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爱建证券今日视点:股指窄幅震荡整理,成交量能减少一成
Market Overview - The market showed a slight decline with both Shanghai and Shenzhen indices closing down, and the total trading volume decreased by nearly 10% to 0.82 trillion yuan, indicating a notable drop in market activity[7] - The market experienced a narrow fluctuation with a daily range of only 18 points, and the previously active sectors saw a quick retreat, leading to a mixed performance across sectors[5][9] Economic Indicators - The U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell indicated that maintaining current interest rates for an extended period may be necessary if inflation remains above the 2% target, suggesting a delay in potential rate cuts[27][29] - Following the downgrade of the U.S. credit rating by Fitch, Moody's also revised the outlook for U.S. credit from "stable" to "negative," highlighting ongoing economic challenges and liquidity threats in the banking sector[29] Sector Performance - The gaming education, automotive, and light consumer goods sectors showed slight activity, while utilities, coal, and shipping sectors experienced overall adjustments[6][18] - Despite the management's efforts to stabilize the market and boost investor confidence, the domestic market continues to face significant supply-demand imbalances, primarily driven by existing capital rather than new inflows[30] Investment Strategy - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the movements of the RMB exchange rate and market sentiment indicators to effectively navigate the current market conditions[30] - Investors are advised to adopt a high sell-low buy strategy while strictly controlling positions and selectively operating on individual stocks[30]
今日视点
广生堂 300436 21.47 1.12 1.46 1.90 19.17 14.71 11.30 长率42.23%;12-14年归属于母公司净利润为0.43亿、0.57亿和0.84亿,复合增长率 表二: 23.54%,增长稳定 投资要点 公司是一家专业从事数字压力检测、温度校准仪器仪表产品研发、生产和销售的高新 技术企业。目前公司国内数字压力检测、温度校准行业的领先企业之一。在国内的市 场占有率达到15%左右。随着数字化的深入发展,未来公司的销售业绩有进一步上升 的空间。 资料来源:爱建证券研发总部 技术企业。目前公司国内数字压力检测、温度校准行业的领先企业之一。在国内的市 资料来 为例全天波幅仅 18 点,盘中板块热点快速切换,前一天表现活跃的板块整体回落,午 做空违法违规行为,加强市场监管严格把关上市公司质量和财务状况,根据市场情况加 美联储主席鲍威尔表示,最近的数据没有给市场带来更大的信心,相反这些数据表 客厅、书房、卧室以及餐厅等家居生活所使用的主要家具类型),在产品设计、产品 入37.66 亿元、归母净利润1.87 亿元,近三年收入、净利复合增长率分别为15.31%、 重要免责声明 研究所 型"G ...
今日视点
Market Strategy - The market sentiment is subdued due to the retreat of previous hot topics, leading to resistance in stock index upward movements [3][4] - Recent social financing data shows a significant drop, with M2 growth at 7.2% year-on-year, which is much lower than expected, and a negative growth in April social financing [4][19] - The market is supported by public utilities and financial sectors, but the overall market enthusiasm remains weak, particularly in the innovation index [5][20] - The geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Korean Peninsula and South China Sea, are escalating, contributing to market uncertainties [8][9] - The Federal Reserve's stance indicates a likelihood of maintaining current interest rates for an extended period, which may delay any potential rate cuts [11][46] - The domestic market is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, with capital outflows from A-shares, leading to a structural market characterized by sector rotation rather than significant inflows of new capital [11][41] Company Insights - The company specializes in wooden furniture, including solid wood, man-made board, and composite furniture, providing a one-stop home furnishing solution [13] - The company has a strong market presence in the gas distribution and application sectors, with a focus on designing, producing, and selling related products [35] - The company is recognized for its high-quality products and after-sales service, positioning itself as a mid-to-high-end furniture brand [49] - The company has shown a compound annual growth rate in revenue and net profit significantly above industry averages, indicating strong growth potential [52][53]
