文/曹萌 分析今年前四个月我国钢材出口量，1-4月累计出口3789万吨，同比增加8.2%；出口钢坯334万 吨，同比增 长 292%，整体处于历史最高水平。陈为昌表示，旺盛的出口背后是国内需求下滑后钢 铁产能相对过剩的无奈选择。 从找钢网6月终端需求调研分析报告获悉，随着高温雨季的临近，钢材市场逐步进入到传统消费淡 季，而在5月各钢材品种需求量环比4月均有所下降的情况下，预计6月采购量仍将进一步环比下滑， 其中热卷、冷镀、中板、建材预期分别下降8.4%、7.2%、5.0%、10.6%。 为了所谓的保护本国钢铁行业的公平竞争，美国政府再次举起了关税大棒。而对于美国政府此次上调 进口钢铁和铝及其衍生制品关税给我国钢铁出口带来的影响，中辉期货研究院黑色板块负责人陈为昌 直言，影响相对有限。 陈为昌表示，由于之前美国根据《贸易扩展法》232条款及《贸易法》301条款，以所谓"国家安 全"、"芬太尼"等理由对我国输美钢铁产品加征了约50%的关税，而我国对美国钢材的直接出口，以 及转口贸易量均不高，综合来看， 虽然美国钢铁关税大幅提高，但对我国钢材出口的影响并不明 显。 数据显示，2024年，美国进口钢材总计2623万吨 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article argues that the concept of "consumption-driven" growth does not exist in the context of China's long-term economic strategy, which has historically been "investment-driven" [2][3][4]. Group 1: Investment vs. Consumption - The discussion on whether China's growth should be "investment-driven" or "consumption-driven" is fundamentally about long-term economic growth versus short-term macroeconomic adjustments [2][3]. - There is no theoretical basis for claiming that consumption can be a primary driver of economic growth; rather, investment is essential for sustained growth [4][5]. - Empirical studies indicate a negative correlation between consumption expenditure and economic growth, emphasizing the importance of investment in driving GDP [3][4]. Group 2: Relationship Between Consumption and Investment - Consumption and investment are not mutually exclusive; they represent choices between current and future consumption [6][7]. - High savings rates in East Asian countries, including China, have contributed to economic miracles, highlighting the importance of investment for growth [6][7]. - The current economic challenge in China is characterized by significant income inequality, as indicated by a high Gini coefficient, which affects overall consumption levels [6][9]. Group 3: Addressing Consumption Demand - The Gini coefficient in China has shown fluctuations, with a peak of 0.491 in 2008, indicating a high level of income inequality that needs to be addressed to enhance consumption [9][10]. - To achieve the economic growth target of 5% for the year, measures to stimulate consumption are crucial, especially given that consumption accounts for nearly 60% of GDP [10][11]. - Proposed measures to boost consumption include issuing consumption vouchers, reducing personal income tax, and reforming the social security system [10][12]. Group 4: Infrastructure Investment as a Catalyst - Infrastructure investment is identified as a key driver for increasing income and, consequently, consumption, creating a virtuous cycle of economic growth [14][20]. - The article suggests that the government should focus on infrastructure projects that can stimulate demand and improve potential economic growth [20][21]. - There is a significant potential for public investment in infrastructure, estimated at around 31 trillion yuan over the next five years, which can support various sectors, including telecommunications [20][21].

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Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the rapid growth and market dominance of Yingshi Innovation (Insta360) in the panoramic camera sector, emphasizing its innovative approach and successful IPO journey amidst competitive challenges in the industry [3][28]. Group 1: Company Overview - Yingshi Innovation (688775.SH) has a market capitalization of 17 billion yuan and a subscription rate of 0.0355% for its IPO [3]. - The company is recognized as a leader in the panoramic camera market, holding a global market share of 81.7% in 2024, significantly outpacing competitors like Ricoh and GoPro [6][7]. - The company's revenue projections show substantial growth, with expected revenues of 20.41 billion yuan in 2022, 36.36 billion yuan in 2023, and 55.74 billion yuan in 2024 [11]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The global panoramic camera market is projected to grow from 3.2 billion yuan in 2020 to 6.61 billion yuan by 2025, with China's market expanding from 680 million yuan to 1.39 billion yuan in the same period [9]. - The popularity of Vlogging and extreme sports among young consumers has driven demand for panoramic cameras, with innovative features attracting a dedicated user base [8][9]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Yingshi Innovation has expanded its product line to include action cameras and AI gimbals, targeting both consumer and professional markets [20]. - The company faces increasing competition from established players like DJI, which is entering the panoramic camera market with its own products [35][36]. - The international market contributes over 70% of Yingshi's revenue, highlighting the importance of global sales amidst domestic competition [29][32]. Group 4: IPO Journey - Yingshi Innovation's IPO process has faced multiple challenges since its initial application in October 2020, including regulatory scrutiny and compliance issues [22][24]. - After overcoming these hurdles, the company successfully listed on the STAR Market in February 2025, marking a significant milestone in its growth trajectory [27]. - The founder, Liu Jingkang, has emphasized the company's strong performance and contributions to the local economy during the IPO process, despite facing criticism for his approach [25][26].

