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重大工程、城市更新,上海楼市还有一堆“隐形利好”
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-02-26 11:30
降低购房门槛的同时,上海还在稳固楼市的"底盘"。 2月25日,上海出台楼市新政"沪七条",在购房资格、公积金贷款、房产税等方面作出优化调整,被市 场解读为进一步降低购房门槛、释放潜在购买力的重要信号。政策端的松动叠加投资端的加码,使得 2026年上海楼市的走向再次成为市场关注焦点。 就在"沪七条"发布前,上海密集披露了一轮重大工程和财政预算安排。 来自上海市发展和改革委员会官网的公开信息显示,《2026年上海市重大工程项目清单》日前正式公 布,年度计划完成投资2550亿元,规模再创历史新高。 全市共安排正式项目184项,覆盖科技产业、社会民生、生态文明、城市基础设施、城乡融合等领域, 其中城市基础设施类项目达68项,占比最高。 在政策端与投资端形成合力的背景下,市场对2026年楼市走势的判断趋于理性。 一位国资房企华东总部的资深人士对记者表示,整体来看,上海当前释放的信号并非简单直接的市场刺 激,而是通过基础设施投资、城市更新推进和财政政策倾斜,强化城市长期发展的确定性,在此背景 下,2026年的楼市走势更可能呈现"结构性修复"特征,有轨交加持板块、旧改释放区域及高品质住宅产 品将表现坚挺。 中指研究院认为, ...
中经评论:保障房也要建成“好房子”
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2026-02-11 00:05
保障房应该是"好房子",要符合好标准,使用好设计、好材料、好建造、好运维。推进保障房建设 应持续完善住房保障轮候库和信息系统建设。保障房要建设好,更要管理好。 推进保障房建设应持续完善住房保障轮候库和信息系统建设。轮候库和信息系统在住房保障中发挥 基础性作用,是以需定建、以需定购的关键举措。我国地级及以上城市将全面建成轮候库,建立需求动 态摸底和项目供需匹配机制,掌握困难群体的住房现状和基本需求,科学确定保障性住房建设目标。 最近,北京市通州区金隅通和园等小区的青年人才公寓迎来首批青年后备人才入住。2025年,北京 持续增加"一张床""一间房"供应比例,全年建设筹集保障性租赁住房约6.7万套(间)。北京市持续推进保 障性租赁住房建设筹集力度是全国各地推进保障性住房建设的缩影。 保障房要建设好,更要管理好。把保障性住房建设好、管理好,是满足住房困难群众对"好不好"需 求的应有之义。保障房应在运营上提质增效,完善保障性住房申请、轮候、配售配租、退出等全流程管 理制度;应健全居住社区管理机制,引入专业机构开展保障性住房运营管理,提升保障性住房小区治理 效能;应更新改造建成年代早、管线设施老化的公租房,完善公共服务设 ...
有人预测:2026年起,楼市或许迎来3个“好消息”,很多人不知道
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 04:10
很多人这两年都有一个明显的感觉: 但另一边,很多人又很纠结: "现在到底能不能买?会不会买完又跌?"今天我不给你喊"马上买"或者"千万别买", 如果你现在还没买房,从2026年开始,你面对的,是一个"门槛更低、选择更多、不用急着抢"的市场。 具体有三个好消息,很多人到现在都还没察觉。 好消息一:买房的"门槛"和"月供",确实在往下走 前几年很多人买房时,商贷利率还是"5字头",后来慢慢到了"4字头"。 而到最近两年,新发放的房贷利率已经降到了"3字头",有的地方甚至逼近3%。 央行数据里,全国新发放房贷加权平均利率已经跌到历史新低,和几年前比,一笔30年期的贷款,利息 能少十几二十万是很正常的。 房子好像没那么"紧俏"了。以前看盘,售楼处人挤人;现在很多项目打电话给你,说"可以来谈谈价"。 除了利率,首付比例也在降。 很多城市把首套房的首付比例降到了20%甚至15%,公积金利率、贷款额度也都做了优化。 对首次置业的人来说,首付少掏几十万,压力一下子小很多;月供也轻一点,生活质量就不用被房贷压 得太死。 还有税费、补贴: 有的城市对刚需给购房补贴,有的继续执行"以旧换新"减税、退税政策。 算下来,同样买一套房子 ...