市场周报
Market Overview - The market remains strong, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,154.55 points, a weekly increase of 1.60%, and a transaction amount of 21,111.15 billion [11] - The Shenzhen Component Index reached 9,731.24 points, up 1.50%, with a transaction amount of 26,380.70 billion [11] - The overall market sentiment is positive, with major indices performing well and a good emotional state among participants [34] Trading Opportunities - There are numerous trading opportunities, although they have not formed a cohesive force, limiting their overall impact on the indices [34] - The best-performing stocks are mainly thematic stocks like synthetic biology, while the worst performers are risk-related stocks [34] - Active sectors include agriculture, defense, and real estate, while sectors like computing, communication, and media are underperforming [34] Valuation Levels - The overall A-share market has a TTM PE of 17.37, with the ChiNext at 46.45, the SSE 50 at 10.57, the CSI 300 at 12.21, and the CSI 1000 at 39.07 [16] - Despite low overall performance growth, the valuation levels remain low, indicating a high safety margin [16] Sector Rotation - The market exhibits structural rotation, with opportunities in cyclical, consumer, and growth sectors, although market funds are unable to cover all areas [34] - The focus remains on event-driven thematic opportunities, with policy and industry events being key observation points [34] - It is essential to manage expectations regarding returns and risks while capitalizing on sector rotations [34]
今日视点
今日视点 发布日期:2024 年 05 月 10 日 星期五 爱建证券有限责任公司 研究所 产品经理:侯英民 执业编号:S0820510120003 周四沪深股指平开走高呈现集体回升势头,股指前市平开后即在锂电新能源和航运 板块的带领下呈现逐级震荡上行走势,其中代表市场人气的双创指数强劲反弹有效提振 展开拉锯,股指基本维持震荡整理走势。板块热点除了化学原料和合成生物略有下跌以 略显活跃涨幅居前。最终沪深两市收盘均小幅上涨,其中上证指数盘中还创下了年内新 电池行业规范公告管理办法(2024 年本)》(征求意见稿),明确锂电池企业产业布 市场策略 三大股指集体回升 成交量能略显不足 Tel: 021-68727288 E-mail: houyingmin@ajzq.com 了市场人气,临近早盘收盘房地产板块出现异动快速拉升,午后多空双方争夺互不相让 外,其余板块均出现不同程度的普涨,其中电池新能源、船舶制造和航天军工板块表现 高,全天两市成交量 0.90 万亿略有增加,市场短期情绪有所回升。 工业和信息化部发布《锂电池行业规范条件(2024 年本)》(征求意见稿)和《锂 局和项目设立中,锂电池企业及项目应符合国家 ...
今日视点
E-mail: houyingmin@ajzq.com 况加大对融资融券等业务的逆周期调节力度,新国九条践行以投资者为本的监管理念, 投资要点 研究所 活跃度持续下降。 地位。公司计划未来三到五年积极扩张,巩固市场领先地位。2014 年公司营业总收 产品未发生变化。 2024 年 05 月 09 日 星期四 发布日期:2024 年 05 月 09 日 星期四 市场策略 执业编号:S0820510120003 周三沪深股指低开低走单边震荡调整,股指前市双双低开后即呈现出逐级震荡下行 势,煤炭电力股盘中一度走高,午后猪肉股有所异动快速回升,但前期题材概念的整体 块表现略显活跃涨幅居前,AI 概念、房地产和游戏传媒板块整体出现调整,个股跌多涨 继五月开门红股指一步到位高开强势震荡整理后,股指连续两天呈现出震荡调整走 现为缩量单边震荡调整走势。近阶段政策面暖风频吹,央行、证监会等部门持续发声并 恶意做空违法违规行为,加强市场监管严格把关上市公司质量和财务状况,根据市场情 活跃资本市场提振投资者信心,管理层接二连三不断推出相关政策举措,有力地向市场 下,市场的政策底已基本确立,但由于春节长假前股指下挫迭创年内新低投资者 ...
今日视点
爱建证券有限责任公司 产品经理:侯英民 执业编号:S0820510120003 E-mail: houyingmin@ajzq.com 股延续活跃依然表现强势,合成生物板块则开始出现分化,午后房地产有所异动拉动股 生物和化学制品表现略显活跃涨幅居前,ST 板块、教育和汽车整车板块整体出现调整。 继五月开门红股指一步到位高开强势震荡整理后,周二股指总体呈现为窄幅震荡走 能量有所减弱,多空各自为战展开激烈争夺,股指表现为强势震荡整理的走势。近阶段 严格把关上市公司质量和财务状况,根据市场情况加大对融资融券等业务的逆周期调节 前期崩溃的情绪得以有效缓解,各个指数型股票 ETF 持续获得资金净流入,市场的做 号,在不断释放提振经济和维护稳定市场的背景下,市场的政策底已基本确立,但由于 级外溢引发的中东和红海紧张局势依然危机四伏,市场的不确定性因素增加并对资本市 美一系列限制政策严重扰乱了全球产业链和供应链的稳定,全球去美元化浪潮日益兴 目标,美联储可能会在更长一段时间内将利率维持在当前的水平,同时他还表示现有政 请仔细阅读在本报告尾部的重要法律声明 策已经做好了应对我们所面临风险的准备,鉴于眼下就业市场和在通胀方面取 ...
