Core Viewpoint - The Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) expresses gratitude for support and outlines its achievements and future plans as it enters 2026, emphasizing its commitment to serving the real economy and enhancing market stability and functionality [1][2][3] Group 1: Achievements in 2025 - DCE successfully listed pure benzene futures and options, and introduced monthly average price futures contracts for chemical products, enhancing its risk management tools [2] - The exchange improved contract rules to better align with industry needs, resulting in significant quality enhancements in product operations [2] - DCE reinforced regulatory measures and risk monitoring mechanisms, ensuring a stable and healthy market operation [2] - The exchange increased participation from industry clients and promoted the "insurance + futures" model to support agriculture, expanding the influence of "Dalian prices" in spot trade pricing [2] Group 2: Future Plans for 2026 - In 2026, DCE aims to implement the spirit of the 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session and the Central Economic Work Conference, focusing on political guidance and scientific planning for the 15th Five-Year Plan [3] - The exchange will emphasize strict regulation and risk control, while continuing product innovation and rule optimization to enhance service effectiveness for the real economy [3] - DCE plans to expand its international presence by increasing the number of tradable products for qualified foreign investors from 14 to 27, thereby enhancing the international influence of "Dalian prices" [2][3] - The exchange will accelerate its digital transformation to strengthen its technological support capabilities [3]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is viewed as a promising investment opportunity, with positive indicators from valuation, fundamentals, and liquidity perspectives [1] Valuation Analysis - Current equity risk premium in A-shares is considered to be within a reasonable range, indicating potential for growth [1] Fundamental Analysis - Economic indicators in China have shown noticeable improvement due to the implementation of various domestic policies [1] Liquidity Analysis - Continuous economic recovery in China, ample liquidity, and ongoing capital market reforms are expected to drive sustained inflows into the stock market [1] - The low positioning of global allocation funds in A-shares, combined with a weakening US dollar and strengthening RMB, will provide a foundation for foreign capital to re-enter A-shares [1] Sector Focus - Industries represented by new productive forces are anticipated to drive further valuation increases in A-shares, making it a favorable time for investment [1] - Growth stocks have recently begun to outperform value stocks, and this trend is expected to continue due to the ongoing tech wave [1] Investment Strategy - The AI industry is identified as a core investment theme, with short-term adjustments potentially offering good entry points [2] - Increased global attention on Chinese tech products is expected to bolster investor confidence in AI applications [2] - The overall valuation of US stocks is perceived as high, particularly in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices, but a potential "soft landing" for the US economy may support a neutral outlook on US equities [2] Alternative Investments - Gold is viewed as a valuable investment, driven by the onset of a Fed rate-cutting cycle and ongoing global central bank gold purchases, suggesting further upside potential [2]

2025年A股一路攀升，港股中的医药股和科技股也一度走出非常凌厉的行情。但步入四季度，港股上涨 势头有所减缓。那么，2026年的港股市场会如何走？ 最后，从资金面看，徐猛预判2026年南向资金有望持续流入港股。此外，港股是外资投向中国资产 的"桥头堡"，与海外流动性相关性较高。美联储2025年9月开启新一轮降息周期，多重信号显示2026年 宽松大趋势仍将继续。因此在中美宽松周期共振下，徐猛认为有望支撑港股流动性保持充沛。 （文章来源：证券时报） 徐猛认为，首先从动量特征来看，恒生科技指数、恒生指数等核心指数一年期以上的长期动量保持向上 趋势。当前的短期回调符合预期，从机构配置视角看，这提供了较好的介入机会。 其次，港股科技板块基本面驱动明确。"港股通科技汇聚国产AI核心资产，涵盖算力、模型、软件应用 和硬件终端等全产业链龙头企业；不仅如此，国内参与全球AI竞争的互联网大厂在资本开支、上下游 布局方面若有跟进动作，有望催化新一轮科技行情。"徐猛表示，DeepSeek的出现推动中国科技企业在 全球竞争优势的重新定位，信心和观念的重塑将推动国内外投资者重新审视中国的投资机会，因此，中 美科技股估值差有望收敛，估值中 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange is committed to supporting green low-carbon transformation and the development of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, aligning with national strategies and emphasizing the importance of green development in high-quality growth [1][3]. Group 1: Achievements in 2025 - In 2025, the exchange successfully launched futures and options for platinum and palladium, expanding the new energy metal futures sector [2]. - The correlation of spot prices for industrial silicon, lithium carbonate, and polysilicon reached 0.99, 0.97, and 0.94 respectively, with over half of the listed companies in the photovoltaic and lithium battery sectors using futures for hedging [2]. - The introduction of qualified foreign institutional investors (QFII) for trading in industrial silicon, lithium carbonate, and polysilicon marked a significant step in opening up the market [2]. Group 2: Future Plans and Strategies - The exchange aims to deepen the implementation of green development principles and enhance its role in supporting the high-quality development of the Greater Bay Area [3]. - Focus will be placed on innovation in product offerings, particularly in new energy, new materials, and carbon emissions, with plans to accelerate the development of weather-related futures and carbon futures [3]. - The exchange plans to enhance its international presence by exploring overseas settlement price authorization and building overseas delivery warehouses [3]. Group 3: Commitment to Green Futures - The exchange is dedicated to becoming a leading green futures trading platform, aligning with the strategic tasks of the "14th Five-Year Plan" and contributing to the construction of a financial powerhouse [4]. - There is a strong emphasis on collaboration and collective effort to achieve the goals of financial modernization and sustainable development [4].

