整理 | 傅宇琪、褚杏娟 智谱否认上市前夕裁员：近 50 个岗位需求待招；阿里亲身入局具身智能！Qwen 内部组团，通义千问技术负责人带队；字节开启新一轮期权回购，张一鸣 罕见公开露面；OpenAI 年度账单出炉，共计 70 亿美元；Intel 裁员裁到"小动脉"：大量 Linux 开源项目沦为"孤儿"；辱骂网友？荣耀高管多次发声惹争议， 网友喊话 CEO 李健"管一管"；智利公司错发 123 万工资员工被判不退款；溢价 55%！宇树 G1 人形机器人上架美国沃尔玛，基本款售价 21600 美元；库克 被曝将让位 CEO，苹果硬件工程高级副总裁有望接任…… 行业热点 智谱否认上市前夕裁员：近 50 个岗位需求待招 10 月 11 日，针对近期"AI 六小龙"之一的智谱在 IPO（首次公开募股）前夕裁员的消息，智谱方面回应界面新闻称，网上不实造谣行为属个例，当下近 50 个岗位需求待招。今年 4 月，智谱正式向北京证监局提交上市辅导备案，辅导机构为中金公司。 智谱微信官方公众号近日发布招聘公告，招聘的岗位包括算法工程师、工程与开发类、产品与设计类、销售与解决方案类等，共计 47 个。但智谱并未 明确列出每类岗位 ...

Recent Key Events - The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut, lowering the federal funds rate from 4.25%-4.50% to 4.00%-4.25%, with expectations of two more cuts this year [1][8] - OpenAI launched the Sora 2 video generation model, which significantly enhances video generation technology with AI audio generation capabilities [1][8] - Alibaba's Cloud Summit showcased over 3,500 AI products, emphasizing the vision of achieving super artificial intelligence [2][9] - Apple introduced the iPhone 17 series, with prices ranging from 5,999 to 17,999 yuan, marking the highest price for an iPhone to date [3][10] Market Situation - The Hang Seng Index rose from 25,078 points at the end of August to 26,856 points by September 30, reflecting a 7.1% increase, while the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 13.9% [11][12] - Year-to-date, the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index have risen by 34% and 45%, respectively [11][12] - Net inflow of southbound funds reached 188.5 billion HKD in September, with a total net inflow of 2.086 billion HKD over the past 30 trading days [12] Current Investment Recommendations - Focus on Hong Kong stocks with profit elasticity, such as the International Gold Group [21] - Consider energy companies with promising growth, like China Qinfa [21] - Pay attention to internet companies benefiting from AI model iterations, such as Alibaba and Kuaishou [21] - Look for low-valuation, high-profit component companies like Q Technology, AAC Technologies, and Sunny Optical [21] - Monitor automotive new forces with strong product cycles, such as Leap Motor and Xpeng Motors [21] Company-Specific Insights International Gold Group (3939.HK) - The company reported a 34% year-on-year increase in revenue to 1.24 billion yuan and a 136% increase in net profit to 600 million yuan for the first half of 2025 [22][25] - Significant cost reductions at the Jinling Gold Mine are expected to enhance performance in the second half of the year [22][25] China Qinfa (0866.HK) - The company reported a revenue of 1.089 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, with a net loss of 163 million yuan due to resource depletion in Shanxi [28][29] - The divestment of loss-making operations is expected to improve financial metrics and allow focus on Indonesian coal mining [28][29] Alibaba (9988.HK) - Alibaba's total revenue for Q1 FY2026 was 247.65 billion yuan, a 2% year-on-year increase, with a 12% growth in instant retail revenue [35][36] - The company aims to enhance synergy between its e-commerce and cloud services, with cloud revenue growing by 26% [35][36] Kuaishou (1024.HK) - Kuaishou reported a 13.1% year-on-year revenue growth to 35 billion yuan in Q2 2025, with significant growth in e-commerce GMV [40][41] - The company is enhancing its AI capabilities, which are expected to drive further revenue growth [40][41] Q Technology (1478.HK) - Q Technology achieved a 15.1% year-on-year revenue increase to 8.83 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a significant rise in net profit [44][45] - The company is expanding its optical module offerings and enhancing its competitive edge through vertical integration [44][45] AAC Technologies (2018.HK) - AAC Technologies reported an 18.4% year-on-year revenue increase to 13.32 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a 63.1% increase in net profit [49][50] - The company is focusing on high-end optical solutions and expanding its automotive product offerings [49][50] Sunny Optical (2382.HK) - Sunny Optical's revenue for H1 2025 was 19.65 billion yuan, a 4.2% increase, with a 52.6% growth in net profit [53] - The company is experiencing growth in its automotive and XR segments, contributing to overall profitability [53]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the Market (Maintained Rating) [12] Core Insights - The report highlights that 2026 is expected to be a significant year for edge AI, driven by policy support and major tech companies leading innovation in AI terminal products [16][18] - The report emphasizes the potential of AI terminal devices, with a focus on new product innovations and the release of various AI applications across different sectors [20][21] Summary by Sections Edge AI - The report notes that Meta has raised its sales expectations for AI glasses due to strong demand, increasing orders to suppliers by 20% [18] - A joint policy document from multiple government departments aims to stimulate digital consumption and innovation in AI terminal products, including smartphones and wearables [20][21] - JD.com has launched an AI ecosystem, introducing three major AI products aimed at enhancing user experience and operational efficiency [23][24] AI Cloud - OpenAI is developing a series of new edge AI devices expected to launch by the end of 2026 or early 2027, including a screenless smart speaker [29] - The report mentions that Alibaba is enhancing its cloud infrastructure with significant investments to support AI development [8][9] - The report highlights the IPO of Moore Threads, which aims to accelerate the commercialization of domestic GPUs for AI applications [7][8] Consumer Electronics - Apple has launched the iPhone 17 series, which features significant upgrades in performance and display technology, with strong pre-sale demand [40][45] - The report indicates that Apple's new products, including AirPods Pro 3 and Apple Watch Series 11, have introduced advanced features and improvements [41][42][44] - The report suggests that companies like Luxshare Precision are leading innovations in AR technology and AI solutions, showcasing multiple new products at industry events [30][36] Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on key players in the consumer electronics supply chain, including Luxshare Precision, BYD Electronics, and others, as they are expected to benefit from the growth in AI and digital consumption [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the TMT sector, particularly focusing on the revaluation of Hong Kong technology companies and the expected growth in AI applications [1][2][7]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the ongoing revaluation of Hong Kong technology companies, driven by significant investments in AI and cloud infrastructure, particularly by leading firms like Alibaba [2][3]. - There is a strong belief in the growth potential of the AI computing domestic chain and the sustained demand from the overseas chain, with various sectors such as AI chips, servers, and optical modules expected to experience high growth [3][6]. - The report highlights investment opportunities in the fruit supply chain, particularly in AI hardware innovation, driven by collaborations with companies like OpenAI and the strong product performance from Apple [4][6]. - The PCB industry is viewed positively due to the rising demand for high-end products driven by AI computing, while the storage industry is expected to recover with price increases anticipated in Q4 [6][7]. - The gaming industry is also noted for its growth potential, with record revenues and a growing user base, indicating a favorable investment environment [8]. Summary by Sections AI and Cloud Infrastructure - The report discusses Alibaba's ambitious AI infrastructure plan, which includes a significant investment of 380 billion yuan over three years, aiming to enhance its AI capabilities and cloud services [2]. - The anticipated growth in AI applications is expected to create a new high-certainty growth cycle for cloud services and AI infrastructure [2][7]. AI Computing Chain - The domestic AI computing chain is expected to see growth across various sectors, including AI chips and servers, with specific companies recommended for investment [3]. - The overseas AI computing chain is also highlighted, with recommendations for companies involved in optical modules and AI servers [3]. Fruit Supply Chain - Companies involved in the fruit supply chain are expected to benefit from AI hardware innovations, particularly those collaborating with major tech firms [4]. PCB and Storage Industries - The PCB industry is projected to benefit from the high demand for advanced products due to AI computing, with specific companies identified as potential beneficiaries [6]. - The storage industry is entering a recovery phase, with price increases expected and significant growth opportunities identified for enterprise-level storage solutions [6]. Gaming Industry - The gaming sector is experiencing robust growth, with record revenues and a large user base, suggesting continued investment opportunities [8].

