引言：AI有可能成为人类历史上的新一轮技术革命，AI赋能各行各业，将不断创造新的可能性。 自2022年底ChatGPT掀起全球AI热潮后，AI浪潮席卷全球。今年，DeepSeek的火爆"出圈"，更是打破传统叙事， 引导全市场的目 光重新聚焦于中国的科技领域。 正如业内专家所言，AI赋能各行各业，将不断创造新的可能性，这也是新的需求增长点。AI作为一种无国界的生产力，发展路径逐 步从基础建设转向应用落地，其 辐射范围也从芯片、计算机逐渐覆盖全科技行业。 为了精准捕捉这一些列具有增长潜力的投资标的，我们不妨聚焦于一些更具有投资价值的 科技主题基金 ，在便捷、高效把握此轮科 技浪潮的同时，也能更大程度上分散风险，实现财富的稳健增值。 科技板块迎来新一轮周期 近十年，科技主题投资呈现出较为显著的主线轮动特征。2015年前后，在 移动互联网技术的普及浪潮 中，商业模式不断创新，叠 加政策对"互联网+"战略的有力推动，互联网板块异军突起，成为当时的科技投资主线。自2015年2月9日至2015年6月12日，中证 TMT指数相对中证全指斩获了 28.87%的超额收益率， 尽显风光。 而到了2020年前后，随着 新能源产业链的 ...

导读：2020年至今，我们和东方红资产管理的周云做过三次访谈，每一次都能感受到他价值体系的进步。 2020年3月第一次访谈，周云展现了他对低估值投资的长期信心。这一套投资框架，在之后的这些年中一直未变，是他最底层的投资逻 辑。 2022年12月第二次访谈，周云提出了成功的投资不仅需要理解估值，也要倾向市场的声音，价值和市场并不矛盾，都有自己的内在规 律。 2025年5月第三次访谈，周云谈到了用质量做排除法，大家一致认可的高质量未必能带来好的长期回报，但可以把市场后50%到60%的 低质量公司剔除。 在最新的这一次访谈中，我们剔除了周云此前提过的投资框架部分，更多展现了他的一些新思考： 第一层思考：为什么独立是一种很强的竞争优势？因为人性的底层就会从众，即便是在显而易见的事实面前。周云用著名的"阿希实 验"为例，阐述了人性的弱点。从以小为美，到只买龙头，资本市场没有永恒的真相，只有新的共识替代旧的共识。拉长看，周云能不断 战胜沪深300，很重要的部分就是没有追涨杀跌。 第二层思考：如何把质量和估值结合在一起。即便好公司和好价格难以同时出现，但买好公司依然是周云追求的。他把质量作为一种排 除法，剔除一大批低质量的 ...

Core Viewpoint - Foreign-controlled public funds have been a significant force in the development of China's asset management industry, with Manulife Fund playing a crucial role in integrating global asset allocation frameworks with local industry research [1][4]. Group 1: Company Overview - Manulife Fund is the first public fund company in China to transition from a joint venture to 100% foreign-controlled status, allowing for deeper integration of international financial experience with the unique ecosystem of China's capital market [7]. - The company has consistently been at the forefront of industry innovation, launching various products such as the first industry umbrella fund in 2003, becoming one of the first FOF and pension FOF managers in 2017, and issuing the first green inclusive theme fund in 2024 [2][8]. Group 2: Investment Strategy and Performance - The newly launched floating fee rate fund, Manulife Smart Navigator Mixed Fund, is designed with a focus on long-term excess returns and aligns management fees with fund performance, reflecting a customer-centric service philosophy [5][26]. - Fund manager Meng Jie has been recognized for his ability to control drawdowns and achieve long-term excess returns, with his managed fund showing a maximum drawdown of -29.59%, significantly lower than the market average [10][16]. - Meng Jie employs a contrarian investment strategy, focusing on stock selection based on valuation and quality rather than market trends, which has led to consistent performance even in volatile market conditions [19][20]. Group 3: Market Context and Timing - The public fund industry in China is transitioning from a scale-driven model to a value-driven approach, with regulatory bodies emphasizing the optimization of fee structures to enhance investor experience [4]. - Current market conditions are favorable for investment, with policies being implemented to boost market confidence and a stable trading volume exceeding 1 trillion, indicating a good entry point for long-term investments [26].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of integrity as a fundamental trait for individuals, as highlighted by Warren Buffett in his 1998 speech at the University of Florida. It suggests that integrity, intelligence, and energy are key characteristics to consider when evaluating people, especially in investment contexts [1][2][3]. Group 1: Characteristics of Individuals - Individuals with desirable traits are characterized by generosity, honesty, and the ability to credit others for their ideas [2]. - Conversely, undesirable traits include egotism, greed, corner-cutting, and dishonesty, which are more likely to deter investment [2]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - The article discusses a current investment portfolio of 800,000, which has achieved a positive return of 9,023, indicating a stable and reassuring investment strategy [5]. - The portfolio includes a diversified mix of assets such as A-shares, bonds, gold, and overseas investments, reflecting a multi-asset approach that aims for lower correlation among assets [5][6]. Group 3: Market Insights - The article notes that the Hang Seng Technology Index has seen significant valuation adjustments, making it an attractive investment opportunity compared to the U.S. tech market [7]. - It suggests that despite past market downturns, leading Chinese tech companies like Tencent and Alibaba may present substantial investment value moving forward [7]. Group 4: Investment Accessibility - The investment portfolio is exclusively available for follow-up on the JD Finance platform, with a minimum investment of 200 yuan, highlighting the accessibility of the investment strategy [8][10].