【导读】股票ETF市场开年首次出现百亿元级别资金净流出 中国基金报记者若晖 2026年开年以来，A股强势上攻，上证指数不仅在新年首个交易日重返4000点，更在1月7日收出"14连阳"，创最长 连阳纪录。有着"逆市风向标"之称的股票ETF开始获利了结，全天出现资金净流出。 银河证券基金研究中心数据显示，截至1月7日，全市场股票ETF（含跨境ETF）资金净流出超126亿元，这也是今 年以来股票ETF首次出现百亿元级别资金净流出。 从具体方向看，港股ETF、有色ETF受到资金青睐，单日净流入居前；沪深300ETF、科创50ETF等宽基ETF遭遇资 金净流出。 超百亿元资金净流出 开年以来，A股市场上演"春季躁动"行情。随着股市热度升温，股票ETF市场再现逆市操作，呈现资金净流出的局 面。 银河证券基金研究中心数据显示，截至1月7日，全市场1291只股票ETF（含跨境ETF）总规模达4.72万亿元。在昨 日股市上涨行情中，股票ETF市场净流出资金达126.49亿元；开年以来3个交易日，合计资金净流出超119亿元。 从大类型来看，1月7日，港股市场ETF与商品ETF净流入居前，分别达40.86亿元与11.07亿元；宽基 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock ETF market in China has experienced a significant net outflow of over 12.6 billion yuan, marking the first occurrence of a net outflow exceeding 10 billion yuan in 2026, despite a strong performance in the A-share market [2][4]. Group 1: Market Overview - As of January 7, 2026, the total scale of all stock ETFs (including cross-border ETFs) reached 4.72 trillion yuan, with a net outflow of 12.649 billion yuan on that day alone [4]. - In the first three trading days of the year, the cumulative net outflow exceeded 11.9 billion yuan [4]. Group 2: Fund Flows by Type - On January 7, the net inflows were led by Hong Kong stock ETFs and commodity ETFs, with inflows of 4.086 billion yuan and 1.107 billion yuan, respectively [6]. - Conversely, broad-based ETFs experienced significant net outflows, totaling 15.866 billion yuan, with a scale decrease of 14.372 billion yuan [6]. Group 3: Specific ETF Performance - ETFs tracking the Hong Kong Internet Index saw a net inflow of 1.462 billion yuan, while those tracking the CSI A500 Index faced a net outflow of 4.477 billion yuan [6]. - Over the past five trading days, ETFs tracking the SGE Gold 9999 Index attracted over 6.8 billion yuan, and those tracking specific non-ferrous indices saw inflows exceeding 4.7 billion yuan [6]. Group 4: Notable Fund Managers - Several ETFs managed by large fund companies continued to see net inflows, including the Securities Insurance ETF from E Fund, which reached a scale of 20.524 billion yuan with a net inflow of 557 million yuan [6]. - The China Concept Internet ETF from E Fund also performed well, with a scale of 42.025 billion yuan and a net inflow of 547 million yuan [6]. Group 5: Market Outlook - According to Huaxia Fund, the macro environment is expected to remain favorable for long positions, with anticipated acceleration in local government special bond issuance and central budget investments [13]. - The market is currently in a phase of valuation expansion, supported by long-term factors such as new growth drivers, policy support for A-shares, and a low-interest-rate environment [13].

