【导读】股票ETF市场开年首次出现百亿元级别资金净流出 中国基金报记者若晖 2026年开年以来，A股强势上攻，上证指数不仅在新年首个交易日重返4000点，更在1月7日收出"14连阳"，创最长 连阳纪录。有着"逆市风向标"之称的股票ETF开始获利了结，全天出现资金净流出。 银河证券基金研究中心数据显示，截至1月7日，全市场股票ETF（含跨境ETF）资金净流出超126亿元，这也是今 年以来股票ETF首次出现百亿元级别资金净流出。 从具体方向看，港股ETF、有色ETF受到资金青睐，单日净流入居前；沪深300ETF、科创50ETF等宽基ETF遭遇资 金净流出。 超百亿元资金净流出 开年以来，A股市场上演"春季躁动"行情。随着股市热度升温，股票ETF市场再现逆市操作，呈现资金净流出的局 面。 银河证券基金研究中心数据显示，截至1月7日，全市场1291只股票ETF（含跨境ETF）总规模达4.72万亿元。在昨 日股市上涨行情中，股票ETF市场净流出资金达126.49亿元；开年以来3个交易日，合计资金净流出超119亿元。 从大类型来看，1月7日，港股市场ETF与商品ETF净流入居前，分别达40.86亿元与11.07亿元；宽基 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock ETF market in China has experienced a significant net outflow of over 12.6 billion yuan, marking the first occurrence of a net outflow exceeding 10 billion yuan in 2026, despite a strong performance in the A-share market [2][4]. Group 1: Market Overview - As of January 7, 2026, the total scale of all stock ETFs (including cross-border ETFs) reached 4.72 trillion yuan, with a net outflow of 12.649 billion yuan on that day alone [4]. - In the first three trading days of the year, the cumulative net outflow exceeded 11.9 billion yuan [4]. Group 2: Fund Flows by Type - On January 7, the net inflows were led by Hong Kong stock ETFs and commodity ETFs, with inflows of 4.086 billion yuan and 1.107 billion yuan, respectively [6]. - Conversely, broad-based ETFs experienced significant net outflows, totaling 15.866 billion yuan, with a scale decrease of 14.372 billion yuan [6]. Group 3: Specific ETF Performance - ETFs tracking the Hong Kong Internet Index saw a net inflow of 1.462 billion yuan, while those tracking the CSI A500 Index faced a net outflow of 4.477 billion yuan [6]. - Over the past five trading days, ETFs tracking the SGE Gold 9999 Index attracted over 6.8 billion yuan, and those tracking specific non-ferrous indices saw inflows exceeding 4.7 billion yuan [6]. Group 4: Notable Fund Managers - Several ETFs managed by large fund companies continued to see net inflows, including the Securities Insurance ETF from E Fund, which reached a scale of 20.524 billion yuan with a net inflow of 557 million yuan [6]. - The China Concept Internet ETF from E Fund also performed well, with a scale of 42.025 billion yuan and a net inflow of 547 million yuan [6]. Group 5: Market Outlook - According to Huaxia Fund, the macro environment is expected to remain favorable for long positions, with anticipated acceleration in local government special bond issuance and central budget investments [13]. - The market is currently in a phase of valuation expansion, supported by long-term factors such as new growth drivers, policy support for A-shares, and a low-interest-rate environment [13].

