Core Insights - The average price of newly built residential properties in 100 cities reached 16,910 yuan per square meter in August 2025, showing a month-on-month increase of 0.20% and a year-on-year increase of 2.73% [1] - The average price of second-hand residential properties in 100 cities was 13,481 yuan per square meter in August 2025, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 0.76% and a year-on-year decrease of 7.34% [1] - The average rent for residential properties in 50 key cities was 34.88 yuan per square meter per month in August 2025, with a month-on-month decline of 0.15% and a year-on-year decline of 3.76% [1] New Residential Market - The new residential market is experiencing structural growth driven by the introduction of improvement projects in certain cities [1] - The average price increase in new residential properties indicates a potential recovery in demand in specific urban areas [1] Second-hand Residential Market - The second-hand residential market continues to exhibit a "price-for-volume" phenomenon, with prices declining in most cities [1] - In August 2025, second-hand residential prices in first-tier cities fell by 0.55% month-on-month and 4.17% year-on-year, while second-tier and third/fourth-tier cities saw declines of 0.85% and 0.78% respectively [1][3] Rental Market - The rental market is experiencing a slowdown in demand as the graduation season effect diminishes, leading to a slight increase in the decline of average rents in key cities [1] - The average rent decline in 50 cities suggests a cooling rental market, which may impact rental yields for investors [1] City-Specific Trends - In August 2025, major cities like Wuhan and Nanjing experienced significant month-on-month declines in second-hand housing prices, with decreases of 1.20% and 0.97% respectively [3] - Year-on-year, Wuhan and Nanjing saw declines of 9.67% and 9.50% in second-hand housing prices, indicating a challenging market environment [3][5] Transaction Volume - Certain cities such as Huizhou and Nanchang reported substantial year-on-year increases in transaction volumes, with growth rates of 56.9% and 28.4% respectively [6][7] - Conversely, cities like Nanjing and Dalian faced significant declines in transaction volumes, with decreases of 22.1% and 61.0% respectively [8]

Core Insights - The average price of new residential properties in 100 cities in China reached 16,910 yuan per square meter in August, showing a month-on-month increase of 0.20% and a year-on-year increase of 2.73% [1] - The average price of second-hand residential properties in August was 13,481 yuan per square meter, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 0.76% and a year-on-year decrease of 7.34% [1] - The average rental price in 50 cities was 34.88 yuan per square meter per month, with a month-on-month decline of 0.15% and a year-on-year decline of 3.76% [1] Market Trends - The "stop decline and stabilize" policy goal was reiterated by the State Council, boosting market confidence [1][11] - Major cities like Beijing and Shanghai have optimized housing policies, easing restrictions on the number of properties that eligible buyers can purchase [10][11] - The market is entering the traditional peak season for real estate sales, with expectations for increased activity in core cities [11] Price Movements - In August, first-tier cities saw a month-on-month increase in new residential prices of 0.48%, while second-tier cities increased by 0.21%. In contrast, third and fourth-tier cities experienced a decrease of 0.25% [6] - Second-hand residential prices in first-tier cities decreased by 0.55%, while second-tier and third/fourth-tier cities saw declines of 0.85% and 0.78%, respectively [6] Policy Developments - The State Council emphasized the need for strong measures to consolidate the stabilization of the real estate market, focusing on urban renewal and improving housing quality [10][11] - Local governments are implementing various supportive measures, including optimizing public housing loan policies and issuing special bonds to recover idle land [10][11] Project Highlights - Several new residential projects have been launched in major cities, with notable sales performance indicating strong demand [9][12] - The focus on high-quality housing development continues, with guidelines being issued in various regions to promote the construction of quality residential projects [12]

