. Group 1: Key Points of Compensation Reform - The core principle of the new guidelines is to establish a performance assessment system centered on fund investment returns, with a significant weight on long-term performance metrics [33]. - Fund managers of actively managed equity funds will face a 30% salary reduction if their performance lags the benchmark by more than 10% and the fund incurs losses over the past three years [2][32]. - The guidelines introduce quantifiable and rigid constraints to create a transparent incentive mechanism, aiming for long-term alignment of interests between fund managers and investors [2][32]. Group 2: Impact and Data Analysis - As of December 5, nearly 38.43% of 3,757 actively managed equity funds have underperformed their benchmarks by over 10% in the last three years, indicating significant challenges for fund managers [34]. - Approximately 996 fund managers are affected, managing over 1.1 trillion yuan in assets, with specific examples of funds like Guotou Ruijin's performance showing a cumulative return of -26.12%, lagging the benchmark by over 45 percentage points [35][40]. - Historical data from 2015 to 2024 shows that only 45 out of a large sample of equity funds managed to consistently outperform the benchmark by 10% over three years, suggesting that over 90% of fund managers may face salary reductions during their careers [39]. Group 3: Characteristics of Fund Managers at Risk - Fund managers at risk of salary reductions often exhibit extreme style dependence, focusing heavily on specific sectors like consumption or technology, which can lead to significant underperformance during market downturns [41][42]. - Rapid asset growth during peak performance periods has constrained the flexibility of these managers, making it difficult to adjust portfolios effectively in declining markets [43][44]. - The aggressive strategies employed by these managers conflict with the new guidelines that encourage closer tracking of benchmarks and controlled excess returns [46]. Group 4: Future Implications for Fund Managers - The new regulations are expected to shift fund managers' focus from seeking high returns to managing risks, potentially leading to a more conservative investment approach [52]. - The stringent accountability measures may result in a significant reduction in the number of top-performing fund managers remaining in the public fund sector, as many may transition to private equity or specialized accounts for better compensation opportunities [56][58]. - The industry may see an increase in trend-following strategies, which could exacerbate market volatility and lead to crowded trades, while less popular assets may receive even less attention [55].

Core Viewpoint - The performance of prominent fund managers at Invesco Great Wall Fund has significantly declined, with key figures like Liu Yanchun and Yang Ruiwen failing to achieve competitive returns, raising concerns about the future of the firm’s active equity management team [2][3][8] Group 1: Performance of Key Fund Managers - Liu Yanchun, a notable figure in the fund management industry, has six funds under management, all of which have underperformed, with the best fund showing a net value increase of less than 4%, ranking below 4000 out of 4500 similar funds [2][3] - Yang Ruiwen, the second most recognized manager, has all his products yielding around 30%, with no significant breakthroughs in performance [2] - Liu Su, another manager, oversees nine funds with a total scale of less than 10 billion yuan, and only one fund has doubled its return, indicating a lack of effective management [6] Group 2: Analysis of Fund Holdings - Liu Yanchun's funds are heavily invested in traditional stocks, particularly in the liquor sector, which has seen poor performance, with only one stock among his top holdings showing an increase of about 16% [4][5] - The majority of Liu Yanchun's holdings, including major liquor brands, have not performed well, with the best performer, Luzhou Laojiao, showing a gain of less than 14% [4] - Liu Su's top holdings have also underperformed, with the best stock, Longi Green Energy, only increasing by 18.20% over the year [6] Group 3: Future Outlook and Challenges - The departure of key figures like Bao Wuke and the declining performance of established managers like Liu Yanchun and Yang Ruiwen present both opportunities and challenges for the next generation of fund managers at Invesco Great Wall [8] - The firm’s reliance on managers who have not been cultivated internally raises questions about the sustainability of its investment strategies and future performance [7][8]

