Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 39.99 CNY, based on a PE ratio of 43 times for 2025 [2][5]. Core Views - The company is actively expanding into the civil aviation and low-altitude industries, which are expected to become new growth points [1]. - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 1.301 billion CNY and 1.516 billion CNY respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 1.759 billion CNY [2]. - The company is increasing its R&D investments significantly, which has led to a rise in R&D expenses by 33.11 million CNY, impacting profit margins in the short term but is expected to yield new growth opportunities in the future [8]. Financial Summary - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 4.78 billion CNY in 2023 to 7.888 billion CNY in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15.7% [4][11]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 1.031 billion CNY in 2023 to 1.759 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 16.0% [4][11]. - The gross margin is expected to remain stable around 38% over the forecast period, while the net margin is projected to improve slightly from 21.6% in 2023 to 22.3% in 2027 [4][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 38.54 CNY, based on a 47 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2026 [3][5]. Core Views - The company has shown significant improvement in gross profit margins, with a second-quarter gross margin of 17.08%, up 1.38 percentage points from the previous quarter. This increase is attributed to enhanced operational strategies and R&D capabilities [11]. - The company is actively expanding its recycling capabilities in the rare earth materials sector, which is expected to reduce costs and increase profitability as demand for magnetic materials grows [11]. - The company has achieved breakthroughs in its surface coating technology, which is expected to further enhance product margins [11]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 6,688 million CNY in 2023 to 17,882 million CNY by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 36.6% [9]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 564 million CNY in 2023 to 1,399 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to rise from 0.41 CNY in 2023 to 1.02 CNY in 2027 [9]. Market Performance - The company's stock has shown strong performance, with a 254.2% increase over the past 12 months [6]. - The stock price as of August 25, 2025, was 36.36 CNY, with a 52-week high of 36.36 CNY and a low of 9.87 CNY [5].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The convertible bond market continues to rise with equities, and although the upward space for convertible bond valuations is decreasing, they still have potential under the influence of optimistic equity sentiment. The current positions of major institutional convertible bonds are generally low, and the absolute funds have mostly been realized. Relative funds are cautious about increasing convertible bond positions, with most maintaining their positions to keep their rankings, and the bond - selection style is relatively aggressive. There are no short - term negative factors in the domestic market, and the impact of the interim reports is limited. In the current market, the slow - bull characteristics are significant, and there is still potential for off - market funds in convertible bonds. One can appropriately ignore short - term fluctuations, adhere to the mid - line bullish view, and add positions at important support levels if there are callbacks [6][9]. - The A - share market continued to rise last week due to the combined influence of internal and external factors. The Fed's latest statement was dovish, the market was optimistic about the US interest rate cut, the Sino - US chip competition ignited the sentiment of the domestic chip industry, and the release of DeepSeek - V3.1 promoted the domestic chip sector. At the same time, the non - bank sector continued to strengthen under the bull market expectation [6][9]. - The judgment on the future market remains unchanged. The market will fluctuate and strengthen. The driving force of this bull market comes from the improvement of grass - roots governance ability and technological competitiveness, which has increased public confidence [9]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Convertible Bond Viewpoint: Low Convertible Bond Positions, Unchanged Bullish Logic - The convertible bond market continues to rise with equities, with increasing trading volume. The median absolute price reaches 135 yuan, and the premium rate per 100 yuan also hits a new high. Although the upward space for convertible bond valuations is decreasing, they still have potential under the influence of optimistic equity sentiment. The current positions of major institutional convertible bonds are generally low, and the bond - selection style is relatively aggressive [9]. - There are no short - term negative factors in the domestic market, and the impact of the interim reports is limited. The current market shows significant slow - bull characteristics, and there is still potential for off - market funds in convertible bonds. One can appropriately ignore short - term fluctuations, adhere to the mid - line bullish view, and add positions at important support levels if there are callbacks [9]. - The A - share market continued to rise last week due to the combined influence of internal and external factors. The Fed's dovish statement, the Sino - US chip competition, and the release of DeepSeek - V3.1 promoted the domestic chip sector, and the non - bank sector continued to strengthen under the bull market expectation [9]. 3.2 Convertible Bond Review: Sustained Equity Momentum, Convertible Bonds Rising Accordingly 3.2.1 Market Overall Performance: Equity Volume Increases and the Technology Sector Leads the Rise - From August 18th to August 22nd, the market continued to rise significantly. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 3.49%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 4.57%, the CSI 300 rose 4.18%, the CSI 1000 rose 3.45%, the ChiNext Index rose 5.85%, the STAR 50 rose 13.31%, and the Beijing Stock Exchange 50 rose 8.40%. All industries closed up, with communication, electronics, and comprehensive industries leading the gains. The average daily trading volume increased significantly from 4861.19 billion yuan to 2.58 trillion yuan [12]. - The top ten convertible bonds in terms of gains last week were Dongshi, Jintong, Huayi, Weice, Dongjie, Shuiyang, Songyuan, Xinzhi, Bo23, and Songsheng Convertible Bonds. In terms of trading volume, last week, Outong, Dayuan, Saili, Dongjie, Huahong, Jintong, Zhongqi, Chongda, Tianlu, and Xinzhi Convertible Bonds were relatively active [12]. 3.2.2 Convertible Bonds Reach New Trading Highs, High - Price and Medium - High - Rating Convertible Bonds Lead the Rise - Last week, convertible bonds significantly followed the rise, with the average daily trading volume continuing to rise to 94.06 billion yuan. The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 2.83%, the parity center rose 2.5% to 112.1 yuan, and the conversion premium rate center rose 0.4% to 21.7%. In terms of style, high - price and medium - high - rating convertible bonds performed well last week, while AAA - rated and double - low convertible bonds were relatively weak [17].

