Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that diversified asset allocation and refined fund selection are key to building a long-term viable FOF (Fund of Funds) portfolio [2][6]. Asset Allocation and Fund Selection - Increasingly, investors are recognizing diversified asset allocation in FOFs as a superior "fixed income plus" strategy, offering better risk-return ratios compared to traditional stock-bond combinations [2]. - Zhao Zhiyuan, General Manager of ICBC Credit Suisse FOF Investment Department, highlights that each FOF has its own risk-return objectives, necessitating tailored asset allocation plans [3][10]. - The strategic asset allocation for the ICBC Value Steady 6-Month Holding Mixed (FOF) product is set at 80% bonds and 20% risk assets, with further diversification within the risk assets into A-share funds, low-volatility dividends, overseas US stocks, and commodities like gold [4][15]. Dynamic Management - Zhao emphasizes the importance of dynamic management based on market changes, citing an example where adjustments were made following tariff policy changes that led to market fluctuations [4][11]. Fund Selection Process - The fund selection process focuses on distinguishing between skill and luck in investment performance, utilizing quantitative analysis and qualitative research to identify stable fund managers [5][18]. - The internal culture at ICBC Credit Suisse promotes trust and sharing among research teams, enhancing the decision-making process [5][20]. FOF Investment Framework - The FOF investment framework is built on managing uncertainty through diversified asset allocation, aiming to create resilient portfolios that can adapt to various market conditions [10][9]. - The FOF team consists of 12 members with diverse backgrounds, emphasizing collaboration and knowledge sharing to enhance investment strategies [21][20]. Future Outlook - The article discusses two main growth opportunities for FOF products: personal pension Y shares and wealth management as a substitute for traditional financial products [25][26]. - Personal pension funds are highlighted for their potential to allocate higher equity assets, providing better long-term returns as the domestic capital market develops [27]. - The article concludes with a market outlook, suggesting that while short-term volatility may persist, a medium-term upward trend is anticipated, driven by policy support and corporate earnings recovery [30][34].

Core Viewpoint - An excellent FOF (Fund of Funds) team is responsible for multi-asset allocation to provide users with all-weather returns and to select fund managers to achieve excess market returns [3][10]. Group 1: FOF Investment Framework - FOF investment requires three levels of understanding: 1) understanding investment goals, 2) understanding matching assets or strategies, and 3) understanding suitable managers [1][13]. - The FOF investment framework consists of fundamental research, manager research, and dynamic portfolio balancing [18][21]. Group 2: Alpha Sources - There are three layers of alpha sources in FOF investment: top-level asset allocation, middle-level industry fundamental research, and bottom-level excellent manager research [3][21]. - The macro level employs an economic cycle model based on monetary, credit, and growth indicators to assess asset performance across different economic cycles [3][38]. Group 3: Manager Selection - The selection of fund managers is critical, with a focus on their investment philosophy, stable investment processes, diligence, and performance [26]. - The company tracks over 900 funds out of more than 5000 available, categorizing them based on investment style and industry focus [24]. Group 4: Portfolio Construction - The portfolio construction strategy involves a diversified approach, with no single manager holding more than 3% of the portfolio [5][12]. - The company has developed a robust multi-asset FOF that aims for better returns than traditional stock-bond mixes by utilizing low correlation between assets [5][43]. Group 5: Specific FOF Products - The company manages four types of FOF products: 1) "Fixed Income+" strategy, 2) Value style FOF, 3) Balanced style FOF, and 4) Pension-oriented FOF [6][7]. - The "Balanced Style FOF" achieved a return of 34.01% over the past year, while the "Pension-oriented FOF" achieved a return of 10.17% [6][7]. Group 6: Economic Cycle Analysis - The economic cycle model divides the economy into six phases: credit expansion, economic recovery, monetary tapering, credit tapering, economic slowdown, and monetary expansion [35][38]. - Different asset classes perform variably across these cycles, with equities performing well during credit expansion and economic recovery phases [38][40]. Group 7: Customization for Institutional Investors - The company offers customized FOF products to meet the needs of bank wealth management subsidiaries and institutional investors, focusing on stable strategies and all-weather asset allocation [43][46]. - The multi-asset FOF covers various asset classes, including A-shares, overseas equities, gold, commodities, and bonds, providing a more stable alternative to traditional strategies [43][46].

