Jin Tou Wang
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1月6日金市晚评:美联储“预期管理”为金价背书 关注4400关键支撑
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-06 09:35
Core Viewpoint - The current rise in gold prices is driven by ongoing geopolitical risks and expectations of economic slowdown prompting interest rate cuts, creating a dual support for gold as a safe-haven asset [2][3]. Group 1: Market Conditions - The US dollar index has retreated from high levels, trading around 98.314, while gold prices are at $4461.06 per ounce, reflecting a 0.29% increase, with a high of $4475.46 and a low of $4426.09 [1]. - Geopolitical tensions, particularly the US military actions against Venezuela, have heightened risk aversion, leading to increased investment in gold and other safe-haven assets [2]. - Weak US ISM manufacturing PMI data for December has reinforced market expectations for an early interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which has pressured the dollar and supported gold prices [2]. Group 2: Future Outlook - The current upward trend in gold prices is based on the assumptions of sustained geopolitical risks and economic slowdown necessitating rate cuts, indicating a fragile foundation for this rise [3]. - The market is entering a critical verification period where the sustainability of the trend will depend on upcoming economic data supporting the narrative of monetary easing [3]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - The recent surge in gold prices is attributed to heightened risk aversion following the arrest of Venezuela's president, which has provided strong upward momentum for gold [4]. - Technical indicators show that gold prices are currently above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with a clear bullish arrangement in the moving averages [5]. - Key support levels for gold are identified at $4400, while resistance is seen at $4480, with the market currently fluctuating between $4420 and $4460 [6].
苯乙烯期货的最后交割日是哪一天
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-06 09:35
Group 1 - The last delivery date for styrene futures is set to be the third trading day after the last trading day, which is defined as the fourth-to-last trading day of the contract month [2] - For the EB2601 contract expiring in January 2026, the last trading day is January 27, 2026, making the last delivery date February 3, 2026 [2] Group 2 - Individual investors are required to close their positions before the last trading day and are not allowed to participate in physical delivery [3] - Institutional investors with delivery qualifications can hold positions until the delivery date and complete physical delivery [3] - The delivery quality standards must comply with the DCEEB001-2019 quality standards, and the use of styrene produced by the cracking gasoline extraction method is prohibited [3]
1月6日沪银主力合约日内暴涨8.00%
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-06 08:58
北京时间1月6日15:34,金投网行情中心数据显示:沪银主力最新报19452.00元/千克,日内涨幅达 7.06%,今日开盘价18126.00元/千克,最高价19714.00元/千克,最低价18082.00元/千克,成交量 1929943.00手,上一交易日沪银主力收盘于18169.00,基差为311。 打开APP,查看更多高清行情>> 外盘纽约期银突破79美元/盎司,日内涨超3%,COMEX白银价格最新报78.43美元/盎司,日内涨幅达 2.51%,上一交易日收盘于76.51美元/盎司,今日开盘价76.55美元/盎司,最高价79.29美元/盎司,最低 价75.70美元/盎司,成交量29881.00手。 沪银主力日线MACD指标释放看多信号,KDJ指标释放看空信号,RSI释放看空信号。 comex白银日线MACD指标释放看多信号,KDJ指标释放看空信号,RSI释放看空信号。 受美联储官员鸽派言论提振降息预期,以及委内瑞拉局势紧张推升避险需求的双重影响,今日白银价格 短线持续走高,沪银主力合约日内一度暴涨8.00%,报19630.00元/千克。 市场分析认为,美联储官员关于通胀回落和失业率风险的言论,增加了市场 ...
