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H5N1蔓延拉高禽价,养殖业板块持续走高 农业50ETF(159827)表现强劲
Jie Mian Xin Wen· 2025-03-26 07:29
相关产品:农业50ETF(159827) 风险提示:基金有风险,投资需谨慎。 天风证券复盘,历史上的猪周期通常3-5年演绎一轮,而自18年行业经历非瘟后,猪周期有所变 形,每轮周期演绎时长均较非瘟前有所缩短。结合行业产能变化的三要素,即猪舍、母猪和流动资金, 我们可以预测到非瘟后的红利或已基本结束,猪周期有望逐步回归常态,蛛网模型仍将继续演绎。建议 重视生猪板块低估值、预期差。在25年猪价持续低位&成本或难有下降甚至抬升&疫情或有所干扰情况 下,后续产能去化容易程度及复产难度或再度提升,产能长期仍有望波动去化。估值目前处在相对低 位,生猪板块价值凸显。从2024年头均市值看,多股估值处在历史相对底部区间,头均市值或仍有显著 上涨空间。 中原证券表示,2025 年 2 月,白羽肉鸡鸡苗均 2.19 元/羽,环比下滑0.30 元/羽,同比下跌 1.99 元/ 羽;白羽肉鸡均价 3.09 元/斤,环比下滑 0.54 元/斤,跌幅 14.88%;同比下滑 0.81 元/斤。春节后,市场 处于供强需弱的状态,导致月均毛鸡价格下跌。随着成本压力缓解和鸡价的企稳反弹,有望推动养殖行 业利润弹性逐步释放,行业相关上市公司盈利 ...
仔猪价格回暖,猪价中枢有望逐步上移,农牧ETF(159616)震荡涨超1%,实现3连涨
Jie Mian Xin Wen· 2025-03-26 07:22
(文章来源:界面新闻) 截至2025年3月26日收盘,中证农牧主题指数(931778)上涨0.34%,成分股中牧股份(600195)上涨 4.84%,益生股份(002458)上涨4.61%,立华股份(300761)上涨3.94%,牧原股份(002714)上涨3.55%,巨 星农牧(603477)上涨3.28%。农牧ETF(159616)盘中涨超1%,收涨0.56%, 实现3连涨。最新价报0.72 元,全天成交额达706.52万元,换手率10.5%,市场交投活跃。 消息面上,2月牧原股份仔猪销量同比激增17倍,占其总销量的16%,通过"仔猪+商品猪"策略应对 价格波动。牧原股份公告,2025年1-2月份,公司销售商品猪1146.1万头,同比变动10.51%;商品猪销 售均价14.76元/公斤,同比变动6.65%;商品猪销售收入204.22亿元,同比变动24.38%。公司销售仔猪 219.2万头,销售种猪6.9万头。 开源证券指出,生猪供给压力减弱需求边际向好,猪价中枢有望逐步抬升。据涌益咨询,2025年2 月全国生猪销售均价14.81元/公斤,环比-6.15%,同比+2.78%。涌益监控样本2025年2月日均屠 ...
港股科技推动AI大模型加速应用!港股科技30ETF(513160)现涨0.86%,过去20个交易日获得超5亿元资金净流入
Jie Mian Xin Wen· 2025-03-26 07:17
本轮港股科技市场行情启动于2024年9月19日,本轮行情起点至今港股科技30ETF(513160)跟踪 的恒生港股通中国科技指数涨幅71.23%,同期恒生科技指数涨57.46%,港股通科技指数涨64.85%,港 股通互联网指数涨57.38%,恒生互联网科技业指数涨43.85%。 华泰证券梳理"阿里巴巴、腾讯、美团、小米、联想、比亚迪、中芯国际"为港股科技"七姐妹",是 中国科技股估值重塑的重要担当,港股科技30ETF(513160)跟踪的恒生港股通中国科技指数一键布局 港股科技"七姐妹",合计权重高达60.63%,为港股科技类主题指数中最高,或是布局中国科技资产崛起 的有力指数工具。 港股科技推动AI大模型加速应用!港股科技 30ETF(513160)现涨0.86%,过去20个交易日获得超 5亿元资金净流入 消息面上,3月26日,宝马集团宣布与阿里巴巴集团深化战略合作,基于阿里通义AI大模型,联合 开发AI引擎,将应用于中国市场的宝马新世代系列车型。此次深化战略合作,主要聚焦在AI大模型、 智能语音交互等前沿技术领域。基于通义大模型和斑马元神AI,全新BMW智能个人助理采用宝马与阿 里共同开发的AI引擎,计划 ...