Core Insights - The public fund market is expected to accelerate growth in 2025, driven by a continued ETF investment boom and a shift towards multi-asset allocation strategies [1] - The report from CITIC Securities highlights a recovery in active equity fund sizes, primarily driven by net asset value increases, while passive index funds dominate growth [1][3] - Fixed income products are experiencing significant differentiation, with a notable expansion in "fixed income plus" products amid a low-interest-rate environment [1][13] Group 1: Fund Market Trends - By Q3 2025, the size of passive index funds increased by over 1.1 trillion yuan, with ETF sizes surpassing 5 trillion yuan [1] - Active equity funds have shown a recovery in excess returns, but their size growth is mainly due to net asset value increases, reflecting investors' tendency to take profits in a recovering market [1] - The fixed income market is weakening, with long-term pure bond fund sizes decreasing by over 600 billion yuan, while short-term pure bond funds decreased by nearly 250 billion yuan [1] Group 2: FOF Market Recovery - The FOF (Fund of Funds) market has significantly rebounded, with over 80 new FOF funds launched in 2025, totaling a new issuance scale of 80 billion yuan [2] - New FOFs increasingly reflect multi-asset allocation characteristics, including equity, fixed income, commodity funds, QDII funds, and public REITs [2] Group 3: Active Equity Fund Performance - Notable growth in active equity funds was observed among several fund managers, with Yongying Fund, China Europe Fund, and E Fund each increasing their active equity fund sizes by over 35 billion yuan [3][8] - Yongying Fund's "Smart Selection Series" achieved a remarkable growth of over 760 billion yuan in active equity fund size, with a 576 billion yuan increase attributed to this series alone [7][8] - China Europe Fund's active equity fund size grew by over 705 billion yuan, with a 42.44% increase, driven by strong performance in TMT sector funds [8] Group 4: Fixed Income Plus Fund Growth - The report indicates a significant growth in "fixed income plus" funds, with the size of these funds increasing by over 1.1 trillion yuan, particularly favored by institutional investors [13][14] - The leading growth in fixed income plus funds is attributed to secondary bond funds, with many achieving top rankings in performance over the past two years [14] Group 5: ETF Market Dynamics - The ETF market is showing a clear trend of concentration among leading players, with Huaxia Fund, E Fund, and Huatai-PB Fund each holding over 10% market share [16] - By Q3 2025, Huaxia Fund's ETF size reached 941.69 billion yuan, accounting for 16.52% of the market, while E Fund's ETF size was 872.96 billion yuan, representing 15.32% [16] - Major contributors to ETF size growth include gold ETFs and mainstream broad-based ETFs, with significant increases noted in the sizes of Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF and Huaxia CSI 300 ETF [16][18]

Market Performance Overview - The equity market indices collectively rose during the week of December 22-26, 2025, with the CSI 500 increasing by 4.03%. The sectors that performed well included non-ferrous metals, defense and military industry, and electric equipment, while beauty care, social services, and banking sectors saw declines [4]. Fund Product Issuance - A total of 65 new funds were established in the domestic market this week, with a combined issuance of 27.894 billion units. This included 19 bond funds, 18 stock funds, 18 mixed funds, 6 FOF funds, 1 REIT, and 3 money market funds. Overall, 23 new funds were issued across various types, including 8 mixed funds, 8 stock funds, 5 bond funds, 1 FOF fund, and 1 REIT [5]. Fund Product Performance Tracking - The defense and military theme funds saw a significant increase in net value this week, while the medical and consumer theme funds experienced a pullback. As of December 26, 2025, the net value changes for various thematic funds were as follows: defense and military (6.62%), new energy (6.34%), TMT (4.15%), industry balanced (3.08%), industry rotation (2.63%), cyclical (2.63%), financial real estate (0.14%), consumer (-0.21%), and medical (-0.81%) [6]. ETF Market Tracking - Stock ETFs continued to see significant inflows, with a net inflow of 36.341 billion yuan. The median return for stock ETFs was 2.74%. In contrast, Hong Kong stock ETFs had a median return of -0.09% with a net inflow of 1.612 billion yuan. Cross-border ETFs had a median return of 0.90% and a net inflow of 0.655 billion yuan. Commodity ETFs had a median return of 3.59% with a net inflow of 2.129 billion yuan. Notably, the broad market theme ETFs saw a total inflow of 43.784 billion yuan, while the medical theme ETFs had a net inflow of 0.403 billion yuan [7]. ESG Financial Product Tracking - This week, 31 new green bonds were issued, totaling an issuance scale of 22.114 billion yuan. The domestic green bond market has steadily developed, with a cumulative issuance scale of 5.17 trillion yuan and a total of 4,458 bonds issued as of December 26, 2025. The domestic fund market currently has 211 ESG funds with a total scale of 153.222 billion yuan. The median net value changes for various ESG fund types this week were 4.12% for active equity, 2.50% for passive stock index, and 0.06% for bond ESG funds, with themes like carbon neutrality, green energy, and environmental protection performing well [8].

来源：Y趣理说 港股昨日下午进入圣诞假期，暂停交易。但是内地ETF正常交易，我们看到部分港股ETF出现了较高的 溢价。同时部分场外买联接基金的投资者就发现，ETF联接的涨幅似乎跟不上场内ETF，究竟是怎么回 事？ 为什么ETF联接和ETF的涨跌会有差异？ ETF有净值和交易价格两个价格指标，而ETF联接的净值确认依据ETF的净值，所以ETF联接基金的涨 跌幅以ETF的净值涨跌幅为基准，而非ETF交易价格的涨跌。 当市场情绪高涨，ETF的交易价格很有可能会大于IOPV，这时候，ETF的价格涨幅就会高于净值的涨 幅，自然也会高于ETF联接基金的净值涨幅。 其次，又因为ETF联接对指数是间接跟踪，仓位限制和资金申赎也会导致ETF联接和ETF的涨跌幅差 异，具体来看： 仓位限制：作为场外基金，ETF联接需要留有部分现金来应对投资者的赎回，所以仓位一般不会超过 95%，就造成了ETF联接与ETF表现的差异； 资金申赎：当行情火热时，当日申购联接基金的资金可能没办法立即投入到ETF中，而联接基金的净值 又会因为份额的增加被分摊，涨幅就可能跟不上标的ETF。 跨境ETF联接是否更为特殊？ 整体而言，ETF联接基金和ETF的 ...

