假期催化+冰雪经济：旅游ETF(562510) 提振内需+低估赛道：食品饮料ETF(515170) 近日，马蜂窝发布的2025冬季"旅行蜂向标"清晰映照出当下冬季出行与消费新态势——"玩雪"与"避 寒"成为冬季出行的主要动力，"冬季旅游"热度环比上涨300%。这一现象也给消费领域带来启示：激发 冬季消费活力，既要深耕北方冰雪经济的"冷"资源，也要充分挖掘南方"避寒"需求的"暖"潜力，实 现"冷""暖"均衡发展。 12月9日，港股指数开盘表现分化，恒指高开0.06%，国企指数平开，恒生科技指数低开0.11%。港股消 费板块近期整体走势承压，港股消费ETF(513230)早盘持续下挫，现跌至0.5%上下，持仓股跌多涨少， 万洲国际、新秀丽、李宁、中国旺旺等涨幅居前，康师傅控股、小米集团、零跑汽车、哔哩哔哩、泡泡 玛特等跌幅居前。 华源证券表示，新兴消费品的蓬勃发展折射出新世代年轻人在当前社会环境下所孕育出的新兴消费观 念，正确的解读此类全新的消费叙事是抓住新消费公司成长的关键因素。 交银国际表示，2025年消费小幅回暖，展望2026年，消费有望延续温和增长的新常态，其核心特征是总 体需求增速偏缓，但消费理性化与需 ...

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.45% and the Hang Seng Tech Index dropped by 0.98% during the midday close on November 19, with personal care products and industrial group sectors showing gains, while water and life sciences tool sectors experienced declines [1] - The Global Express Development Report (2025) indicates that the global express parcel business volume is expected to reach approximately 26.79 billion pieces in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 17.49%, with business revenue projected at 4.6037 trillion yuan, a 14.05% increase [1] - The Asia-Pacific region maintains a significant advantage in the express parcel business, with a volume exceeding 21 billion pieces, accounting for 78.9% of the global total, and nearly 40% of the business revenue [1] - China's express parcel business volume reached 1.758 billion pieces in 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 21.5%, with business revenue of 1.40335 trillion yuan, reflecting a 13.8% increase [1] - China's express market has maintained its position as the largest globally for eleven consecutive years, achieving a remarkable average of 10 billion pieces per month, showcasing the industry's strong vitality and potential [1] Group 2 - Under the backdrop of ongoing growth stabilization policies, the service consumption and tourism duty-free policies are intensifying, leading to structural opportunities in the consumption chain [2] - Service consumption and online consumption continue to show resilient growth, with policy-driven sectors like tourism and education exhibiting higher elasticity [2] - The reform of duty-free channels, combined with the facilitation of inbound travel, is expected to become a core engine for the next phase of consumption recovery [2] Group 3 - Related popular ETFs include: Tourism ETF (562510) benefiting from holiday catalysts and the ice and snow economy, Food and Beverage ETF (515170) aimed at boosting domestic demand and undervalued sectors, and Hong Kong Consumption ETF (513230) focusing on e-commerce leaders and new consumption trends [3]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a collective decline, with the Hang Seng Index down by 0.80%, the Hang Seng Tech Index down by 1.19%, and the National Enterprises Index down by 0.79% [1] - Technology stocks saw widespread declines, while military stocks led the gains, and the semiconductor sector rose against the trend [1] - The consumer sector in Hong Kong showed volatility, with the Hong Kong Consumer ETF (513230) dropping nearly 0.5%, indicating a potential low-point buying opportunity [1] Group 2 - The 2025 Tmall Double 11 event achieved its best growth in four years, with nearly 600 brands surpassing 100 million in sales, and 34,091 brands experiencing year-on-year growth [1] - Notable brands such as Apple, Haier, and Xiaomi each exceeded 1 billion in sales during the event, driven by strong consumer investment and support for quality brands [1] - According to Zhonghang Securities, the ongoing growth policies and the recovery of inbound tourism are creating multiple structural opportunities in the consumption chain, particularly in service consumption and online sales [1] Group 3 - The tourism ETF (562510) is positioned to benefit from holiday catalysts and the ice and snow economy [2] - The food and beverage ETF (515170) is seen as a low-valuation sector that can boost domestic demand [2] - The Hong Kong Consumer ETF (513230) is linked to e-commerce leaders and new consumption trends [2]

