Core Viewpoint - The report tracks the performance of various active quantitative strategies by GuoXin JinGong, focusing on their ability to outperform the median returns of actively managed equity funds, with specific combinations showing varying degrees of success in absolute and relative returns [2][34]. Group 1: Performance Overview - The "Excellent Fund Performance Enhancement Portfolio" achieved an absolute return of 0.50% this week and 1.70% year-to-date, ranking in the 52.15 percentile among active equity funds [1][12]. - The "Super Expected Selection Portfolio" recorded an absolute return of 0.76% this week and 9.01% year-to-date, ranking in the 16.23 percentile among active equity funds [1][13]. - The "Brokerage Golden Stock Performance Enhancement Portfolio" had an absolute return of 0.53% this week and 6.00% year-to-date, ranking in the 26.78 percentile among active equity funds [1][23]. - The "Growth and Stability Portfolio" achieved an absolute return of 1.80% this week and 16.36% year-to-date, ranking in the 4.81 percentile among active equity funds [1][24]. Group 2: Strategy Descriptions - The "Excellent Fund Performance Enhancement Portfolio" is constructed by benchmarking against actively managed equity funds, utilizing quantitative methods to enhance performance based on the holdings of top-performing funds [4][35]. - The "Super Expected Selection Portfolio" selects stocks based on exceeding expectations and analyst upgrades, focusing on both fundamental and technical criteria to build a portfolio of stocks with strong support [9][39]. - The "Brokerage Golden Stock Performance Enhancement Portfolio" is based on a selection of stocks from brokerage recommendations, optimizing the portfolio to minimize deviations from the brokerage stock pool [18][44]. - The "Growth and Stability Portfolio" employs a two-dimensional evaluation system for growth stocks, prioritizing those with upcoming earnings announcements to capture potential excess returns [22][49]. Group 3: Year-to-Date Performance Comparisons - The "Excellent Fund Performance Enhancement Portfolio" has a year-to-date return of 1.70%, while the benchmark index has a return of 3.68% [6][36]. - The "Super Expected Selection Portfolio" has a year-to-date return of 9.01%, outperforming the benchmark index by 5.32% [14][40]. - The "Brokerage Golden Stock Performance Enhancement Portfolio" has a year-to-date return of 6.00%, exceeding the benchmark index by 2.31% [20][48]. - The "Growth and Stability Portfolio" has a year-to-date return of 16.36%, significantly outperforming the benchmark index by 12.68% [25][50].

Group 1: Market Trends and Highs - The report tracks stocks, industries, and sectors reaching new highs, serving as market indicators and highlighting the effectiveness of momentum and trend-following strategies [1][4] - As of May 16, 2025, the distance to the 250-day new high for major indices is as follows: Shanghai Composite Index at 3.50%, Shenzhen Component Index at 11.44%, CSI 300 at 8.62%, CSI 500 at 9.71%, CSI 1000 at 8.22%, CSI 2000 at 5.97%, ChiNext Index at 20.03%, and STAR Market 50 Index at 11.68% [5][24] Group 2: High-Performing Stocks - A total of 544 stocks reached a 250-day new high in the past 20 trading days, with the highest numbers in the basic chemical, machinery, and pharmaceutical sectors, totaling 81, 64, and 43 stocks respectively [2][13] - The highest proportion of new high stocks is found in the banking, transportation, and defense industries, with respective proportions of 64.29%, 20.33%, and 17.65% [13][26] Group 3: Sector Analysis - The manufacturing and cyclical sectors had the most stocks reaching new highs this week, with 174 and 157 stocks respectively, while the consumer, technology, pharmaceutical, and financial sectors had 68, 67, 43, and 32 stocks respectively [16] - The proportion of new high stocks in various indices includes: CSI 2000 at 10.05%, CSI 1000 at 7.80%, CSI 500 at 7.40%, CSI 300 at 10.33%, ChiNext Index at 5.00%, and STAR Market 50 Index at 6.00% [16][26] Group 4: Stable High-Performing Stocks - The report identifies 47 stable high-performing stocks, including Shuanglin Co., Wanchen Group, and Zhongchong Co., with the majority from the manufacturing and consumer sectors, totaling 17 and 11 stocks respectively [3][21] - The automotive industry leads in the manufacturing sector for new highs, while the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry leads in the consumer sector [21]

