| ESG 建设提速，机遇与挑战并存：—— | 2024-12-25 | | --- | --- | | 2025 年度 ESG 展望 | | | 谷歌推出全木结构办公室，国泰航空等推 | 2024-12-14 | | 动香港应用可持续航空燃料：——ESG 企 | | | 业动态双周报第二十二期 | | | 赋能绿色金融深化发展，基于 ESG 评分等 | 2024-12-14 | | 探索创新金融产品：——东方证券 ESG 双 | | | 周报第六十一期 | | 财政部成功发行首笔人民币绿色主权债券 ——ESG 企业动态双周报第二十九期 卷首语 ⚫ 2023 年 12 月 21 日，中证协国际合作专业委员会全体会议中强调，在党中央扩大高 水平对外开放的部署下，如何帮助中国优秀企业走出去，吸引国际长期资金投资中 国，是证券公司跨境展业需要探讨的课题和工作重点，证券公司应重视推进国际传 播能力建设，讲好中国故事，传播好中国声音，提升国际投资者对中国的信心。 ESG 是全球企业的通用标准，与高质量发展在内核方面有着重要的一致性。ESG 对 于中国优秀企业来说，是其提升竞争力和可持续发展的重要驱动力，与其发展目标 相 ...

汽车与零部件行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 特朗普关税政策下在北美建厂公司将受 益，继续关注华为链 ——汽车行业周报（0407-0413） 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 从投资策略上看，继续关注人形机器人链汽零投资机会，相关公司有望盈利和估值双 升；2025 年具备竞争力的自主品牌及在智驾技术方面领先的新势力企业将继续扩大市场 份额；预计部分央国企通过自身改革及加强对外合作等，实现困境反转。建议持续关注 部分汽车行业央国企及人形机器人链、华为产业链、小米产业链、T 链、智驾产业链公 司。 建议关注：上汽集团、江淮汽车、比亚迪、长安汽车、中国重汽、广汽集团、宇通客 车；新泉股份、银轮股份、岱美股份、拓普集团、经纬恒润、爱柯迪、保隆科技、精锻 科技、贝斯特、瑞鹄模具、上声电子、双林股份、华阳集团、华域汽车、伯特利、德赛 西威、科博达、星宇股份、三花智控、继峰股份、上海沿浦、福耀玻璃、浙江荣泰等。 风险提示 宏观经济下行影响汽车需求、上游原材料价格波动影响、车企价格战压力。 国家/地区 中国 行业 汽车与零部件行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 04 月 13 日 中性（维持） | 姜雪晴 | jiangxueqing ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][7]. Core Views - The company has exceeded dividend expectations, indicating potential for sustainable growth in the future [1]. - The revenue for 2024 is projected to be 24.01 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.4%, with a net profit of 3.84 billion yuan, up 20% year-on-year [6]. - The company is expanding its production capacity with new factories in Vietnam and Indonesia, which are expected to enhance operational efficiency [6]. Financial Forecasts and Investment Recommendations - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are forecasted to be 3.71, 4.22, and 4.83 yuan respectively, with a target price of 66.51 yuan based on an 18x PE valuation for 2025 [2][7]. - The company’s revenue is expected to grow from 20.11 billion yuan in 2023 to 35.46 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12.6% [2][10]. - The gross profit margin is projected to remain stable, with slight fluctuations, indicating consistent profitability [2][10]. Key Financial Metrics - The company’s operating profit for 2024 is expected to be 4.97 billion yuan, with a net profit margin of 16% [6][10]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to decline slightly from 22.6% in 2023 to 19.1% in 2027, reflecting a stable but slightly decreasing profitability trend [10]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 20.5 in 2023 to 11.6 in 2027, indicating potential undervaluation as earnings grow [10].