Group 1: Land Market - Chengdu auctioned three plots of land from Qionglai City, totaling 153 acres, with two plots sold to Chengdu Hongxing Commercial Management Co., Ltd. at a price of 345 yuan per square meter [2][3] - The third plot, approximately 2 acres in Qionglai City, was terminated due to unspecified reasons [2][3] Group 2: Transaction Data - From August 14 to August 20, Chengdu's total new housing transactions reached 1,367 units, with a total area of 173,436.18 square meters, remaining stable compared to the previous week [5] - The breakdown of transactions shows a total of 293 units sold on August 14, 200 units on August 15, and peak sales of 291 units on August 19 [5] Group 3: Second-hand Housing Transactions - During the same period, Chengdu's second-hand housing transactions totaled 4,440 units, with a total area of 423,984.21 square meters, indicating an increase compared to the previous week [8] Group 4: Pre-sale Certificates - A total of 14 pre-sale certificates were issued in the greater Chengdu area, with 10 projects including residential units [9] Group 5: Major Events - In July, the average price of second-hand residential properties in 100 cities was 13,585 yuan per square meter, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 0.77% and a year-on-year decrease of 7.32% [11] - From January to July, national real estate development investment reached 53,580 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 12.0% [12] - Urbanization in China is transitioning from a rapid growth phase to a stable development phase, focusing on quality improvement of existing urban areas [13]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the property investment market, with an expected year-on-year growth of 5-10% in total investment volume for the year [8]. Core Insights - In the first half of 2025, the national large-scale property investment transaction volume reached 132.1 billion, a 19% increase compared to the same period last year, despite a 29% decrease in the number of transactions [5][3]. - Institutional buyers are optimistic about consumer and residential assets, with retail property and rental residential transaction volumes doubling year-on-year [3][5]. - Capitalization rates for various asset types in first-tier cities have shown a narrowing increase compared to the second half of last year, although there remains short-term upward pressure [3][5]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The investment sentiment remains cautious, with institutional capital focusing on high-quality real estate [5]. - The transaction volume for retail properties and rental residential assets increased by 166% and 200% respectively compared to the previous year [5]. Capitalization Rates - The capitalization rates for Grade A office buildings, retail properties, and high-standard warehouses in first-tier cities have expanded by nearly 20 basis points compared to the end of last year [5][9]. - The average capital value of office buildings in first-tier cities has decreased by 43% since 2022, indicating a continued interest in core office assets [8]. Future Predictions - The report anticipates that the market activity will marginally improve in the second half of the year, driven by an expanding pool of available assets and increased risk premiums [8]. - The focus for investment in the second half of the year will remain on consumer and residential sectors, with particular attention to the evolution of trade tariffs and domestic demand stimulation policies [8].

Core Insights - The real estate market in China is experiencing mixed trends, with new residential prices showing slight increases in core cities while second-hand housing prices are declining [1][3][5]. New Residential Market - In July, the average price of new residential properties in 100 cities was 16,877 yuan per square meter, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 0.18% and a year-on-year increase of 2.64% [1]. - First-tier cities saw a month-on-month price increase of 0.36%, while second-tier cities experienced a 0.23% increase, driven by quality improvement projects [3]. - Third and fourth-tier cities, however, faced a month-on-month price decline of 0.19% [3]. Second-Hand Residential Market - The average price of second-hand residential properties in July was 13,585 yuan per square meter, showing a month-on-month decrease of 0.77% and a year-on-year decrease of 7.32% [1]. - First-tier cities experienced a month-on-month price drop of 0.61%, while second-tier and third/fourth-tier cities saw declines of 0.84% and 0.77%, respectively [3][11]. Rental Market - The average rental price in 50 key cities was 34.93 yuan per square meter per month, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.07% and a year-on-year decrease of 3.81% [1]. - Rental demand during the graduation season provided some support, but overall rental prices are still under pressure [1][13]. Policy and Market Outlook - The central government is focusing on implementing policies to stabilize the real estate market, including urban renewal and housing rental regulations [4][5]. - The recent Central Urban Work Conference emphasized the transition from rapid urbanization to stable development, aiming to improve existing urban areas rather than expanding [4]. - Local governments are also taking measures to optimize housing policies, such as canceling housing sales restrictions and enhancing public housing fund access [4][5]. Market Trends - The market is expected to maintain some resilience in core cities due to strong fundamentals, although disparities between different cities and regions are likely to persist [8].

