证券研究报告 行业研究 / 行业点评 2025 年 09 月 08 日 汽车 资料来源：聚源数据，爱建证券研究所 相关研究 《汽车行业周报：小鹏全新 P7 验证产品力，量 变已现，质变可期》2025-09-01 《汽车行业周报：看好央企高端电动智能品牌 借力起势》2025-08-25 《汽车行业周报：小鹏、大众 CEA 架构覆盖燃 油车，或带来显著增量》2025-08-18 《汽车行业周报：国资车企集团改革成效或将 渐显》2025-08-11 《汽车行业周报：上海牌照发放加速 Robotaxi 商业化》2025-08-04 吴迪 S0820525010001 021-32229888-25523 wudi@ajzq.com 徐姝婧 S0820124090004 021-32229888-25517 xushujing@ajzq.com 行业及产业 蔚来–迈凯伦合作开启技术输出新业务空间 ——汽车行业周报（2025/09/01-2025/09/07） 一年内行业指数与沪深 300 指数对比走势： 请仔细阅读在本报告尾部的重要法律声明 强于大市 投资要点： 本周汽车板块涨跌幅-1.27%。本周 A 股申万汽车行业 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Accumulate" rating for the company [2][5]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the growth in household storage in Australia and the increasing demand for industrial and commercial storage solutions. The report highlights that the company's profits are at a low point but are expected to rebound due to favorable market conditions [5]. - The company specializes in photovoltaic inverters and energy storage products, holding significant market shares globally. The report anticipates growth driven by global demand, expansion into emerging markets, and the introduction of high-power products [5][20]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 3,743 million - 2024: 2,711 million - 2025E: 2,897 million - 2026E: 3,456 million - 2027E: 4,320 million - The expected growth rates for total revenue are -16.0% in 2023, -27.6% in 2024, followed by a recovery with 6.9% in 2025, 19.3% in 2026, and 25.0% in 2027 [4][26]. - The projected net profit attributable to the parent company is: - 2023: 341 million - 2024: 259 million - 2025E: 271 million - 2026E: 386 million - 2027E: 503 million - The net profit growth rates are -59.8% in 2023, -24.1% in 2024, with a recovery to 4.9% in 2025, 42.1% in 2026, and 30.6% in 2027 [4][26]. Industry and Company Situation - The company is positioned as a leader in the differentiated niche market of household energy storage in Europe, with significant growth expected in the energy storage sector due to global carbon neutrality efforts [5]. - The report emphasizes that while the European household storage market is stabilizing, the demand for industrial and commercial storage is rapidly increasing, which the company is well-positioned to capitalize on [5][20]. - The Australian household storage market is projected to grow significantly following government subsidies, with the company already establishing a local subsidiary to enhance service delivery [5][20]. Key Assumptions - The report assumes steady growth in global photovoltaic demand and a recovery in the European household storage market, with expected revenue growth rates for the company's grid-connected inverter business of 5% in 2025, 18% in 2026, and 25% in 2027 [5]. - For energy storage inverters and batteries, the anticipated revenue growth rates are 8% in 2025, 20% in 2026, and 25% in 2027 [5].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company is expected to see significant growth in its energy storage business, driven by a solid foundation in the U.S. market and continuous breakthroughs in new markets [5] - The company specializes in solar storage products and metal products, with a strong market position in the U.S. and Korea [5] - The report highlights the company's competitive advantages, including brand strength, after-sales service capabilities, and backing from the Zhejiang Chint Group [5] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 2,518 million yuan in 2023 to 5,715 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.7% [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 64 million yuan in 2023 to 494 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a significant recovery after a decline in 2023 [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.18 yuan in 2023 to 1.36 yuan in 2027 [4] - The gross margin is expected to stabilize around 30% over the forecast period, with a slight decline anticipated in 2027 [4] Industry and Company Situation - The company is positioned as a leader in the commercial inverter market in the U.S. and Korea, with a revenue share of 61.65% from solar storage products and 37.82% from metal products in the first half of 2025 [5] - The global demand for solar storage is expected to grow as carbon neutrality initiatives advance, providing a favorable environment for the company's growth [5] - The company has secured significant projects in Europe and Japan, indicating successful market penetration and product innovation [5][13] Key Assumptions - The inverter business is projected to grow at a steady rate of 20% annually from 2025 to 2027 [5] - The energy storage business is expected to experience rapid growth, with revenue growth rates of 80%, 70%, and 60% for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively [5] Catalysts - Continued acquisition of energy storage orders and a potential shift in U.S. policies towards more favorable conditions for renewable energy [5]

证券研究报告 行业研究 / 行业点评 2025 年 09 月 02 日 电子 强于大市 投资要点： 一年内行业指数与沪深 300 指数对比走势： 资料来源：聚源数据，爱建证券研究所 相关研究 《电子行业周报：华虹半导体筹划收购华力微 控股权》2025-08-25 《电子行业周报：Amazfit 产业链迎来业绩拐 点》2025-08-20 许亮 S0820525010002 0755-83562506 xuliang@ajzq.com 朱俊宇 S0820125040021 021-32229888-25520 zhujunyu@ajzq.com 行业及产业 NVIDIA 推出 Jetson AGX Thor 超级 电脑 ——电子行业周报（2025/8/25-8/29） 风险提示：1）国际贸易摩擦加剧 2）下游需求不及预期 3）技术升级进度滞后 《人工智能月度跟踪：WAIC 2025 聚焦多种大 模型、AI 算力芯片和服务器》2025-08-18 《电子行业专题报告：全品类科技硬件产品的 贸易风险分析》2025-08-15 《电子行业点评：AI 时代半导体的变与不变》 2025-08-13 请仔细阅读在本报告尾部 ...