房地产行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 上海新政跟进，强化对行业进入中长期修 复通道的信心 核心观点 ⚫ 我们不同于市场的见解： 1、此轮北京、上海新政节奏符合预期，力度较为克制，有助于区域库存去化。我 们认为，这一系列"因城施策"强化了对行业中长期修复通道的信心，未来不需要 过度猜测短期政策节奏，一方面在于在关键时刻，尤其是在"止跌回稳"压力加剧 的情况下，会有更多、更全面的政策出台以提振市场，另一方面在于房地产主体风 险亦在明显降低，新的地块的利润率回到了合理水平，通过时间的累积，还能持续 经营的开发商的资产负债表会得到修复。 2、地产股的修复并不完全依赖于政策具体的出台时间，无风险利率的下行和行业 风险评价降低是推动地产股修复的主要原因。实际上房地产行业进入下行阶段以 后，社会的中高息回报资产明显减少，自然会带动无风险利率下行。前几年地产股 价明显下行，是因为分子端的影响超过了分母端；目前房地产进入了新的筑底阶 段，以及无风险利率进入低利率区间，分母端的影响超过了分子端，从而将带来未 来股价的回升。而在这个过程中，政策的出台节奏快一点慢一点，强一点弱一点， 都不实质性改变整件事情的基本预期。所以，我们认为只 ...

中信特钢 000708.SZ 公司研究 | 中报点评 特钢需求有望增长，业绩提升前景可期 ——中信特钢 2025 年半年报点评 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 根据公司 2025 年半年报，我们做出小幅下调产品毛利率、上调营业所得税等调整， 预测公司 2025-2027 年每股收益为 1.10、1.17、1.24 元（2025-2027 年原预测值为 1.12、1.20、1.28 元）。根据可比公司 2025 年 14X 的 PE 估值，对应目标价 15.4 元，维持买入评级。 风险提示 公司产品结构转型升级进度低于预期风险、原材料价格上涨风险、公司降本幅度未及预 期风险、特钢下游行业发展速度低于预期风险、宏观经济波动风险 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 114,019 | 109,203 | 104,795 | 104,011 | 104,157 | | 同比增长 (%) | 15.9% | -4.2% | -4.0% | -0. ...

核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 根据公司 2025 年半年报，我们做出小幅下调产品毛利率、上调营业所得税等调整， 预测公司 2025-2027 年每股收益为 1.10、1.17、1.24 元（2025-2027 年原预测值为 1.12、1.20、1.28 元）。根据可比公司 2025 年 14X 的 PE 估值，对应目标价 15.4 元，维持买入评级。 风险提示 公司产品结构转型升级进度低于预期风险、原材料价格上涨风险、公司降本幅度未及预 期风险、特钢下游行业发展速度低于预期风险、宏观经济波动风险 中信特钢 000708.SZ 公司研究 | 中报点评 特钢需求有望增长，业绩提升前景可期 ——中信特钢 2025 年半年报点评 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 114,019 | 109,203 | 104,795 | 104,011 | 104,157 | | 同比增长 (%) | 15.9% | -4.2% | -4.0% | -0. ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 15.4 CNY, maintaining the rating from previous assessments [4][6]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from increasing demand for special steel, particularly in the energy sector, which will enhance its profitability. The company has optimized its product structure and focused on strategic areas such as wind power, oil and gas, and new energy vehicles, leading to a 2.67% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first half of 2025 [10]. - The special steel market is anticipated to continue growing, with the company positioned to expand its profit margins due to its strong technical capabilities and product offerings in clean energy sectors like hydropower and nuclear power [10]. - The company has a solid dividend policy, with a cash dividend payout of 25.6 billion CNY for 2024, representing 49.95% of its net profit, indicating a high dividend yield of 4.45% [10]. Financial Performance Summary - The company's revenue for 2023 is projected at 114,019 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 15.9%. However, a decline of 4.2% is expected in 2024, followed by a slight decrease in subsequent years [14]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 5,721 million CNY in 2023, with a decrease of 19.5% year-on-year. The profit is expected to recover with an 8.5% increase in 2025 [14]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are estimated to be 1.13 CNY for 2023, with a slight decline to 1.02 CNY in 2024, and a recovery to 1.10 CNY in 2025 [14]. Valuation Metrics - The company is valued at a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 11.3 for 2023, which is expected to rise to 12.6 in 2024 before stabilizing around 11.6 in 2025 [14]. - The price-to-book (PB) ratio is projected to decrease from 1.7 in 2023 to 1.5 in 2025, indicating a potential increase in shareholder value over the forecast period [14].

