文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 马上就要到春节了，螺丝钉也定制了一批红包封面。 点击下方图片就可以免费领取。 大家要是喜欢也可以转发给朋友哦~ 封面设计主题：财富加码 截至2026年1月23日，钉系列投顾组合，已累计帮助投资者获得盈利27.2亿元，为客户财富 加码~ 点击查看： 螺丝钉投顾组合四周年成绩单 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the upcoming Spring Festival holiday and the trading situation of various funds during this period [1][3] - Different types of funds have specific rules regarding trading and net value updates during the holiday [1][3] Group 2 - For money market funds, investments must be made before 3 PM on February 12 to earn holiday returns [5] - Bond funds can be invested in before 3 PM on February 13 to enjoy holiday earnings, although net values will not be updated until the first trading day after the holiday [7][8] - Typically, pure bond funds see an increase on the first trading day after a long holiday, reflecting accumulated holiday earnings [8][9] Group 3 - For stock funds, the latest investment must also be made before 3 PM on February 13, as net values do not update during the holiday [15][16] - Observing the performance of overseas markets, such as the ASHR and FTSE A50 indices, can provide insights into potential A-share market movements during the holiday [19][22][23] - If overseas markets experience significant gains, A-shares are likely to see a corresponding increase upon reopening [23][24] Group 4 - The article emphasizes the importance of holding investments through holidays rather than frequently buying and selling, which incurs additional transaction costs [28] - The philosophy of investing is likened to owning a business, suggesting a long-term approach rather than short-term trading [28][29]

文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 时加 正 2015年牛市顶点后），即使股息率稳 定,股价下跌仍然可能导致账面浮亏。 价值、成长策略，在A股长期都有效。 长期收益也差不多，但每隔几年，就会 出现风格轮动,某一种风格会超过另一 种风格。 价值风格的波动,在股票类资产中属于 比较低的，遇到成长风格牛市，价值风 格也不至于大幅暴跌。不过可能会阶段 性的跑输市场，此时就对投资者的耐心 提出了考验。 其实对红利这类品种,如果想要长期坚 持下来,最好不要以短期跑赢跑输市场 来看待。 因为风格轮动的存在，红利肯定会在某 几年跑输市场。这在长达几十年的投资 中，几乎是一定会遇到的。 如果以跑赢跑输看待红利策略，那就会 患得患失。 实际上，能长期坚持投资红利类品种 的，通常是从股息率的角度看待红利。 如果是用短期资金投资,那么为了应对 流动性需求，可能会被迫在低位卖出, 影响我们的投资体验,甚至产生实际的 亏损。 所以，最好也是用3-5年以上长期不用的 闹钱来投资，并做好面对波动风险的心 理准备。 (2) A 股存在显著的成长与价值风格轮 动特征。 红利作为价值风格品种，会在不同阶段 出现跑赢或跑输市场的情况。 风险提示 ...

文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 今天大盘整体上涨，截止到收盘，回到3.8星。 大中小盘股都上涨，中小盘股上涨更多一些。 今天上涨后，500低波动重新达到高估。 红利等价值风格微涨。 美股纳斯达克100下跌4%；黄金白银等商品价格也出现较大波动。 市场担心美联储降息的不确定性。 不过到了周五，美联储发表讲话，认为预计今年晚些时候，通货膨胀率会继续降低。 美元通货膨胀率降低，有利于美联储降息。 这减缓了市场对短期流动性的担心。 北京时间，上周五晚上全球股票市场、商品市场又出现大幅反弹。 创业板等成长风格上涨较多。 港股今天也整体上涨。 涨幅跟A股差不多。 1. 上周一到上周四，全球股票、商品市场出现较大波动。 周一A股港股开盘之后也出现了补涨。 2. 从2024年9月以来，美联储进入降息周期。 利率之于资产，就好比地心引力之于物体。 美元利率、汇率下降，全球流动性充裕，带动全球资产估值提升。 全球股票市场上涨30%上下，商品等市场也出现大幅上涨。 A股港股上涨更多，整体上涨50-60%。 并且流动性充裕，更容易看到小资产（小盘股、小国家股票市场、小体量的有色金属）出现大幅上涨。 3. 不过中间也会阶段性的 ...