今日视点
请仔细阅读在本报告尾部的重要法律声明 第 3 页 共 3 页 今日视点 研究所 市场策略 产品经理:侯英民 股指高开强势震荡 题材权重轮番表现 执业编号:S0820510120003 Tel: 021-68727288 周一沪深股指延续节前的势头高开强势震荡整理,股指前市双双跳空高开随后股指 空力量,投资者前期崩溃的情绪得以有效缓解,各个指数型股票 ETF 持续获得资金净 市场的积极信号,在不断释放提振经济和维护稳定市场的背景下,市场的政策底已基本 升级偏向长期化,半岛和南海地缘政治局势持续对峙趋于恶化,伊以双方局面稍显缓和, 加并对资本市场产生了很大的影响。美国把中国作为主要竞争目标肆意打压诽谤,并联 发布日期:2024 年 05 月 07 日 星期二 爱建证券有限责任公司 E-mail: houyingmin@ajzq.com 基本在开盘指数附近上下波动,盘中化工股集体爆发表现活跃,全天权重和题材交替活 跃轮番表现,市场做多力量明显增强,多个指数在盘中创出年内新高。板块热点除了 ST 板块、教育和旅游酒店下跌以外,其余板块均有不同程度的上涨,其中合成生物、 化学制品和化肥板块整体表现活跃涨幅居前。最终沪深 ...
今日视点
质量、售后服务等方面居于国内同行业领先水平的家具企业。公司定位为中高端家具 投资要点 产品,"曲美"家具品牌在消费者中形成了较高的知名度和美誉度,在行业内拥有较高的 品牌影响力,秉承"融合全球时尚设计,打造轻松自然空间"的家具设计理念,致力于为 客户提供"时尚、经典、原创"的家具产品,为终端客户提供"一站式、全方位"的家居整 体解决方案 广生堂 300436 21.47 1.12 1.46 1.90 19.17 14.71 11.30 广生堂是主业为核苷类抗乙肝病毒药物,阿甘定(阿德福韦酯)、贺甘定(拉米夫 定)和恩甘定(恩替卡韦)是公司的三大主要药品,也是国内唯一一个拥有者三大乙 投资要点 肝抗病毒一线用药的厂家。公司12-14年营业收入为1.26亿、1.78亿和2.54亿,复合增 长率42.23%;12-14年归属于母公司净利润为0.43亿、0.57亿和0.84亿,复合增长率 达到39.32%,收入和利润增速远远高于行业增速。 老百姓603883 16.41 0.76 0.95 1.16 21.59 17.27 14.15 公司主要从事产业链终端的药品零售服务,截至2014 年9 月底,公司门店总数为 9 ...
今日视点
今日视点 发布日期:2024 年 04 月 26 日 星期五 爱建证券有限责任公司 研究所 市场策略 产品经理:侯英民 股指震荡反弹受阻 量能减少多空谨慎 执业编号:S0820510120003 Tel: 021-68727288 周四沪深股指震荡反弹受阻回落,股指前市低开后略有反复即在化工板块的带领下 E-mail: houyingmin@ajzq.com 出现震荡快速回升走势,无奈市场的追随意愿不强,特别是代表的人气的双创指数表现 较弱全天翻绿,板块热点散乱无序,股指随后就呈现出逐级震荡回落走势。盘中板块热 点继续分化,其中化学原料、磷化工和物流板块表现略显活跃涨幅居前,低空经济、文 化传媒和通信设备板块整体出现调整。最终沪深两市收盘均微幅上涨,全天两市成交量 0.77 万亿略有减少,市场活跃度整体依然不高,股指量价有所背离。 五一长假日益临近,多空双方表现均趋于谨慎,周四虽然化工板块整体表现活跃, 但其市场号召力极为有限,而前两天活跃的题材概念全面退潮,市场的短线情绪整体较 弱,板块热点频繁切换多方缺乏持续的做多力量,市场凝聚力依然不足,同时成交量维 持在近阶段较低水平不足 8000 亿,因此股指的反弹 ...