DeepSeek-V3模型升级,科创综指ETF华夏(589000)盘中上涨0.52%
Jie Mian Xin Wen· 2025-03-26 07:17
DeepSeek-V3模型升级,科创综指ETF华夏(589000) 盘中上涨0.52% 科创综指ETF华夏(589000)及其场外联接(华夏上证科创板综合ETF联接A:023719;华夏上证科创 板综合ETF联接C:023720)紧密跟踪上证科创板综合指数,上证科创板综合指数覆盖新一代信息技术、 高端装备、生物医药、新能源等战略性新兴产业。 (文章来源:界面新闻) 截至2025年3月26日 14:12,上证科创板综合指数(000680)上涨0.69%,成分股泰凌微(688591)上涨 20.00%,艾罗能源(688717)上涨10.36%,福立旺(688678)上涨9.13%,禾信仪器(688622)上涨8.52%,中 科蓝讯(688332)上涨8.45%。科创综指ETF华夏(589000)上涨0.52%,最新价报0.96元,盘中成交额已达 971.94万元。从资金净流入方面来看,科创综指ETF华夏近4天获得连续资金净流入,合计"吸 金"8584.39万元。 消息面上,3月25日晚,DeepSeek在官方账号上正式宣布V3模型完成小版本升级的消息,并介绍了 新版本DeepSeek-V3-0324模型的提升细节 ...
港股科技龙头止跌反弹,香港科技ETF(513560)涨超1%,实时换手率突破67%
Jie Mian Xin Wen· 2025-03-26 07:17
Group 1 - The Hong Kong technology sector is experiencing a rebound, with the Hong Kong Technology ETF (513560) rising over 1% and a trading turnover rate exceeding 67% [1] - The CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index (931573) has increased by 1.19%, with notable gains from companies such as 3SBio (01530) up 11.50% and Li Auto (09863) up 5.37% [1] - The Hong Kong Technology ETF has shown a strong performance over the past year, with a 77.10% increase and a year-to-date rise of 31.42% [1] Group 2 - DeepSeek, a Chinese AI startup, has launched a new version of its model, DeepSeek-V3, which has 685 billion parameters and has significantly improved its capabilities in coding, mathematics, and reasoning [2] - The "catfish effect" from DeepSeek is expected to drive a wave of AI model applications across various industries, particularly in sectors with high digitalization [2] - China's manufacturing sector, especially in discrete manufacturing and process industries, is well-positioned for rapid AI application due to its high level of digitalization [2] Group 3 - Huatai Securities anticipates potential market volatility in April due to tariff issues and economic data releases, but remains optimistic about the long-term growth of AI technology [3] - The report suggests a "barbell strategy" for investment, focusing on Hong Kong internet and tech hardware stocks, new consumption sectors benefiting from stimulus policies, innovative pharmaceuticals related to AI, and stable dividend stocks [3] - The Hong Kong Technology ETF closely tracks the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index, which includes major tech companies like Xiaomi, Alibaba, and Tencent, representing 72.15% of the top ten holdings [3]
A股超2000亿元市值管理!A500ETF(159339)今日V型大反弹,实时成交额突破5亿元
Jie Mian Xin Wen· 2025-03-26 07:14
Group 1 - A-share market has seen over 200 billion yuan in market value management, with 266 companies proposing annual cash dividend plans totaling over 200 billion yuan as of March 25 [1] - The increase in cash dividends reflects a heightened willingness among listed companies to return value to investors, which is beneficial for stabilizing market expectations and attracting value investors [1] - A500 ETF (159339) experienced a significant rebound, with real-time trading volume exceeding 500 million yuan, indicating strong market interest [1] Group 2 - The government continues to support domestic demand and consumption, allocating 300 billion yuan in special bonds for the replacement of home appliances and consumer electronics, providing additional growth momentum for related industries [2] - The home appliance industry shows marginal improvement in profit expectations, while the consumer electronics sector is expected to benefit from AI technology advancements, presenting new growth opportunities [2] - A500 ETF (159339) offers a low-cost investment option with an annual management fee of 0.15% and a custody fee of 0.05%, making it an attractive tool for investors looking to access core A-share assets [2]
光伏抢装潮需求激增!光伏产业链迎来新机遇,光伏50ETF(516880)上涨1.11%
Jie Mian Xin Wen· 2025-03-26 07:14
Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a surge in demand due to a "rush to install" solar components, leading to price increases and supply shortages, which are expected to create opportunities within the industry [1][2]. Industry Overview - The photovoltaic sector is witnessing a significant increase in component demand driven by a surge in installations, with the photovoltaic 50 ETF (516880) rising by 1.11% [1]. - Supply-demand imbalances are causing manufacturers to "cancel orders" and request price hikes, indicating a potential for price volatility until late April [1]. - The distributed photovoltaic industry is rapidly developing under policy support, with new regulations aimed at enhancing project management and market participation [1]. Market Dynamics - The National Energy Administration has introduced measures to promote the development of distributed photovoltaic projects, which are expected to increase market participation and flexibility [1]. - The introduction of a producer payment model is anticipated to improve cash flow for waste incineration power generation projects, alleviating local financial pressures [1]. - The securitization of nuclear power assets is also expected to address funding gaps and enhance competitiveness in the nuclear sector [1]. Challenges and Outlook - The industry faces external challenges, including a U.S. investigation into specific photovoltaic components, which may impact export markets [2]. - Despite supply-demand imbalances and quality concerns, increased policy support is expected to boost market expectations and overall industry prospects [2]. - The photovoltaic industry is projected to see significant growth in the second half of the year, with optimistic expectations for terminal demand performance [2]. Investment Recommendations - The industry is advised to focus on four core areas: glass, battery cells, new technologies, and large storage, with particular attention to segments likely to benefit from increased component production [2].