Investment Rating - The food and beverage industry is rated as "stronger than the market" [1] Core Views - The food and beverage industry index increased by 2.13% in the week of August 25-29, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 0.84% [9] - The industry is currently at a historical low valuation, with a PE-TTM of 22.51x, corresponding to the 17th percentile over the past 15 years [16] - The liquor sector is expected to see a weak recovery in demand as policy pressures ease, with leading companies like Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye showing strong dividend potential [6] Summary by Sections Weekly Performance - The food and beverage industry outperformed the market with a 2.13% increase, ranking 7th among 31 sub-industries [9] - The snack sector saw the highest increase at 10.20%, followed by dairy products at 2.67% and liquor at 2.14% [12] Liquor Sector - Wuliangye launched a new 29° product aimed at attracting younger consumers, reflecting a trend towards modernizing the liquor market [26] - The price of Feitian Moutai has decreased, with current prices at 1820 RMB for original and 1795 RMB for scattered [25] Tea Beverage Sector - Mixue Group reported a revenue of 14.88 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, a 39.3% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of 2.72 billion RMB, up 44.1% [32] - The number of Mixue stores reached 53,014, a 22.7% increase year-on-year, with a significant expansion in mainland China [33] New Consumption - Pop Mart's new mini LABUBU product saw over 1 million units sold within minutes of its launch, indicating strong consumer demand and improved production capacity [38] - The company has significantly increased its production capacity to 30 million units in August, ten times that of the previous year [38] Cost Indicators - Prices for sugar and glass have slightly decreased, which may positively impact the cost structure of the food and beverage industry [39]

Investment Rating - The mechanical equipment industry is rated as "stronger than the market" [1] Core Insights - The mechanical equipment sector has shown a performance of +1.01% compared to the Shanghai Composite Index's +2.71% during the week of August 25 to August 29, 2025, ranking 13th out of 31 sectors [9][11] - The laser equipment sub-sector performed the best with a growth of +12.41% [9][13] - The overall PE-TTM valuation for the mechanical equipment industry increased by 1.09%, with the top three sub-sectors in terms of PE-TTM uplift being laser equipment (+12.44%), engineering components (+6.5%), and other automation (+4.65%) [16][15] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review - The mechanical equipment sector underperformed against the Shanghai Composite Index, with a weekly increase of +1.01% [9] - The PE-TTM for the mechanical equipment sector is reported at 37.7x, with the highest valuations in robotics (182.1x), other automation (164.2x), and machine tools (99.6x) [15] 2. Key Company Reports for H1 2025 - **Micro Company**: Achieved revenue of approximately 4.961 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 43.88%, driven by high demand for etching equipment [25] - **Northern Huachuang**: Reported revenue of 16.142 billion yuan, a 29.51% increase, with significant contributions from semiconductor equipment [26] - **Wanye Enterprise**: Revenue reached 699 million yuan, a staggering 247.76% increase, attributed to rapid growth in the semiconductor equipment sector [27] - **Shenkai Co.**: Revenue of 406 million yuan, a 22.62% increase, with notable growth in overseas markets [28] - **Jiuli Special Materials**: Revenue of 6.105 billion yuan, a 26.39% increase, driven by strong performance in composite pipe sales [29] - **Western Superconducting**: Revenue of 2.723 billion yuan, a 34.76% increase, supported by sales of superconducting materials [30] 3. Important Industry Data Charts - The manufacturing PMI for August is reported at 49.4%, indicating a contraction [32] - The PPI for all industrial products in July showed a year-on-year decrease of 3.6% [32]

Investment Rating - The automotive industry is rated as "Outperform" compared to the market index [3][11]. Core Insights - The automotive sector saw a weekly increase of 0.35%, with the A-share automotive index closing at 7,839.3 points, ranking 14 out of 31 sectors. In comparison, the CSI 300 index rose by 2.71% to 4,496.8 points [3][4]. - The new XPeng P7 has demonstrated strong product capabilities, achieving over 10,000 pre-orders within 7 minutes of its launch. The vehicle is positioned in the mid-to-high-end electric market, featuring advanced AI technology and impressive performance metrics [3][6]. - The sales structure of XPeng is improving, with Q2 2025 revenue reaching 18.27 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 125.3%. The gross margin for vehicles is 14.3%, with an overall gross margin of 17.3% [3][6]. - XPeng plans to expand its presence internationally, targeting 