Summary of the Conference Call Company and Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses **Luxshare Precision** and its performance in the **consumer electronics**, **communications**, and **automotive** sectors, with a strong focus on its collaboration with **Apple** [2][3][8]. Key Points and Arguments Consumer Electronics - The **iPhone 17 series** has seen a significant year-on-year sales increase, with the first batch of **1.5 million units** sold out in September. Expected sales for September are projected to reach **5 million units**, with a year-end target of over **10 million units**, representing an increase of over **5 million units** year-on-year. Global sales are anticipated to rise by over **20 million units** [2][3]. - Apple has requested its supply chain to increase the production of the iPhone 17 standard version by at least **30%**, indicating strong market demand [2][3]. - Luxshare Precision is benefiting from Apple's investment in AI, with plans for a **$500 billion** investment in AI server factories in the U.S. expected to commence production next year [2][3][4]. Communications Sector - Luxshare has shown excellent performance in the communications sector, driven by the surge in AI computing demand and the need for high-speed connectivity. The company has made significant preparations in electrical and optical connection products, server power supplies, and thermal management solutions [2][5]. - The **Upin Ultra** next-generation server connection rate will increase to **448G**, with a substantial rise in the number of connectors, enhancing Luxshare's market space in electrical connections [8][10]. Automotive Sector - Luxshare's automotive business is growing through both organic growth and acquisitions. The acquisition of the German wiring harness manufacturer **Leoni** is expected to contribute profits next year, with profit margins gradually recovering to the company's overall levels by the following year [3][9]. - The company has secured new project designations from several mainstream automakers for its **T10,000** business, indicating a broadening of its automotive product line and customer base [9][10]. Additional Important Insights - Luxshare is actively collaborating with other edge AI manufacturers, including **OpenAI**, to advance edge AI device development, which may include robotics and other products [6][7]. - The overall outlook for Luxshare is optimistic, with strong growth potential across all business segments, particularly in consumer electronics and communications, while also expanding its footprint in the automotive sector [8][10][11]. - The company is currently viewed as undervalued, with expectations for significant performance and stock price growth in the coming years [10][11].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry or companies discussed Core Insights - The absence of the iPhone 17 Air in the Chinese market due to regulatory issues significantly impacts its shipment outlook, despite its global popularity [1][28] - Luxshare's increased assembly share for the iPhone 17 Air indicates Apple's trust in its processes, but the lack of sales in China and high tariffs on exports to the U.S. may limit its advantages [6][34] - The semiconductor industry is undergoing a transformation driven by AI, with a shift in value towards advanced packaging and substrates, and a forecasted growth in ASICs outpacing GPUs [12][44] Summary by Sections iPhone 17 Air Market Dynamics - The iPhone 17 Air's eSIM-only design prevents its sale in China, limiting its market potential [3][31] - Luxshare's initial order share for the iPhone 17 Air is higher than before, but the actual benefits may be constrained due to the model's absence in China [2][30] - The U.S. tariffs on exports from China add significant cost pressures, potentially compressing Luxshare's profits [4][32] Semiconductor Industry Trends - AI investments are reshaping the semiconductor supply chain, leading to a convergence of design and manufacturing processes [42][43] - TSMC is expected to remain the primary manufacturer for AI chips, with a projected 80-90% of AI chips being produced there in the next 5-10 years [45] - The importance of packaging and substrates is rising, with companies like Ibiden and Shinko benefiting from increased demand and investment [46][48] Competitive Landscape - NVIDIA's partnership with Intel raises questions about the future of PC chip collaborations, but MediaTek remains confident in its ongoing relationship with NVIDIA [35][38] - The competitive dynamics in the AI chip market are shifting, with fabless companies like Qualcomm and Broadcom expanding their roles [44][46] - The lack of a "killer app" in the smart glasses market indicates that while demand exists, the technology and ecosystem are not yet mature enough for widespread adoption [20][52]

Open AI 布局硬件，端侧 AI 创新加速 20250922 摘要 OpenAI 正积极布局硬件领域，预计到 2030 年相关收入可能接近 500 亿美元，相当于全球智能手机市场规模的 10%，战略目标是成为全战型 闭环公司，涵盖大模型应用、ToC 端硬件以及服务器和芯片布局。 OpenAI 进军硬件领域旨在提高变现效率，利用 7 亿周活跃用户数据进 行分析和模型训练，通过端侧 AI 硬件提供算力支持，减轻云端算力成本， 并抢占人机交互入口，改变传统触控交互模式。 人机交互方式变革将带来智能手机时代的新投资机会，关注与模型强绑 定的硬件产品，以及买硬件送软件、买会员送硬件等模式，OpenAI 的 布局代表了新的方向。 苹果 iPhone 17 系列手机在大陆市场销售火爆，供不应求，好于过去 4- 5 代，反映了外观显示、电池、摄像及散热等内部功能升级带来的强劲 换机需求，AI 技术对海外销量有一定拉动作用。 Meta 发布 Raven Display AR 眼镜，定价低于预期，并推出多款针对 不同应用场景的产品，预计显著提升出货量，明年下半年计划发布双目 显示版本，进一步降低成本和价格，推动 AI 眼镜行 ...