清明小长假热度大提升!港股消费ETF(159735)现涨1.19%,过去20个交易日获得2.55亿元资金净流入
Jie Mian Xin Wen· 2025-03-26 07:14
清明小长假热度大提升!港股消费ETF(159735)现 涨1.19%,过去20个交易日获得2.55亿元资金净流入 消息面上,同程旅行发布的《2025清明小长假旅行消费趋势》显示,2025年清明假期,大众人群旅 游消费需求持续升级。非一线城市中高星级酒店预订占比较去年同期提升6个百分点。游客更愿意为多 元化的旅行体验买单,沉浸式的景区游览、参与感更强的研学产品等受到游客关注。数据显示,"踏青 赏花"相关主题词的搜索热度同比上涨46%,折射出游客对沉浸式春景体验的旺盛需求。武汉东湖樱 园、洛阳的牡丹花会、无锡鼋头渚樱花谷等传统赏花地持续领跑热度榜。 民生证券表示,关于生育补贴的讨论为消费板块带来了新的增长点。生育补贴不仅能够直接增加家 庭的可支配收入,从而提高消费能力,更重要的是,它还能够通过改善出生率间接促进长期消费市场的 扩大。尤其是对于低线城市,研报指出,将生育补贴集中在这些地区,并确保补贴力度达到当地人均 GDP的15%以上,可以"立竿见影"地促进出生人口的提升。这种政策的实施,不仅能够短期内刺激家 电、食品、教育等相关消费品的需求,还能够在长期内形成稳定的消费增长动力。 相关产品:港股消费ETF(159 ...
AI板块调整蓄力,5G通信ETF(515050)连续5个交易日获得资金净流入!近20日吸金近3.7亿元
Jie Mian Xin Wen· 2025-03-26 07:14
Group 1 - The AI sector is experiencing a slight adjustment, with the 5G Communication ETF (515050) seeing continuous net inflows for five consecutive trading days, accumulating nearly 370 million yuan in the last 20 days [1] - The 5G Communication ETF (515050) has attracted a total of 170 million yuan in net inflows over the past five trading days, indicating strong investor interest [1] - The recent listing of the AI-focused ChiNext ETF (159381) on March 24 has also drawn attention, with an inflow of 1.89 million yuan on its first day [1] Group 2 - Canalys reports that cloud infrastructure service spending in mainland China is projected to reach 11.1 billion dollars in Q4 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14% [2] - Total cloud service spending in 2024 is expected to grow from 35.3 billion dollars in 2023 to 40 billion dollars, marking a 13% annual increase [2] - The rapid application of AI models is driving significant demand for cloud services, prompting leading companies to increase capital investments to modernize AI infrastructure [2] - Canalys forecasts that the growth rate of the cloud infrastructure service market in mainland China will accelerate to 15% in 2025 [2]
调整后再出发?科创板人工智能ETF(588930)持续向上,恒玄科技、芯原股份、中邮科技、天准科技等领涨
Jie Mian Xin Wen· 2025-03-26 07:14
绝对收益方面,截至2025年3月25日,科创板人工智能ETF自成立以来,最高单月回报为15.47%, 最长连涨月数为2个月,最长连涨涨幅为23.91%,涨跌月数比为1/0,上涨月份平均收益率为15.47%,月 盈利百分比为100.00%,月盈利概率为91.18%。回撤方面,截至2025年3月25日,科创板人工智能ETF, 相对基准回撤3.33%。跟踪精度方面,截至2025年3月25日,科创板人工智能ETF今年以来跟踪误差为 0.493%,在可比基金中跟踪精度最高。 相关产品:科创板人工智能ETF(588930) (文章来源:界面新闻) 调整后再出发?科创板人工智能ETF(588930)持续 向上,恒玄科技、芯原股份、中邮科技、天准科技 等领涨 民生证券表示,半导体作为科技产业支柱,经历回调后逐步复苏。AI+自主可控是2025年主要投资 方向,云厂商合作伙伴和端侧落地成AI产业重点。国产替代逻辑强劲,外部环境变化加速自主可控需 求,先进制造、半导体设备及材料国产化迎机遇。先进封装成高成长细分赛道,算力芯片海外代工限制 下,国产先进封装产业链需求弹性显现,COWOS和HBM封装技术成主流,国产厂商积极布局产能及材 ...