Core Insights - The article announces the launch of the first offline forum series titled "Long-term Investment · Value Investment," which will take place on October 22 in Shanghai, co-hosted by 21st Century Business Herald and Dianqi Investment [1][2] Group 1: Event Highlights - The forum will focus on the "Fixed Income +" strategy, which has gained popularity as investors seek alternatives to bank wealth management products amid declining returns [1] - Several prominent fund managers have been invited to share their insights, including Li Jun from Anxin Fund, Zeng Gang from GF Fund, Wu Xiao from CMB Fund, Chen Daye from Penghua Fund, Yu Jianfeng from Dongfanghong Asset Management, and Guo Liyan from Huashan Fund [1] - The event is part of the "Fund Manager 100" series, which aims to showcase top fund managers identified through three years of ranking in active equity and fixed income categories [2] Group 2: Participation Details - The event is free of charge and primarily invites institutional investors, banks, and brokerage channels [2] - Registration is limited and operates on a first-come, first-served basis, with no video live streaming available [4]

Core Viewpoints - The article emphasizes the long-term optimism towards sectors such as semiconductors, innovative technology products, and innovative pharmaceuticals, while highlighting the structural opportunities arising from the "anti-involution" trend in the new energy sector [2][5]. Group 1: Semiconductor and AI Sector - The semiconductor and innovative technology sectors are expected to continue their growth trajectory, with a focus on structural opportunities amidst the "anti-involution" movement [2]. - The AI sector has seen significant breakthroughs, with expectations of increased market volatility following substantial short-term gains [3]. - Major companies like Oracle and Nvidia are making significant advancements in AI, indicating a robust growth outlook for the industry [4]. Group 2: Healthcare and Pharmaceuticals - The healthcare sector, particularly innovative pharmaceuticals, is anticipated to benefit from demographic trends such as aging populations and the internationalization of innovative drugs [5][10]. - There is a shift towards active stock selection in the pharmaceutical sector, with a focus on high-certainty stocks as the market enters a phase of differentiation [10][11]. Group 3: New Energy Sector - The new energy sector is facing challenges such as overcapacity, but there is growing confidence in investment opportunities, particularly in leading companies with cost advantages and innovative technologies [12]. - The government’s efforts to guide the industry towards "anti-involution" are seen as a catalyst for accelerating the clearing of inefficient capacities [12]. Group 4: Market Outlook and Investment Strategy - The overall market is expected to experience structural opportunities, with a focus on sectors like storage, resources, gaming, media, consumer electronics, and domestic computing power [6][8]. - The investment strategy includes a focus on high-quality companies with strong growth potential and reasonable valuations across various sectors, including electronics and automotive components [13].

Core Viewpoint - The shift in China's economic focus from high-speed growth to high-quality development has led to a change in wealth management priorities from "pursuing appreciation" to "prioritizing preservation of value" [1] Group 1: Fixed Income Investment Insights - Fixed income assets are preferred as the "core position" in investment portfolios due to their stable returns and lower volatility, while equity assets serve as "satellite positions" for higher elastic returns [1] - The selection logic for fixed income products differs fundamentally from equity products, requiring a comprehensive capability matrix across macro asset allocation, medium asset pricing, micro bond trading, and credit risk identification [1] - Evaluating fixed income managers should focus on team structure, the depth of collaboration across the research-decision-trading-risk management chain, and the presence of a sustainable knowledge management system [1] Group 2: Performance Rankings - According to recent rankings by Guotai Haitong Securities, Western Li De Fund's active fixed income products achieved a return of 91.87% over the past decade, ranking first among 71 firms [2][3] Group 3: Historical Context and Competitive Advantage - The past decade has seen fixed income investment undergo two macro paradigm shifts, with different core drivers and success factors in each phase [4] - Western Li De Fund's fixed income team has maintained a leading position due to its competitive advantages, including a strong team structure and effective collaboration [4] Group 4: Risk Management Philosophy - Western Li De defines fixed income investment as "winning the loser's game," emphasizing the importance of avoiding significant losses rather than solely chasing high returns [6] - The team culture emphasizes market respect and sets a "zero credit risk event" as a non-negotiable discipline [7] Group 5: Evaluation and Strategy - Performance evaluation is extended over three to five years to mitigate the impact of short-term performance chasing [8][9] - The WISE platform developed by Western Li De enables comprehensive digital management of the investment process, enhancing decision-making and risk monitoring [10] Group 6: Investment Principles - The four core principles for long-term performance in fixed income investment include maintaining low-risk exposure, adhering to absolute return goals, ensuring product strategy stability, and believing in the value of research [12][13][14] Group 7: Team Development and Collaboration - The fixed income team at Western Li De emphasizes internal talent development, fostering a unified value system and efficient collaboration [17][18] - The team comprises members with diverse expertise, allowing for complementary skills and collective decision-making [19][20] Group 8: Technological Empowerment - The WISE system enhances operational efficiency and decision quality, crucial for navigating the new alpha era in fixed income investment [21][22] - The initial investments in risk control and team development have yielded significant long-term performance benefits, positioning Western Li De as a leader in the industry [23]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolution and current state of quantitative investing, highlighting key figures such as Edward Thorp, Jim Simons, and Tian Hanqing, and the advancements made by the Huatai-PineBridge quantitative team in China [1][2][3]. Group 1: Historical Development of Quantitative Investing - Edward Thorp, a professor at MIT, founded a hedge fund in 1969 that utilized automated trading to achieve significant market outperformance [1]. - Jim Simons further advanced quantitative investing, establishing a benchmark for the industry with his Renaissance Technologies fund, which generated substantial profits [1]. - The introduction of quantitative investing in China's A-share market