1月6日上期所沪银期货仓单较上一日减少88111千克
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-06 08:58
Group 1 - The total silver futures in Shanghai Futures Exchange is 581,436 kilograms, with a decrease of 88,111 kilograms compared to the previous day [1][2] - The main silver futures maintained a volatile pattern, opening at 18,126 yuan per kilogram, reaching a high of 19,714 yuan per kilogram, and closing at 19,452 yuan per kilogram, reflecting an increase of 7.06% [1] Group 2 - In Shanghai, the total warehouse inventory decreased by 76,321 kilograms, with specific reductions from various warehouses including Zhongchu Wusong and Waiyun Huadong Hongqiao [2] - The Federal Reserve's Kashkari indicated that the benchmark interest rate may be close to a "neutral level," suggesting that future monetary policy will depend on economic data [2] - Kashkari highlighted the dual risks faced by the Federal Reserve, including long-term inflation pressure from tariff policies and the risk of a sudden rise in unemployment [2]
【白银期货收评】沪银日内上涨7.06% 贵金属重启上行趋势
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-06 08:58
【白银期货最新行情】 | 1月6日 | 收盘价(元/千克) | 当日涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 持仓量(手) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪银主力 | 19452 | 7.06% | 1929943 | 277149 | 打开APP,查看更多高清行情>> 数据显示,1月6日上海白银现货价格报价19070元/千克,相较于期货主力价格(19452元/千克)贴水 382元/千克。 委内瑞拉局势——①据悉约有十余艘满载石油的油轮在关闭定位系统的情况下驶离委水域,同时雪佛龙 油轮恢复输油至美国。②瑞士政府:冻结马杜罗及其亲信在瑞士的资产。③罗德里格斯就任委内瑞拉代 总统。④面对美国威胁,哥伦比亚总统称将"拿起武器"。⑤马杜罗对美方所谓指控当庭表示不认罪,法 官要求马杜罗3月17日再次出庭参加听证。 2026年FOMC票委、明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利:失业率可能跳升;认为利率现在接近中性。 外媒:以色列通过普京向伊朗传递"无意开战"的信息。 据CME"美联储观察":美联储1月降息25个基点的概率为18.3%,维持利率不变的概率为81.7%。到3月 累计降息25个基点的概率为 ...
近期下游聚酯有一定负反馈 PTA市场价格高位回调
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-06 08:43
| | 规格 | 品牌/产 | 报价 | 报价类 | 交货地 | 交易商 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 地 | | 型 | | | | 等级:优等品 | | 扬子石 | 4500元/ | 市场价 | 江苏省/南通 | 南通众合化工新材料有限公司 | | | | 化 | 吨 | | 市 | VIP | | 等级:优等品 | | 逸盛大 | 4800元/ | 市场价 | 湖北省 | 武汉市恒久化工有限公司VIP | | | | 化 | 吨 | | | | | 逸盛大化 | 优等品 | 逸盛大 | 5150元/ | 市场价 | 江苏省/苏州 | 江苏昭华化工有限公司 | | | | 化 | 吨 | | 市 | | | 恒力大连 | 优等品 | 恒力大 | 5120元/ | 市场价 | 江苏省/苏州 | 南京外恩化工科技有限公司 | | | | 连 | 吨 | | 市 | | | 恒力大连 | 优等品 | 恒力大 | 5140元/ | 市场价 | 江苏省/苏州 | 南京双杰化工有限公司 | | | | 连 | 吨 | | 市 | | | 逸盛大 ...
