Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant changes in the North American AI hardware supply chain, highlighting four major expectation gaps due to rapid application growth and competition among tech giants [4]. Group 1: Expectation Gaps - Expectation Gap 1: A "computing power squeeze" has emerged due to the rapid explosion of applications, leading to shortages in critical materials such as advanced process capacity from TSMC, high-end PCBs, and optical modules, exceeding expectations [5][6]. - Expectation Gap 2: The competition among major players like OpenAI, Google, Meta, and Amazon for computing resources is intensifying, with companies scrambling to secure TPU and GPU resources [10][11]. - Expectation Gap 3: Product upgrades are expected to significantly enhance profit margins, particularly for high-end products like PCBs and optical modules, which are in high demand [13]. - Expectation Gap 4: The fierce competition among North American tech giants is expected to lead to price increases, as companies prioritize securing production capacity over reducing prices [14]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The supply chain's position is improving, which is a necessary condition for valuation increases, as major players like Google, Oracle, AWS, and OpenAI seek suppliers from the current mainstream companies in the supply chain [12]. - The competition is expected to drive up profit margins due to the scarcity of high-end products and the aggressive resource acquisition strategies of major clients [16]. - The technological uncertainty is anticipated to decrease amid intense competition, delaying significant advancements in areas like CPO until after the current competitive cycle [17]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The article suggests that the current innovation cycle favors domestic supply chains, with a bullish market outlook for AI leading to a natural increase in valuations [17]. - The expectation is that new capital influx will drive marginal pricing, with potential for significant growth in valuations for high-demand products [16].

Group 1: Dividend Announcements - In the first half of 2025, companies listed on the A-share market announced a total dividend amount exceeding 100 billion yuan, reaching approximately 100.5 billion yuan [3] - China Telecom reported a revenue of 269.4 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, and a net profit of 23 billion yuan, up 5.5% year-on-year [2] - China Telecom plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.1812 yuan per share, which is 72% of its net profit attributable to shareholders, totaling 16.581 billion yuan [2] Group 2: Industry Performance - A total of 77 companies have announced dividends based on their semi-annual reports, with 13 companies announcing dividends exceeding 17.5 billion yuan [2][3] - The electronic industry, particularly the CPO and PCB sectors, is experiencing high growth, with several companies reporting continuous profit increases over four consecutive quarters [7] - The demand for high-end optical modules is driving significant revenue growth in the CPO sector, with companies like NewEase and Zhongji Xuchuang reporting net profit increases exceeding 320% and 160%, respectively [8] Group 3: Market Trends - The PCB industry is also benefiting from the growth of artificial intelligence, with AI servers requiring significantly more advanced PCB technology compared to traditional products [8] - Companies such as NewEase and Fuda have seen their stock prices double this year, reflecting strong market performance and investor interest [9] - Institutional research has increased for companies with strong performance, indicating heightened investor engagement and confidence in their growth prospects [9]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a collective rise on August 13, with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving an eight-day winning streak, reaching a nearly four-year high. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.48% to close at 3683.46 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.76% to 11551.36 points, and the ChiNext Index surged by 3.62% to 2496.5 points. The total market turnover exceeded 2.1 trillion yuan, marking the first time since February 27 this year that it surpassed the 2 trillion yuan threshold [1][3]. New Yi Sheng's Performance - New Yi Sheng emerged as a standout stock in Sichuan, with a remarkable increase of 15.45% on August 13, reaching a new high. Since its listing in 2016, New Yi Sheng's stock price has seen a cumulative increase of 19052.29% [1][2]. - The core driver behind New Yi Sheng's stock price surge is the massive demand for high-end optical modules fueled by the AI industry wave. Nearly 80% of New Yi Sheng's revenue comes from overseas, closely tied to the AI computing infrastructure construction boom [2]. Financial Performance - From 2016 to 2024, New Yi Sheng's net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to rise from 105 million yuan to 2.838 billion yuan, with total operating revenue expected to reach 8.647 billion yuan in 2024. The company's mid-year report forecast indicates a strong performance for the first half of this year, with net profit expected to be between 3.7 billion and 4.2 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 327.68% to 385.47% [2]. Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The surge in market turnover indicates heightened investor enthusiasm, with analysts suggesting that the breakthrough of 3674.4 points is significant for boosting market confidence. If the breakout is validated, it could open up new mid-to-long-term growth opportunities [3]. - Analysts from Dongwu Securities believe that as domestic risk-free interest rates decline and overseas dollar liquidity flows in, incremental capital will continue to enter the market. The combination of "anti-involution and major infrastructure" policies is expected to optimize the supply-demand landscape, transitioning the market towards a performance-driven phase [3].