我市住房和城乡建设工作聚焦五大重点
Zhen Jiang Ri Bao· 2026-01-29 23:39
坚持改革转型,激活发展"强劲引擎"。全力推动房地产市场止跌回稳,落实"一区域一策"等精准举 措,统筹推进去库存、优供给。推动收购存量商品房用作保障房、人才房等,全年新增4个省改善型住 宅评价项目。深化房屋"以旧换新"和房票安置。着力促进建筑业高质量发展,总产值增幅保持全省前 列,支持企业"走出去"拓展市场,鼓励向城市更新、智慧运维等新兴领域延伸。 坚持系统谋划,答好城市更新"时代考卷"。以"绣花"功夫推进城市更新,年底前实现建成区城市体 检全覆盖,编制《镇江市"十五五"城市更新专项规划》。实施危房排查整治、老旧电梯更新(431 台)、城中村改造(5个项目)等重点任务,保护传承历史文化,实施13个文保类项目。 坚持精工细作,打造城乡融合"典范样板"。全年计划完成市政公用领域投资22.8亿元。增强城市承 载能力,打通18条断头路、瓶颈路,实施一批道路改造工程。提高公共服务能力,改造供水、燃气管网 及立管超万户。加强水环境治理,城市生活污水集中收集率超过90%。提升村镇建设水平,创建5个省 特色田园乡村。 1月29日上午,全市住房和城乡建设工作会议召开。2026年,全市住建系统将坚持稳中求进工作总 基调,更好统筹惠 ...
未来中国房地产十大趋势
泽平宏观· 2026-01-29 16:05
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that China's real estate industry is transitioning from a phase of large-scale development to a focus on existing housing, driven by demographic changes and urbanization trends [2][4][7] - The main trends in the post-real estate era include the end of the large-scale development era, population concentration in urban agglomerations, and the construction of a new real estate model [2][4][7] - The housing market will be supported by improvement demand, urban renewal, and affordable housing needs, emphasizing quality over quantity [2][4][7] Group 2 - The first trend indicates the end of the large-scale development era, with the main home-buying demographic (ages 20-50) reaching a population peak, and urbanization rate at 67% [7][9][11] - The second trend highlights the migration of population towards urban agglomerations, with a significant outflow from lower-tier cities, leading to a "Pareto principle" effect [14][15][18] - The third trend focuses on constructing a new real estate model that includes quality housing, affordable housing, long-term rental housing, and reforms in the pre-sale system [20][21][23] Group 3 - The fourth trend emphasizes that the future housing market will be primarily supported by improvement demand, urban renewal, and affordable housing needs [25][26] - The fifth trend indicates that urban renewal will enter a new phase of vigorous implementation, addressing issues related to aging housing stock [28][29][30] - The sixth trend points to increasing price differentiation, with first-tier and strong second-tier cities expected to stabilize in the next 2-3 years, while many third and fourth-tier cities may experience prolonged price declines [32][33][34] Group 4 - The seventh trend suggests that real estate companies will shift from a "high debt, high leverage, high turnover" model to a focus on quality and sustainable development [38][39][40] - The eighth trend indicates a "control quantity and improve quality" strategy for land supply, with a focus on high-quality land and prime locations [45][46][48] - The ninth trend discusses the transformation of land finance, with first and second-tier cities adapting while others may exit this model entirely [52][53][54] Group 5 - The tenth trend anticipates the gradual lifting of purchase restrictions in first-tier cities, returning to a market-oriented approach [57][58][59]
北京两会定调房地产,着力稳市场,建更多“好房子”,三部门:新建住宅项目需按规划标准配建养老设施
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2026-01-28 12:13
1月28日,《华夏时报》记者了解到,自然资源部、民政部、国家健康委在近期发布了有关文件,明确 养老服务设施空间布局,鼓励"住宅+养老""商服+养老""医疗+养老"土地混合开发和空间复合利用,允 许非独立占地养老服务设施与其他建筑兼容建设,减少单独占地成本。 此外,文件明确,新建城区、居住(小)区、新建住宅项目要按照规划标准要求同步配套养老服务设 施。 "稳"字当头,再度发力保障房 级、城市更新向内涵式发展转型,打造一批活力组团,塑造城市更新标杆。 本报记者 李凯旋 北京报道 1月25日上午,北京市十六届人大四次会议开幕。其中,北京市市长殷勇作政府工作报告,对今年北京 的房地产工作作出了明确安排。政府工作报告指出,今年,北京要着力稳定房地产市场,缓解青年人住 房困难,建设更多"好房子"以及大力推进城市更新等。 值得关注的是,2025年12月底,北京再度放宽限购政策,新政带动市场活跃度提升,楼市今年出现"开 门红"。 1月26日下午,在解读《北京市国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划纲要》新闻发布会上,有关负责 人表示,"十五五"时期,北京将聚焦8类重点任务,激活城市发展动能,推动住有所居向住有宜居升 具体到房地产 ...