Group 1 - The article emphasizes that different regional stock markets do not move in unison, and understanding multiple markets can provide investors with more opportunities [2] - Global investment can significantly reduce volatility risk, and the article suggests a free course on investing in global stock markets through index funds [2][3] - The article discusses the potential for A-shares to enter a slow bull market, highlighting that institutional investors often sell index funds in batches as the market rises [4] Group 2 - The article notes that A-shares have experienced several bull markets over the past decade, with significant gains, such as a 60% increase since September 2024, which is double the global stock market's growth during the same period [5] - It identifies three low-volatility dividend indices in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, which have shown annual growth rates of several percent to over ten percent in recent years [6] - The article attributes the slow bull trend of dividend indices to two main reasons: the underlying companies are often mature with stable fundamentals, and annual rebalancing of the indices allows for strategic buying and selling of stocks [7] Group 3 - The article explains that the index points are determined by valuation and earnings, and stable earnings growth combined with annual rebalancing helps maintain a slow bull trend for dividend indices [10] - It contrasts the characteristics of market-cap weighted indices like the CSI 300, which do not inherently allow for strategic buying and selling, with the potential for institutional investors to reduce volatility through strategic actions [10]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the concept of fund advisory services, highlighting their role in addressing the issue where funds generate profits but investors do not benefit from them [4]. Group 1: Fund Advisory Services - Fund advisory services are designed to help investors achieve better returns by providing expert guidance [4][5]. - The article compares fund advisors to other professionals, such as doctors and lawyers, who provide specialized advice in their respective fields [6]. Group 2: Fund Types and Dividends - Not all funds are required to distribute dividends; some funds do, while others do not [8]. - Dividend-paying index funds are categorized into three main types: 1. Dividend index funds, which select stocks based on high dividend yields [10]. 2. Value style index funds, which focus on stocks with high dividend yields [12]. 3. Large-cap broad-based index funds, such as the CSI 300 and Hang Seng Index [13]. - The dividend yield from index funds is typically slightly lower than the index's overall dividend yield due to factors like dividend taxes and transaction costs [15].

Group 1 - The global stock and commodity markets experienced significant volatility this week, with a 1.5% decline in the global stock index and a 4% drop in the Nasdaq 100 index [3][4][5]. - Commodity prices also saw large fluctuations, with gold dropping by 10% and silver experiencing even larger declines [6][7]. - However, by Friday evening, global markets rebounded sharply, with the global stock index rising over 2% and commodities like gold and silver also increasing significantly [10][11][12]. Group 2 - The initial market volatility was attributed to concerns over the uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, especially following Trump's nomination of a hawkish candidate for the Fed [15][16]. - This uncertainty led to a tightening of liquidity, adversely affecting leveraged investors and growth-style stocks, which are sensitive to liquidity changes [17][23]. - The Fed's recent comments indicating a potential decrease in inflation helped alleviate short-term liquidity concerns, contributing to the market rebound on Friday [18][20][22]. Group 3 - The tightening of liquidity this year has been particularly unfavorable for leveraged investors and growth/small-cap stocks, leading to potential short-term volatility [23][24]. - Despite this, the Fed is expected to cut rates again in 2026, and there is currently ample liquidity in both USD and RMB markets [25][27]. - Attention should be paid to the trends in USD interest rates in the second half of the year, as the Fed's rate cycle typically lasts 3-5 years [28][30]. Group 4 - A star rating chart for the global stock market indicates that the market was undervalued in previous years (2018, 2020, 2022) and has recently returned to a rating of around 4.1-4.2 stars after a significant drop in April 2025 [32]. - Currently, the global stock index is rated around 2.9 stars, suggesting it is not particularly cheap [32]. - The star rating system indicates that a 4-5 star rating represents relatively low valuation, while a 1-2 star rating indicates a high valuation [33]. Group 5 - There are global stock index funds available in overseas markets, with a total scale exceeding one trillion USD, but there are currently no such funds available in mainland China [35]. - The company has launched a "Global Index Advisory Portfolio" that diversifies investments across various stock markets, including US, UK, Hong Kong, and A-shares [36]. - Interested investors can engage with the advisory service to simulate similar investment effects [37][39]. Group 6 - The new book "Dividend Index Fund Investment Guide" has been released and quickly topped sales charts on platforms like JD.com [41]. - This book aims to address common questions about dividend products and is designed to be accessible for beginners, allowing for quick reading and understanding [43][44].

