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A股港股的牛市有哪些特点,之后还会上涨吗?|第405期精品课程
银行螺丝钉· 2025-10-03 13:42
Group 1 - The recent bull market in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks is characterized by rapid price increases, often referred to as "lightning-fast bulls" rather than slow, steady growth [8][11] - A-shares and Hong Kong stocks have both entered a technical bull market, defined by a rise of over 20% from bear market lows [4][5] - The bull market is often structural rather than broad-based, with specific sectors or stocks leading the gains while others may lag behind [12][13] Group 2 - The bull market typically experiences intermittent pullbacks, with historical data showing that even during strong bull markets, there are multiple instances of price corrections [15][16] - Investors are advised to avoid chasing prices and frequent trading, as many tend to buy at market peaks and sell during downturns, leading to poor long-term performance [20][21] - Long-term market growth is expected, with each bear market bottom likely to be higher than the previous one, indicating a general upward trend over time [24][27] Group 3 - Future market performance will depend on the earnings growth of listed companies, which serves as the engine for sustained market increases [30][32] - Stocks with strong earnings growth and reasonable valuations are likely to continue performing well, while those with high valuations may face significant corrections [36][37]
单个指数基金,止盈的三种方式|投资小知识
银行螺丝钉· 2025-10-03 13:42
Group 1 - The article discusses various investment strategies, including taking profits during high valuations and the benefits of long-term holding [3][4][6] - It highlights that during bull markets, there can be significant gains, typically ranging from 30% to 40% when moving from undervalued to normal and from normal to overvalued [4] - The article emphasizes the importance of patience in long-term holding strategies, especially as bull markets can last 7-10 years [6] Group 2 - It mentions the strategy of relying on dividends as a source of income, particularly in the context of state-owned listed companies in A-shares, where the market capitalization is significantly lower than the total market value [7] - The article references John Bogle's perspective on the effectiveness of a "hold on" strategy when income needs align with dividend income [7]
每日钉一下(精准抄底,能不能做到呢?)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-10-02 13:42
文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) 基金是非常适合普通人的投资品种。 什么类型的基金更适合新手? 基金投资该怎么投? 长期投资前要做哪些心理建设? 这里有一门限时免费的福利课程,能帮助新手投资者从零开始了解基金投资。 想要获取这门课程,可以扫下方二维码添加 @课程小助手 ,回复 「 基金入门 」 领取哦~ 更有课程笔记、思维导图,帮您快速搞懂课程脉络,学习更高效。 #螺丝钉小知识 urn ( 银行螺丝钉 精准抄底,能不能做到呢? 有朋友留言说,经常从媒体、新闻上看到 「某某底」的说法,后面A股还会继续下跌 吗? 如何能买到市场最底部呢? 其实,市场最底部是无法准确预测的。 (1) 每一轮熊市,持续时间的长短、下跌 幅度的大小,不一样。 上一次熊市,无法指导下一次熊市。 不过,整体来看,每次熊市最底部,指数 的点数是在逐渐提高的。 同样是5星,熊市底部的点数,每隔几年也 人 | ロゴ 会提高。 以中证全指为例: ·2012到2014年5星级的时候,中证全指在 2700-2800点上下。 ·2018年底5星级,中证全指在3400-3500 点上下。 ·到了最近一年多5星级,中证全指在4800 点上下。 (2) ...
