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解码华安医药投资军团:由投研底座构造的护城河
点拾投资· 2025-06-11 07:33
导读:医药,这个曾经被寄予厚望的"黄金赛道",在过去几年遭遇了最漫长的"寒冬"。但是在医药基金的冬天中,优秀 的医药投资团队并没有"冬眠"。当行业进入反转后,机会一定是留给有准备的人。 2025年,A股市场呈现了比较明显的结构性行情。截至6月9日,沪深300指数下跌了-1.26%,但基金业绩的表现出现了 很大差异,这种差异背后主要来自基金经理的阿尔法能力。 以今年的医药板块为例,不少医药基金表现突出,让大家"误认为"今年是一次医药板块的整体性牛市。但是,根据Wind 的数据统计,医药生物板块今年的涨幅为10.29%,并不突出 (数据来源:Wind;数据截至:2025年6月9日) 。 数据来源:Wind;数据截至:2025年6月9日 政策产业共振, 医药投资窗口全面开启 当下的医药投资领域,正迎来政策东风、产业质变、全球共振与业绩兑现的多重利好叠加期,创新药赛道的投资价值正 以肉眼可见的速度迸发。 从政策维度看,顶层设计正为创新药产业铺设高速跑道。《全链条支持创新药发展实施方案》政策的落地,犹如为行业 注入"强心剂"——发展创新药关系医药产业发展,关系人民健康福祉。要全链条强化政策保障,统筹用好价格管理、医 保 ...
港股持续走强,我们的TOP港股基金经理榜单
点拾投资· 2025-06-10 04:38
导读:我和零城投资一起,已经连续4年推出了TOP 100主动权益基金经理榜单。 我们的这份榜单已经连续3年战胜了万得偏股基金指数。最近我们 刚看了一下,今年以来依然跑赢了万得偏股基金指数(数据截止2025年5月28日)。 这说明,优秀的主动权益基金经理还是有价值的,而且他们确实是能跑赢同类产品的。包括最近发行的浮动费率产品,我们也看到不少管理的基金经 理,都是我们TOP 100榜单的基金经理。 数据截止:2025年5月28日 下面是我们TOP 100榜单的港股基金经理: 这份榜单有比较明确的分工,我主要负责定性筛选,零城投资负责定量筛选。我相信通过彼此能力的互补,一定能为大家选到各个细分领域优秀的主 动权益基金经理。况且,我们两人每年访谈跟踪的基金经理数量在200位以上。 今年以来,港股表现明显好于A股,我们在过去一年也推荐了一些港股相关的ETF产品。当然,我们榜单里面也有港股的基金经理。大家希望买主动 权益的基金经理,也可以参考我们TOP 100榜单中的港股基金经理。 事实上,我们的港股榜单每一次都是花了很多时间讨论出来的。公募基金中,真正在香港市场有阿尔法的基金经理数量不是那么多。而且一直以来, 港股相关 ...
从0到600亿,华安黄金ETF的故事
点拾投资· 2025-06-08 12:32
导读:黄金,在中国文化中有着特殊的地位。早在4000年之前的商周时期,黄金就是身份的标识。作为曾经的四大文 明古国,中国人以黄金作为货币的时间比纸币更长久。对黄金的投资,也是刻入大家骨子里的。 去年11月的一个周末,我带着儿子参加了一次同学聚会。有一个同学的妈妈知道我是做金融的,就来和我讨论怎么做投 资。那时候美国大选已经开始正式投票,特朗普当选的呼声很高。大家普遍的观点是,一旦特朗普当选会让世界格局重 新回到混沌的状态。 许多人都有自己投资黄金的故事,其中最精彩的或许是押注黄金15年的对冲基金大佬:约翰·保尔森(John Alfred Paulson)。。。。。。 史上最伟大的一笔交易者 虽然这些家长不是做金融的,但是对政治和历史也颇有研究。那天一个下午,我们从特朗普当选后的地缘政治冲突,一 直聊到美国债务问题如何解决,最后又谈到了2008年的金融危机。那一年无论是股票还是房子,都出现了暴跌。唯独 黄金是涨的。 约翰·保尔森这个名字,对于华尔街的"老人"应该并不陌生(注:和美国前财政部长亨利·保尔森是两个人)。他父母都 是美国移民,在纽约皇后区长大,本科去了纽约大学。一直到2005年之前,约翰·保尔森在投资 ...
