1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week, 13 new products were issued in the US, with more leveraged and inverse products. Leverage Shares issued a new series of "Accelerated" products, offering 2x the monthly upside return of stocks but only 1x the downside, with a monthly return cap. The first - batch products are linked to Tesla, Nvidia, MicroStrategy, CoinBase, and Palantir [2][10] - Digital currency ETFs had significant inflows last week. Stock and bond ETFs remained above $10 billion, and the inflow of digital currency ETFs increased again. The Nasdaq 100 ETF had the largest inflow, and BlackRock's Ethereum and Bitcoin ETFs were among the top ten in terms of inflow. Many leveraged ETFs had outflows, and several technology products had significant outflows [4][12] - ARKK outperformed other technology ETFs. Although the US stock style fluctuated at the beginning of this year, the technology sector has been performing well, with an overall increase of over 10%. The VanEck Semiconductor ETF has risen by over 20%, but the 3x semiconductor leveraged product has performed significantly weaker due to volatility losses at the beginning of the year. ARKK has risen by over 35%, leading other technology products [4][15] - In June 2025, the total amount of non - money mutual funds in the US was $22.69 trillion, up $0.78 trillion from May 2025. The S&P 500 rose 6.15% in June, and the scale of US domestic equity products increased by 4.26%, slightly lower than the stock increase. From July 30 to August 6, US domestic equity funds had a net outflow of about $16.7 billion, basically the same as the previous week, and the inflow of bond products slightly narrowed [4][19] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog 3.1 US ETF Innovation Products: Leverage Shares Issues "Accelerated" Products - Last week, 13 new ETFs were issued in the US, with more leveraged and inverse products. Leverage Shares issued a new series of "Accelerated" products, offering 2x the monthly upside return of stocks but only 1x the downside, with a monthly return cap. The first - batch products are linked to Tesla, Nvidia, MicroStrategy, CoinBase, and Palantir. Other issuers also had various new product launches, including single - stock leveraged ETFs, 2x leveraged products, and stock enhancement products [2][9][10] 3.2 US ETF Dynamics 3.2.1 US ETF Funds: Digital Currency ETFs Have More Inflows - Last week, stock and bond ETFs remained above $10 billion, and the inflow of digital currency ETFs increased again. The Nasdaq 100 ETF had the largest inflow, and BlackRock's Ethereum and Bitcoin ETFs were among the top ten in terms of inflow. ARKK also had an inflow of over $1 billion. Many leveraged ETFs had outflows, and several technology products had significant outflows [4][12] 3.2.2 US ETF Performance: ARKK Outperforms Other Technology ETFs - Although the US stock style fluctuated at the beginning of this year, the technology sector has been performing well, with an overall increase of over 10%. The VanEck Semiconductor ETF has risen by over 20%, but the 3x semiconductor leveraged product has performed significantly weaker due to volatility losses at the beginning of the year. ARKK has risen by over 35%, leading other technology products [4][15] 3.3 Recent US Ordinary Mutual Fund Fund Flows - In June 2025, the total amount of non - money mutual funds in the US was $22.69 trillion, up $0.78 trillion from May 2025. The S&P 500 rose 6.15% in June, and the scale of US domestic equity products increased by 4.26%, slightly lower than the stock increase. From July 30 to August 6, US domestic equity funds had a net outflow of about $16.7 billion, basically the same as the previous week, and the inflow of bond products slightly narrowed [4][19]

Group 1 - The core strategy for margin trading focuses on "following the trend," emphasizing the importance of selecting high-certainty industry leaders for long-term leverage and event-driven stocks for short-term gains [1] - In the context of margin trading, investors should be aware of the limited number of short-selling targets and the potential for changes in available shares, necessitating prior confirmation with brokers [1] Group 2 - Leveraged ETFs are best utilized for "swing trading," with a recommended holding period of 5 to 10 trading days due to their daily reset feature, which can lead to volatility decay [2] - Investors should use technical indicators to determine entry points for leveraged ETFs, such as buying when the index breaks above the Bollinger Bands upper limit with increased volume [2] Group 3 - Options strategies emphasize "refined management," with a focus on buying in-the-money call options for bullish markets and constructing call spreads to manage risk in uncertain conditions [4] - In volatile markets, selling straddles can be a common strategy, allowing investors to earn premiums as long as the underlying stock price remains within a specified range [4] Group 4 - Combining different leverage tools can optimize the risk-return profile, with conservative investors using a "margin + bonds" strategy and aggressive investors employing a "leveraged ETF + options" combination for added protection [5] - The effectiveness of leverage tools relies on understanding their characteristics and adapting strategies to market conditions, highlighting the need for investor discipline and market sensitivity [5][6]

Core Viewpoint - JPMorgan expects nearly $500 billion to flow into the US stock market in the second half of the year, potentially driving the market up by 5%-10%. This prediction is primarily supported by retail investors, while the incremental contributions from hedge funds and institutional investors are limited [1][4]. Retail Investor Dynamics - Retail investors are projected to be the main driving force behind stock purchases, with a net buying total of $630 billion expected for 2025. Approximately $270 billion has already flowed in during the first half of 2025, indicating an anticipated $360 billion in the remaining months [1][4]. - The report downplays concerns regarding a recent slowdown in retail buying in May and June, attributing it to profit-taking after significant gains from leveraged ETFs. It anticipates a resumption of buying from retail investors starting in July [1][4]. Institutional Investor Analysis - The report highlights that institutional investors, including hedge funds, have limited capacity for further significant increases in their positions, as many are already at high levels. Structural selling from overseas institutions is also exerting downward pressure on US stocks [5][10]. - Macro hedge funds have returned to high positions after recovering from losses in April, but they are not expected to be major market drivers in the second half of the year, with the exception of quantitative funds that may still have room to increase their positions [7][10]. Potential Buying Forces - The report identifies risk parity funds and balanced mutual funds as potential buying forces for the second half of the year. If risk parity funds return to their average beta levels, they could contribute approximately $45 billion in net buying. Balanced mutual funds could add around $56 billion if their beta returns to long-term averages [11][11]. - Foreign investors, who have been absent from the US stock market since February, may also return if the dollar stabilizes, potentially adding $50 billion to $100 billion in buying power in the latter half of 2025 [14][14].