Market Overview - In the week of December 15-19, 2025, gold prices increased while domestic equity market indices experienced fluctuations, with the ChiNext index showing a significant decline [4] - The retail trade, non-bank financial, and beauty care sectors saw the highest gains, while the electronics, power equipment, and machinery sectors faced the largest declines [4] Fund Issuance - A total of 40 new funds were established in the domestic market this week, with a combined issuance of 18.321 billion units. This includes 8 bond funds, 14 equity funds, 11 mixed funds, 3 FOF funds, and 4 money market funds [5] Fund Performance Tracking - The long-term thematic fund indices showed that financial and real estate theme funds performed well, while TMT theme funds experienced a net value decline. As of December 19, 2025, the net value changes for various thematic funds were as follows: financial and real estate (2.17%), national defense and military industry (1.75%), cyclical (1.68%), consumption (0.92%), industry rotation (-0.32%), industry balance (-0.65%), new energy (-1.66%), pharmaceuticals (-1.85%), and TMT (-2.02%) [6] ETF Market Tracking - This week, stock ETFs saw significant inflows, with various broad-based ETFs receiving increased investments. The median return for stock ETFs was -0.33%, with a net inflow of 55.232 billion yuan. Hong Kong stock ETFs had a median return of -2.06% and a net inflow of 12.373 billion yuan [7][8] - Broad-based ETFs experienced a total inflow of 33.739 billion yuan, while TMT theme ETFs saw an inflow of 6.652 billion yuan [8] ESG Financial Products Tracking - This week, 31 new green bonds were issued, totaling 18.530 billion yuan. The cumulative issuance of green bonds in the domestic market reached 5.15 trillion yuan, with 4,427 bonds issued [9] - The domestic market currently has 211 ESG funds with a total scale of 149.677 billion yuan. The median net value changes for various ESG fund types were: active equity (-1.35%), passive equity index (-0.54%), and bond ESG funds (0.06%) [9]

截至2025年12月19日，宽基指数来看，沪深300、中证500、中证1000、创业板指处于估值分位数"适 中"等级，上证指数、上证50处于估值分位数"危险"等级。 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 上周市场核心观点： 上周（2025.12.15-2025.12.19，下同）A股整体先抑后扬，主要宽基指数量能指标环比上周有所收缩。 资金面方面，股票型ETF资金净流入553.53亿元，大盘主题ETF为净流入主要方向。 从近期市场表现来看，12月中央经济工作会议召开之后市场交易情绪有所提振，资金面表现持续改善，为 市场进一步上行奠定基础。风格方面，短线基本面因子表现持续占优，市场仍处在资金面驱动向基本面驱 动的过渡阶段，基本面驱动或成后市主要交易方向。中长线持续看 ...

2025 年 12 月 23 日 总量研究 基本面驱动或为当前主要交易方向 ——金融工程市场跟踪周报 20251222 要点 上周市场核心观点： 上周（2025.12.15-2025.12.19，下同）A 股整体先抑后扬，主要宽基指数量能 指标环比上周有所收缩。资金面方面，股票型 ETF 资金净流入 553.53 亿元，大 盘主题 ETF 为净流入主要方向。 从近期市场表现来看，12 月中央经济工作会议召开之后市场交易情绪有所提振， 资金面表现持续改善，为市场进一步上行奠定基础。风格方面，短线基本面因子 表现持续占优，市场仍处在资金面驱动向基本面驱动的过渡阶段，基本面驱动或 成后市主要交易方向。中长线持续看好"红利+科技"配置主线。 上周市场各指数涨跌不一，上证综指上涨 0.03%，上证 50 上涨 0.32%，沪深 300 下跌 0.28%，中证 500 下跌 0.00%，中证 1000 下跌 0.56%，创业板指下 跌 2.26%，北证 50 指数下跌 0.13%。 截至 2025 年 12 月 19 日，宽基指数来看，沪深 300、中证 500、中证 1000、 创业板指处于估值分位数"适中"等级，上证 ...

