图源 特斯拉官方账号 汽车业内对L3的态度似乎走向了两个极端。 一个极端是短暂过渡、推广延后或直接"跳过"。2025年底，小鹏一反年初时的规划，创始人何小鹏在体验特斯拉FSD V14.2后，发文称"在2026年，无论美 国，还是中国，下一代真正的，全自动驾驶会真正到来，直接从L2到L4（L3已经被跳过）"；今年1月，德国《商报》报道称梅赛德斯-奔驰暂时搁置此前 大力推进的L3级自动驾驶系统推广计划，即将发布的改款豪华轿车S级也将不再提供L3级自动驾驶功能；同月的奇瑞AI之夜上，L4成为自动驾驶部分的主 角；百度、地平线等相关人士也曾公开表示L3只是"短暂过渡"。 另一端则是加速落地。2025年12月，工信部向长安深蓝SL03、北汽极狐阿尔法S的两款L3车型发放了准入许可，这也是国内首批发放的L3级高速公路自动 驾驶车辆专用号牌。上汽、一汽、比亚迪、鸿蒙智行、理想等多家车企表示其已获得规定区域的L3测试牌照，为获得准入做准备。其中，比亚迪宣布目 前已顺利完成超过15万公里的L3级自动驾驶实际道路验证，鸿蒙智行已经完成了超过2万公里的L3实际道路验证、6亿公里的高速L3仿真验证，已经"箭在 弦上"。 一方是"跳过 ...

Core Insights - The launch of L3-level autonomous driving vehicles in Chongqing marks a significant milestone in the commercialization of advanced autonomous driving technology [1][2] - The Chinese government is actively supporting the development of high-level autonomous driving as part of its national industrial strategy [1][2] - The penetration rate of L2-level and above driving assistance features in new energy passenger vehicles reached 82.6% in the first half of 2025, indicating a shift towards accelerated development in automotive intelligence [1] Policy and Regulatory Developments - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) has granted conditional licenses for L3-level autonomous driving vehicles, indicating a move from testing to limited commercial applications [2] - A report by the China Automotive Industry Association suggests the need for a clear management roadmap for autonomous driving levels, including safety responsibilities and market access standards [4] - The Shanghai "Mosu Zhixing" action plan aims to establish a collaborative data system for smart connected vehicles and enhance safety measures for autonomous driving [6][7] Industry Trends and Challenges - The transition to L3-level autonomous driving faces challenges such as the lack of formal standards and the need for safety supervision during operation [3] - The commercial viability of L3 systems is currently limited due to high development costs and regulatory constraints, with companies like Mercedes-Benz opting to focus on L2++ systems instead [8] - The Robotaxi segment is seen as the most promising area for early commercialization of autonomous driving technology, with companies competing on scalability [8][9] Market Projections - By 2030, the integration of advanced driving assistance and connected features is expected to create significant value in the automotive industry, with urban NOA becoming a mainstream function [5] - Companies like Baidu and WeRide are expanding their autonomous driving services globally, with Baidu reporting a 212% year-over-year increase in orders for its fully autonomous service [9] - The market is anticipated to see a shift towards L4-level autonomous driving within the next 2-3 years, with a focus on commercializing the Robotaxi business model [9]

Core Viewpoint - The introduction of L3 level autonomous driving vehicles in Chongqing marks a significant step towards the commercialization of autonomous driving technology in China, with the first official license plate issued to Changan Automobile for its L3 vehicle [1][12]. Group 1: Definition and Classification of L3 Autonomous Driving - L3 level autonomous driving is classified as conditional automation, where the vehicle can drive itself in specific scenarios but requires the driver to take over when prompted by the system [3][5]. - The distinction between L2 and L3 levels lies in the role and responsibility of the driver versus the system, transitioning from "driver assistance" to "system-led" driving [3][5]. Group 2: Differences Between Testing and Pilot Programs - The L3 autonomous driving pilot program in Chongqing and Beijing involves vehicles that are mass-produced and issued formal vehicle licenses, unlike previous road tests that did not issue such licenses [6][7]. - The pilot program aims to transition from technical validation to mass application, focusing on safety and regulatory frameworks [6][7]. Group 3: Features and Performance of L3 Vehicles - The Changan SC7000AAARBEV model, one of the approved vehicles, demonstrated effective handling of various driving situations, including traffic congestion and sudden stops, showcasing its advanced autonomous capabilities [8][9]. - The vehicle is permitted to operate in specific congested areas with a speed limit of 50 km/h, emphasizing safety in complex driving conditions [9][11]. Group 4: Reasons for Chongqing's Leadership in Autonomous Driving - Chongqing's early adoption of supportive policies and regulations for autonomous driving testing has established a conducive environment for the development and application of such technologies [12][14]. - The city's unique geographical features provide a challenging testing ground for autonomous systems, allowing for thorough evaluation under diverse conditions [14][16]. Group 5: Future Considerations for Autonomous Driving in China - The successful implementation of L3 autonomous driving requires parallel advancements in legal regulations, traffic management, and public understanding of the technology [19][20]. - Clear definitions of responsibility in scenarios where human intervention is required are essential for the safe integration of autonomous vehicles into public roads [20][22].

