Workflow
高毅资产管理
icon
Search documents
对话吴任昊:“伟大不能被计划”——当下的投资思考
高毅资产管理· 2025-03-07 06:08
Core Viewpoint - The global capital markets are expected to navigate through a period of differentiation and reversal in 2024, with A-shares driven primarily by valuation, while Hong Kong and Chinese concept stocks rely more on earnings support [3][5] Group 1: Market Strategies - In the face of a chaotic market, balanced allocation to hedge risks and focusing on individual stocks will be the core strategy for 2025 [3][5] - Strategic focus should be on truly strategic directions, while tactical approaches should concentrate resources on significant opportunities amidst differentiation [3][5] - The supply-side logic remains a crucial basis for identifying opportunities [3] Group 2: Global Industry Transformation - AI is identified as a core driver of global industrial transformation, with hardware and software mutually reinforcing each other, albeit at different paces [3][11] - AI is expected to profoundly change production and daily life, necessitating a focus on global internet/software exploration and efficiency optimization investments by Chinese companies [3][11] Group 3: Market Performance Insights - The Chinese concept stock market showed a flat performance in 2023 and 2024, with a slight decline of 3% and a rise of 4%, but experienced significant volatility with multiple instances of over 20% fluctuations [5] - The London market, despite a lackluster overall performance, has seen some companies in differentiated competitive sectors perform well [5][6] Group 4: Investment Logic Across Markets - A-shares are characterized by a wide variety of industry and company choices, while Hong Kong stocks offer opportunities in high-margin, quality large companies [9] - Chinese concept stocks are noted for their rapid growth in niche sectors, and overseas markets are focused on core value creators and rule-makers in the global supply chain [9] Group 5: Investment Strategies - The investment strategy since 2023 has been to seek resilient growth amidst a weak recovery, emphasizing internal growth over macroeconomic judgments [9] - Key sectors of focus include commercial infrastructure, consumer goods, bulk resources, and technology hardware/software, with an emphasis on companies with strong cash flow growth and sustainable profitability [9][10]
方法论 | 为何管理总是“差点意思”?专业性正确,本质性错误
高毅资产管理· 2025-02-27 09:14
以下文章来源于华夏基石管理评论 ,作者夏惊鸣 华夏基石管理评论 . 北京华夏基石企业管理咨询有限公司,《华夏基石管理评论》由彭剑锋教授创办并担任总编辑,根植本 土企业实践,传播先进管理经验! 为客户创造价值,与客户共同成长!业务咨询电话 010-62557029 , 13611264887 来源 | 华夏基石管理评论 作者 |夏惊鸣 预计阅读时间:14分钟 1.对管理的本质理解不到位 基本功也可以理解为一个本质。企业里很多科班出身的管理者,看起来很专业,但在实践中却没有理解到 管理手段、管理工具、管理方法背后的本质,经常出现"专业性正确,本质性错误"。 举例一:华为基本法怎么起作用? 有的企业认为"基本法"很有用,就找管理咨询公司或自己把它写出来,但是,写出来就管用吗?如果写出 来就管用,我们不就可以成为世界首富了?只写出来是不管用的。那么,"基本法"起作用,背后的本质到 底是什么?有这么几点: 一是企业持续成功,需要在哪些领域、遵循什么样的指导思想去做?基本法是帮助企业完成系统思考—— 企业持续成功的核心逻辑和基本原则。这是基本法内容的本质,也就是讲,它的内容不神秘,就是问自 己,我们实现持续成功,需要在哪 ...