Group 1 - The introduction of the first autumn holiday in several provinces in China, including Zhejiang, Guangdong, and Sichuan, has led to a surge in travel demand, with average round-trip ticket prices rising to approximately 700 yuan, a 7% increase compared to last year [1] - Popular travel routes during the autumn holiday include Chengdu to Sanya, Chengdu to Haikou, and Hangzhou to Xiamen, with some flights already sold out, indicating a strong impact of policy incentives on tourism consumption [1] - The autumn holiday not only meets family travel needs but also creates a new peak in tourism outside of traditional "Golden Week" periods, reflecting a shift in consumer behavior [1] Group 2 - From January to October, China's online retail sales increased by 9.6% year-on-year, with physical goods retail sales growing by 6.3%, outpacing the overall growth of social consumer goods retail [1] - The retail sales of new energy vehicles continue to grow rapidly, highlighting a trend towards digital and green consumption that is driving overall consumption growth [1] - The current phase of consumption structure upgrading presents significant opportunities in cultural tourism and healthcare, with emerging sectors like the silver economy and first-time economy contributing to new consumption momentum [1] Group 3 - Relevant ETFs include tourism ETF (562510) benefiting from holiday catalysts and the ice and snow economy, food and beverage ETF (515170) aimed at boosting domestic demand, and Hong Kong consumption ETF (513230) focusing on e-commerce leaders and new consumption trends [2]

Core Viewpoint - The consensus among institutions regarding the food and beverage sector is accelerating, as it becomes a core focus for reallocating investments due to its low valuation and high safety margin in the context of high-tech stock valuations and increasing differentiation in the new energy sector [1] Market Performance - On November 10, the food and beverage sector experienced a significant surge, supported by a recent explosion in trading volume for the food and beverage ETF (515170), indicating a strong willingness of institutional funds to enter the market [1] Macro Support - The food and beverage sector is benefiting from three favorable factors: stabilization of prices, a capital dividend from market rotation, and its own valuation advantages, marking the opening of an investment window that is expected to become a core investment theme in A-shares [1] ETF Overview - The food and beverage ETF (515170) tracks the CSI segmented food and beverage industry theme index, focusing on high-barrier and resilient sectors such as liquor, beverages, dairy products, and seasoning [1] - The top ten constituent stocks include major brands like "Moutai, Wuliangye, Luzhou Laojiao, and Yanghe," providing investors with a convenient way to access core assets in the "food and beverage sector" with lower investment thresholds compared to individual stocks [1]

Group 1 - The announcement of a 9-day Spring Festival holiday in 2026 has significantly boosted travel demand, with a notable increase in flight and hotel searches on travel platforms [1][2] - The search volume for domestic flights and hotels on platforms like Qunar and Tongcheng has more than doubled within hours of the announcement, indicating strong consumer interest [1][2] - The surge in inquiries for European travel, particularly a 200% increase in consultations for destinations like Greece and Spain, highlights the potential for long-distance travel during the extended holiday [1][2] Group 2 - The extended holiday aligns with cultural needs for family reunions during the New Year, while also providing a window for consumption upgrades, thus acting as a catalyst for various industries [2] - The combination of policy incentives and released demand is expected to drive growth in transportation, cultural tourism, and other sectors, serving as a significant boost for consumer spending [2] - Relevant ETFs that may benefit from this trend include the Tourism ETF (562510), Food and Beverage ETF (515170), and Hong Kong Consumption ETF (513230) [3]

Core Viewpoint - The consumption data during the holiday period indicates a gradual recovery in the catering industry, which is driving a rebound in the entire industry chain [1] Group 1: Catering Industry Recovery - The first four days of the holiday saw an increase in catering sales, with daily foot traffic exceeding expectations [1] - There are significant signs of recovery in the catering chain, with notable improvements in the sales of condiments, which slightly exceeded expectations during September and the holiday period [1] - The demand for frozen foods in the B-end has also shown slight recovery, reflecting the transmission effect of catering recovery on upstream industries [1] Group 2: Snack Sector Performance - The snack sector continues to show high levels of activity, with some companies benefiting from strong sales in gift-giving scenarios during the holiday [1] - Traditional channels have seen stable growth, and the volume of customers in bulk snack stores during the holiday indicates strong channel vitality and consumer demand, becoming a key driver of growth in the sector [1] Group 3: Market Confidence and Investment Opportunities - The recent rise in the sector is attributed to the dual themes of "snack sector vitality and catering recovery," with data validating the high activity levels in the snack sector [1] - The continuous improvement in catering has boosted expectations for sub-sectors such as condiments and beer, enhancing market confidence in consumer recovery [1] - The food and beverage ETF (515170) has attracted significant capital, with over 1.1 billion yuan raised in the last five trading days, indicating strong investor interest [1] - From a valuation perspective, the food and beverage sector remains at a low level, suggesting a favorable configuration opportunity at present [1]