Group 1: Fund Market Dynamics - The fund issuance market in early 2026 shows a significant increase in activity, with FOF (Fund of Funds) products becoming a focal point for competition among banks and fund companies [1] - Several FOF products sold out quickly, indicating strong customer demand and a competitive landscape driven by product transformation and channel support [1] Group 2: A-Share Market Performance - On January 7, 2026, the A-share market experienced a volume increase with all three major indices rising slightly, driven by sectors related to the semiconductor industry [1] - The market saw over 2,100 stocks increase in value, with nearly 100 stocks hitting the daily limit, reflecting a significant rise in market risk appetite [1] Group 3: Foreign Exchange Reserves - As of December 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves reached $33,579 billion, an increase of $115 billion from the previous month, marking a 0.34% rise [2] - The increase in reserves was influenced by factors such as major economies' monetary policies and macroeconomic data, alongside fluctuations in asset prices [2] Group 4: AI and Manufacturing Integration - The Chinese government has set ambitious goals for the integration of AI and manufacturing, aiming for significant advancements by 2027, including the application of 3-5 general large models in the manufacturing sector [3] - The initiative includes the creation of 100 high-quality industrial data sets and the promotion of 500 typical application scenarios [3] Group 5: Hong Kong IPO Market - In 2025, Hong Kong's IPO market raised a total of HKD 285.8 billion, reclaiming its position as the top global market for IPOs [6] - The momentum continued into 2026 with new listings from domestic GPU and AI companies, establishing a strong technology focus for the year [6][7] Group 6: Commodity Market Trends - In 2025, major non-ferrous metals saw significant price increases, with London gold rising by 64.56% and silver by 147.79% [8] - Analysts predict that demand from emerging sectors like AI will drive a new commodity cycle in 2026, with industrial metal prices expected to rise due to ongoing supply constraints [8] Group 7: A-Share Dividend Trends - A-share listed companies set a new record for dividends in 2025, totaling CNY 2.61 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 8.75% [10] - The trend reflects a shift towards more structured and frequent cash dividends, driven by policy guidance and improved corporate governance [10]