房地产行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 止跌回稳压力加大，后续政策具备较大发 力空间 核心观点 我们不同于市场的见解： 1、今年Q2以来房地产数据持续下行趋势，但同时我们观测到多地优质新盘热销。 对于这两者之间的矛盾，我们的理解为，今年以来高得房率四代宅、新规项目陆续 入市，有效释放改善型需求，但是目前"好房子"体量相对较小，并且二手房以价 换量对于新房也存在挤压效应，新房市场整体企稳仍需要一定时间。 2、不需要过度猜测政策节奏，实际上地产行业及地产股价的修复并不完全依赖于 政策具体的出台时间。无风险利率的下行和行业风险评价降低是推动地产股修复的 主要原因。实际上房地产行业进入下行阶段以后，社会的中高息回报资产明显减 少，自然会带动无风险利率下行。前几年地产股价明显下行，是因为分子端的影响 超过了分母端；目前房地产进入了新的筑底阶段，以及无风险利率进入低利率区 间，分母端的影响超过了分子端，从而将带来未来股价的回升。而在这个过程中， 政策的出台节奏快一点慢一点，强一点弱一点，都不实质性改变整件事情的基本预 期。所以，我们认为只要对国家治理能力抱有信心，那么投资者自然就会对政策能 托底地产存在信心。考虑房地产的底部 ...

华谊集团 600623.SH 公司研究 | 中报点评 | 业绩稳步增长，资产结构持续优化 | | --- | 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 我们预测公司 2025-2027 年每股收益分别为 0.43、0.60、0.60 元，按照可比公司 2025 年 24 倍 PE，对应目标价为 10.32 元，维持买入评级。 风险提示 ⚫ 宏观经济波动风险；新项目投产低于预期；能源品价格波动；假设条件变化影响测 算结果。 | 公司主要财务信息 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 营业收入(百万元) | 40,856 | 44,645 | 44,438 | 47,234 | 47,969 | | 同比增长 (%) | 6.1% | 9.3% | -0.5% | 6.3% | 1.6% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 1,594 | 1,493 | 1,442 | 2,163 | 2,265 | | 同比增长 (%) | -21.9% | -6.4% | -3.4% ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 27.51 CNY based on a projected average PE of 21 times for comparable companies in 2026 [4][7]. Core Views - The company is experiencing comprehensive growth across its three main business segments and is advancing its research in large model development, which is expected to enhance its market position [2][11]. - The company’s revenue for 2023 is projected at 32.218 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 5%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 7.362 billion CNY, reflecting a significant increase of 217% compared to the previous year [6][11]. Financial Forecasts and Investment Recommendations - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 1.22 CNY, 1.31 CNY, and 1.48 CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively. This is a revision from earlier estimates of 1.31 CNY and 1.50 CNY for 2025 and 2026 [4][12]. - The company’s revenue is expected to grow to 40.691 billion CNY by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9% from 2025 to 2027 [6][12]. Business Performance - The company’s domestic business revenue grew by 2% year-on-year to 75.53 billion CNY in the first half of the year, with government business revenue increasing by 5% to 18.5 billion CNY [11]. - The overseas business revenue also saw a 2% increase to 76.28 billion CNY, with expectations for continued steady growth in the second half of the year [11]. - The innovative business segment reported a 23% increase in revenue to 30.23 billion CNY, driven by advancements in automotive electronics, thermal imaging, firefighting, and machine vision [11]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company is focusing on high-value projects and strict cost control, which has led to a significant improvement in profit quality, with a gross margin recovery to 42.7% in Q2 [11]. - The establishment of six regional supply centers and multiple national warehouses enhances the company’s competitive edge in localized rapid supply [11].