投资大家谈 | 6月鹏华基金基本面投资专家观点启示录
点拾投资· 2025-06-08 04:34
导语:"投资大家谈"是点拾投资的公益内容栏目,希望通过每周日不定期的推送,让更多人看到 基金经理对投资和市场的思考。"投资大家谈"栏目内容以公益类的分享为主,不带有基金产品的 代码和信息,也必须来自基金经理的内容创作。 也欢迎大家给我们投稿:azhu830 yeah.net! 下面,我们分享来自鹏华基金的最新6月思考。 中美贸易摩擦仍在持续中,预计下半年政策将成 为影响资本市场的关键因素,同时A股整体仍处于偏低位置,未来存在进一步上行空间。而债市 则多空因素交织,或延续中性震荡走势。展望6月,主动权益、固定收益、量化指数以及多元资 产领域分别有哪些挑战与机遇值得特别关注,一起来看看本期鹏华基本面投资专家们的深度思 考。 主动权益 袁航 鹏华基金权益投资一部副总经理 展望2025-2026年的市场,我们判断仍存在进一步上行空间,机遇总体大于风险,我们倾向以积 极的心态去应对2025-2026年的股票市场。股票估值虽然较底部有所攀升,但整体仍处于偏低位 置。未来若出现业绩基本面的显著变化,估值将成为股价上涨更为坚实有力的支撑。 展望2025-2026年的市场,我们判断仍存在进一步的上行空间,机遇总体大于风险,我们 ...
独立管理的产品全部正收益,他是如何做到的?
点拾投资· 2025-06-06 09:39
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the investment philosophy and strategies of Tian Junwei, a prominent fund manager at Bosera Fund, emphasizing his unique GARP (Growth at a Reasonable Price) investment approach and his ability to generate consistent absolute returns in the public fund sector [1][3]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - Tian Junwei employs a GARP investment framework, focusing on buying growth stocks at reasonable valuations, which involves assessing both the quality and speed of growth [4][6]. - His investment style is characterized by a "middle-ground" approach, balancing between growth and value investing, and he emphasizes the importance of understanding different business models and their sustainability [3][4]. - The core of his strategy is to identify high-quality growth companies that are either in a significant industry growth trend or possess strong competitive advantages [6][7]. Group 2: Portfolio Management - Tian has developed a benchmark-oriented mindset in portfolio management, recognizing that a combination of standard and self-selected actions is essential for achieving sustained excess returns [8][16]. - He believes that excessive deviation from performance benchmarks can amplify both positive and negative market conditions, which is detrimental to achieving good excess returns [8][16]. - The primary source of Tian's excess returns is individual stock selection, as he is known for his ability to identify mispriced investment opportunities through extensive research [8][9][56]. Group 3: Stock Selection Process - Tian's stock selection process involves a dual approach: filtering stocks through financial reports and narrowing down choices based on industry trends [28][29]. - He emphasizes the importance of understanding industry trends to improve stock selection efficiency and success rates, aiming for a balanced portfolio that includes both high-potential "grey horses" and more established companies [29][55]. - His investment philosophy includes a focus on left-side buying, which requires a strong conviction in growth potential that differs from market consensus [31][32]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Tian identifies three promising investment directions: industrial digital transformation, industry safety and self-sufficiency, and emerging and future industries, particularly within the technology sector [57][59]. - He believes that these areas, while not necessarily short-term hot topics, will provide significant investment opportunities over the long term [60].
