Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 39.36 CNY based on a 48x PE valuation for 2025 [2][5][9]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve earnings per share of 0.82 CNY, 1.20 CNY, and 1.52 CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting an upward revision in revenue and gross margin forecasts [2][9]. - The Micro TEC product line is experiencing rapid growth, particularly in the communication sector, with a 140.8% year-on-year increase in sales revenue in 2024 [8]. - The company is expanding into the energy storage market, with its semiconductor thermoelectric cooling technology showing promise as a new growth driver [8]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue is projected to grow from 400 million CNY in 2023 to 973 million CNY in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.9% [4][11]. - Operating profit is expected to turn positive in 2024, reaching 151 million CNY by 2027, with significant growth rates in subsequent years [4][11]. - The gross margin is anticipated to improve from 24.7% in 2023 to 31.5% in 2027, indicating enhanced profitability [4][11]. Market Performance - The company's stock price as of July 4, 2025, was 35.41 CNY, with a 52-week high of 53.25 CNY and a low of 18.39 CNY [5]. - The company has a market capitalization of 3,125 million CNY [5]. Competitive Position - The company is one of the few in the industry that has mastered multiple preparation techniques for bismuth telluride-based semiconductor materials, enhancing its competitive edge [8]. - The ongoing investment in R&D is expected to further strengthen the company's core technology and product innovation capabilities [8].

金融工程 | 动态跟踪 报告发布日期 2025 年 07 月 06 日 杨怡玲 yangyiling@orientsec.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0860523040002 研究结论 风格表现监控 本周市场正收益风格集中在 Trend 风格上，负收益风格表现在 Liquidity 风格上。预 期 PEG 是中证全指成分股中，本周表现最好的因子。 因子表现监控 公募基金指数增强产品表现跟踪 投资建议 风险提示 量化模型失效风险、 市场极端环境冲击。 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信息披露见分析师申明之后部分，或请与您的投资代表联系。并请阅读本证券研究报告最后一页的免责申明。 | IH 升水，IC 及 IM 贴水扩大，中小盘短期 | 2025-07-05 | | --- | --- | | 偏多对待：分红对期指的影响 20250704 | | | 捕捉趋势的力量：基金动量刻画新范式： | 2025-06-12 | | ——FOF 研究系列 | | | Neural ODE：时序动力系统重构下深度学 | 2025-05-27 | | 习因子挖掘模型：——因子选股系列之一 | | | 一六 | | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a neutral investment rating for the automotive and parts industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The governance of "involution" competition is expected to promote healthy development in the industry, with continued focus on companies within the Huawei supply chain [1][13] - June sales in the automotive industry benefited from consumption promotion policies, with significant year-on-year growth observed [11][17] - The report suggests that companies related to the Huawei supply chain will be less affected by price competition, indicating a stable order growth for models like the Hongmeng Zhixing S800 [12][19] Summary by Sections Investment Suggestions and Targets - The report recommends continued attention to the Huawei supply chain, including complete vehicles and auto parts, with a focus on competitive domestic brands and new forces in intelligent driving technology expected to expand market share by 2025 [2][14] - Suggested companies for investment include SAIC Motor, JAC Motors, BYD, and several others in the automotive and parts sectors [15][16] Sales Tracking - In June, the wholesale sales of passenger cars reached 1.235 million units, a year-on-year increase of 15%, while retail sales reached 763,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 3% [17] - Notable sales growth was reported for several new energy vehicle brands, with Hongmeng Zhixing delivering 52,747 units in June, marking a new monthly high [19] Industry Dynamics - The automotive industry is taking proactive measures to combat "involution" competition, including shortening supplier payment terms to 60 days and implementing various actions to stabilize pricing and improve profitability [13][22] - The report highlights that the central government is focusing on eliminating low-price disorderly competition and enhancing product quality across the industry [13] Market Performance - The automotive sector's overall performance has been relatively flat, with the motorcycle and other segments showing better performance [22] - The report notes that the automotive industry has underperformed compared to the broader market indices, indicating a need for strategic adjustments [24]