文/曹萌 6月3日，以收盘价计算，国际金价年内已完成了22次刷新历史新高，而这一数据目前却仍定格在四 月中旬。 瞿瑞认为，一方面，当前，全球地缘政治风险常态化、经济贸易局势不确定性升高、美元信用弱化， 在此新形势下，国际金价有可能在相当长一段时间内易涨难跌。这意味着从控制成本角度出发暂停增 持黄金的必要性下降，而从优化国际储备结构以及避险角度增持黄金的需求上 升 。另一方面，我国 国 际 储 备 中 的 黄 金 储 备 占 比 偏 低 ， 截 至 2025 年 4 月 ， 我 国 官 方 国 际 储 备 资 产 中 黄 金 的 占 比 为 6.78%，明显低于15%左右的全球平均水平。央行增持黄金能够增强主权货币的信用，为推进人民 币国际化创造有利条件。 此外，夏莹莹也表示，自2024年11月我国央行恢复购金以来，月度购金量相较于2022年年底及 2023年时明显降低，这或与金价持续快速上涨有关。但在全球"去美元化"大背景下，美债偿债能力 下降，信用评级下滑，将推动我国央行延续当前增持黄金储备趋势。 （TACO原本是一种墨西哥的食物，脆皮卷饼。但文中TACO是Trump Always Chickens Out ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid growth of the pet-friendly accommodation market in China, driven by the increasing number of pet owners and their desire to travel with their pets, highlighting the evolving consumer behavior and market dynamics in the pet economy [3][5][10]. Market Growth and Trends - By 2024, the number of pet owners in urban China is expected to exceed 76 million, with pet ownership penetration rising from 13% in 2019 to 23.54% [5]. - The pet economy is projected to reach a market size of over 300 billion yuan in 2024, with the pet accommodation segment alone estimated to be around 10 billion yuan [5][10]. - The demand for pet-friendly hotels surged during the Dragon Boat Festival, with bookings for such accommodations increasing by over 20% year-on-year, and average room rates being nearly 30% higher than regular hotels [5][6]. Competitive Landscape - Major hotel chains like Marriott, Hilton, and InterContinental are increasingly offering pet-friendly services as a competitive differentiator, with some brands reporting a 23% year-on-year increase in pet-related bookings [7][8]. - The market is becoming more competitive with the entry of various players, including chain hotels, chain homestays, and small-scale inns, leading to a standardization of pricing models for pet-friendly services [8][11]. Consumer Behavior - Young consumers, particularly those born in the 1990s and 2000s, are driving the trend of traveling with pets, viewing them as emotional companions [5][8]. - A shift towards rational consumption is evident, with 36% of pet owners prioritizing cost-effective products and 38% focusing on practical features [10]. Challenges and Opportunities - The hotel industry is facing pressure with an average occupancy rate of 58.8% and a decline in average room prices, prompting a strategic pivot towards pet-friendly services to capture high-margin customer segments [7][9]. - Despite the growth potential, the market is also witnessing challenges from low-quality entrants that compromise service standards, which could harm the overall reputation of pet-friendly accommodations [11].

图源： SuperCLUE 《中文大模型基准测评2025年5月报告》 安全双认证 ， 打造企业级AI的"可信底座" 除技术性能领先外，Nebula Coder-V6率先通过国家级权威安全认证，成为业内少数拥有"双安全 认证"的大模型产品 。 2025年，全球AI大模型竞赛进入白热化阶段。中文大模型测评基准SuperCLUE最新发布的 《中文 大模型基准测评2025年5月报告》 显示：中兴通讯自主研发的星云大模型Nebula Coder-V6在竞 争激烈的推理专项榜单中强势摘金， 总分并列第一 ，同时在综合总榜中斩获银牌（并列第二），彰 显了中兴通讯在AI核心赛道的前沿创新实力。 图源： SuperCLUE 《中文大模型基准测评2025年5月报告》 推理能力登顶 ， 数学与科学逻辑的"双优生" SuperCLUE推理榜单深度聚焦模型的逻辑思维与问题解决能力，涵盖数学推理、科学推理、代码生 成三大硬核维度。Nebula Coder-V6以总分67.4的优异成绩 登顶 ，其细分表现 也非常 亮眼：数 学推理 62.39分 ， 在全部测评模型中高居第三，超越OpenAI o4-mini、谷歌Gemini 2.5 Pr ...