Core Viewpoint - The first batch of L3-level conditional autonomous driving vehicles has begun real-world testing in designated areas of cities like Chongqing and Beijing, indicating a significant step towards commercialization in the autonomous driving sector in China [1][2]. Group 1: L3-Level Autonomous Driving Development - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has officially granted approval for the first batch of L3-level conditional autonomous driving vehicles, including models from Changan Automobile and Arcfox, marking a critical transition from testing to commercial application [2]. - Changan Automobile's L3-level autonomous driving system allows for hands-free driving in specific conditions, such as traffic congestion and single-lane highways, with a maximum speed of 50 km/h [3]. - The L3-level autonomous driving system is expected to begin B-end pilot operations in the first quarter of 2026, with plans to gradually open more features to users based on national policies [3]. Group 2: Industry Impact and Market Potential - The approval of L3-level autonomous driving vehicles is seen as a pivotal moment that will reshape driving modes and significantly impact the entire intelligent driving industry chain, prompting companies to upgrade technologies in anticipation of commercialization [3][4]. - According to Southwest Securities, the domestic L3-level autonomous driving market is projected to exceed 1.2 trillion yuan by 2030, indicating a potential new trillion-yuan market segment [4]. - The industry is expected to transition from "testing demonstration" to "scale production" driven by policy, technology, and cost factors, although challenges such as responsibility recognition during human-machine switching and high costs remain [4].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese automotive industry has shifted from a phase of rapid expansion driven by investment and storytelling to a focus on efficiency and realization, emphasizing cash flow, profitability models, technology compliance, and global operational capabilities [2][3]. Group 1: Market Volume - The key question for 2026 is whether the new energy vehicle (NEV) market can surpass the 20 million unit threshold, with growth driven by factors such as trade-in programs, lower-tier markets, and improved charging experiences [4][5]. - The Chinese government has introduced a new trade-in subsidy policy for 2026, which is expected to stimulate demand in the automotive sector [6][7]. - Predictions for 2026 NEV sales vary, with estimates ranging from a 10% growth (14.14 million units) to a more optimistic 28.4% growth (16.5 million units), particularly in the 150,000 to 200,000 yuan price range [8][10]. Group 2: Profit Expectations - The industry is transitioning from a focus on scale to profitability, with competition intensifying in the 200,000 to 400,000 yuan price range [9][22]. - Companies like Geely are expected to see profit growth from multiple sources, while others like GAC face significant challenges [31][32]. Group 3: L3 and Intelligent Driving - The introduction of L3 autonomous driving is expected to shift responsibility from drivers to manufacturers, leading to systemic changes in the automotive ecosystem [38][40]. - The L3 era will likely drive the standardization of L2 features across all vehicles, increasing competition in the intelligent driving space [42][43]. Group 4: Luxury Narrative - The luxury narrative in the NEV sector is becoming increasingly complex, with a need for brands to establish genuine value propositions beyond just high-end features [50][51]. - The market for luxury vehicles priced above 300,000 yuan is growing slowly, while more affordable segments are seeing significant growth [57][60]. Group 5: Overseas Expansion - Chinese automotive exports are projected to exceed 8 million units in 2025, with significant growth in markets like Mexico and the UAE [67][68]. - The establishment of overseas production facilities is crucial for meeting demand and avoiding trade barriers, with many companies rapidly expanding their international manufacturing capabilities [72][73]. Group 6: AI Cross-Industry Moves - The focus for 2026 will likely shift away from ambitious cross-industry ventures towards enhancing core automotive services through AI, as companies learn from past experiences [78][81].

Core Insights - The article highlights the significant advancement of autonomous driving in China, marking a transition from demonstration to commercial operation, with companies like Changan Automobile and XPeng obtaining L3 autonomous driving licenses [1][3][4]. Industry Developments - The autonomous driving sector is witnessing a clear differentiation and acceleration, with various companies, including Changan and XPeng, moving towards conditional autonomous driving responsibilities [2]. - The first batch of L3 autonomous vehicles has received product access approval, indicating a shift towards institutionalized operation within public transport systems [3]. - The operational landscape for autonomous driving is evolving from capability demonstration to responsibility integration, with clearer operational boundaries and accountability [4]. Technological Advancements - Companies are focusing on real-world testing, with Changan's SL03 completing over 5 million kilometers of open road testing under challenging conditions, maintaining a zero-accident record [3]. - The technology logic is shifting towards embedding responsibility within the operational framework, allowing for more cities to become practical applications of "Artificial Intelligence+" [4]. Business Models and Commercialization - Robotaxi services are entering a sustainable commercial expansion phase, with companies like Pony.ai achieving full unmanned commercial operations in cities like Guangzhou and Beijing [5]. - The operational verification of autonomous driving is proving its commercial viability, while data collection systems are being restructured to enhance technological iteration limits [5]. - Companies are exploring various paths to integrate autonomous driving with ride-hailing platforms and data services, aiming for lower-cost business models [2][6]. Policy and Regulatory Environment - The Chinese government is actively shaping the autonomous driving industry through policies that encourage innovation while emphasizing safety and regulation [7]. - The recent policy changes are expected to accelerate the commercialization of autonomous driving, expanding its application from closed environments to complex urban traffic systems [7]. - Regulatory frameworks are crucial for the sustainable large-scale commercialization of autonomous driving, necessitating a dynamic and tiered approach to ensure safety while allowing for innovation [9].