投资策略 | 定期报告 短期攻势暂缓，中期升势未变 策略周报 20250706 研究结论 ⚫ 全球市场下周或延续震荡 全球降息交易暂歇，下周延续震荡预期：前一周全球市场普涨系交易 9 月的美联储 降息预期，本周全球主要市场除巴西、美国和中国上涨外，整体出现震荡态势，降 息交易暂歇。我们认为美国市场本周全面上涨，并不是交易降息预期，主要是交易 政策不确定性下降，"大而美"法案成功落地短期降低了市场对特朗普政府执政能 力的担心，但这一利好已经落地，政策实际落地效果仍然具有不确定性。美国最新 就业数据公布后，利率期货交易员认为美国 7 月降息预期已微乎其微，9 月降息概率 也从 98%下降到 80%以下。综上我们认为全球市场的上涨或告一段落，下周延续震 荡预期。 风险事件乐观定价充分，预期差逆转压制上涨动力：上周中美推进"伦敦框架" （中方审批管制物项出口、美方松绑限制），市场或因此短期下调了风险评价。但 当前定价或已充分反映对关税战的乐观预期，市场可能会开始担心 9 日事件落地结 果难超预期。随着交易焦点转向 7 月 9 日关税休战到期， 风险评价预期短升将压制 全球市场反弹动能。 ⚫ A 股短期攻势或暂缓，关税 ...

吉利汽车 00175.HK 公司研究 | 动态跟踪 | 上调全年销量目标，预计规模效应将促进 | | --- | | 盈利能力提升 | 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 略调整收入等，预测 2025-2027 年 EPS 分别为 1.50、1.76、2.13 元（原为 1.36、 1.54、1.94 元），维持可比公司 25 年 PE 平均估值 15 倍，目标价 22.50 元人民 币，24.69 港元（1 港元=0.9115 元人民币），维持买入评级。 风险提示 吉利、领克、极氪品牌销量低于预期风险、成本控制不及预期风险。 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 179,204 | 240,194 | 319,444 | 381,363 | 442,685 | | 同比增长 (%) | 21.1% | 34.0% | 33.0% | 19.4% | 16.1% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 3,806 | 7,644 | 14,116 | ...

展望下半年，我们认为随着更多核心城市"好房子"的推出，一二线城市呈现点状 火热，而三四线城市成交规模将延续低位波动。在高得房率改善型住房的拉动下， 2025 年全年新房销售同比降幅可能缩窄，部分高能级城市新房价格企稳。 近期，关于高性价比新房对二手房的挤压效应的讨论比较多，我们认为通过得房 率、层高、地段、户型规划、"显奢"设计营造的部分新房的优势，实际上是地方 政府在地价和规划上让步的表现，自然会使得一部分新房获益。但并不存在新房一 定好于二手房或者二手房一定好于新房，谁的调整机制更灵活谁更受益。 ⚫ 关注三季度政策窗口。2025 年以来，新房市场通过"好房子"政策取得部分楼盘热 销，但是旧库存的去化仍不够理想；二手房方面，通过以价换量，取得不俗的"小 阳春"交易量，但是房价自去年 Q4 以来基本上维持持续回落态势。5 月以来，二手 房价环比下行速度加快，二手交易量自 4 月开始也出现明显回落。统计局 5 月 70 城 新建商品住宅价格环比下降 0.22%、同比下降 4.08%。可以说数据已经进入全面回 落阶段，房地产刺激政策的必要性提高。 三季度，考虑到先前"抢出口"和"抢转口"已透支了部分需求，若后续抢 ...

