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特朗普忘了初心
日经中文网· 2025-07-25 02:48
"在我的指示下,日本将向美国投资5500亿美元,美国将获得90%的利益。这是历史上最大规模的对日 交易",美国总统特朗普7月22日如此表示,对日本征收的对等关税税率降低到了15%。 根据此次协议,日本方面承诺通过政策性金融设置最高5500亿美元的资金额度,扩大对美直接投资。 美国商务部长卢特尼克7月23日就日美达成协议一事表示:"日本成了银行家",称"这是一种当美国想建 制药厂或半导体工厂时,由日本解决资金的机制"。他还表示,日美达成协议将成为美国与欧盟(EU) 等进行谈判的范例。日美贸易谈判在不知不觉之间演变成了对美投资谈判。 特朗普4月2日在总统令明确指出:"巨额贸易逆差是对美国的非同寻常的威胁,我宣布美国进入国家紧 急状态,将征收额外关税",就启动关税给出的法律依据是贸易逆差对美国构成威胁。 河浪武史:日美关税谈判达成了协议。"日本成了银行家","这是一种当美国想建制药厂或半导体工厂 时,由日本解决资金的机制"。特朗普4月2日发动关税战的理由是:巨额贸易逆差是对美国的非同寻常 的威胁…… 河浪武史: 日美关税谈判7月22日达成协议。金融市场以股价上涨来回应,经济界也普遍感到安心。接 近100天的谈判反映 ...
日美围绕关税协议的细节说明有出入
日经中文网· 2025-07-25 02:48
美国政府公布的协议概要文件中提到:"从日本进口的商品适用15%的基本关税率",但没有写明适用日 期。 特朗普政府公布了日美关税谈判协议概要,但并未写明15%对等关税等的适用日期。对于日本扩大美国 产大米进口,美方提到"将立即增加75%",但日本农相小泉表示"不是一个固定的框架"。关于购买防卫 装备,日方称"协议中不包括防卫费相关内容"…… 美国特朗普政府7月23日公布了日美关税谈判的协议概要。关于适用日期和对美投资框架,美方与日本 的说明存在很多出入或不明确之处。如果留下含糊其辞的内容,将对企业经营产生负面影响。日本政府 计划最快在下周公布汇总日美共识的文件,与此同时,努力向日本国内进行通俗易懂地说明也是当务之 急。 "15%的对等关税估计于8月1日生效",负责谈判的日本经济财政兼再生相赤泽亮正7月24日在东京羽田 机场对记者表示。日美双方针对将原计划从10%上调至25%的对等关税降至15%一事达成协议。关于从 总计27.5%降至15%的汽车关税,赤泽表示"希望尽快实施"。日本政府相关人士24日还提出看法称"将比 对等关税稍晚"。 日本称防卫装备不包括在内 关于日本扩大美国产大米进口,美方的文件提到"将立即增 ...
买不起东京的亿元房,部分日本消费者转向租房
日经中文网· 2025-07-25 02:48
Core Viewpoint - Rising property prices in Tokyo have led some Japanese consumers to shift from purchasing homes to renting, indicating a significant change in housing market dynamics [1] Group 1: Market Trends - Tokyo's real estate market has seen a surge in prices, making it increasingly difficult for consumers to afford homes, particularly properties priced at one billion yen [1] - The trend of renting over buying is becoming more prevalent among consumers, reflecting a broader shift in housing preferences [1] Group 2: Consumer Behavior - A portion of the population is opting for rental properties as a more feasible alternative to home ownership, highlighting changing attitudes towards long-term investments in real estate [1] - This shift may influence future demand in the rental market, potentially leading to increased rental prices and changes in rental property availability [1]
“倒石破”动向加强,首相更迭不可避免?