AI赋能下,科技投资的变革与机遇
点拾投资· 2025-06-04 10:35
引言:AI有可能成为人类历史上的新一轮技术革命,AI赋能各行各业,将不断创造新的可能性。 自2022年底ChatGPT掀起全球AI热潮后,AI浪潮席卷全球。今年,DeepSeek的火爆"出圈",更是打破传统叙事, 引导全市场的目 光重新聚焦于中国的科技领域。 正如业内专家所言,AI赋能各行各业,将不断创造新的可能性,这也是新的需求增长点。AI作为一种无国界的生产力,发展路径逐 步从基础建设转向应用落地,其 辐射范围也从芯片、计算机逐渐覆盖全科技行业。 为了精准捕捉这一些列具有增长潜力的投资标的,我们不妨聚焦于一些更具有投资价值的 科技主题基金 ,在便捷、高效把握此轮科 技浪潮的同时,也能更大程度上分散风险,实现财富的稳健增值。 科技板块迎来新一轮周期 近十年,科技主题投资呈现出较为显著的主线轮动特征。2015年前后,在 移动互联网技术的普及浪潮 中,商业模式不断创新,叠 加政策对"互联网+"战略的有力推动,互联网板块异军突起,成为当时的科技投资主线。自2015年2月9日至2015年6月12日,中证 TMT指数相对中证全指斩获了 28.87%的超额收益率, 尽显风光。 而到了2020年前后,随着 新能源产业链的 ...
东方红资产管理周云:下一个十年值得更加乐观
点拾投资· 2025-06-03 11:42
导读:2020年至今,我们和东方红资产管理的周云做过三次访谈,每一次都能感受到他价值体系的进步。 2020年3月第一次访谈,周云展现了他对低估值投资的长期信心。这一套投资框架,在之后的这些年中一直未变,是他最底层的投资逻 辑。 2022年12月第二次访谈,周云提出了成功的投资不仅需要理解估值,也要倾向市场的声音,价值和市场并不矛盾,都有自己的内在规 律。 2025年5月第三次访谈,周云谈到了用质量做排除法,大家一致认可的高质量未必能带来好的长期回报,但可以把市场后50%到60%的 低质量公司剔除。 在最新的这一次访谈中,我们剔除了周云此前提过的投资框架部分,更多展现了他的一些新思考: 第一层思考:为什么独立是一种很强的竞争优势?因为人性的底层就会从众,即便是在显而易见的事实面前。周云用著名的"阿希实 验"为例,阐述了人性的弱点。从以小为美,到只买龙头,资本市场没有永恒的真相,只有新的共识替代旧的共识。拉长看,周云能不断 战胜沪深300,很重要的部分就是没有追涨杀跌。 第二层思考:如何把质量和估值结合在一起。即便好公司和好价格难以同时出现,但买好公司依然是周云追求的。他把质量作为一种排 除法,剔除一大批低质量的 ...
外资公募首秀浮动费率,宏利基金与投资者“利益共生”
点拾投资· 2025-06-02 11:19
Core Viewpoint - Foreign-controlled public funds have been a significant force in the development of China's asset management industry, with Manulife Fund playing a crucial role in integrating global asset allocation frameworks with local industry research [1][4]. Group 1: Company Overview - Manulife Fund is the first public fund company in China to transition from a joint venture to 100% foreign-controlled status, allowing for deeper integration of international financial experience with the unique ecosystem of China's capital market [7]. - The company has consistently been at the forefront of industry innovation, launching various products such as the first industry umbrella fund in 2003, becoming one of the first FOF and pension FOF managers in 2017, and issuing the first green inclusive theme fund in 2024 [2][8]. Group 2: Investment Strategy and Performance - The newly launched floating fee rate fund, Manulife Smart Navigator Mixed Fund, is designed with a focus on long-term excess returns and aligns management fees with fund performance, reflecting a customer-centric service philosophy [5][26]. - Fund manager Meng Jie has been recognized for his ability to control drawdowns and achieve long-term excess returns, with his managed fund showing a maximum drawdown of -29.59%, significantly lower than the market average [10][16]. - Meng Jie employs a contrarian investment strategy, focusing on stock selection based on valuation and quality rather than market trends, which has led to consistent performance even in volatile market conditions [19][20]. Group 3: Market Context and Timing - The public fund industry in China is transitioning from a scale-driven model to a value-driven approach, with regulatory bodies emphasizing the optimization of fee structures to enhance investor experience [4]. - Current market conditions are favorable for investment, with policies being implemented to boost market confidence and a stable trading volume exceeding 1 trillion, indicating a good entry point for long-term investments [26].