Group 1 - In June, the average price of new residential properties in 100 cities in China was 16,847 yuan per square meter, with a month-on-month increase of 0.19% and a year-on-year increase of 2.59% [1] - The average price of second-hand residential properties in the same cities was 13,691 yuan per square meter, showing a month-on-month decrease of 0.75% and a year-on-year decrease of 7.26% [1] - The rental market saw a slight recovery in June, with the average rent in 50 cities down by 3.71% year-on-year, influenced by increased demand during the graduation season [1] Group 2 - In the first half of the year, core cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen experienced active real estate transactions, with Beijing's new home registrations up by 25% year-on-year and second-hand home registrations up by 17.7% [2] - Shenzhen saw a significant increase in both new and second-hand home registrations, with a total increase of 38.8% year-on-year, including a 41.8% rise in new homes [2] - The real estate market in China is expected to continue its structural differentiation, with "good cities + good properties" presenting opportunities, while a comprehensive market stabilization will require further policy support [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - The core insight indicates that high-quality housing in prime locations shows strong resilience, with the average new residential price in 100 cities rising by 0.30% month-on-month and 2.56% year-on-year to 16,815 CNY per square meter [4] - The average price for second-hand residential properties in May was 13,794 CNY per square meter, reflecting a month-on-month decline of 0.71% and a year-on-year decrease of 7.24% [4] - The average rental price for residential properties in 50 key cities fell to 35.0 CNY per square meter per month, down 0.34% month-on-month and 3.44% year-on-year [4] Industry Fundamentals Tracking New Housing Transactions and Inventory - In the last week, the new housing transaction area in 30 major cities was 141.72 million square meters, with a cumulative year-to-date transaction area of 3,902.12 million square meters, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.1% [5] - The average transaction area in the last four weeks for first-tier cities was 55.25 million square meters, up 12.5% year-on-year, while second-tier cities saw a decline of 20.5% year-on-year [5][14] - The inventory of sellable residential properties in 14 cities was 79,330.7 million square meters, down 13.91% year-on-year [18] Second-Hand Housing Transactions and Listings - In the last week, the transaction area for second-hand housing in 20 cities was 194.29 million square meters, with a cumulative year-to-date transaction area of 5,096.17 million square meters, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 26.3% [6][23] - The listing index for second-hand housing was 15.63, down 2.1% month-on-month [25] Land Market Transactions - In the last week, 100 major cities saw 68 new residential land supply and 27 transactions, with an average transaction price of 7,035.25 CNY per square meter and a premium rate of 5.23% [28] Market Review - The A-share real estate index rose by 0.86%, while the CSI 300 index increased by 0.88%, indicating a slight underperformance of the real estate index [31] - The Hang Seng property services and management index increased by 0.03%, underperforming the Hang Seng composite index, which rose by 2.2% [31]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint The real estate market in China shows mixed signals in May, with new home prices experiencing slight increases in first-tier cities while second-hand home prices continue to decline. The rental market also reflects a downward trend, indicating a challenging environment for property sales and rentals. Group 1: New Home Prices - The average price of new homes in 100 cities reached 16,815 yuan per square meter in May, with a month-on-month increase of 0.30% and a year-on-year increase of 2.56% [1] - First-tier cities saw a month-on-month increase of 0.90% in new home prices, with Shanghai leading at 1.47% due to the launch of quality improvement projects [5] - Second-tier cities experienced a slight increase of 0.06%, while third and fourth-tier cities saw a decrease of 0.11% [5] Group 2: Second-Hand Home Prices - The average price of second-hand homes in 100 cities was 13,794 yuan per square meter in May, with a month-on-month decline of 0.71% and a year-on-year decrease of 7.24% [1] - First-tier cities experienced a month-on-month decrease of 0.37%, while second-tier and third/fourth-tier cities saw declines of 0.78% and 0.76%, respectively [5] Group 3: Rental Market - The average rental price in 50 cities was 35.0 yuan per square meter per month in May, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 0.34% and a year-on-year decrease of 3.44% [2] - The rental market continues to show a seasonal downturn, particularly in key cities [2] Group 4: Policy Environment - Recent financial policies, including a reduction in the reserve requirement ratio and interest rates, aim to stabilize the real estate market and support housing demand [9] - Local governments are implementing measures to enhance property sales management and optimize housing loan policies [10] - The overall macroeconomic policy is increasingly supportive of the real estate sector, with expectations for continued easing in June [10]