Group 1 - The core message emphasizes the gratitude of the China Financial Futures Exchange (CFFEX) towards market participants and media for their support in the development of the financial futures market as 2026 approaches [1] - The year 2025 marks the completion of the "14th Five-Year Plan," with China's economy showing continuous recovery and high-quality development, alongside significant advancements in the modern industrial system [1] - CFFEX, under the leadership of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, focuses on risk prevention, strong regulation, and promoting high-quality development, enhancing market resilience and vitality [1] Group 2 - The year 2026 will initiate the "15th Five-Year Plan," with CFFEX committed to implementing the guiding principles of Xi Jinping's thought and the decisions from the Central Economic Work Conference and Central Financial Work Conference [2] - CFFEX aims to enhance the quality of service to the real economy, balancing development and security while improving the inclusiveness and adaptability of the capital market [2] - The Securities Times plays a crucial role in the capital market by conveying policy messages, building market consensus, and serving participants, highlighting the importance of mainstream media in the financial sector [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the domestic economy is expected to show moderate growth in 2026, driven by a stable and progressive economic policy and positive changes in both internal and external economic environments [1] - The structure of domestic demand is anticipated to undergo significant changes, with a reduced impact from real estate and an increased emphasis on consumption, particularly in "investing in people" as a key direction for expanding domestic demand [1] - The ongoing "anti-involution" policies are expected to alleviate the supply-demand imbalance, promoting a recovery in corporate profits and improvement in profit margins [1] Group 2 - The market is projected to shift from the extreme conditions of 2025 to a more balanced state in 2026, with the past two years characterized by liquidity chasing scarce assets [1] - In the context of a dual easing fiscal and monetary environment, the renminbi is expected to stabilize and recover in the short term, marking the beginning of value allocation and valuation recovery for Chinese assets [1] - Despite increased volatility in the US stock market, the long-term development trend of AI is accelerating, with significant focus on the commercialization of intelligent agents and investment opportunities in the broader technology sector remaining a key theme for 2026 [1] Group 3 - The Hong Kong stock market's decline in Q4 2025 was primarily influenced by liquidity contraction, but current valuations are considered to have high cost-effectiveness [2] - As an offshore market, Hong Kong stocks tend to exhibit greater resilience during the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle, with internet assets possessing both technology and cyclical attributes suitable for left-side positioning [2] - The long-term outlook for the equity market remains optimistic, with a recommendation for balanced investment strategies that consider individual risk preferences, highlighting structural opportunities in cyclical resources, export chains, and core assets [2]

东方财富证券首席策略分析师陈果表示，2026年市场虽然可能有波动，但牛市仍在，整体策略可概括 为"踏浪逐牛"。潜在超预期因素包括中国企业盈利修复、AI（人工智能）产业进展及中美务实合作的可 能性。 他提醒，在风险层面，市场波动或将源于美国再通胀与AI商业化进程的博弈，投资者需灵活应对。战 略布局上，建议投资者把握逢低配置机会；若外部环境恶化（如AI发展叙事受挫），则可转向内需政 策加码的相关主线。 （文章来源：证券时报） 陈果表示，2025年面对房地产等内需老经济下行及外部关税挑战，中国股市仍走出"信心重估牛"。这得 益于多领域"DeepSeek事件"，让市场重新认识到中国新经济的活力与AI全球竞争力。 他表示，进入2026年，配置上建议把握当前确定性较高的两大方面：一是AI成长板块，二是受益于商 品价格回暖的周期板块。若外部环境变化，则内需板块机会或将上升。具体聚焦三大线索：一是AI泛 科技链（如半导体、海外算力、有色、电网设备、端侧AI等）；二是供需有望反转的周期行业（如海 风、储能、锂电设备、光伏、化工以及油/煤领域等）；三是出海优势方向（如工程机械、创新药）。 ...