与此同时，食品饮料挂钩的ETF份额加速累积。数据显示，部分资金借道ETF布局抄底意愿强烈。在跟 踪中证细分食品饮料的ETF中，食品饮料ETF(515170)规模排名第一，流动性良好，近5日获得超3亿资 金申购。 9月1日早盘，食品饮料ETF(515170)再度震荡调整，持仓股中莲花控股（600186）、酒鬼酒 （000799）、新诺威（300765）、金达威（002626）等领涨。消息面来看，莲花控股H1公司实现收入 16.21亿元，同比增长32.68%；实现归母净利润1.61亿元，同比增长60.01%。 2025年6月以来，成长风格领涨市场，食品饮料板块与万得全A代表的整体市场走势差距不断扩大，结 合过去3年涨跌幅以及近1月变化，食品饮料(PE-TTM10.58分位数)接力补涨概率较大。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the positive impact of recent real estate policy adjustments in Shanghai and Beijing on consumer sectors, particularly retail and food and beverage, which have shown significant gains in stock performance [1] - The real estate policy relaxation is part of a broader macroeconomic strategy aimed at stimulating consumption, with various supportive measures already in place, including subsidies and financial incentives [1] - The anticipated financial stimulus from these policies is substantial, with expected funding reaching 100 billion annually for childcare subsidies, 45 billion for free preschool education, and 138 billion for consumption-related initiatives in the second half of the year [1] Group 2 - The Food and Beverage ETF (515170) tracks the performance of a specialized index reflecting the overall trends of food industry stocks, with a significant weight in liquor (56.8%), dairy products (14.1%), and seasoning products (9.9%), all of which are currently at low valuation levels [1] - The Consumer Discretionary ETF (562580) follows the All-Share Consumer Discretionary Index, focusing on stocks with good liquidity and market representation, with major weights in air conditioning (21.5%), electric passenger vehicles (16%), and comprehensive passenger vehicles (7.2%), indicating a shift towards low-valuation sectors with new technology [2]

Group 1 - The second quarter saw an influx of funds into the new consumption sector, driving an upward trend and raising market expectations for performance in this area. However, some high-growth stocks reported earnings below previous expectations, leading to a market adjustment before gradually stabilizing. The top companies continue to maintain stable high growth rates, and with the overall consumption market expected to bottom out, the relative growth advantage of new consumption, combined with fiscal year valuation shifts, is likely to usher in a new round of market activity [1] - Traditional consumption sectors are showing a high cost-performance ratio for rebound. From the perspective of the large consumption sector, the main industry increases since August are as follows: Automotive (12.05%), Home Appliances (9.37%), Light Industry Manufacturing (8.4%), Beauty and Personal Care (7.5%), Commercial Trade (7.44%), Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry and Fishery (7.38%), Food and Beverage (7.11%), Social Services (6.9%), Textile and Apparel (5.93%). Except for automotive, all sectors lagged behind the CSI 300 index (9.66%). Valuations are at the 79.06%, 39.29%, 75.06%, 59.51%, 89.37%, 12.11%, 11.80%, 46.13%, and 61.31% percentiles over the past decade, with Food and Beverage, Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry and Fishery, Home Appliances, and Social Services below their valuation midpoints. The expected profit growth rates for 2025E are 8.64%, 22.26%, 13.92%, and 45.35%, indicating good cost-performance ratios in the current industry rotation context [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Stock Consumption ETF (513230) tracks the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumption Theme Index, which selects 50 liquid and large-cap consumption-related securities from the Hong Kong Stock Connect range to reflect the overall performance of consumption-listed companies in Hong Kong. This index covers various sectors benefiting from policy stimulus, including discretionary retail (27%), automotive and parts (13.4%), food and beverage (6%), consumer services (5.7%), and home appliances (4.9%) [2] - The Food and Beverage ETF (515170) tracks the CSI Subsector Food and Beverage Industry Theme Index, reflecting the overall trend of food industry stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets. This index selects large-scale, liquid companies from the food manufacturing sector. According to the Shenwan三级行业 distribution, the index weight is concentrated in low-valuation areas such as liquor (56.8%), dairy products (14.1%), and seasoning and fermented products (9.9%) [2]