日经中文网· 2025-07-24 08:06
由于参议院选举惨败,自民党内部发起了旨在推翻内阁的签名活动。在野党与未赢得国民信任的石破政 权保持距离。包括扩大执政联盟来打破少数派执政党局面在内的磋商也无法推进…… 在日本政坛,针对首相石破茂的包围圈收紧。由于参议院选举惨败,自民党内部发起了旨在推翻内阁的 签名活动。在野党与未赢得国民信任的石破政权保持距离。包括扩大执政联盟来打破少数派执政党局面 在内的磋商也无法推进。政权运营的难度加大,政治将陷入停滞。 "总裁应该立即辞职""应该严肃承担起选举结果的责任"。7月23日,自民党与46个都道府县的青年局干 部召开了线上会议,会上接连出现要求石破卸任的声音。 永田町(注:日本政治机构聚集地)的"倒石破"动向也在扩大。隶属于自民党原茂木派的国会议员们23 日前已开始收集要求召开参众两院议员大会的签名。原安倍派也在推进签名活动的准备工作。 只要有超过三分之一的自民党所属议员赞成,就可以召开议员大会。如果召开议员大会,预计会呼吁进 行总裁选举,以选出新的领导人。 石破下台的局面被认为不可避免,但签名收集工作仍在继续。参与签名活动的一位国会议员解释 称,"这是为了提前做好准备,以便在石破首相不辞职的情况下,能够立即召开 ...
美阿拉斯加LNG项目加快建设,期待日韩参与
日经中文网· 2025-07-24 08:06
Core Viewpoint - The Alaska LNG project, initiated by the Trump administration, aims to produce approximately 20 million tons of LNG annually, which accounts for about 30% of Japan's LNG demand, and seeks investment and procurement from countries like Japan and South Korea [1][5]. Group 1: Project Overview - The Alaska LNG project is expected to have a total investment of approximately $44 billion, with a pipeline construction cost estimated at $11 billion, which represents one-fourth of the total investment [5]. - The project will transport natural gas from the northern gas fields to the southern part of Alaska via a pipeline approximately 1,300 kilometers long, followed by liquefaction on the Pacific side [5]. - The project aims to achieve commercialization by 2025 and plans to start pipeline construction by 2028, which is 2-3 years ahead of the LNG plant [5][6]. Group 2: Investment and Partnerships - Glenfarne Alaska LNG, the project developer, is contributing 75% of the funding, while the Alaska Gasline Development Corporation is contributing 25% [3]. - Asian countries, in light of tariff negotiations with the U.S., have expressed intentions to invest in and procure Alaska LNG, with Thailand's PTT planning to purchase 2 million tons annually over the next 20 years and Taiwan's CPC agreeing to purchase 600,000 tons annually [5][6]. - Glenfarne has indicated that they have preliminary agreements for the sale of 10 million tons annually, which is half of the project's planned capacity [7]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Challenges - The project faces challenges related to pipeline construction and rising material costs due to inflation, but efforts are being made to reduce costs without significant increases [5]. - The initial phase of the pipeline will supply natural gas to the Anchorage metropolitan area, addressing local shortages and paving the way for further development of the liquefaction plant [6]. - There is optimism regarding participation from Japanese and South Korean companies, as well as interest from the UAE, which is investing in U.S. LNG projects [6].
美方公布协议概要,日本采购80亿美元美国农产品
日经中文网· 2025-07-24 08:06
Group 1 - Japan will immediately increase imports of U.S. rice by 75% under the zero-tariff minimum market access framework, with a total import volume reaching approximately 600,000 tons [1][3] - Japan has agreed to purchase $8 billion worth of U.S. agricultural products, including soybeans, corn, fertilizers, bioethanol, and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) [4] - The agreement emphasizes the importance of the U.S.-Japan alliance as a cornerstone for peace in the Indo-Pacific region and a driver for global growth and technological innovation [2] Group 2 - The U.S. government has highlighted a $550 billion investment commitment from Japan, focusing on strategic sectors such as energy infrastructure, semiconductor manufacturing, critical minerals, pharmaceuticals, and shipbuilding [2] - Japan will simplify certification procedures for U.S. cars deemed safe, allowing for easier market entry for American automotive products [3] - Japan has committed to purchasing U.S. military equipment and has plans to buy dozens of U.S. defense systems annually, alongside a commitment to purchase 100 Boeing aircraft [4]
日元与美元在走向“双输”?