Core Viewpoint - In 2026, under the global challenge of debt issues, there are three main ways to address debt: real growth exceeding real interest rates (growth-driven debt reduction), inflation exceeding expectations (inflation-driven debt reduction), and fiscal tightening (fiscal-driven debt reduction). Both AI and gold are expected to benefit from these paths, forming a dual mainline logic for asset performance [1]. Group 1: Market Outlook - The A-share market is expected to maintain a "slow bull" pattern in 2026, driven by a profound change in corporate profit structures. Despite weakness in real estate, infrastructure, consumption, social financing, and PPI, the net asset return on equity (ROE) of non-financial enterprises has stabilized over several quarters [1]. - The profit share of the eight major advanced manufacturing industries has increased to 38%, while the overseas revenue share of companies operating abroad has risen to 20%, with overseas market gross margins exceeding domestic margins by 5 percentage points. These factors are likely to drive the overall ROE of A-shares to recover after stabilization [1]. - Current valuation increases are relatively restrained, with limited overextension. If profits recover, there is still room for valuation improvement. Additionally, the migration of deposits from insurance and high-net-worth individuals will bring incremental capital [1]. Group 2: Investment Direction - The focus should be on industries with constrained supply and clear upward trends, such as the AI industry chain, which has strong capital expenditure demand and is unlikely to see supply release in the short term. Other areas include energy storage and metals, which have undergone capacity clearing [1]. - Tactically, it is recommended to utilize market adjustments to position for the spring rally, prioritizing the aforementioned high-prosperity sectors [1].

Core Viewpoint - The chief A-share strategist of CITIC Securities, Qiu Xiang, predicts that the profit growth rate of A-share companies will show a trend of low-to-high from 2026 onwards, influenced by the dynamics of the China-US relationship [1] Summary by Categories Market Phases - The market is expected to be divided into three phases based on the China-US trade agreement and the US midterm elections: 1. The first phase is from now until the trade agreement is finalized, where market growth is expected to slow down 2. The second phase is from the agreement's implementation until the midterm elections, where A-shares may experience sustained growth in a stable external environment 3. The third phase follows the midterm elections, where uncertainties from external disturbances may increase, prompting investors to refocus on domestic markets [1] Investment Opportunities and Sector Allocation - Four major themes are highlighted for investment opportunities: 1. The manufacturing sector's competition for global pricing power, with a focus on industries such as non-ferrous metals, chemicals, and new energy, which can convert market share advantages into pricing power and profit margin increases 2. The globalization of Chinese enterprises, which significantly expands market capitalization and profit growth potential, with key industries including machinery, innovative pharmaceuticals, power equipment, and military industry 3. The continuation of the technology trend, particularly in AI, which is expected to further expand its commercial applications and enhance the competitive advantages of Chinese companies, focusing on sectors like semiconductors, computing power, edge hardware, and AI applications 4. The potential for unexpected recovery in domestic demand, where despite general industry conditions being average, there exists significant room for recovery and valuation elasticity in domestic demand-sensitive sectors [1]

孟磊表示，当前A股市场的股权风险溢价仍高于历史均值，而其它新兴市场股市显著低于长期均值。中 期来看，增量的宏观政策、A股盈利增长加速叠加无风险利率下行、居民存款持续往股市"搬家"、长线 资金持续净流入股市以及市值管理改革的持续推进，将助力A股市场估值进一步上行。 （文章来源：证券时报） 展望2026年，可重点关注四大投资主题：一是科技自立自强主线；二是消费板块，全年企业盈利提速有 望逐步带动居民收入与销售费用提升，建议于下半年择时布局；三是"反内卷"相关板块；四是中国企业 出海与全球竞争力提升赛道。 他表示，在风格配置方面，由于市场中期展望向好，"成长"风格可能跑赢"价值"风格。随着"反内卷"的 持续推进，推动PPI跌幅收窄且工业企业利润提速，"周期"风格有望跑赢"防御"风格，大小盘板块会在 2026年维持一个相对均衡的态势。 瑞银证券中国股票策略分析师孟磊展望，2026年，名义GDP（国内生产总值）增速提升、PPI（工业生 产者出厂价格指数）跌幅收窄将推动企业营收增长；叠加支持政策落地与"反内卷"进程深化带动利润率 修复，预计全部A股公司盈利增速有望进一步攀升至8%。 ...