Core Insights - The article discusses the performance of actively managed equity funds in the context of the recent bull market, highlighting that 38% of these funds remain in a loss position over the past five years despite a significant number achieving positive returns since 2025 [2][3][4]. Performance Overview - As of November 10, 2023, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen by 19.42% since 2025, with 97.45% of actively managed equity funds reporting positive returns this year [4]. - However, 1,019 actively managed equity funds are still in a loss position over the past five years, with 302 funds having reduced their maximum drawdown to less than 10% [5][6]. Reasons for Underperformance - The article identifies three main reasons for the underperformance of many funds: high-level accumulation, frequent trading, and reliance on specific sectors [7][8]. - Funds that experienced negative returns had an average stock position of 84.22% during peak market periods, indicating a tendency to increase exposure during high valuations [7]. Trading Behavior - The average turnover rate for actively managed equity funds from 2021 to 2024 was 460.71%, with funds losing over 30% seeing an even higher turnover rate of 508.45% [8]. - Some funds, such as Tianzhi New Consumption and Guodu Innovation Drive, reported turnover rates exceeding 1,000%, indicating excessive trading activity [8]. Sector Dependence - Many funds have shown a heavy reliance on traditional sectors despite being marketed as focusing on new or innovative sectors, leading to performance discrepancies [10][11]. - For instance, funds like Tianzhi New Consumption and Invesco Great Wall New Growth have maintained significant positions in traditional consumer stocks, which have not performed well recently [10][11]. Market Outlook - The article notes a resurgence in investor interest in actively managed funds, with 1,354 new funds launched in 2023, reflecting a doubling in issuance compared to the previous year [12]. - Fund managers are advised to focus on sectors with long-term growth potential, such as high-end manufacturing and innovative pharmaceuticals, while being cautious of market volatility [13][14].

Core Insights - The recent performance of active equity funds has been under scrutiny, with over 38% of these funds still in losses over the past five years despite a significant number achieving positive returns since 2025 [1][2][3] - Key factors contributing to the underperformance include high-level accumulation, frequent trading, and reliance on specific sectors, which have eroded fund values [1][5][7] Performance Overview - As of November 10, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen by 19.42%, while 97.45% of active equity funds reported positive returns [2][3] - However, 1019 active equity funds remain in losses, with 38% of the total, indicating a stark contrast in performance for investors who entered the market earlier [1][2] Fund Performance Analysis - Among the 2695 active equity funds with over five years of existence, 1676 have achieved positive returns, with six funds reporting over 200% returns [3] - Conversely, nearly 40% of active equity funds have not turned a profit in five years, with some funds experiencing maximum drawdowns starting in 2021 [3][4] Underperforming Funds - Notable underperformers include funds managed by well-known managers, with losses exceeding 30% over five years [4] - Specific funds like Tianzhi New Consumption and Fangzheng Fubang Innovation Power have reported losses of -65.25% and -62.32%, respectively [3][4] Trading Behavior - High average stock positions during market peaks have been linked to poor long-term performance, with funds showing an average stock position of 84.22% during critical periods [5][6] - Frequent trading has also negatively impacted fund performance, with an average turnover rate of 460.71% across all active equity funds, rising to 508.45% for those with over 30% losses [7][8] Sector Reliance - Many funds have shown over-reliance on traditional sectors, leading to underperformance despite being labeled as "new" or "growth" funds [8][9] - Funds like Tianzhi New Consumption and Invesco Great Wall New Growth have shifted their holdings but still struggle to achieve positive returns [8][9] Market Outlook - The active equity fund market is seeing a resurgence, with 1354 new funds launched in 2025, indicating renewed investor interest [11] - Fund managers are advised to focus on sectors with long-term growth potential, such as high-end manufacturing and new consumption, while being cautious of market volatility [12]

Core Insights - The article discusses the performance of actively managed equity funds in the context of the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 4000 points for the first time in ten years, revealing that over 38% of these funds have not achieved positive returns over the past five years [1][2]. Performance Overview - As of November 10, 2023, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen by 19.42% since 2025, with 97.45% of 4679 actively managed equity funds achieving positive returns this year, including 33 funds that have doubled their value [3][4]. - However, nearly 40% of actively managed equity funds have not made profits over the last five years, with significant losses recorded by some well-known funds [4][5]. Key Reasons for Underperformance - The article identifies three main reasons for the underperformance of actively managed funds: high-level accumulation, frequent trading, and reliance on specific sectors [7]. - Funds that experienced negative returns had higher average stock positions during market peaks, indicating poor timing decisions [8]. - The average turnover rate for funds with over 30% losses was 508.45%, with some funds exceeding 1000%, suggesting that excessive trading negatively impacted performance [9]. Sector Dependence and Strategy Issues - Many funds have shown over-reliance on traditional sectors despite their names suggesting a focus on new or emerging sectors, leading to underperformance [11]. - The article highlights that some funds have not adapted their strategies effectively, resulting in inconsistent performance and a lack of coherent investment direction [9][10]. Future Investment Strategies - In light of the current market conditions, fund managers are advised to focus on sectors with long-term growth potential, such as high-end manufacturing and new consumption trends [14][15]. - The article suggests that a balanced approach, considering macroeconomic data and industry cycles, will be crucial for future investment success [13][14].