Core Insights - The article highlights the strategic investments made by Lightspeed Venture Partners in the field of embodied intelligence, showcasing their unique global perspective and empirical methodology in identifying and capitalizing on technological inflection points [1][2][4]. Investment Strategy - Lightspeed Venture Partners leverages a global network of research and customer feedback to inform their investment decisions, focusing on high-potential sectors while balancing risks and returns [2][3]. - The firm emphasizes a combination of timing and market trends to avoid early-stage risks and high-cost entries, aiming to be among the first investors in cutting-edge technologies [3][7]. Key Investments - In late 2024, Lightspeed led a multi-hundred million yuan Pre-A++ round investment in Variable Robotics, which has since completed multiple funding rounds totaling over 1 billion yuan within a year [8]. - The firm also invested in Weifen Zhifei, a leading aerial robotics company, which completed several funding rounds shortly after Lightspeed's investment, resulting in a significant increase in valuation [1][7]. Technological Focus - Lightspeed is particularly interested in the integration of AI and robotics, with investments in companies like Variable Robotics that are developing general-purpose embodied models capable of zero-shot generalization [7][8]. - The firm is also exploring advanced areas such as autonomous flying systems, with Weifen Zhifei focusing on a unique approach to aerial robotics that combines mobility and robotic capabilities [9][10]. Market Trends - The article notes a surge in investment opportunities within the embodied intelligence sector, driven by advancements in generative AI and the increasing number of projects achieving high valuations [7][8]. - Despite the promising landscape, the commercialization of these technologies remains uncertain, prompting varied investment strategies among different firms [7][11]. Infrastructure Investments - Lightspeed is actively investing in AI infrastructure, focusing on hardware trends that support the growing demand for computational power, such as liquid cooling and advanced power distribution systems [11][12]. - The firm has validated its long-term investment approach through successful investments in companies like Zhongji Xuchuang, which has seen substantial growth in revenue and market valuation [14]. Future Outlook - The firm believes in the potential for significant growth in the Chinese tech sector, particularly in AI and hard technology, and aims to identify and support emerging world-class companies [14]. - Lightspeed's dual approach of global insight combined with local expertise positions it well to capitalize on the ongoing technological evolution in China [14].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the strategic investments made by LightSpeed Venture Partners in the field of embodied intelligence, highlighting their focus on next-generation AI carriers and the potential for significant growth in this sector [1][2]. Investment Strategy - LightSpeed Venture Partners is leveraging a global perspective and a robust information network to inform their investment decisions, utilizing cutting-edge research from top universities in the US and Europe [3]. - The investment logic of LightSpeed is empirical, favoring high-ceiling sectors while being cautious in their approach, focusing on long-term trends and practical applications [3][4]. - The firm emphasizes the importance of timing in investments, aiming to balance early-stage risks with growth potential to avoid pitfalls of premature or overly aggressive investments [3][4]. Key Investments - LightSpeed's recent investments include a significant stake in Yushu, a robotics company, which has shown promising advancements in motion control algorithms and the potential to evolve from quadrupedal to humanoid robots [6][9]. - The firm also invested in Self-Variable Robotics, which has rapidly completed multiple funding rounds, raising over 1 billion yuan within a year and focusing on developing general-purpose robots with advanced capabilities [11][12]. Market Trends - The article notes a surge in angel-round projects in the embodied intelligence sector, driven by advancements in generative AI, although the future commercialization of these technologies remains uncertain [11]. - LightSpeed is particularly interested in the software and hardware dimensions of embodied intelligence, recognizing the rapid iteration capabilities of their portfolio companies [11][12]. Future Outlook - The firm sees significant potential in the flying robot sector, with a focus on companies like Weifen Zhifei, which aims to create autonomous flying robots capable of operating in unstructured environments [13][14]. - LightSpeed is also exploring less prominent areas within AI hardware, such as liquid cooling and controlled nuclear fusion, which are critical for enhancing AI system performance and reliability [16][17]. Conclusion - The article concludes that despite the challenges in the current investment landscape, there are still abundant opportunities in technology sectors, particularly in AI and robotics, with the potential for substantial returns as the market evolves [18][19].

通信/通信设备 中际旭创（300308.SZ） 业绩符合预期，充分受益于 AI 算力基础设施建设 2025 年 04 月 21 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/4/18 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 79.14 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 192.88/67.20 | | 总市值(亿元) | 874.26 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 869.95 | | 总股本(亿股) | 11.05 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 10.99 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 219.35 | 股价走势图 -60% -30% 0% 30% 60% 90% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 中际旭创 沪深300 数据来源：聚源 相关研究报告 《业绩符合预期，盈利能力提升，高 速光模块销售大幅增加—公司信息更 新报告》-2024.10.22 公司高度重视研发投入，综合能力领先 2025 年 Q1 公司研发费用为 2.90 亿元，同比提升 12.80%，研发费用率达 4.35%。 2024 年，公司在 OFC2024 现场展示了 800G/1.6T 硅光模块和 ...