放假期间看不到基金的净值涨跌,买的基金假期里还会有收益吗?|投资小知识
银行螺丝钉· 2025-10-02 13:42
Group 1 - The article discusses the typical behavior of pure bond funds after holidays, noting that they often experience a rise on the first trading day to reflect the returns accumulated during the holiday period [3][4] - An example is provided where a specific pure bond fund typically sees a daily fluctuation of about 0.01%-0.015%, and after the 2022 National Day holiday, it rose by 0.05% on the first trading day, indicating the holiday's returns were realized [3] - Similar patterns are observed for other holidays like May Day and Spring Festival, where bond funds tend to show similar behavior [4] Group 2 - The article explains that stock funds do not update their net asset values during holidays, but one can gauge the A-share market's performance by observing the movements of Hong Kong and US stock indices [5][6] - It mentions specific indices like ASHR, which tracks the CSI 300 index, and the FTSE A50 index, which represents the largest 50 stocks in A-shares, indicating that their performance can reflect the overall market trends [7] - If overseas markets show significant gains during the holiday, A-shares are likely to experience a corresponding rise upon reopening, while minimal fluctuations in these markets would lead to a smaller impact on A-shares [8]
螺丝钉精华文章汇总|2025年9月
银行螺丝钉· 2025-10-02 13:42
Core Viewpoint - The article summarizes key investment strategies and insights from various articles published in September, providing valuable information for investors to enhance their decision-making process [2][3]. Group 1: Investment Strategies - The newly launched automatic profit-taking feature allows investors to automatically execute profit-taking strategies when market conditions signal a transition from undervaluation to more stable investment options [5]. - The article discusses the operation of government bond reverse repos, highlighting their utility as a short-term financial management tool for investors with idle cash, especially during specific timeframes like month-end or holiday periods [7]. - Insights on the timing of fund purchases before holidays are provided, clarifying how different fund types may yield returns during holiday periods and the optimal dates for investment to capture these returns [8]. Group 2: Market Analysis - The September market analysis indicates that the current market remains relatively undervalued, suggesting continued investment in actively selected and index-enhanced portfolios [10]. - A new "golden star rating" and bull-bear signal board for gold investments are introduced, offering insights into gold pricing, historical ratings, and its relationship with real interest rates, which can guide investment decisions [11]. - The article presents an index map categorizing various investment indices, including their codes, selection rules, and average market capitalizations, facilitating easier navigation for investors [12]. Group 3: Fund Performance Insights - A summary of fund managers' perspectives from the 2025 semi-annual reports is provided, categorizing them into different investment styles and highlighting their views on past performance and future market trends [12][13]. - The article emphasizes the importance of asset allocation strategies, particularly in the context of a structural bull market in A-shares, advocating for diversified investment across different styles to mitigate risks [16]. - The discussion on profit-taking strategies post-market upturn outlines three methods for investors to consider, including automatic rebalancing features in investment portfolios to optimize returns [17]. Group 4: Earnings Growth and Valuation - The article notes a recovery in earnings growth for A-share listed companies in the first half of 2025, suggesting a potential end to the economic downturn and an opening for market growth [18]. - It emphasizes the relevance of value investing strategies in the A-share market, asserting that patience among investors can lead to successful outcomes despite the market's cyclical nature [20][22]. - The importance of valuation methods in investment decisions is highlighted, advocating for simple approaches that can help ordinary investors identify undervalued assets [23].
想要投资成功,必须成为一个长期投资者|投资小知识
银行螺丝钉· 2025-10-01 13:28
Group 1 - The core idea emphasizes that extending the investment horizon to 10 years significantly increases the probability of making a profit, as there are very few instances of losses over such a long period [2][4] - In the A-share market, investing in all stocks at any point can yield high returns during bull markets but may also result in significant losses during bear markets. However, long-term investments generally lead to profits as long as purchases are not made at the peak of a bull market [3][4] - Longer investment durations align returns more closely with the true average returns of stock assets. Investing in undervalued regions and holding for 3-5 years has historically shown no loss records, even during market downturns [4]
每日钉一下(通过哪些优质渠道来学习,才能事半功倍?)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-10-01 13:28
Group 1 - The article emphasizes that funds are very suitable investment products for ordinary people [1] - It suggests that new investors should consider long-term investment strategies and prepare psychologically before investing [1] - A free course is offered to help new investors understand fund investment from scratch [1] Group 2 - The article discusses the importance of obtaining quality information sources for effective learning in investment [5] - It highlights that classic books provide the highest value of information, as they present core concepts that have stood the test of time [6] - Quality magazines and official media are recommended as reliable sources, such as major securities newspapers [7] - The article warns against relying too much on short videos and social media for investment information, as they often contain limited and potentially outdated content [9] - It concludes that allocating more time to reading books and quality publications will yield better learning outcomes [10]