新年添喜!一月后迎大利好!七成普通家庭遇三件好事,买房涨薪安家全安排
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-26 22:30
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights three significant positive developments for ordinary families in the new year: stabilized housing prices, increased wages, and the ability to pay for affordable housing in installments [1][9] Group 2 - Housing prices have stabilized, alleviating concerns for potential buyers and restoring market confidence, particularly in first-tier cities where transaction volumes for second-hand homes are increasing [2][3] - Wages are generally on the rise, with many ordinary workers experiencing salary increases due to improved economic conditions, rising living costs, and competitive job markets, which collectively enhance the quality of life for families [5][8] - The introduction of installment payments for affordable housing down payments significantly eases the financial burden on low-income families, making homeownership more accessible and providing a sense of security [7][9] Group 3 - The combination of these three favorable developments is expected to improve the living conditions of approximately 70% of ordinary families, fostering optimism for the future and encouraging proactive engagement with housing and financial opportunities [8][9]
盘中必读|房地产板块再度活跃,城投控股、大悦城等多股涨停
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-20 05:53
Group 1 - The real estate sector experienced a significant rally on January 20, with stocks such as Dayuecheng and Wo Ai Wo Jia hitting the daily limit, following a surge in Chengtou Holdings and other companies like China Merchants Shekou and Poly Developments [1][2] - Chengtou Holdings, a comprehensive listed company controlled by Shanghai Urban Investment Group, has transformed from a government financing platform to a city comprehensive service provider, focusing on real estate development, operation, and financial investment [2][4] - The company has a diversified product system covering residential and commercial properties, and has participated in major urban development projects, contributing to the construction of affordable housing and rental residences in Shanghai [4] Group 2 - The recent rally in the real estate sector was driven by the Ministry of Finance and other departments extending the personal income tax preferential policy for residents' housing purchases until the end of 2027 [2] - The stock market saw a decline in major indices, with the Shenzhen Component Index dropping over 1% and the ChiNext Index falling more than 2%, despite the real estate sector's performance [2] - Chengtou Holdings has invested in the construction of 6.7 million square meters of affordable housing and 800,000 square meters of rental housing, benefiting approximately 200,000 citizens [4]
任泽平:未来中国房地产十大趋势
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-13 23:31
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that China's real estate industry is transitioning from a large development era to a stock-driven era, with significant changes in supply and demand dynamics as the main home-buying demographic reaches a population inflection point [2][5][53] - The urbanization rate has reached 67%, and the household ratio exceeds 1.1, indicating a shift in the real estate market's focus from quantity to quality [5][6][53] - The future of the real estate market will be supported by improvement demand, urban renewal, and affordable housing needs, emphasizing quality over quantity [19][20] Group 2 - Population is increasingly concentrating in urban agglomerations, with a significant outflow of residents from lower-tier cities, leading to a "20-80" phenomenon where only 20% of cities will see population inflows [10][13] - The real estate industry is undergoing a major reshuffle, with many companies expected to disappear or be merged, reflecting the natural evolution of mature industries [4][8] - The land supply strategy is shifting to "control quantity and improve quality," focusing on high-quality land and prime locations, while ordinary city non-core plots are becoming less attractive [8][40] Group 3 - The housing market will experience price differentiation, with first-tier and strong second-tier cities expected to stabilize in the next 2-3 years, while many third and fourth-tier cities may face prolonged price declines [3][26][30] - The land finance model is undergoing transformation, with first and second-tier cities adapting while other cities phase out land finance, leading to a search for new local tax sources [43][44] - Restrictive policies are expected to be lifted, returning to a market-oriented approach, with anticipated comprehensive openings in first-tier cities within a year [46][47]
任泽平:重启中国经济复苏,关键在于“债务大挪移”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-13 00:02
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need for a "debt transfer" strategy to revitalize the economy, drawing lessons from Japan's prolonged stagnation and the successful responses of the U.S. during the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic [1][2][4] - Japan's experience post-1990 highlights the consequences of a real estate bubble burst leading to prolonged deflation, balance sheet recession, and a low-desire society characterized by reduced consumption and investment [1][4] - The U.S. managed to recover from its debt pressures through government and central bank interventions, which restored consumer and business confidence, leading to robust economic activity [2][4] Group 2 - The proposed macroeconomic policies for China include three main strategies: aggressive economic stimulation, establishment of a housing reserve bank, and investment in new infrastructure [3][4] - The housing reserve bank aims to alleviate financial pressures on developers and local governments by acquiring land and housing inventory, thereby addressing issues related to unfinished projects and housing security for new citizens [3][4] - New infrastructure initiatives are intended to support long-term economic growth by investing in advanced technologies and industries, which will stabilize growth and employment in the short term while fostering new economic engines for the future [3][4]