3 月挖机内销超预期，关税冲突有望推动自 主可控及内需发展 ——机械行业周报 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 3 月挖机内销超预期，开工端继续恢复。根据中国工程机械工业协会的统计，2025 年 3 月全国销售 各类挖掘机 29590 台，同比增长 18.5%；其中内销 19517 台，同比增长 28.5%，出口 10073 台， 同比增长 2.87%。2025 年 1-3 月全国销售各类挖掘机 61372 台，同比增长 22.8%。分市场来看，1- 3 月挖掘机国内销售 36562 台，同比增长 38.3%；出口销量 24810 台，同比增长 5.49%，出口销量 占比 40.4%。我们认为，3 月挖机内销继续超预期，原因主要系存量需求更新+政策资金拉动，结构 上或仍是小挖增速较快。从设备开机数据来看，3 月庞源租赁塔吊吨米利用率为 49.7%，同比提升 3.5pct，由此可见开工端数据也在继续恢复。 关税冲突推动自主可控及内需发展机会。（1）关税复盘：4 月以来美国关税矛盾升温，4 月 2 日美 国对全球多国实施"对等关税"，对中国商品加征 34%关税，4 月 4 日我国对等反制，4 月 8 日美 国对中国关 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][7]. Core Views - The company has exceeded dividend expectations, indicating potential for sustainable growth in the future [1]. - The revenue for 2024 is projected to be 24.01 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.4%, with a net profit of 3.84 billion yuan, up 20% year-on-year [6]. - The company is expanding its production capacity with new factories in Vietnam and Indonesia, which are expected to enhance operational efficiency [6]. Financial Forecasts and Investment Recommendations - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are forecasted to be 3.71, 4.22, and 4.83 yuan respectively, with a target price of 66.51 yuan based on an 18x PE valuation for 2025 [2][7]. - The company’s revenue is expected to grow from 20.11 billion yuan in 2023 to 35.46 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12.6% [2][10]. - The gross profit margin is projected to remain stable, with slight fluctuations, indicating consistent profitability [6][10]. Key Financial Metrics - The company’s operating profit for 2024 is expected to be 4.97 billion yuan, with a net profit margin of 16% [6][10]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to decline slightly from 22.6% in 2023 to 19.1% in 2027, reflecting a stable but slightly decreasing profitability trend [10]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 20.5 in 2023 to 11.6 in 2027, indicating potential undervaluation as earnings grow [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 39.00 CNY for 2025 [5]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve stable revenue and performance in 2024, with a significant increase in new orders and backlog orders, laying a foundation for revenue and performance growth in 2025 [2]. - The company’s 2025-2027 net profit forecasts are 3.075 billion CNY, 3.636 billion CNY, and 4.225 billion CNY respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 3.00 CNY, 3.55 CNY, and 4.13 CNY [2]. - The report notes a slight downward adjustment in revenue growth expectations due to trade conflicts and uncertainties, while gross and net profit margins are slightly adjusted upwards due to scale effects and changes in exchange rates [2]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 13,912 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 21.9%. For 2024, revenue is projected to decline to 13,355 million CNY, a decrease of 4.0% [3]. - The operating profit for 2023 was 2,932 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 13.7%. The operating profit is expected to increase to 3,213 million CNY in 2024, reflecting a growth of 9.6% [3]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 was 2,454 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 9.3%. It is projected to rise to 2,627 million CNY in 2024, a growth of 7.0% [3]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve from 32.8% in 2023 to 33.7% in 2024, while the net margin is projected to increase from 17.6% to 19.7% in the same period [3]. Order Growth and Market Position - The company secured new orders worth 182.32 billion CNY in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 30.64%. The backlog of orders reached 101.55 billion CNY, up 34.52% year-on-year [9]. - The company continues to lead in high-end equipment manufacturing, with a revenue of 91.80 billion CNY in this segment, reflecting a growth of 12.71% [9]. - Despite a decline in revenue from oil and gas engineering and technical services, new orders in this segment have doubled, indicating ongoing progress in overseas markets [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the machinery industry [4] Core Viewpoints - In March 2025, domestic excavator sales exceeded expectations, with a total of 29,590 units sold nationwide, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.5%. Domestic sales accounted for 19,517 units, up 28.5% year-on-year, while exports reached 10,073 units, a growth of 2.87% [1] - The increase in domestic excavator sales is attributed to the renewal of existing demand and policy-driven funding, with small excavators showing faster growth [1] - The ongoing tariff conflicts are expected to create opportunities for domestic production and internal demand development, as high tariffs on imports from the U.S. may lead to a significant reduction in imported goods, benefiting domestic products [2] Summary by Sections Excavator Sales