中信五风格-周期★☆☆ 金融工程组 张婧婕 Z0022617 010-58747784 gtaxinstitute@essence.com.cn 本报告版权属于国投期货有限公司 1 不可作为投资依据，转载请注明出处 基金市场回顾： 操作评级 股债策略收益小幅分化 金融工程周报 权益市场风格 2026年1月5日 周度报告 截至2025/12/31当周，通联全A（沪深京）、中证综合债与南 华商品指数周度涨跌幅分别为-0.31%、-0.20%、-0.71%。 公募基金市场方面，近一周股债策略收益表现分化，短期纯债 策略表现偏强，普通股票策略指数小幅收跌，中性策略产品涨 多跌少；商品方面贵金属ETF净值有所回调，黄金ETF调整幅 度大于白银，有色与能源化工ETF延续上行走势。 中信五风格方面，上周周期风格收涨，其余风格收跌；风格轮 动图显示近期稳定与消费风格相对强弱边际回落，五风格相对 强弱动量均环比走低。公募基金池方面，近一周消费与金融风 格基金平均表现跑赢基准，从基金风格系数走势来看市场对消 费风格偏移度有所回升；本周拥挤度指标相比上周有所升高， 成长风格基金拥挤度提升至历史中高分位区间。 Barra因子：近一周 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the active trading and significant gains of various ETFs on December 29, with a particular focus on sectors such as technology, securities, and non-ferrous metals [1] - The trading volume for cross-border ETFs, specifically the Hong Kong securities ETF, reached 5.238 billion yuan, indicating substantial market activity [1] - The non-ferrous metals ETF (159980) experienced a half-day increase of 2.91%, leading the gains among ETFs [1] - The AI-related ETFs, such as the Fortune (589380) technology innovation AI ETF, also saw a notable half-day increase of approximately 2% [1] - The commercial aerospace sector continued its upward trend, with multiple general aviation and satellite ETFs showing half-day gains exceeding 1.5% [1]

今日上午，科创芯片、证券以及有色ETF交投相对活跃，半日成交金额均超过10亿元；跨境ETF方面，香港证券ETF（513090）半日成交金额达到52.38亿 元，交易量较大。 从投资逻辑来看，随着全球算力供应紧张态势缓解及模型训练/推理成本快速下降，AI产业发展重心正从"模型能力竞赛"转向"应用效率与规模竞争"，一个 以用户和场景为中心的新一代AI应用入口生态将加速整合与重塑。未来1-2年将是市场格局分化与整合的关键时期，其竞争的本质是"生态控制力"之争。 点评：科创AIETF富国（589380）今日上午上涨2.06%，其份额为1.34亿份，半日成交金额为912.29万元。该ETF追踪的是上证科创板人工智能指数，追踪该 指数的ETF还包括科创人工智能ETF汇添富（589560）、科创AIETF（588790）等。其中，科创AIETF（588790）份额高达73.87亿份，半日成交金额达2.94 亿元。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨幅 (%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 588200 | 科创芯片ETF | 2.358 | 1.2 | | 512400 | 有色金属ETF ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a defensive investment strategy, suggesting to wait for better timing to enter the market as adjustments increase [6] - The mechanical industry is projected to achieve stable growth in 2025, reflecting the enhancement of China's manufacturing capabilities, with a focus on mid-cap blue-chip stocks that show potential for both stable growth and technological advancement [6] - The "ice and snow economy" is evolving from a niche seasonal activity into a vibrant trillion-yuan industry, with significant regional developments and policy support [6] Market Strategy - The market is experiencing a rebound that faces resistance, with participants adopting a more conservative mindset as trading willingness decreases [6] - It is advised to focus on mid-cap blue-chip stocks in sectors with improving marginal demand, particularly in advanced manufacturing and electronics [6] - Relevant ETFs include the CSI Cash Flow ETF and various sector-specific ETFs [6] Industry Strategy - The mechanical industry is expected to maintain steady demand growth into 2026, with an increasing importance of technological empowerment [6] - Key areas for investment include lithium battery equipment, industrial mother machines, oil and gas equipment, and engineering machinery [6] - Recommended stocks include CIMC Vehicles and Hangcha Group, with associated ETFs for further investment options [6] Thematic Strategy - The ice and snow economy is characterized by a shift from northern regional activities to a nationwide resonance, with southern regions developing large indoor ski facilities [6] - There is a growing trend of integrating local cultural elements into winter sports, supported by government policies aimed at promoting the ice and snow economy [6] - Relevant ETFs for this sector include tourism ETFs [6]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - A-share major broad-based ETFs mostly rose in the recent week, with ChiNext 50 ETF and MSCI China A50 ETF leading the gains, up 2.57% and 1.83% respectively; the recent-week gains of major broad-based ETFs in Hong Kong and US stocks were relatively low. Commodity ETFs saw the non-ferrous ETF up 4.30% and the gold ETF up 0.87%. Each major industry ETF showed mixed performance. The cyclical category