文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 过这种级别的伏迟上冻。 (1) 2024年9月最后两周 大盘上涨40%。 也创下了A股最近10年最快上涨纪录。 (2) 2025年三季度的几周 大盘上涨20%。 其中创业板单季度上涨50%，创下最近 10年最大单季度涨幅。 (3) 2025年12月下旬到1月下旬 大盘上涨15%。 中小盘股领涨。中证500上涨27%，时 隔10年再次达到高估。 并且随着估值提升，每一波上涨的幅度 也逐渐缩水。 5点几星大盘上涨最猛烈，4点几星就少 风险提示 基金投资组合策略过往业绩并不预示其未来表现 为其他客户创造的收益并不构成业绩表现的保证 ▼点击阅读原 文，免费学习大额家庭资产配置课程 本文仅为信息分享，不构成任何投资建议。市场有风险，投资需谨慎 。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the rapid development of dividend indices in China, driven by a low interest rate environment, and highlights the investment strategy of buying undervalued stocks and holding them for dividends [4][5]. Group 1: Dividend Index Performance - The historical performance of dividend indices, such as the CSI Dividend and the Hong Kong-Shenzhen Dividend Low Volatility Index, shows a "slow bull" market trend with annualized returns exceeding the average returns of the A-share market [6][8]. - From early 2020 to the present, the CSI Dividend Index has an annualized return of 9.1%, while the Hong Kong-Shenzhen Dividend Low Volatility Index has an annualized return of 11.31% [9][11]. - Dividend indices exhibit clear phases of performance, with underperformance during growth-style bull markets and relative stability during bear markets [12][14]. Group 2: Sources of Dividend Index Returns - The returns from dividend indices can be broken down into three main sources: earnings growth, valuation improvement, and dividend income [15][34]. - Earnings growth is a crucial long-term return source, as companies in dividend indices are typically established leaders in their industries with stable earnings [18][20]. - Valuation improvement occurs when stocks are bought at low price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) ratios, leading to potential gains as valuations normalize [22][24]. - Dividend income significantly contributes to overall returns, with dividends accounting for about one-third of the long-term returns of the Hong Kong-Shenzhen Dividend Low Volatility Index [30]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - The recommended investment strategy for dividend indices is to buy undervalued stocks and hold them to benefit from both capital appreciation and dividend income [39]. - The article also notes that the optimization of index rules over the past decade has improved long-term returns by excluding high-leverage or unstable dividend stocks [41].

文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 很多投资者都是从投资指数基金开始自己的投资之路的。 但是怎样投资指数基金，才能获得好收益？ 这里有一门限时免费的福利课程，介绍了指数基金的投资技巧。 想要获取这个课程，可以添加下方「课程小助手」，回复「 指数基金 」领取哦～ 更有课程笔记、思维导图，帮您快速搞懂课程脉络，学习更高效。 ◆◆◆ ///////// 银行螺丝钉 2013年，A股上市公司盈利下滑，A股整 体也在5点几星的熊市。 2014年下半年,开始了各种刺激政策, 人民币利率也大幅下降。市场开始大幅 上涨，第一波领涨的品种是证券。 2015年上半年，市场风格切换。第二波 领涨的品种，变成了小盘、成长风格， 最终涨到百倍市盈率以上。2015年6 月，也出现了1星级泡沫估值。 随后2015年下半年，因为小盘估值太 高，市场出现快速下跌，指数腰斩。 2015年上半年上涨不多的价值风格，也 跟随下跌。在2015年底，价值风格估值 相对较低。 2016-2017年，基本面开始恢复。2017 年是最近10年，A股上市公司盈利增长 速度最快的一年。 在经济景气的推动下，2016-2017年第 三波上涨，变成价值风格领涨。 ...