风险提示 国内宏观经济增速放缓；关税等因素影响出口需求与产业链稳定性；原材料价格波动 有色、钢铁行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 反内卷是钢铁行业的中期投资逻辑 ——钢铁行业周思考（2025 年第 27 周） 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 国家/地区 中国 行业 有色、钢铁行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 07 月 06 日 看好（维持） 刘洋 021-63325888*6084 liuyang3@orientsec.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0860520010002 香港证监会牌照：BTB487 | | | | 重点关注盈利稳定、高分红的电解铝板块 | 2025-07-03 | | --- | --- | | 投 资 机 会 ： — — 有 色 钢 铁 行 业 周 观 点 | | | （2025 年第 26 周） | | | 从战略与策略角度看稀土板块的配置价 | 2025-06-23 | | 值：——有色钢铁行业周观点（2025 年第 | | | 25 周） | | | 重视稀土产业链的供给侧逻辑：——有色 | 2025-06-08 | | 钢铁行业周观点（2025 年第 23 周） | | 有关分析师 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the media industry as of July 6, 2025 [6]. Core Insights - The gaming industry shows strong resilience against macroeconomic headwinds, with a 18% year-on-year growth in Q1 2025, significantly outperforming the retail sales growth of 4.6% [9][20]. - The report emphasizes the shift from short-cycle games to long-cycle projects, indicating a more stable revenue stream for companies focusing on long-term development [10][43]. - Regulatory changes, particularly the acceleration of game license approvals, are expected to enhance supply and improve the operating environment for gaming companies [31][22]. Summary by Sections Domestic Market - The gaming industry in China is experiencing a robust growth trajectory, with total revenue reaching 857 billion, a 18% increase year-on-year, and mobile gaming revenue at 636 billion, growing by 20% [20]. - The report highlights the favorable policy environment that has led to an increase in the efficiency of game license approvals, with a notable rise in the number of licenses issued monthly [26][27]. - AI technology is driving the longevity of head games, with a focus on long-cycle game categories such as competitive and strategy games [33][43]. Overseas Market - Chinese gaming companies are expected to continue increasing their market share overseas, with the share of mobile games from Chinese developers rising from 22% in 2018 to 28% in 2024 [9]. - The report notes that the support for overseas expansion and the reduction of regulatory barriers will enhance the competitiveness of Chinese gaming products in international markets [2][2]. Industry Catalysts - Ongoing global litigation against Apple regarding its monopolistic practices is anticipated to lead to significant improvements in profit margins for gaming companies in China once regulatory changes are implemented [12][10]. - The transition from a focus on short-cycle games to long-cycle projects is expected to create a valuation differentiation between companies that excel in long-cycle game development and those that do not [10][43]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with advantages in gaming channels and long-cycle products, such as Xindong Company, Tencent Holdings, ST Huatuo, Giant Network, and Kaiying Network, which are expected to benefit from recent regulatory changes [4][14]. - Companies with significant project reserves for the year, including 37 Interactive Entertainment, G-bits, Perfect World, NetEase, and Shenzhou Taiyue, are also highlighted as potential investment opportunities [4][15].

机械设备行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 人形机器人将加速落地，零部件估值有望 提升 ——机器人产业跟踪 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 我们看到目前机器人一级市场融资项目倾向于人形整机，预计行业项目的落地将加速， 也有望超市场预期。在行业扩张的同时，我们也在现在看到了零部件产业链将出现收敛 的迹象，护城河的上升将带来确定性，进而有利于估值提升。建议重视应用场景细分领 域、重点区域公司。建议短期关注零部件，中长期关注整机厂。 建议关注：（1）整机和总成：优必选、越疆、埃斯顿、拓斯达、埃夫特-U、中坚科技、 亿嘉和、永创智能、杰克股份、领益智造、拓普集团、三花智控、信质集团、均普智 能；（2）零部件：五洲新春、震裕科技、金沃股份、日盈电子、中欣氟材、赛摩智能、 康平科技、浙江荣泰、嵘泰股份、绿的谐波、斯菱股份、捷昌驱动、兆威机电、祥鑫科 技、步科股份、唯科科技、南山智尚、汉威科技、凌云光、华依科技；（3）场景和应 用：中邮科技、德马科技、音飞储存、安徽合力、杭叉集团、诺力股份、首程控股。 风险提示 产品降价风险、场景需求落地不明确导致低于预期、国家政策变化导致行业发展放缓、 海外龙头厂商生产不及预期、行业融资不及预期 ...

金融工程 | 动态跟踪 IH 升水，IC 及 IM 贴水扩大，中小盘短期 偏多对待 分红对期指的影响 20250704 研究结论 | 上证50股指期货 | 收盘价 | 分红点数 | 实际价差 | 含分红价差 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | IH2507 | 2723.00 | 22.58 | -17.44 | 5.14 | | IH2508 | 2717.20 | 25.93 | -23.24 | 2.68 | | IH2509 | 2717.20 | 26.99 | -23.24 | 3.75 | | IH2512 | 2715.00 | 26.99 | -25.44 | 1.55 | | 沪深300股指期货 | 收盘价 | 分红点数 | 实际价差 | 含分红价差 | | IF2507 | 3963.80 | 22.56 | -18.40 | 4.16 | | IF2508 | 3944.80 | 29.39 | -37.40 | -8.02 | | IF2509 | 3936.00 | 33.20 | -46.20 | -13.01 | | IF2512 | 389 ...