Core Viewpoint - The valuation advantage of the Chinese capital market is increasingly becoming a focal point for global investors, with A-shares and Hong Kong stocks currently at historically low valuation levels, providing attractive opportunities for investors to share in the growth dividends of quality Chinese enterprises [1][2]. Valuation Levels - The Shanghai Composite Index has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of only 12.6 times, which is less than half of the S&P 500 index and significantly lower than other major international indices like the Nikkei 225 and the DAX [1]. - As of May 26, foreign ownership of A-shares reached 1,274.85 billion shares, with a market value of 2.33 trillion yuan, accounting for approximately 2.95% of the circulating A-share market value and 2.33% of the total market capitalization [2]. Foreign Capital Attraction - Despite the valuation advantages, the actual attraction of A-shares to foreign capital has not been as strong as expected, with the proportion of foreign capital in the A-share market declining [2]. - The need for improved institutional frameworks to protect investor interests and combat illegal activities is crucial for retaining foreign capital [4][17]. Market Dynamics - The ongoing trade tensions and the restructuring of global supply chains may influence foreign capital allocation towards Chinese assets, but the trend of capital flowing from the U.S. to A-shares and Hong Kong stocks is becoming more pronounced [8][9]. - The Chinese asset market is currently undergoing a correction from severe undervaluation towards a more reasonable valuation, with expectations of recovery in valuations throughout the year [5][9]. Policy and Market Measures - To stabilize foreign capital holdings, it is essential to enhance institutional frameworks and ensure investor protection, particularly against financial fraud and misconduct [17]. - The internationalization of the RMB is accelerating, with more countries opting for RMB settlements in trade with China, which could further promote capital market openness [14]. Investment Opportunities - The current valuation of A-shares and Hong Kong stocks is approximately one-third of that of U.S. stocks, indicating a favorable investment opportunity for international investors [18].

以下文章来源于和讯商业 ，作者徐帅 商业世界的故事、逻辑、认知。由"和讯商业"团队出品。 最近，长城和比亚迪又隔空撕起来了。 这实在不是新鲜事，二者的口水战已经连更了不知道多少集，骂战的信息量和含金量也向来比较有 限，但此次，魏建军一句 "现在汽车产业里边的恒大已经存在了，只不过是没爆而已"，瞬间引爆舆 论。 实际上，如果看完整个采访过程，就会理解魏建军抛出 "汽车产业恒大论"的实质，是对激进扩张模 式潜在风险的警示。其担忧并非空穴来风，当企业过度依赖资本运作而非技术造血，沉迷市值管理而 忽视盈利质量，确实可能重蹈高杠杆扩张的覆辙。 但如果只看剪辑片段，很容易认为魏建军是在攻击比亚迪。毕竟打折促销、激进扩张等标签确实在比 亚迪和恒大身上都有出现。 不过，一家销量遥遥领先的新能源绝对巨头，竟被置于与恒大同等的审视框架下，寻找其 "爆雷"的 蛛丝马迹，这本身就折射出市场和舆论对其的不满与疑虑。 而这份疑虑，在 5 月 23 日比亚迪宣布 王朝网、海洋网共计 22 款智驾版车型加入降价阵营时，被推向了高潮。 这或许是一道分水岭，如果说在此之外，新能源产业需要比亚迪以凌厉的价格战重塑市场，给行业带 来更多可能性，那么 ...

文/高歌 李力是一家贸易企业的负责人，他的公司位于华南区域，主营业务是向美国等发达经济体市场出口消 费电子产品。不同于To B企业对于关税的敏感度，李力感觉关税摩擦对于他所在的公司影响有限。 5月23日，李力表示：" 关税 在我们的成本中只占一小部分 ， B端的模式是国外的人来这里大批量 采购货物，再分销给小B，关税提升会有一定的影响，我们是直接做C端的，影响不大。" 李力拆解了成本构成：运费、采购成本、关税以及美国当地的物流费用。其中关税并不占据绝大部 分。 目前关税价格尚未体现在产品的终端售价上，并且在可预期的未来，他所在的行业短时间内关 税提升的价格也不会显现在同类产品的价格之上，除非头部企业开始提价。 40天前，美所谓"对等关税"引发贸易震荡，美对华关税在短时间内接连攀升，一度高达145%。随 后中美日内瓦经贸会谈的落定为此轮关税摩擦摁下暂缓键。 5月12日公布的联合声明显示，美方承诺尽快取消4月8日和9日对华加征的91%非理性高额关税，同 时将34%所谓"对等关税"中24%的部分暂缓90天。 下一步中美经贸谈判迎来缓冲期。 李力在过去一个月的时间中在外贸一线亲历上述转变，他只觉得一切都"太快了"。他 ...