Core Viewpoint - The article analyzes the changes in private equity fund holdings based on the top ten shareholders and circulation shareholders data, revealing significant shifts in industry focus and stock positions among private equity managers in Q1 2025. Private Equity Fund Holdings Industry Changes - In Q1 2025, the electronics, pharmaceuticals, and basic chemicals sectors saw the highest number of stocks entering the top ten list by private equity managers, with counts of 18, 12, and 11 respectively [3] - Compared to Q4 2024, there was a notable increase in stocks from the electronics, power equipment and new energy, and steel sectors, while private equity managers withdrew from the basic chemicals, machinery, and defense industries [3] Private Equity Managers' Stock Adjustments - The top 20 stocks with the highest increase in private equity fund holdings were predominantly in the electronics, power equipment and new energy, and basic chemicals sectors. Notable stocks included Guoci Materials, Daili New Materials, and Songji Shares [6] - Conversely, the top 20 stocks with the largest decrease in holdings were also concentrated in the electronics, basic chemicals, and pharmaceuticals sectors, with significant reductions in holdings for stocks like BeiJi ShenZhou-U and Shengyi Technology [8] Private Equity Managers' Sample Pool - The analysis included private equity managers with a focus on stock strategies, managing over 10 billion, and having at least three stocks in the top ten list during both Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 [2] Individual Manager Adjustments - Manager Renqiao increased holdings in stocks such as Xiaofang Pharmaceutical and Chengtou Holdings while reducing positions in Jingzhu Technology [9] - Manager YingShui raised stakes in stocks like Changyang Technology and Tianneng Heavy Industry, while decreasing holdings in stocks such as Fangbang Shares and Shangshi Development [11] - Manager Fengliu (Gaoyi Linshan No.1) increased holdings in Guoci Materials and Songji Shares, while reducing positions in Shengyi Technology and Haikang Vision [12] - Manager Gedong increased holdings in SuDa WeiGe while reducing stakes in Zhongzheng High-Tech and Si Rui Pu [14] - Manager Ningquan raised stakes in stocks like Feilida and Meichang Shares while reducing positions in Yangguang Lighting and Zhoubing Technology [16] - Manager Gao Yi reduced holdings in stocks like Senqi Lin and Yangnong Chemical [18]

Key Points - The article discusses the dividend progress of constituent stocks in major indices as of May 13, 2025, highlighting the number of companies in different stages of dividend announcements and distributions [1][3][8] - It provides a comparison of dividend yields across various industries, noting that coal, banking, and steel sectors have the highest yields [4] - The realized and remaining dividend yields for different indices are presented, with the Shanghai 50 Index having a realized yield of 0.12% and a remaining yield of 2.22% [6] - The article tracks the premium and discount of stock index futures, indicating that the IH main contract has an annualized premium of 0.34%, while the IF, IC, and IM contracts show significant discounts [1][3][17] Group 1: Dividend Progress of Constituent Stocks - As of May 13, 2025, in the Shanghai 50 Index, 37 companies are in the proposal stage, 4 in the decision stage, 0 in the implementation stage, 4 have paid dividends, and 4 do not pay dividends [1] - In the CSI 300 Index, 206 companies are in the proposal stage, 36 in the decision stage, 7 in the implementation stage, 23 have paid dividends, and 27 do not pay dividends [1] - The CSI 500 Index has 281 companies in the proposal stage, 97 in the decision stage, 17 in the implementation stage, 14 have paid dividends, and 91 do not pay dividends [1][8] - The CSI 1000 Index shows 505 companies in the proposal stage, 188 in the decision stage, 39 in the implementation stage, 43 have paid dividends, and 224 do not pay dividends [1][8] Group 2: Dividend Yield Comparison - The article presents the median dividend yields of stocks with disclosed dividend proposals, with coal, banking, and steel industries ranking the highest [4] - The realized dividend yields as of May 13, 2025, are 0.12% for the Shanghai 50 Index, 0.18% for the CSI 300 Index, 0.05% for the CSI 500 Index, and 0.07% for the CSI 1000 Index [6] Group 3: Stock Index Futures Premium and Discount Tracking - The article tracks the annualized premium and discount of stock index futures, with the IH main contract at a premium of 0.34%, while the IF, IC, and IM contracts show discounts of 4.15%, 13.18%, and 18.20% respectively [1][3][17] - The article emphasizes the importance of considering dividend impacts when calculating the premium and discount of stock index futures [2]