Core Viewpoint - The smart driving concept stocks have seen a significant rise, driven by the introduction of L3-level autonomous driving vehicles in Chongqing, marking a milestone in the development of intelligent connected vehicles in China [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Youjia Innovation (02431) increased by 8.89%, reaching HKD 13.6 [1] - Zhejiang Shibao (01057) rose by 6.97%, trading at HKD 5.22 [1] - Tudatong (02665) saw a gain of 1.98%, priced at HKD 10.82 [1] Group 2: Industry Developments - On December 26, the first batch of 46 L3-level autonomous driving vehicles, equipped with the L3 autonomous driving system from Changan Deep Blue, was officially launched for road use in Chongqing [1] - The approved routes for these vehicles include major roads such as the inner ring expressway and Yudu Avenue in Chongqing [1] Group 3: Regulatory and Market Insights - According to Xinda Securities, the regulatory framework for intelligent connected vehicles in China is continuously improving, leading to a more standardized industry development environment [1] - Domestic brands are accelerating the research and development of smart driving technologies, with the penetration rate of L2-level and above advanced driving assistance systems increasing rapidly [1] - The market for Robotaxi is projected to reach a scale of RMB 270 billion by 2030 [1]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong automotive industry chain saw a significant rise, with the automotive index leading gains of over 2% [1][6] - Major stocks in the sector performed well, with Youjia Innovation rising over 16%, Zhejiang Shibao up over 8%, and companies like Xpeng Motors, Geely, and BYD all increasing by more than 5% [1][6] - The newly listed Hong Kong Stock Connect Automotive ETF, Huabao (520780), surged over 2% on its debut, with a trading volume of nearly 200 million yuan, leading its category [1][6] Group 2 - The regulatory environment for smart connected vehicles in China is improving, with a notable increase in the penetration rate of advanced driving assistance systems (ADAS) [3][8] - In the first nine months of 2025, sales of L2++ and above models reached 3.643 million units, accounting for 38.65% of total sales, with domestic brands showing the fastest growth in this segment [3][8] - The market for Robotaxi is projected to reach 270 billion yuan by 2030, while the value of the unmanned logistics vehicle industry is expected to increase to 594.8 billion yuan [3][8] Group 3 - The automotive industry is expected to shift towards high-quality development, with passenger vehicle sales projected to reach 31.094 million units by 2026, showing a more stable growth rate [3][8] - The rapid iteration of the robotics industry presents significant opportunities for the automotive parts sector, with Tesla's humanoid robot production expected to start next year [3][8] - The domestic policy support for humanoid robots is increasing, with China leading in the number of startup companies in this field [3][8] Group 4 - The focus on the Hong Kong Stock Connect Automotive ETF, Huabao (520780), is recommended, as it targets the entire automotive value chain, benefiting from high consumer demand and the acceleration of L3-L4 smart driving technologies [4][9] - The ETF is heavily invested in leading smart driving companies such as Xpeng, BYD, Li Auto, and Geely, which are considered rare gems in the Hong Kong market [4][9]

Core Viewpoint - The news highlights the positive market response to the launch of L3-level autonomous driving vehicles in China, indicating a growing acceptance and regulatory support for advanced driving technologies in the automotive industry [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Intelligent driving concept stocks saw significant gains, with Youjia Innovation (02431) rising by 8.89% to HKD 13.6, Zhejiang Shibao (002703) increasing by 6.97% to HKD 5.22, and Tudatong (02665) up by 1.98% to HKD 10.82 [1] Group 2: Regulatory Developments - The first batch of L3-level autonomous driving vehicles, totaling 46 units, was officially launched for road use in Chongqing, approved for operation on specific urban expressways [1] Group 3: Industry Trends - According to Xinda Securities (601059), the regulatory framework for intelligent connected vehicles in China is continuously improving, leading to a more standardized industry environment [1] - Domestic brands are accelerating the research and development of intelligent driving technologies, with the penetration rate of L2-level and above driving assistance systems increasing rapidly [1] - The market for Robotaxi is projected to reach a scale of RMB 270 billion by 2030, indicating significant growth potential in the high-level autonomous driving sector [1]