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the launch of floating fee rate products, highlighting their significance in the active equity market since 2025, aligning the interests of fund managers and investors, and the potential for restoring the reputation of active equity funds [1]. Group 1: Fund Performance - Wang Xiaochuan, the fund manager of Yinhua Digital Economy A, achieved a 50% return in 2024, ranking first among 867 similar funds and significantly outperforming the benchmark and the CSI 800 index [1][3]. - The performance comparison shows that Wang Xiaochuan's fund closely followed the performance benchmark during a challenging market period from May 2022 to September 2024, and exhibited substantial performance elasticity when the growth stock market rallied [3][5]. Group 2: Investment Philosophy - Wang Xiaochuan emphasizes the importance of selecting the right industry over finding the right company, believing that a correct industry often contains multiple companies with over 30% growth potential [5][6]. - The investment strategy includes identifying opportunities with a certain expectation gap, focusing on "different yet correct" investment opportunities, and employing moderate rotation to smooth portfolio volatility [6][7]. - Wang Xiaochuan respects common sense and market rules, avoiding the pitfalls of chasing highs and selling lows [7][26]. Group 3: Investment Process - The investment process involves identifying high-growth industries, selecting high-growth companies within those industries, and conducting valuation comparisons to find companies with expected pricing discrepancies [16][17]. - Wang Xiaochuan's approach includes a four-step stock selection method, focusing on industry growth, profit growth, reasonable valuation, and upstream/downstream research to identify expectation gaps [15][17]. Group 4: New Product Features - The newly launched Yinhua Growth Smart Selection fund offers greater flexibility in stock allocation (60-95% for mixed funds) compared to the Yinhua Digital Economy fund (80-95% for equity funds), enhancing risk resistance during market downturns [28][29]. - The floating fee rate design serves as an incentive for fund managers while providing greater protection for investors [29][30].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the innovative strategies employed by Xingyin Wealth Management to adapt to the changing landscape of wealth management, particularly in response to declining bank wealth management yields. It emphasizes the importance of multi-asset investment strategies and a systematic approach to asset allocation to meet the investment goals of clients [1]. Summary by Sections Investment Strategy and Client Needs - Clients of wealth management products typically have low risk tolerance and seek to preserve wealth while achieving returns that outpace deposit rates and inflation. They also require liquidity [3]. - Xingyin Wealth Management's innovation team offers various product lines, including options + wealth management products, quantitative + wealth management products, and multi-asset + wealth management products, all aimed at enhancing returns while ensuring absolute returns [3]. Strategic Asset Allocation - Unlike traditional bank wealth management, Xingyin Wealth Management retains control over key asset allocation during product design, which is crucial for achieving desired returns [5]. - The first layer of asset allocation focuses on low correlation among assets, including bonds, stocks, gold, and quantitative neutral strategies [6]. - The second layer emphasizes market neutrality and macro neutrality, allowing the asset combination to adapt to various market conditions [7]. Industrialized Production Model - Xingyin Wealth Management employs an industrialized production model for multi-asset investment, where each strategy functions as a component that is assembled through top-level asset allocation and undergoes regular quality checks [9]. - This approach enables the management of a wider range of assets while minimizing the amplification of individual investment styles [9]. Product Lines and Innovations - The options + wealth management products provide a defined risk and potential upside, ensuring a basic return even in extreme market conditions [12]. - The quantitative + wealth management products utilize quantitative signals for asset timing and alpha stock selection, aiming for a more uniform return distribution compared to traditional public funds [12][14]. - The multi-asset + wealth management products represent a new product form that focuses on strategic asset allocation, adapting to changing market environments while providing clear return expectations [16]. Tactical Asset Allocation - Tactical asset allocation adjustments are informed by a historical database that tracks asset performance during various market conditions, allowing for proactive risk