巴菲特眼中最重要的品质是什么?
点拾投资· 2025-05-30 03:06
每一个人都会问自己,希望自己成为一个什么样的人?决定一个人品质的因素特别多元,那么是否有一个最重要的品 性?关于这个问题,巴菲特在1998年的佛罗里达大学演讲中给出了他的答案。这一次演讲,据说段永平听了不下10 次。我自己也在不同阶段反复观看。 在这一次演讲的开头,巴菲特提到在奥马哈有一个人叫皮特·基威特,他过去常说,在招人时会看三点:诚信 (integrity),智慧(intelligent),活力(energy)。他说如果一个人没有前两点,那么后两点会害了他。如果一个 人没有诚信,我宁愿这个人又本又蠢(if they don't have integrity,you want them dumb and lazy)。 巴菲特说,作为MBA二年级的学生,大家都具有后面两点,所以更想谈谈前面两点。于是,巴菲特提出了一个设想:假 设你们能买下某一个同学余生10%的收入,而且不能来自他父母的财富,你会选择谁? 巴菲特的原话是:You would pick the one you responded the best to,the one who has the leadership qualities,,the ...
银华基金王晓川的三个关键词
点拾投资· 2025-05-28 14:51
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the launch of floating fee rate products, highlighting their significance in the active equity market since 2025, aligning the interests of fund managers and investors, and the potential for restoring the reputation of active equity funds [1]. Group 1: Fund Performance - Wang Xiaochuan, the fund manager of Yinhua Digital Economy A, achieved a 50% return in 2024, ranking first among 867 similar funds and significantly outperforming the benchmark and the CSI 800 index [1][3]. - The performance comparison shows that Wang Xiaochuan's fund closely followed the performance benchmark during a challenging market period from May 2022 to September 2024, and exhibited substantial performance elasticity when the growth stock market rallied [3][5]. Group 2: Investment Philosophy - Wang Xiaochuan emphasizes the importance of selecting the right industry over finding the right company, believing that a correct industry often contains multiple companies with over 30% growth potential [5][6]. - The investment strategy includes identifying opportunities with a certain expectation gap, focusing on "different yet correct" investment opportunities, and employing moderate rotation to smooth portfolio volatility [6][7]. - Wang Xiaochuan respects common sense and market rules, avoiding the pitfalls of chasing highs and selling lows [7][26]. Group 3: Investment Process - The investment process involves identifying high-growth industries, selecting high-growth companies within those industries, and conducting valuation comparisons to find companies with expected pricing discrepancies [16][17]. - Wang Xiaochuan's approach includes a four-step stock selection method, focusing on industry growth, profit growth, reasonable valuation, and upstream/downstream research to identify expectation gaps [15][17]. Group 4: New Product Features - The newly launched Yinhua Growth Smart Selection fund offers greater flexibility in stock allocation (60-95% for mixed funds) compared to the Yinhua Digital Economy fund (80-95% for equity funds), enhancing risk resistance during market downturns [28][29]. - The floating fee rate design serves as an incentive for fund managers while providing greater protection for investors [29][30].