Core Insights - The number of fund managers managing over 10 billion yuan has increased significantly, reaching 109 by the end of Q3, marking a nearly one-third increase from the previous quarter [1][2] - The industry is transitioning from a "star-making" model to a "platform" strategy, indicating a shift in focus from individual fund managers to a more collaborative approach [1][9] - The era of "trillion-level" top fund managers is unlikely to return, as the highest management scale among current fund managers has not exceeded 600 billion yuan, a significant drop from previous peaks [9][10] Fund Manager Performance - Notable fund managers like Zhang Kun, Xie Zhiyu, and Ge Lan have seen their management scales rebound, with Zhang Kun managing 565.44 billion yuan, an increase of nearly 15 billion yuan in a single quarter [3][4] - Newer fund managers, such as Ren Jie from Yongying Fund, have rapidly increased their management scales, with Ren's scale growing from 0.26 billion yuan to 128.78 billion yuan in just over a year [2][7] - Despite the growth in management scales, many top fund managers still face net redemptions, with over 330 billion units redeemed across their products in Q3 [6][11] Industry Dynamics - The current landscape features a mix of large institutions and emerging mid-sized firms, with companies like Yongying and Jinying successfully entering the "billion club" [1][7] - The top fund managers are distributed across 38 fund companies, with seven companies having five or more billion-yuan fund managers, accounting for nearly half of the total [6][10] - The industry is increasingly aware of the "double-edged sword" of scale, with many fund managers opting to limit rapid growth to maintain operational effectiveness and avoid the pitfalls of excessive scale [10][11] Market Outlook - The A-share market is experiencing a steady upward trend, with increased investor enthusiasm and significant inflows into equity markets, particularly in technology sectors [12][13] - Fund managers express cautious optimism about the market, predicting potential new highs while acknowledging the risks of profit-taking due to previous gains [12][13] - Long-term investment strategies focus on sectors like innovative pharmaceuticals and consumer healthcare, driven by structural changes in the economy and supportive policies [14]

Core Insights - The performance of star fund managers in the current bull market is mixed, with some outperforming the market while others lag behind [1][2]. Market Performance - As of August 13, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen by 9.90% year-to-date, the Shenzhen Component Index by 10.91%, and the ChiNext Index by 16.57%. The Wind Mixed Equity Fund Index has yielded 19.67% this year and 38% over the past year [1]. Star Fund Managers' Performance - Nearly 20 star fund managers have managed over 200 billion yuan in assets as of the end of Q2, showcasing diverse investment styles including growth, value, balanced, and thematic approaches [2]. - Notable performers include Ge Lan and Fu Pengbo, with Ge Lan's funds achieving returns of 26.60%, 67.85%, and 1.88% year-to-date, while Fu Pengbo's fund has returned 32.11% [3][4]. Sector Highlights - The innovative drug sector has been a standout, with Ge Lan's focus on this area leading to significant returns, particularly from Hong Kong-listed innovative drug stocks [3]. - Fu Pengbo has increased holdings in the pharmaceutical sector, focusing on innovative drugs and traditional medicine benefiting from AI [4]. Balanced Investment Styles - Xie Zhiyu and Zhu Shaoxing, known for their balanced investment styles, have shown performance divergence this year. Xie Zhiyu's funds have returned between 12.84% and 37.65%, while Zhu Shaoxing's single fund has returned 9.29% [5][6]. Challenges in Consumer Sector - Liu Yanchun, focusing on consumer stocks, has faced challenges with returns ranging from 0.13% to 2.43% year-to-date, as the consumer sector struggles with demand and competition [7]. - Xiao Nan's consumer-focused funds have also shown mixed results, with one fund down 3.45% while another gained 15.97% [8]. Broader Market Trends - The current market environment emphasizes the importance of sector selection over individual stock-picking abilities, as many star fund managers have not outperformed the market [9]. - The industry is reflecting on the definition of "star fund managers," suggesting that long-term risk management may be more indicative of skill than short-term performance spikes [9].