报 告 摘 要 一、 事件快评 5月7日，中国证监会公开印发《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》，主要从1）优化 主动管理权益类基金收费模式；2）强化基金公司与投资者的利益绑定；3）提升行业服 务投资者的能力；4）提高公募基金权益投资的规模和稳定性；5）一体推进强监管防风 险促高质量发展等五个方面出发提出了25条举措。 二、 公募改革新规下的机构潜在调仓行为分析 根据《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》的要求，业绩基准成为评价基金业绩与基金 管理人考核的重要参照指标，对基金未来的持仓起指引作用。 本文从行业与个股两个方面，测算公募基金相对各自基准的平均超低配权重以及超低配 总金额。总体来看，根据基金最新披露的2024年年报数据看， 公募基金超配金额较多的 中信一级行业为电子、机械、基础化工、电新、医药；低配金额较多的行业包括非银金 融、银行、电力及公用事业、建筑、煤炭等。 未来随着公募基金改革方案的落地，机构资金可能会在超低配的行业与个股间迁移流 动。 一 推行浮动管理费收取机制，强化基金公司收入与投资者利益联结 《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》（以下简称方案）对新设立的主动管理权益类基金大力推行基于业绩比较基 ...

Market Review - The A-share market showed a mixed performance last week, with the ChiNext Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and CSI 1000 Index leading gains at 3.27%, 2.29%, and 2.22% respectively, while the Sci-Tech 50, SME Index, and CSI 500 Index lagged behind with returns of -0.60%, 1.49%, and 1.60% respectively [6][14] - The total net withdrawal of funds through the central bank's reverse repos was 781.7 billion yuan, with 1.6178 trillion yuan maturing and a net open market injection of 836.1 billion yuan [22] - The People's Bank of China has been increasing its gold reserves for six consecutive months, with the official gold reserves reaching 73.77 million ounces as of April 2025, an increase of 70,000 ounces from March [9] Fund Performance - Last week, the performance of actively managed equity, flexible allocation, and balanced mixed funds was 1.22%, 1.01%, and 0.91% respectively. Year-to-date, alternative funds have shown the best performance with a median return of 5.45% [34][36] - The total net asset value of public funds remained above 32 trillion yuan for two consecutive months, standing at 32.22 trillion yuan as of March 2025, showing little change from February [12] Fund Issuance - A total of 15 new funds were established last week, with a total issuance scale of 6.345 billion yuan, a decrease from the previous week. Among these, 8 were passive index funds and 4 were enhanced index funds [4][45][46] - 40 new funds were reported for issuance last week, including various ETFs and FOFs, indicating an increase in the number of fund applications compared to the previous week [5][6] Regulatory Developments - On May 7, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) released an action plan to promote the high-quality development of public funds, addressing issues such as operational model optimization, industry evaluation system improvement, and risk management enhancement [7][8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is to track and analyze the performance of various index enhancement portfolios and the factors influencing stock selection across different indices [1][2][3]. Group 2 - The performance of the HuShen 300 index enhancement portfolio showed an excess return of 0.54% for the week and 2.44% year-to-date [5][19]. - The performance of the Zhongzheng 500 index enhancement portfolio indicated an excess return of 1.29% for the week and 4.77% year-to-date [5][21]. - The Zhongzheng 1000 index enhancement portfolio achieved an excess return of 1.67% for the week and 6.24% year-to-date [5][21]. - The Zhongzheng A500 index enhancement portfolio reported an excess return of 0.21% for the week and 5.19% year-to-date [5][25]. Group 3 - In the HuShen 300 component stocks, factors such as expected PEG, quarterly ROE, and quarterly EP performed well [6][4]. - In the Zhongzheng 500 component stocks, factors like three-month reversal, one-month reversal, and three-month turnover showed strong performance [6][8]. - For the Zhongzheng 1000 component stocks, one-month reversal, specificity, and three-month reversal were notable factors [6][10]. - In the Zhongzheng A500 index component stocks, three-month reversal, expected PEG, and expected EPTTM were effective factors [6][12]. - Among public fund heavy stocks, one-month reversal, three-month reversal, and expected PEG were the best-performing factors [6][14]. Group 4 - The public fund index enhancement products for HuShen 300 had a maximum excess return of 0.57%, a minimum of -0.34%, and a median of 0.05% for the week [19]. - The Zhongzheng 500 index enhancement products had a maximum excess return of 1.06%, a minimum of -0.28%, and a median of 0.25% for the week [21]. - The Zhongzheng 1000 index enhancement products reported a maximum excess return of 0.97%, a minimum of -0.55%, and a median of 0.23% for the week [21]. - The Zhongzheng A500 index enhancement products had a maximum excess return of 0.58%, a minimum of -0.49%, and a median of 0.02% for the week [25].