began around 2010, led by Tian Hanqing, who combined global quantitative techniques with local market experience [1]. Group 2: Evolution of Huatai-PineBridge's Quantitative Strategies - After Tian Hanqing's retirement, the Huatai-PineBridge quantitative team, represented by Sheng Hao, continued to innovate and refine their strategies, evolving from a focus on fundamental quantitative methods to a more integrated approach combining fundamental factors, price-volume factors, and unstructured data [2][3]. Group 3: Establishing and Maintaining Probability Advantage - Edward Thorp's understanding of probability laid the foundation for quantitative investing, emphasizing the importance of a slight edge in probability to achieve long-term gains [5]. - The Huatai-PineBridge team has continuously worked to establish and maintain a probability advantage, adapting their multi-factor models to the evolving A-share market [5][9]. - Since 2012, the team has accumulated extensive practical experience with multi-factor models, optimizing them at an annual iteration rate exceeding 10% [5]. Group 4: Innovations in Data Utilization - The Huatai-PineBridge quantitative team has explored the application of natural language processing and developed their own large language model to enhance investment strategies [6]. - They have created tools to optimize stock selection and risk event filtering, leveraging advancements in AI and machine learning [6]. Group 5: Pursuit of Stable and Pure Alpha - The team emphasizes the importance of avoiding overfitting in statistical data and maintaining a proactive approach in model development [9][10]. - They implement strict risk-neutralization measures across different factors and models to mitigate volatility during market style shifts [10]. - The team aims to reduce factor correlation among models to enhance stability and performance across varying market conditions [10]. Group 6: Differentiated Strategies for Various Market Segments - Huatai-PineBridge's strategies are tailored to different market participants, recognizing that institutional investors benefit more from fundamental factors, while retail investors may find price-volume strategies more effective [11]. Group 7: Integration of Active Management and Quantitative Techniques - The article highlights the belief that active management and quantitative methods are not mutually exclusive, and their integration can yield superior investment outcomes [17][18]. - The Huatai-PineBridge team combines long-term logic with data-driven insights, ensuring that each factor included in their models is rigorously evaluated for its information content and relevance [14][15].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses how both technology and dividend assets benefit from a low interest rate environment, despite appearing to be conflicting asset classes [4][18]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - Chen Bo employs a "barbell strategy" combining both dividend and technology assets to provide a more adaptable product mix for investors [4][19]. - The investment framework emphasizes three key concepts: "small and beautiful" alpha, high ROE as a standard for excellent companies, and "high cut low" for dynamic portfolio adjustments [5][14]. - The strategy has shown strong performance during market fluctuations in 2023 and 2024, demonstrating the effectiveness of this approach [4][16]. Group 2: Investment Philosophy - Chen Bo's investment philosophy is influenced by notable figures such as Peter Lynch, Warren Buffett, and Charlie Munger, focusing on finding small-cap growth stocks with potential for significant returns [6][12]. - High ROE is considered a critical indicator of a company's long-term profitability and competitive advantage, with a benchmark of 15% ROE being highlighted [21][22]. - The article emphasizes the importance of adapting to macroeconomic conditions, distinguishing between bull and bear market strategies [15][31]. Group 3: Market Insights - The current low interest rate environment is expected to favor both growth and dividend-paying stocks, with a shift in focus from traditional assets to those that can provide better returns [19][20]. - The article notes that as the economy transitions, the focus should be on identifying new growth sources within the market, regardless of whether the assets are classified as dividend or technology [28][29]. - Chen Bo predicts a systemic revaluation of Chinese risk assets, suggesting that various styles of stocks will perform well in a true bull market [31].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the need for a paradigm shift in asset pricing and investment management, moving from traditional models to a more dynamic and adaptive approach that considers the non-linear relationships between assets and their roles within a portfolio [4][11][18]. Group 1: Asset Pricing Theory - Traditional asset pricing theories, such as the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), are based on strict assumptions of market efficiency and rational investors, which fail to explain market anomalies like momentum and value effects [4][12]. - The article argues that asset prices are influenced not only by their expected returns and risks but also by their roles in the overall investment portfolio and the dynamic relationships with other assets [4][11]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - The new investment philosophy focuses on systematically and proactively enhancing the risk-adjusted returns of investment portfolios rather than merely seeking absolute returns [4][11]. - The investment framework proposed is not about finding the "true value" of assets but about creating an adaptive system that can achieve stable growth across different market environments [7][16]. Group 3: Multi-Asset Allocation - The article discusses the importance of low correlation among assets in a multi-asset allocation strategy, which can significantly reduce the probability of negative monthly returns [22][23]. - A two-stage strategy combining CPPI (Constant Proportion Portfolio Insurance) and risk budgeting is suggested to enhance traditional methodologies and improve risk-adjusted returns [17][23]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - The article highlights that the correlation between assets is dynamic and can change with market conditions, which poses risks to traditional asset allocation frameworks that rely on historical data [12][15]. - The concept of "free lunch" in asset allocation, derived from low correlation, may diminish as market environments evolve, necessitating a deeper understanding of the underlying factors driving asset correlations [15][18]. Group 5: Future of Asset Pricing - The future of asset pricing is seen as a transition from a focus on historical data to an understanding of technological trends, industry changes, and collective human behavior [34]. - The new asset pricing framework is described as a three-dimensional investment model centered around technological advancement, new productive forces, and consensus-driven narratives [18][28].