mostly rose, with the non-ferrous metal ETF having the highest increase of 5.11%. In the technology category, the communication ETF rose 4.38%, while the media ETF had a relatively high decline of -3.23% [2][11]. - As of December 5, 2025, there were 1,373 ETFs in the entire market, with a latest total scale of 575.5251 billion yuan, an increase of 6.5288 billion yuan from the previous week. In the recent week, the inflows of ChinaAMC CSI AAA Sci-tech Innovation Corporate Bond ETF and Huatai-PineBridge CSI A500 ETF were relatively high, with inflows of 3.115 billion yuan and 2.22 billion yuan respectively [2]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Index Product Establishment, Raising, and Declaration - **Product Establishment and Listing**: In the recent week, 2 ETF products, including Penghua Hang Seng Tech ETF and E Fund CSI A500 Dividend Low Volatility ETF, were listed; 17 products, such as China Merchants Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Board Comprehensive Price Index Enhanced A, Dacheng CSI 800 Index Enhanced A, and Taixin CSI All - Free Cash Flow Index A, were established [1][5]. - **Product Issuance Information**: In the coming week, 13 index products will end their fundraising, including GF Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Board Chip Design Theme ETF and Dongxing China Bond 1 - 3 Year Policy Financial Bond Index A; 14 index products will start their fundraising, including Penghua CSI General Aviation Theme ETF and E Fund CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Investment ETF [1][7]. - **Product Declaration Information**: A total of 29 index products were declared in the recent week, and the declaration of fund products has recovered. The issuance market focuses on the "Sci - tech Innovation and Entrepreneurship Artificial Intelligence" theme, including 2 artificial intelligence theme funds, Tianhong CSI Artificial Intelligence Theme ETF and Orient Securities Asset Management CSI Shanghai - Hong Kong - Shenzhen Artificial Intelligence 50 Index Fund [1][9]. 3.2 ETF Market Review - A - share major broad - based ETFs mostly rose, with ChiNext 50 ETF and MSCI China A50 ETF leading the gains, up 2.57% and 1.83% respectively; the recent - week gains of major broad - based ETFs in Hong Kong and US stocks were relatively low. Commodity ETFs saw the non - ferrous ETF up 4.30% and the gold ETF up 0.87%. Each major industry ETF showed mixed performance. The cyclical category mostly rose, with the non - ferrous metal ETF having the highest increase of 5.11%. In the technology category, the communication ETF rose 4.38%, while the media ETF had a relatively high decline of - 3.23%. Among cross - border ETFs, most major broad - based indexes in cross - border markets rose in the recent week, with the China - South Korea Semiconductor having the highest increase of 2.60%. In the global market, Huaxia Hang Seng Tech ETF rose 1.20%, and E Fund Hang Seng H - share ETF rose 1.02%. Among non - monetary ETFs, Wanjia CSI Industrial Non - ferrous Metal Theme ETF led the gains with a yield of 7.91%, while Penghua Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Board New Energy ETF lagged behind with a yield of - 3.79% [2][11][15]. 3.3 ETF Fund Flow - As of December 5, 2025, there were 1,373 ETFs in the entire market, with a latest total scale of 575.5251 billion yuan, an increase of 6.5288 billion yuan from the previous week. Among them, A - share ETFs and cross - border ETFs ranked first and second in scale, at 364.7542 billion yuan and 95.2548 billion yuan respectively. The scale of A - share ETFs increased by 41.821 billion yuan in the recent week. In the recent week, the inflows of ChinaAMC CSI AAA Sci - tech Innovation Corporate Bond ETF and Huatai - PineBridge CSI A500 ETF were relatively high, with inflows of 3.115 billion yuan and 2.22 billion yuan respectively. Haifutong CSI Short - term Financing ETF led in liquidity in the recent week, with an average daily trading volume of 20.704 billion yuan. Huaxia Shanghai Stock Exchange Benchmark Market - Making Treasury Bond ETF had relatively high liquidity, with an average daily trading volume of 9.361 billion yuan [2][22][25].