| 报 告 摘 要 | | --- | | 一、国信金工主动量化策略表现跟踪 | | 本周， 优秀基金业绩增强组合 绝对收益2.21%，相对偏股混合型基金指数超额收 | | 益1.14%。本年，优秀基金业绩增强组合绝对收益1.19%，相对偏股混合型基金指 | | 数超额收益-2.18%。 今年以来，优秀基金业绩增强组合在主动股基中排名53.24% | | 分位点（1847/3469）。 | | 本周， 超预期精选组合 绝对收益2.53%，相对偏股混合型基金指数超额收益 | | 1.46%。本年，超预期精选组合绝对收益8.18%，相对偏股混合型基金指数超额收 | | 益 4.81% 。 今 年 以 来 ， 超 预 期 精 选 组 合 在 主 动 股 基 中 排 名 17.79% 分 位 点 | | （617/3469）。 | | 本周， 券商金股业绩增强组合 绝对收益1.43%，相对偏股混合型基金指数超额收 | | 益0.37%。本年，券商金股业绩增强组合绝对收益5.43%，相对偏股混合型基金指 | | 数超额收益2.06%。 今年以来，券商金股业绩增强组合在主动股基中排名27.88% | | 分位点（967/ ...

Core Viewpoint - The article focuses on the analysis of companies that reported better-than-expected earnings in their Q1 2025 financial disclosures, highlighting the importance of analyst reports that indicate "earnings exceed expectations" as a comprehensive judgment based on both objective earnings data and subjective research tracking [1][30]. Q1 Financial Disclosure Situation - As of April 30, 2025, a total of 5,360 A-share companies had disclosed their Q1 2025 financial reports [2][30]. - Among different indices, the median year-on-year net profit growth rate for the CSI 300 index constituents was the highest at 6.41% [5][30]. - The technology sector reported a median year-on-year net profit growth rate of 8.20%, while the pharmaceutical sector had a negative growth rate of -4.01% [6][30]. - In terms of industry performance, non-bank financial, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishing, as well as steel sectors showed relatively high median year-on-year net profit growth rates [9][30]. - Hot concept indices with high public fund holdings, such as the semiconductor selection index and the national big fund index, reported median year-on-year net profit growth rates exceeding 20% [12][31]. Q1 Earnings Exceeding Expectations - The proportion of companies exceeding expectations in the CSI 300 index was the highest at 21.69% [20][31]. - The consumer sector had the highest proportion of companies exceeding expectations at 19.77% [21][31]. - In terms of specific industries, the home appliances, food and beverage, and agriculture sectors had a higher proportion of companies exceeding expectations [23][31]. - Among hot concept indices with high public fund holdings, the Moutai index, air energy heat pump index, and white goods selection index had a higher number of companies exceeding expectations [24][31]. - The representative ETF indices with a high proportion of companies exceeding expectations included the 800 consumer index, technology leaders, and the China Securities wine index [25][31]. - Selected companies that exceeded expectations based on their Q1 reports and analyst comments included Yara International, Juhua Co., and Dongpeng Beverage [27][31].

Core Viewpoint - The increasing acceptance of index investing among investors has led to a significant growth in the scale of index funds, reaching a total of 3.26 trillion yuan as of March 31, 2025 [1][8]. Index Predictions CSI 300 Index - Predictions indicate that seven stocks, including Guohang Airlines, Lingyi Technology, and Softcom Power, will be added to the CSI 300 Index, while seven stocks, such as Hualan Biological and 37 Interactive Entertainment, will be removed [2]. SSE 180 Index - Twelve stocks, including Yutong Bus and Shengyi Technology, are expected to be added to the SSE 180 Index, while twelve stocks, such as China Satellite and Zhangjiang Hi-Tech, are predicted to be removed [3]. SSE 50 Index - Four stocks, including AVIC Shenfei and China Aluminum, are forecasted to be added to the SSE 50 Index, while four stocks, such as Tongwei Co. and China Railway, are expected to be removed [4]. STAR 50 Index - It is predicted that Hengxuan Technology will be added to the STAR 50 Index, while Zhongfu Shenying will be removed [5]. CSI 500 Index - Fifty stocks, including GeKong Micro and HuaiBei Mining, are expected to be added to the CSI 500 Index, while fifty stocks, such as Goodway and Guangqi Technology, are predicted to be removed [6]. ChiNext Index - Eight stocks, including Changying Precision and Jiejie Micro, are forecasted to be added to the ChiNext Index, while eight stocks, such as Anke Bio and Dongfang Risheng, are expected to be removed [7].