management [19]. - The strategy includes avoiding significant drawdowns during high inflation and capitalizing on assets with favorable valuations [19]. Team Structure and Strategy Development - The investment team is structured to ensure dual-driven strategies, where each manager has relevant investment experience and can manage both proprietary accounts and outsourced strategies [28]. - The team has developed approximately 15 main strategies, each with sub-strategies, ensuring a comprehensive approach to asset management [27]. Conclusion - Xingyin Wealth Management's systematic and industrialized approach to multi-asset investment, combined with a focus on strategic and tactical asset allocation, positions it well to meet the evolving needs of clients in a challenging investment environment [33].

Core Viewpoint - The "Action Plan" for promoting the high-quality development of public funds marks a significant reform in the public fund industry, shifting the focus from scale to investor-centric goals, indicating a new phase in the industry's evolution [1] Group 1: Floating Management Fee Model - The "Action Plan" introduces a performance-linked floating management fee model, addressing previous criticisms of fixed fees regardless of fund performance [3] - The new model allows for differentiated management fees based on the fund's performance relative to a benchmark, with three tiers of fees depending on the annual excess return [3][4] - This model aims to ensure that fund products are accountable to each new investor, promoting long-term holding of fund products [4] Group 2: Benchmark Selection - The Huazhong Fund has chosen the CSI 800 index as the performance benchmark for its floating fee products, which offers broader coverage and a more balanced representation of both value and growth styles compared to other indices [6] - The CSI 800 index includes both undervalued blue-chip stocks and growth companies, reflecting a combination of past and future economic structures [6] Group 3: Fund Manager Profile - Fund manager Luan Chao, known for his balanced growth investment approach, combines top-down industry allocation with bottom-up stock selection, focusing on sustainable profit growth [8] - Luan Chao emphasizes a cyclical perspective, identifying investment directions based on macro, industry, and company cycles [8] - His investment strategy includes a focus on industries with upward trends and companies with strong competitive advantages, leading to a selective stock pool [8][10] Group 4: Research and Investment Platform - Huazhong Fund is recognized as a leading growth investment platform, having pioneered industry chain investment strategies and being an early investor in key sectors like 5G and electric vehicles [12] - The fund's research team has a global perspective, leveraging insights from international markets to identify growth opportunities in the technology sector [12][13] - The strong research capabilities of the team are expected to support Luan Chao's potential for excess returns, aligning the interests of fund managers and investors [13]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the investment philosophy and performance of Zhou Yun, a prominent fund manager, highlighting his ability to achieve consistent returns through a value investment approach and a focus on long-term performance [1][3][20]. Investment Performance - Zhou Yun has been recognized in the "TOP 100 Fund Managers" list for four consecutive years, outperforming the Wind偏股基金指数 for three years [2][3]. - The fund managed by Zhou Yun, 东方红新动力混合A, has shown remarkable performance, with a cumulative return of over 398.35% from its inception on January 28, 2014, compared to the benchmark return of 66.11% [10][25]. - The fund has only underperformed the 沪深300 index in 2019, achieving positive annual returns in 8 out of 10 years from 2015 to 2024 [5][10]. Investment Philosophy - Zhou Yun believes that successful investing is driven by probability, aiming to eliminate luck from the equation to achieve stable profits [1][9]. - His investment framework is rooted in value investing, focusing on purchasing companies based on their free cash flow and maintaining a low valuation to ensure high returns [12][18]. - Zhou emphasizes the importance of a safety margin in investments, allowing for potential misjudgments in valuation [13][14]. Adaptation and Evolution - Since 2020, Zhou has adapted his investment strategy to include a focus on small-cap growth stocks, reflecting changes in market conditions and improving the performance of his fund [22][23]. - Zhou's approach has evolved to prioritize portfolio management based on odds and win rates, enhancing the fund's resilience against market fluctuations [23]. Long-term Strategy - Zhou Yun's long-term investment strategy is characterized by a commitment to value investing principles, which he believes are fundamentally sound and effective over time [19][20]. - The article highlights that Zhou's ability to maintain a consistent investment philosophy while adapting to market trends is key to his success [21][22].