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a cautious optimism in the market, suggesting that investors should wait for low-positioning opportunities as the market is expected to experience fluctuations [3][9] - It highlights the importance of focusing on sectors with improving marginal conditions, particularly in commodities and advanced manufacturing, while also considering short-term timing [9] Market Strategy - The report anticipates a balanced market with a tendency towards large-cap stocks, while small-cap growth stocks may experience weakness [9] - It suggests that investors should select industries with moderate valuations, low institutional allocations, and reduced volatility [9] Industry Strategy - In the non-ferrous metals sector, the report indicates that the current market conditions are favorable for investment, particularly in copper, gold, and aluminum [5][9] - It notes that the supply-demand dynamics are tightening, and inflation expectations are rising, which could lead to a favorable cross-year market for copper and gold starting in December [9] Thematic Strategy - The report discusses the potential of space computing, highlighting the government's support for commercial aerospace development and the expected growth in the satellite data center market, projected to reach $39 billion by 2035 with a CAGR of 67.4% from 2025 to 2035 [6][9] - It identifies key investment opportunities in AI computing and satellite information infrastructure as beneficiaries of the growth in space computing [9]

沪深股通今日合计成交2297.63亿，其中洛阳钼业和中际旭创分居沪股通和深股通个股成交额首位。 板块主力资金方面，电子板块主力 资金净流入居首。 ETF成交方面，有色ETF（159980）成交额环比增长218%。期指持仓方面，IF合约空头减仓数量大于多头。 龙虎榜方面， 消费电子龙头中兴通讯今日涨停 ，有四家一线游资席位（国泰海通证券上海中山东路、国泰海通证券上海江苏路、国泰 海通证券上海新闸路、国泰海通证券成都北一环路）合计买入19.17亿。 一、沪深股通前十大成交 今日沪股通总成交金额为1102. 72亿，深股通总成交金额为1194.91亿。 | | 沪股通( | 12月1日 | ) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指 | 股票代码 | 股票名称 | | 成交金额(亿元) | | 1 | 603993 | 洛阳辑业 | | 21.92 | | 2 | 601899 | 紫等处,不 | | 20.22 | | 3 | 603986 | 兆易创新 | | 16.58 | | 4 | 601138 | 工业富联 | | 15.47 | | 5 | 600522 | 中 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance and characteristics of various metal ETFs in the context of a declining interest rate environment, highlighting their potential as investment options for different investor profiles [2][8]. ETF Comparison - The article compares three types of ETFs: the General Metal ETF (159880.OF), the Industrial Metal ETF (560860.OF), and the Gold Stock ETF (517520.OF), each with distinct investment focuses and characteristics [3][5][6]. Investment Strategy Differences - The General Metal ETF has a diversified portfolio covering the overall performance of the non-ferrous metal industry, while the Industrial Metal ETF focuses more on industrial-related metals. The Gold Stock ETF is concentrated solely on companies within the gold industry [11][18]. Sector Weight Distribution - The weight distribution among the top ten holdings in the ETFs shows that the General Metal ETF has significant allocations in gold (22.93%) and silver (2.43%), while the Industrial Metal ETF has a higher allocation in copper (31.29%) and aluminum (15.09%). The Gold Stock ETF is heavily weighted towards gold (64.65%) [13][15]. Concentration Analysis - The General Metal ETF and Industrial Metal ETF have relatively diversified holdings, whereas the Gold Stock ETF is more concentrated. The General Metal ETF has a higher allocation in precious metals, while the Industrial Metal ETF focuses more on industrial metals [15][19]. Risk and Return Characteristics - The risk profiles of the ETFs differ based on their holdings. The General Metal ETF is influenced by fluctuations in precious and rare metals, the Industrial Metal ETF is affected by industrial metal market dynamics, and the Gold Stock ETF primarily faces risks associated with gold prices [20]. Target Investor Profiles - The General Metal ETF is suitable for investors interested in a broad range of metals, the Industrial Metal ETF caters to those focused on the industrial metal market, and the Gold Stock ETF is ideal for investors looking to concentrate on the gold industry [20].