Market Performance Overview - In the week of December 15-19, 2025, gold prices increased while domestic equity market indices experienced fluctuations, with the ChiNext index showing a significant decline [4] - The retail trade, non-bank financial, and beauty care sectors saw the highest gains, while the electronics, power equipment, and machinery sectors faced the largest declines [4] Fund Product Issuance - A total of 40 new funds were established in the domestic market this week, with a combined issuance of 18.321 billion units. This includes 8 bond funds, 14 equity funds, 11 mixed funds, 3 FOF funds, and 4 money market funds [5] Fund Product Performance Tracking - The financial and real estate theme funds outperformed this week, while TMT theme funds experienced a net value decline. As of December 19, 2025, the net value changes for various theme funds were as follows: financial and real estate (2.17%), national defense and military industry (1.75%), cyclical (1.68%), consumption (0.92%), industry rotation (-0.32%), industry balance (-0.65%), new energy (-1.66%), pharmaceuticals (-1.85%), and TMT (-2.02%) [6] ETF Market Tracking - This week, there was a significant inflow of funds into equity ETFs, with a net inflow of 55.232 billion yuan. The median return for equity ETFs was -0.33%, while the median return for Hong Kong stock ETFs was -2.06% with a net inflow of 12.373 billion yuan [7][8] ESG Financial Products Tracking - 31 new green bonds were issued this week, with a total issuance scale of 18.530 billion yuan. The cumulative issuance scale of the domestic green bond market reached 5.15 trillion yuan, with a total of 4,427 bonds issued [9] - As of December 19, 2025, there were 211 ESG funds in the domestic market, with a total scale of 149.677 billion yuan. The median net value changes for various ESG fund types were: active equity (-1.35%), passive equity index (-0.54%), and bond ESG funds (0.06%) [9]

Market Performance Overview - The domestic equity market showed mixed performance during the week of December 8 to December 12, 2025, with the ChiNext Index rising by 2.74% [4] - In terms of sectors, telecommunications, national defense and military industry, and electronics sectors led the gains, while coal, oil and petrochemicals, and steel sectors experienced the largest declines [4] Fund Product Issuance - A total of 28 new funds were established in the domestic market this week, with a combined issuance of 18.218 billion units. This includes 9 bond funds, 10 stock funds, 4 FOF funds, 3 mixed funds, 1 international (QDII) fund, and 1 money market fund [5] - Overall, 38 new funds were issued across the market, categorized as 13 stock funds, 8 FOF funds, 8 bond funds, 8 mixed funds, and 1 international (QDII) fund [5] Fund Product Performance Tracking - The defense and military industry theme funds outperformed this week, while cyclical theme funds saw a net value correction. As of December 12, 2025, the net value changes for various theme funds were as follows: defense and military industry (3.39%), TMT (3.17%), industry balanced (1.08%), industry rotation (0.50%), new energy (0.12%), pharmaceuticals (-0.42%), financial real estate (-0.66%), consumption (-0.67%), and cyclical (-1.12%) [6] ETF Market Tracking - Stock ETFs experienced a slight outflow of funds this week, primarily from TMT, financial real estate, and ChiNext theme ETFs, while large-cap broad-based ETFs saw significant inflows from passive funds. Hong Kong stock ETFs also experienced notable inflows [7] - The median return for stock ETFs this week was 0.19%, with a net outflow of 2.974 billion yuan. In contrast, Hong Kong stock ETFs had a median return of -1.42% and a net inflow of 8.865 billion yuan. Cross-border ETFs had a median return of -0.11% with a net inflow of 1.115 billion yuan, while commodity ETFs had a median return of 0.81% and a net inflow of 241 million yuan [7] Broad-based ETF Insights - Broad-based ETFs saw a significant net inflow of 9.058 billion yuan this week. Additionally, the new energy theme ETFs also experienced notable net inflows totaling 778 million yuan [8] ESG Financial Products Tracking - This week, 28 new green bonds were issued, with a total issuance scale of 29.152 billion yuan. The domestic green bond market has steadily developed, with a cumulative issuance scale of 5.12 trillion yuan and a total of 4,396 bonds issued as of December 12, 2025 [8] - As of December 12, 2025, there were 211 ESG funds in the domestic market, with a total scale of 150.981 billion yuan. The median net value changes for various ESG fund types this week were as follows: active equity funds (0.60%), passive stock index funds (-0.01%), and bond funds (0.05%). Funds focused on low-carbon economy, carbon neutrality, and social responsibility performed well [8]