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the importance of understanding value investing and critiques common Wall Street theories, particularly focusing on the misleading nature of terms like EBITDA, EMH, and Beta, as emphasized by investment legends like Buffett, Graham, and Fisher [1][3][9]. Summary by Sections Investment Philosophy - The article begins by highlighting the insights of Yang Yuebin, a fund manager who recently attended the Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting, emphasizing the essence of value investing through the "duck-rabbit illusion" [1][6]. - It references Graham's warnings about the dangers of superficial knowledge in investing and the misleading theories that can arise from it [2][3]. Critique of Wall Street Theories - The author critiques the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), Beta, and EBITDA, arguing that these concepts mislead investors and undermine the foundations of modern portfolio theory [3][4]. - Buffett's repeated criticisms of these theories are noted, suggesting they challenge the prevailing investment philosophies in both Western and emerging markets [4][7]. Risk and Return Analysis - The article stresses that investment decisions should be based solely on risk and return analysis, without unnecessary complications [4][5]. - It discusses the psychological aspect of investing, using the "duck-rabbit illusion" to illustrate how different perspectives can lead to varying interpretations of risk and return [5][6]. Misinterpretation of EBITDA - The article delves into the pitfalls of using EBITDA as a measure of profitability, arguing that it ignores essential costs like depreciation, which can lead to significant misjudgments about a company's financial health [11][12]. - Buffett's disdain for EBITDA is highlighted, with examples illustrating how it can mislead investors regarding a company's true earnings potential [11][12][19]. Conclusion and Future Outlook - The article concludes by emphasizing the need for investors to be wary of misleading financial jargon and to maintain a clear understanding of risk and return to avoid falling into the "duck-rabbit illusion" [23][24]. - It reflects on Buffett's legacy and the importance of his teachings in guiding future investors [26][27].

Core Viewpoint - The recent "Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of Public Funds" aims to enhance the interests of fund holders, shifting the industry focus from scale to user returns [1] Group 1: Industry Development - Since 2020, public funds have experienced rapid growth, particularly in equity funds, but overall investor experience has been lacking [1] - The new plan is expected to stimulate positive changes in the public fund ecosystem, allowing managers who prioritize long-term benefits for holders to stand out [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy of Yuan Wei - Yuan Wei, a fund manager, emphasizes creating absolute returns even during adverse market conditions by dynamically managing a high-margin safety stock portfolio [2][3] - His investment philosophy is rooted in value investing, assessing a company's worth over its entire lifecycle, which differs from the market's focus on short-term trends [2][3] Group 3: Investment Framework - Yuan Wei's investment framework consists of three parts: understanding a company's long-term return rate, constructing a portfolio that meets client risk-return requirements, and trading to keep the portfolio aligned with optimal targets [12][17] - The focus is on the "total score" of a company's lifecycle value rather than short-term profit changes, which is a departure from mainstream market strategies [19][21] Group 4: Case Studies and Examples - Yuan Wei's early investments in sectors like new energy vehicles and artificial intelligence demonstrate his ability to identify long-term value before market trends catch up [26][27] - His approach to real estate investment focuses on companies with strong cash reserves, ensuring their survival during downturns, contrasting with the market's emphasis on growth metrics [28][29] Group 5: Performance and Risk Management - The performance of Yuan Wei's managed fund, "Anxin Value-Driven Three-Year Holding," has achieved over 70% returns since its inception, attributed to strict adherence to investment rules and continuous optimization of strategies [14][15][20] - The fund's strategy includes a focus on non-popular assets and diversification to reduce volatility, which has led to consistent net asset value growth [33][34]