日经中文网· 2025-07-24 02:24
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential depreciation of the Japanese yen and the U.S. dollar due to economic concerns, highlighting a shift in market focus from Japan's fiscal issues to the economic outlook of the U.S. [1][4] Group 1: Japanese Yen and U.S. Dollar Dynamics - The recent Japanese Senate election results have led to predictions of significant yen depreciation and further dollar appreciation, yet the forex market remains calm [1][3] - There is a historical correlation between the interest rate differential between Japan and the U.S. and the yen's exchange rate, with a tendency for yen depreciation when the differential widens [3] - Despite the yen weakening to around 149 yen per dollar, market participants predict a stabilization around 140 yen per dollar by year-end, indicating a potential reversal in yen appreciation [3][4] Group 2: Economic Policies and Market Sentiment - Trump's economic policies, including tariffs and tax cuts, may increase domestic inflationary pressures and contribute to concerns about the U.S. economic outlook [4] - Investment funds are shifting from the yen and dollar towards the euro, with the euro seen as a safer option amid signs of recovery in the German economy [4][5] - The Japanese government's recent economic outlook indicates a deterioration for the first time in nearly five years, complicating governance as the ruling party loses majority control [5]
特朗普:在不远的将来将访问中国
日经中文网· 2025-07-24 02:24
在第一任特朗普政府时期,双方曾在就任首年互访。2017年4月,习近平在特朗普就任三个月后访问美 国,并在特朗普位于佛罗里达州的私人宅邸进行会谈。特朗普则于当年11月首次访华。 日本经济新闻(中文版:日经中文网)坂口幸裕 华盛顿 版权声明:日本经济新闻社版权所有,未经授权不得转载或部分复制,违者必究。 美国总统特朗普(资料图,Reuters) 有报道称中美正在就特朗普预计于今年下半年进行的亚洲访问期间安排会谈进行协商。有可能在10月底 于韩国召开的亚太经济合作组织(APEC)领导人会议前后访问中国。也有借此会议期间在当地进行会 谈的方案…… 美国总统特朗普7月22日透露,已接到中国国家主席习近平的邀请访问中国,并表示:"不久的将来会进 行访问。" 在白宫首次与菲律宾总统马科斯举行会谈前,记者就访华时间进行了提问。特朗普表示:"受到了习近 平主席的访华邀请,也收到了许多国家的邀请,近期将做出决定",但并未触及具体时间。 路透社21日报道称,中美正在就特朗普预计于今年下半年进行的亚洲访问期间安排会谈进行协商。 有可能在10月底于韩国召开的亚太经济合作组织(APEC)领导人会议前后访问中国。也有借此会议期 间在当地进 ...
“后石破”人选正伺机而动
日经中文网· 2025-07-24 02:24
Group 1 - The article discusses the political landscape in Japan, focusing on the potential resignation of Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba and the emergence of candidates for the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) leadership, including Shinjiro Koizumi, Takashi Kobayashi, Sanae Takaichi, and Yoshifumi Hayashi as potential successors [1][2] - The dynamics within the LDP are influenced by the party's minority status in both houses of the Diet, making the relationship with opposition parties crucial for any new leadership [3][4] - The article highlights the importance of the opposition parties' movements, noting that if they unite, they could potentially elect their own prime minister, complicating the LDP's path to maintaining power [3][4] Group 2 - Candidates like Takashi Kobayashi, who has a background in the Ministry of Finance and is seen as a hope for the younger generation, are actively engaging with party members to discuss the implications of the recent Senate election results [2] - Sanae Takaichi is also engaging with key party figures, including former Prime Minister Taro Aso, whose support could significantly influence the outcome of the presidential election [2] - The article mentions that if Ishiba announces his resignation in August, the LDP may hold a presidential election before autumn, which would lead to a nomination vote in the Diet [2]
FT中文网精选:外卖大战中的赢家和输家
日经中文网· 2025-07-24 02:24
Group 1 - The current consumer landscape is characterized by experienced consumers who have become adept at taking advantage of promotional offers, particularly in the context of the recent intense competition in the food delivery sector [3][4]. - The recent food delivery competition has been labeled "epic," largely due to the extensive and accessible nature of promotional offers, with Alibaba reportedly investing 50 billion yuan in subsidies for its Taobao flash sales [4]. - The prevalence of promotional tactics, such as "0 yuan purchase" offers, has attracted even non-regular consumers, indicating a significant shift in consumer behavior driven by incentives [4].