Performance - In the first three months of 2025, a total of 61,372 excavators were sold, marking a year-on-year increase of 22.8%. Domestic sales during this period reached 36,562 units, up 38.3% year-on-year, while export sales were 24,810 units, with a growth of 5.49% [1] Tariff Impact and Domestic Opportunities - The report outlines the escalation of U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods, with rates increasing to 125%. This situation is expected to enhance the competitiveness of domestic products in the market [2] - Key sectors to focus on include agricultural machinery, engineering machinery, coal machinery, instrumentation, and domestic robotic systems, which are anticipated to benefit from the shift towards domestic demand [2] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests monitoring specific companies within the engineering machinery sector, including Zhonglian Heavy Industry (000157, Buy) and Anhui HeLi (600761, Buy), among others across various segments such as industrial equipment and energy equipment [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 39.00 CNY for 2025 [5]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve stable revenue and performance in 2024, with a significant increase in new orders and backlog, laying a foundation for growth in 2025 [2]. - Despite recent oil price fluctuations, the company is projected to see a steady performance, with a slight adjustment in revenue growth expectations due to trade conflicts and uncertainties [2]. - The forecasted net profit for the company from 2025 to 2027 is 30.75 billion CNY, 36.36 billion CNY, and 42.25 billion CNY respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 3.00 CNY, 3.55 CNY, and 4.13 CNY [2]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2023, the company reported a revenue of 13,912 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 21.9%. For 2024, revenue is expected to decline to 13,355 million CNY, a decrease of 4.0% [3]. - The company's operating profit for 2023 was 2,932 million CNY, with a growth of 13.7%. The operating profit is projected to increase to 3,213 million CNY in 2024, reflecting a growth of 9.6% [3]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 was 2,454 million CNY, with a growth of 9.3%. It is expected to rise to 2,627 million CNY in 2024, a growth of 7.0% [3]. - The company’s gross margin is projected to improve from 32.8% in 2023 to 34.9% in 2025, while the net margin is expected to stabilize around 19.7% from 2025 onwards [3]. Order and Market Performance - The company secured new orders worth 182.32 billion CNY in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 30.64%. The backlog of orders at the end of the reporting period was 101.55 billion CNY, up 34.52% [9]. - The company’s high-end equipment manufacturing revenue reached 91.80 billion CNY in 2024, a growth of 12.71%, maintaining its leading position in the oil and gas equipment sector [9]. - The overseas market continues to show promise, with significant new orders from major oil companies, indicating a robust pipeline for future revenue [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 44.66 CNY, based on an average PE valuation of 29 times for 2025 [2][5]. Core Insights - The automotive electronics business is experiencing rapid growth, with a significant increase in revenue and an optimized customer structure [1][9]. - The company forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 811 million, 1,012 million, and 1,253 million CNY respectively, reflecting a growth rate of 24.5% and 24.9% for 2026 and 2027 [2][4]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 10,158 million CNY in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 42.3%, with a net profit of 651 million CNY, up 40.1% [9]. - The gross margin for 2024 was 20.7%, with a slight decline due to accounting changes, while operating cash flow improved by 33.4% [9]. - The automotive electronics segment generated 76.03 billion CNY in revenue, marking a 57.6% increase, with significant market share gains in HUD and wireless charging products [9]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 12,469 million, 14,699 million, and 17,273 million CNY respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 22.8%, 17.9%, and 17.5% [4][12]. - The company expects to maintain a net profit margin of around 6.5% to 7.3% over the forecast period, with a return on equity projected to rise from 9.1% in 2023 to 15.0% in 2027 [4][12].

扩产增储降本增效，矿业龙头迈向巅峰 ——紫金矿业 2024 年报点评 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 公司是全球铜金矿业龙头，拥有世界级的矿产资源，行业顶尖的技术水平与管理能 力。我们原预测公司 2025 年 EPS 为 1.25 元，由于金、铜价格上涨，故上调 2025 年 盈利预测，并新增 2026-2027 年盈利预测。预计公司 2025-2027 年 EPS 分别为 1.49、1.82、2.20 元。根据可比公司 2025 年的市盈率估值情况，给予公司 2025 年 16X 市盈率，目标价 23.84 元，维持买入评级。 风险提示 公司矿产铜、矿产金产品的量、价、利润率不及预期；海外并购当地政局不稳定风险； 投资收益波动风险 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 293,403 | 303,640 | 392,933 | 431,466 | 470,162 | | 同比增长 (%) | 8.5% | 3.5% | 29.4% | ...