60 countries by 2025 and aiming to become one of the top three exporters of new energy vehicles from China by 2027 [3][6]. - The potential for Robotaxi deployment is significant, with plans for mass production of L4 level autonomous vehicles by 2026 [3][6]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The automotive sector's weekly performance was +0.35%, with commercial vehicles leading at +1.33% and automotive services declining by -3.93% [4][6]. - The top-performing stocks in the A-share automotive sector included Tianpu Co. (+61.06%) and Haoen Electric (+58.28%) [7]. Company Insights - XPeng's new P7 model features three self-developed AI chips, achieving a computing power of 2250 TOPS, significantly surpassing industry standards [3][6]. - The company is enhancing its charging infrastructure, with a goal of over 10,000 self-operated charging stations by 2026 [3][6]. - The sales distribution indicates a shift towards higher-end models, with the G7 model achieving the highest sales in its class shortly after launch [3][6]. Market Outlook - The report suggests a focus on leading smart vehicle manufacturers that leverage AI and computing power to create user experience barriers, recommending attention to companies like Xiaomi, XPeng, and Li Auto [3][6]. - The report also highlights the potential for domestic state-owned enterprises to improve performance through reform and new product cycles, recommending companies like SAIC Motor and Dongfeng Motor [3][6].

Investment Rating - The report rates the power equipment industry as "Outperforming the Market" [1] Core Insights - The energy storage industry is expected to experience significant growth driven by the recovery of user-side storage, rapid growth in industrial and commercial storage demand, and the integration of AI with energy storage solutions [2] - The global demand for large-scale energy storage systems is anticipated to grow rapidly, with a projected installation of 86.7 GWh in the first half of 2025, representing a 54% year-on-year increase [2] - The report emphasizes the importance of energy storage in achieving carbon neutrality goals, predicting that global energy storage demand will reach over 4000 GW by 2050 [2] Summary by Sections 1. Energy Storage: A Solution to Power Supply and Demand Mismatch - Energy storage is crucial for addressing the temporal mismatch between power supply and demand, enhancing the stability and sustainability of energy systems [7] 2. Demand: Optimistic Outlook for Domestic Industrial Storage and Overseas Expansion - The report highlights the diverse drivers of global energy storage demand, with optimistic trends expected in the U.S., Europe, and emerging markets [2][3] - In China, the penetration rate of user-side storage is low, indicating significant growth potential [2] - The U.S. is expected to experience a surge in demand due to policy changes, while Europe is witnessing rapid growth in industrial and large-scale storage markets [2] 3. Industry Landscape: Uncertain Future with Strong Integration of Battery and System Integration Companies - The report notes that the energy storage industry is still evolving, with battery manufacturers and power conversion system (PCS) companies increasingly competing and integrating vertically [2] - The competitive landscape is characterized by a stable dual-leader position in inverters held by companies like Sungrow and Huawei [2] 4. Investment Themes: Focus on Overseas Expansion and AI Integration - The report suggests focusing on user-side storage recovery, the rapid growth of industrial storage demand, and the benefits of AI integration in energy storage solutions [2] - The anticipated recovery in user-side storage demand is expected to begin in Q4 2024, with significant growth in global industrial storage demand [2] 5. Technical Trends: Lithium-ion Dominance, Sodium-ion Acceleration, and Rise of Long-duration Storage - The report outlines a future where lithium-ion technology remains dominant, sodium-ion technology accelerates, and long-duration storage solutions gradually emerge [2][3] - The expected growth in energy storage technologies is driven by the need for renewable energy integration and the reduction of reliance on lithium resources [2]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook based on its successful globalization strategy and structural improvement in profitability [5]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve significant growth in net profit from 11.17 billion to 22.27 billion RMB from 2025 to 2027, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 257.5%, 56.5%, and 27.3% respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 35.4, 22.6, and 17.7 [5]. - The report highlights the company's successful expansion in both domestic and international markets, with substantial revenue growth driven by refined operations in China and rapid overseas market penetration [5][8]. - The diversification of the company's IP matrix has reduced reliance on a single IP, with plush toy revenue significantly increasing by 1276.2% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [5]. Summary by Sections Market Data - The closing price of the stock is 322.2 HKD, with a market capitalization of 432.7 billion HKD and a total share count of 1.34 billion [2]. Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow from 6.3 billion RMB in 2023 to 63.19 billion RMB in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 37% [7]. - The gross margin is expected to improve from 61.3% in 2023 to 73.0% in 2027, indicating enhanced profitability [7]. Growth Drivers - The company plans to expand its overseas store count to over 200 by the end of the year, targeting emerging markets in the Middle East, Central Europe, and Central South America [8]. - Innovations in product categories and a strong IP matrix are anticipated to continue driving revenue growth and market share [8]. Supply Chain and Production Capacity - The company has upgraded its supply chain through lean production and automation, increasing monthly production capacity for plush toys to 30 million units [6]. - Strategic plans include establishing six global production bases to enhance supply chain flexibility and responsiveness [6].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The bond market is under phased pressure, and potential negative feedback effects should be vigilant. The recent bond market has been under continuous pressure, mainly disturbed by three factors: the strengthening of M1 year - on - year data, the significant recovery of market risk appetite, and the "anti - involution" policy expectation. The stock - bond cost - performance index shows that the bond allocation value is accumulating but has not reached the threshold for asset re - allocation. In the short term, the strong performance of the equity market is the biggest risk for the bond market, and investors are advised to maintain a defensive stance and a short - duration strategy [5]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Bond Market Weekly Review - From August 18th to 22nd, the yields of treasury bonds fluctuated upwards, and the stock - bond seesaw effect dominated the bond market trend. The yields of 1 - year and 10 - year treasury bonds increased by 0.42bp and 3.53bp respectively, closing at 1.3707% and 1.7818%. The bond market was affected by factors such as tax payment, LPR quotes, and equity market trends during the week [2][10]. 3.2 Bond Market Data Tracking 3.2.1 Funding Situation - From August 18th to 22nd, the central bank's open - market operations had a net injection of 12,652.00 billion yuan. The central bank conducted 20,770.00 billion yuan in reverse repurchases and had 7,118.00 billion yuan in maturities. The funding rates first increased and then decreased. R001, DR001, R007, and DR007 all increased compared to the previous week, and the funding situation remained in a tight balance. The central bank is expected to continue to maintain liquidity injection next week, and the funding rate center may remain flat [4][23]. 3.2.2 Supply Side - From August 18th to 22nd, the total issuance volume of interest - rate bonds increased, and the net financing amount increased. The total issuance scale of interest - rate bonds was 13,099.50 billion yuan, an increase of 1,335.28 billion yuan from the previous week. The government bond issuance scale decreased, and the net financing amount decreased. The issuance scale of inter - bank certificates of deposit decreased, and the net financing amount decreased [39][42]. 3.3 Next Week's Outlook and Strategy 3.3.1 Next Week's Outlook - The supply pressure of treasury bonds will ease next week. There are no treasury bond issuance plans, and the planned issuance of local government bonds is 3,515.97 billion yuan. Facing the cross - month disturbance and large - scale reverse repurchase maturity pressure, the central bank is expected to continue to maintain a stance of protecting liquidity, and the funding rate center may remain flat [3][60]. 3.3.2 Bond Market Strategy - The bond market is under phased pressure, and potential negative feedback effects should be vigilant. The recent bond market has been under pressure due to factors such as the strengthening of M1 data, the recovery of market risk appetite, and policy expectations. The stock - bond cost - performance index shows that the bond allocation value is accumulating. In the short term, the strong performance of the equity market is the biggest risk for the bond market. Investors are advised to maintain a defensive stance and a short - duration strategy [5]. 3.4 Global Major Assets - U.S. Treasury yields generally declined. As of August 22, 2025, the yields of 1Y, 2Y, 3Y, 5Y, 10Y, and 30Y U.S. Treasuries decreased compared to August 15. The U.S. dollar index declined, and the central parity rate of the U.S. dollar against the RMB decreased slightly. Gold, silver, and crude oil prices generally rose [69][70].