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of maintaining calm and listening to experienced investors during times of market uncertainty, particularly in the context of global trade tensions and market volatility [2] - It highlights the significance of long-term relationships between fund managers and investors, advocating for patience and trust in fund managers during market fluctuations [3][4] Group 1: Market Context and Investor Sentiment - The current market is experiencing significant adjustments due to external factors such as tariff announcements, leading to investor anxiety and uncertainty [1] - The article references past market reactions to trade tensions, specifically the 2018 U.S.-China tariff disputes, where initial fears of a drastic decline in exports were proven to be exaggerated through thorough research and communication with frontline companies [2] Group 2: Fund Manager Insights - Fund manager Cao Jin, with extensive experience in navigating market cycles, shares insights on the importance of research and maintaining a grounded approach during market volatility [2] - Cao Jin expresses concern over investors who sell their holdings shortly after a fund recovers, suggesting that a longer holding period could yield significantly better returns [3] Group 3: Investment Strategies and Communication - The article discusses the "language" of communication between fund managers and investors, emphasizing that performance metrics (net asset value) are crucial for building trust [3][4] - It suggests that successful investing requires selecting the right fund manager, having the discipline to hold investments, and being willing to increase positions during downturns [8]

Market Overview - The market has shown a strong upward trend since the "9·24" rally last year, with the CSI 300 index surpassing 4600 points and the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a nearly ten-year high of 3732 points on August 18 [1] - The ChiNext index has experienced a robust surge, with an annual increase of nearly 50% in the second half of this year [1] Fund Performance - Active equity funds have demonstrated significant excess return capabilities, with nearly 3000 out of approximately 4300 funds achieving over 20% returns year-to-date as of September 26 [2] - Among these, over 700 funds have returned more than 50%, and 125 funds have exceeded 80% returns, with E Fund leading in the number of high-performing funds [2] Long-term Fund Performance - Over a one-year period, nearly 250 funds have doubled their performance, with notable contributions from firms like E Fund, which has over 10 doubling funds [4] - E Fund's products have primarily invested in high-performing sectors such as technology and healthcare, showcasing strong stock-picking abilities [4] Sustained Returns - From a medium to long-term perspective, over 850 active equity funds have annualized returns exceeding 10% over three years, with 158 funds achieving over 20% [5] - E Fund leads with 14 funds in the 20%+ category, indicating a strong performance relative to competitors [5] Investment Philosophy - E Fund's investment philosophy emphasizes deep research and value discovery, which has been a cornerstone of its strategy since its inception in 2001 [7] - The firm employs a "big platform + small team" management model, allowing for resource sharing while maintaining independent investment strategies [8] Research and Development - E Fund has developed a comprehensive research team covering various sectors, ensuring broad market coverage and a global perspective [9] - The firm emphasizes the importance of in-depth research and real-time tracking to ensure timely investment decisions [9] Technology Integration - E Fund is advancing its digital transformation, integrating workflows and data management to enhance process management and efficiency [10][11] Team Culture - The company promotes a collaborative team culture, encouraging knowledge sharing and interaction among research teams to enhance investment outcomes [12] - E Fund has established a robust talent development system, ensuring a continuous influx of skilled professionals into its investment teams [12] Notable Fund Managers - Several fund managers at E Fund have achieved remarkable performance, with some funds nearing a 100% return year-to-date [17][18] - The firm has produced multiple "double ten" fund managers, indicating a strong track record of long-term performance [20] Conclusion - E Fund's commitment to deep research, long-term investment strategies, and a systematic approach to talent development has positioned it as a leader in the asset management industry, capable of delivering sustainable returns [24][25]