Core Insights - Apple has officially launched the iPhone 17 series and iPhone Air, with detailed evaluations provided by industry analysts [1] - The iPhone Air emphasizes design but compromises on certain features, while the upcoming foldable iPhone is expected to enhance this design focus [2][3] Product Development - The foldable iPhone is anticipated to resemble "two iPhone Airs side by side," offering a thin overall appearance [4][6] - The expected price for the foldable iPhone is around $2000, making it more expensive than competitors like the Pixel Fold [7] - The iPhone Air has a thickness of 5.6 mm, suggesting that a foldable version could exceed 11 mm even with perfect alignment [10][11] - Apple is expected to utilize in-cell flexible OLED technology for the foldable iPhone, which could reduce thickness and improve design [14][15][16] Technical Specifications - The foldable iPhone is rumored to feature a 5.5-inch outer screen and a 7.8-inch inner screen, along with four cameras (two front and two rear) [19][20] - It will likely adopt eSIM technology and utilize Apple's custom C2 baseband and N1 communication chips [21] - The design will incorporate a titanium alloy frame and a hinge made from stainless steel and titanium alloy composites [24][26] Production Timeline - Apple has entered the initial prototype phase for the foldable iPhone, with expectations for completion of major prototype testing by the end of the year [32][33] - The engineering validation test (EVT) phase will be handled by major manufacturing partners, preparing for mass production [34] - The foldable iPhone is projected to launch in the second half of 2026, alongside the iPhone 18 Pro series [35][36] Market Strategy - Apple may adjust its iPhone release schedule, potentially delaying the standard iPhone 18 to spring 2027 to focus on the foldable model [36][38] - The recently launched iPhone 17 standard version has received many Pro features, positioning it as a strong contender in the market [37]

Group 1 - The report highlights the growth opportunities in domestic computing power and storage driven by AI advancements [4][5][9] - The 5G infrastructure is expected to significantly contribute to economic growth, with a target of 4.52 million 5G base stations by the end of 2024, marking a net increase of 874,000 from the end of 2023 [7][10] - The AI sector is experiencing rapid development, with increasing demand for computing power and network traffic, indicating a positive growth trajectory for AIGC applications [9][10] Group 2 - The coal industry is showing signs of potential recovery, with supply constraints and inventory restructuring driving prices upward [29][30] - The C-REITs market is experiencing fluctuations, with a total market value of approximately 221.21 billion, and a focus on high-quality projects in resilient sectors [32] - The renewable energy sector, particularly wind power, is witnessing significant growth, with an increase of 20% in August, and a 23% rise in green certificate trading prices [38] Group 3 - The real estate market is facing challenges, with new home sales showing a year-on-year increase of 16.2%, but overall prices continuing to decline [40][41] - The non-ferrous metals sector is expected to perform well following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, indicating a favorable outlook for this industry [43] - The textile and apparel sector is seeing robust growth in jewelry retail sales, while the sportswear segment is anticipated to outperform the broader apparel market [43]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key stocks in the industry, including 中芯国际, 长电科技, 东山精密, and others [11] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the opportunities in the domestic storage and computing power sectors driven by AI, with a focus on the increasing demand for storage products and the development of domestic AI chips [2][3][26] - The launch of the iPhone 17 series is expected to boost the supply chain performance, with significant pre-order numbers indicating strong market demand [4][57] - Meta's introduction of AR glasses is seen as a step towards enhancing the metaverse experience, with expectations for increased market share in LCoS display technology [58][59] Summary by Sections Storage Sector - The storage market is experiencing a supply-demand mismatch, leading to price increases for HDD products, with Western Digital announcing price hikes due to unprecedented demand [14][15] - The shortage of HDDs is expected to accelerate the penetration of high-capacity enterprise SSDs, with significant growth anticipated in QLC SSD shipments by 2026 [15][16] - NAND Flash shortages are projected to persist until 2026, with major manufacturers announcing production cuts, leading to further price increases in the market [20][24] Computing Power Sector - Domestic manufacturers are accelerating self-research in AI chips, with significant projects like China Unicom's green computing center showcasing multiple domestic AI chip brands [26][29] - Huawei's roadmap for its Ascend AI chips indicates a series of upcoming releases, with substantial improvements in performance and memory bandwidth [29][40] - The introduction of supernodes by Huawei, such as the Atlas950 and Atlas960, is expected to significantly enhance computing power capabilities, supporting large-scale AI applications [47][48] Apple Product Launch - The iPhone 17 series has seen a record-breaking pre-order volume in China, with a nearly threefold increase compared to the previous generation, indicating strong consumer demand [57] - The new iPhone models feature advanced technology and design improvements, which are expected to drive sales and positively impact the supply chain [52][57] Meta's AR Glasses - Meta's Ray-Ban Display AR glasses are set to launch with advanced display technology, expected to capture a significant market share in the AR segment by 2026 [58][59] - The glasses feature a combination of LCoS display technology and optical waveguide, providing high-quality visuals while maintaining user privacy [58][59]