海尔三筒洗衣机越南热卖,夯实高端第一地位
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-06 08:26
Core Insights - Haier's three-tub washing machine has quickly gained popularity in the Vietnamese market since its launch in October, achieving a market share increase from 0% to 13% in the high-end price segment above 2000 VND, reflecting strong user satisfaction and market performance [1][3] Group 1: Product Features and Advantages - The washing machine features a unique "12kg large tub + dual 1kg small tubs" design, filling a gap in the local market and providing effective health and cleanliness benefits, which has garnered positive feedback from users [3] - The product's design allows for separate washing of adult and children's clothes, addressing the needs of young middle-class families who prioritize quality of life and hygiene [3] - The machine includes advanced sterilization technologies such as UV sterilization and 95°C high-temperature washing, catering to the humid climate of Vietnam and enhancing its appeal to consumers [5] Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - Haier and AQUA brands hold the top position in Vietnam's high-end washing machine market, and the successful launch of the three-tub washing machine further solidifies Haier's leadership in this segment [5] - The product's success is attributed to Haier's commitment to globalization and high-end strategies, as well as its ability to accurately identify high-end user needs [5] - The washing machine has also been introduced in other Southeast Asian countries like Malaysia and Thailand, as well as in European markets such as Italy and France, receiving enthusiastic responses, with plans for further expansion into Africa and South Asia [5]
化工需求依然持稳 液化石油气期货或震荡为主
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-06 08:09
南华期货(603093): 原油端,市场依然对地缘风险给与了一定的溢价,对比美委冲突,伊朗的风险对于lpg市场来说更为直 接。丙烷方面,在过去一周中东发运依然偏低,但美国库存出现了逆季节性上涨仍给价格带来一些压 力。从国内本期基本面来看,供应端本期依然偏紧,港口到港量低点,港库连续去化。需求端整体变动 不大,化工需求依然持稳,PDH端虽维持亏损状态,但开工仍上行至76.36%,短期依然没有检修反 馈。短期关注下海外事件的后续以及国内PDH可能的检修。 瑞达期货(002961): 短期地缘局势、OPEC+暂停增产及对未来供应过剩担忧等多空交织,国际油价震荡。LPG国际方面, 中东供应较为有限而远东需求旺季,仍对液化气价格起支撑作用。供应方面,部分炼厂装置运行不稳定 及部分炼厂外放增加,整体供应出现回升。短期港口到船量减少,叠加气温下降促使燃烧需求增强,港 口库存呈下降趋势,但本周预计码头到船有增量,港口库存有增加预期。需求方面,临近元旦民用气有 补库意愿,但预计跟进有限。综合来看,短期整体供需压力不大,但库存增加预期,原油走势反复,液 化气预计震荡为主。从技术面看,PG主力合约隔夜震荡收涨,上方关注4250附近 ...
【白银etf持仓量】1月5日白银ETF较上一交易日减少90.54吨
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-06 08:09
Core Insights - The BlackRock Investment Institute indicates that the U.S. economic data schedule is returning to normal after delays caused by last year's government shutdown, which aids investors in assessing economic conditions, particularly labor market data [2] - The December employment report is set to be released on Friday, with analysts from The Wall Street Journal forecasting an increase of 73,000 jobs in December, up from 64,000 in November, making this data crucial for determining the Federal Reserve's next policy moves [2] Economic Data Recovery - The return to a normal economic data schedule is expected to clarify the labor market situation, which had been obscured by previous delays [2] - The focus on December's employment data is significant for market participants as it serves as a key indicator for future Federal Reserve policy decisions [2] Employment Forecast - Analysts predict a rise in non-farm payrolls for December to 73,000, indicating a positive trend in job creation compared to the previous month's figure of 64,000 [2] - This employment data is critical for market assessments regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy direction [2]
供应端扰动消息支撑下 铝价有望继续震荡偏强
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-06 08:02
1月6日,国内期市有色金属板块全线飘红。其中,沪铝期货主力合约报收于24335.00元/吨,涨幅达 3.29%。 需求方面,国新国证期货分析称,需求端表现压力继续提升,采销端表现收缩,贸易商接货增加,但下 游及终端接货偏少。规模下游加工厂保持一定需求,板带箔、工业材领域需求温和,其他领域消费压力 继续提升。 对于后市走势,五矿期货表示,海外地缘因素扰动下贵金属和铜价预计维持高位,对铝价仍有带动作 用。产业上看尽管铝价走高抑制下游开工,但海外铝库存维持相对低位和供应端扰动消息支撑下,铝价 有望继续震荡偏强。 宏观方面,据弘业期货(001236)介绍,委内瑞拉,格陵兰,伊朗均面临战争威胁。国际形势紧张,避 险情绪上升。同时美国政府通过新的财政方案,美元大跌。 供应方面,华联期货指出,国内电解铝运行产能相对稳定,在供给侧结构性改革与"双碳"目标的双重作 用下,电解铝产能扩张通道基本关闭,供应刚性日益凸显。海外虽存在一些供应扰动,但预计2026年增 量依然有限。 ...