假期做点啥好:锻炼、看剧、看书
银行螺丝钉· 2025-10-01 13:28
Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of developing good habits during holidays, particularly focusing on exercise as a means of long-term health benefits, similar to investment strategies like dollar-cost averaging [6][14][15] - It suggests starting with low-barrier exercises at home, such as using the Nintendo Switch with the Ring Fit Adventure game, which can be a family-friendly option [9] - For those looking for cost-effective home workouts, it recommends various workout videos, with difficulty levels ranging from beginner to advanced, and highlights the importance of consistency in achieving fitness goals [10][11][12] Group 2 - The article discusses the value of watching films and series during holidays for relaxation, mentioning specific shows and their relevance to investment principles, such as caution and strategic thinking [20][25] - It provides a list of recommended shows, including domestic and international series, and emphasizes the importance of selecting content that can provide both entertainment and insights into business dynamics [19][26] - The article also suggests efficient viewing methods, such as watching at increased speeds or utilizing edited clips to save time while still gaining valuable insights [36][38][41] Group 3 - The article highlights the significance of reading as a means of knowledge acquisition, recommending a systematic approach to evaluating books based on their quality and relevance [44][46] - It lists several highly-rated books related to investment and personal development, emphasizing their potential to enhance understanding of financial markets and personal finance strategies [50][53][56] - The author encourages sharing recommendations for books and films that can be beneficial during the holiday period, fostering a community of knowledge sharing [61]
[9月30日]指数估值数据(A股港股上涨,回到4.1星;螺丝钉定投实盘第384期发车;养老指数估值表更新)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-09-30 13:25
Market Overview - The overall market experienced an increase, returning to a rating of 4.1 stars by the end of trading [2] - All market caps (large, medium, and small) saw gains, with small-cap stocks rising the most [3] - The ChiNext index opened strongly but closed with a reduced gain, remaining close to overvaluation [4][5] - Sectors such as pharmaceuticals and technology showed significant upward movement [6] Stock Performance - Hong Kong stocks also saw an overall increase, with technology and pharmaceutical sectors rising over 2% [7][8] - In the third quarter, both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks experienced substantial gains, with A-shares up 18% and the Hang Seng Index up 11%, both exceeding the global average increase of approximately 7% [9][10][11] Investment Strategy - As of 15:00, investments in funds were executed at prices before the holiday, with trading in A-shares paused during the holiday period [12][15] - However, Hong Kong stocks and other international markets will continue to trade during the holiday, with updates on their performance expected after the holiday [16][18] Fund Management - The investment strategy includes pausing contributions to the index-enhanced advisory portfolio as it returns to normal valuation, while continuing contributions to the actively selected advisory portfolio [20] - The "Monthly Salary Treasure" investment strategy, which consists of 40% stocks and 60% bonds, is recommended for stable market participation [20] Pension Fund Insights - The article discusses the performance of pension index funds, highlighting that both the CSI 500 and CSI Dividend funds have returned to normal valuation, with the former showing a 22% profit and the latter a 5% profit over recent months [26] - The article emphasizes the importance of patience in waiting for undervalued investment opportunities in the long term [26] Valuation Metrics - A detailed valuation table is provided, showing various indices' price-to-earnings ratios, price-to-book ratios, and dividend yields, indicating the current market conditions and investment opportunities [29][34]
每日钉一下(为啥牛市是散户亏钱的主要原因?)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-09-30 13:25
Group 1 - Fund regular investment is a suitable investment method for lazy investors, and it is essential to prepare before starting and to create a solid investment plan [2][3] - There are four methods of regular investment, and it is important to determine which one is most suitable for individual needs and how to take profits [2] Group 2 - The statement that bull markets are a primary reason for retail investors losing money may seem counterintuitive, but it reflects reality [6] - The first common reason for losses is chasing prices, where investors tend to buy at market peaks during bull markets, leading to higher costs [7] - Another reason for losses is frequent trading, which can cause investors to miss out on gains and experience losses despite overall market increases [10] Group 3 - Investing in stocks should shift away from a trading mindset; instead, it should be viewed as owning a basket of companies through funds, which allows for easier management without direct involvement [12]