Core Viewpoint - The performance of billion-level star fund managers during the current bull market is mixed, with some achieving significant returns while others underperforming the market [1][3]. Market Overview - The A-share market has shown a bullish trend with the Shanghai Composite Index up 9.90%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 10.91%, and the ChiNext Index up 16.57% as of August 13 [2]. - The Wande Equity Mixed Fund Index has a year-to-date return of 19.67% and a one-year return of 38% [2]. Star Fund Managers Performance - Approximately 20 star fund managers with over 200 billion yuan in assets under management have diverse investment styles, including growth, value, balanced, and thematic strategies [3]. - Some star fund managers have successfully captured market trends, while others have lagged behind the market [3]. Notable Performers - Fund managers Ge Lan and Fu Pengbo have shown impressive performance, with Ge Lan managing three funds totaling 399.08 billion yuan, achieving returns of 26.60%, 67.85%, and 1.88% year-to-date [5]. - Fu Pengbo's fund, Ruiyuan Growth Value, has a return of 32.11% this year and 51.91% over the past year, with significant holdings in sectors like PCB and new energy [5][6]. Balanced Investment Style - Fund managers Xie Zhiyu and Zhu Shaoxing, known for their balanced investment styles, have shown performance divergence this year [7]. - Xie Zhiyu manages three funds with returns of 12.84%, 27.54%, and 37.65% year-to-date, benefiting from a diversified portfolio across various sectors [8]. - Zhu Shaoxing's single fund, with a return of 9.29% this year, has been negatively impacted by poor performance in consumer stocks, particularly in the liquor sector [9]. Challenges in Consumer Sector - Fund managers focusing on consumer and new energy sectors face significant challenges due to market conditions [10]. - Liu Yanchun's six funds have returns ranging from 0.13% to 2.43% this year, heavily affected by the underperformance of consumer stocks, particularly in the liquor industry [11]. - Xiao Nan's consumer-focused funds have shown a stark performance difference, with one fund down 3.45% and another up 15.97% year-to-date [12]. Market Dynamics - The current market environment emphasizes the importance of sector selection over individual stock-picking abilities, as many star fund managers have not outperformed the market [13]. - A reevaluation of what constitutes a "star fund manager" is underway, with a focus on long-term performance and risk management rather than short-term gains [14].

Market Overview - The A-share market has shown a bullish trend in 2023, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 9.90%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 10.91%, and the ChiNext Index up 16.57% as of August 13 [2] - The Wind data indicates that the Wande Equity Mixed Fund Index has a year-to-date return of 19.67% and a one-year return of 38% [2] Star Fund Managers Performance - Approximately 20 star fund managers managing over 20 billion yuan have shown mixed performance during the bullish market, with some outperforming the market while others lagged behind [2] - Notable fund managers include Ge Lan and Fu Pengbo, who have achieved significant returns through their investment strategies [3] Sector Performance - Ge Lan's funds, particularly in the healthcare sector, have performed exceptionally well, with returns of 26.60% and 67.85% for her medical-themed funds [3] - Fu Pengbo's "Ruiyuan Growth Value" fund has a year-to-date return of 32.11%, focusing on sectors like PCB and new energy [3][4] Balanced Investment Style - Xie Zhiyu has shown a balanced investment style with returns of 12.84%, 27.54%, and 37.65% across his three funds, benefiting from diversified sector exposure [5] - In contrast, Zhu Shaoxing's single fund has underperformed with a return of 9.29%, primarily due to poor performance in consumer stocks [6] Challenges in Consumer Sector - Liu Yanchun's funds, focused on consumer stocks, have struggled with returns ranging from 0.13% to 2.43% due to weak performance in the consumer sector, particularly in the liquor industry [7] - Xiao Nan's consumer-themed funds have shown significant performance disparity, with one fund down 3.45% while another is up 15.97% [8] Market Dynamics and Reflections - The current market environment emphasizes the importance of sector selection over individual stock-picking abilities, as many star fund managers have not outperformed the market [9] - There is a growing sentiment within the industry to redefine what constitutes a "star fund manager," focusing on long-term performance and risk management rather than short-term gains [9]