Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [4]. Core Views - The company is a leading player in the semiconductor packaging and testing industry, benefiting from the recovery of industry conditions and its advanced packaging layout, which promises growth potential [4]. - The company ranks third globally among OSAT manufacturers and first in mainland China, indicating its strong market position [4]. - The company's proprietary XDFOI®Chiplet technology has achieved stable mass production, catering to high-performance computing, AI, 5G, and automotive electronics [4]. - The automotive electronics market presents significant growth opportunities, with the company expected to see rapid development following the launch of its new factory in Shanghai [4][6]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 29,661 million RMB - 2024: 35,962 million RMB (21.24% YoY growth) - 2025: 42,865 million RMB (19.20% YoY growth) - 2026: 47,361 million RMB (10.49% YoY growth) - 2027: 52,999 million RMB (11.90% YoY growth) [5]. - Net profit forecasts are: - 2023: 1,471 million RMB - 2024: 1,610 million RMB (9.44% YoY growth) - 2025: 2,078 million RMB (29.11% YoY growth) - 2026: 2,900 million RMB (39.56% YoY growth) - 2027: 3,967 million RMB (36.77% YoY growth) [5]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) are projected to increase from 0.82 RMB in 2023 to 2.22 RMB in 2027 [5]. Investment Valuation - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected to decrease from 39.90 in 2023 to 14.79 in 2027, indicating an attractive valuation as earnings grow [5][6]. - The report compares the company with peers such as Tongfu Microelectronics, Huatian Technology, and Nexperia, with an average valuation of 39.29 times for 2025 [6].

Investment Rating - The report gives an initial investment rating of "Buy" for Dongguan Holdings, emphasizing its strong position in the expressway sector and stable dividend commitments to shareholders [4][6][71]. Core Viewpoints - Dongguan Holdings focuses on its core business of expressway operations, particularly the advantageous position of the Dongshen Expressway, which is a vital part of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area's transportation network [5][8]. - The company has committed to a minimum annual cash dividend of no less than 0.475 CNY per share for the years 2025-2027, reflecting its emphasis on shareholder returns [5][33]. - The ongoing expansion project of the Dongshen Expressway is expected to significantly enhance traffic capacity and toll revenue in the long term, despite short-term challenges during the construction phase [5][45][71]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company's total revenue increased from 1.097 billion CNY in 2015 to 1.692 billion CNY in 2024, with a CAGR of 4.93% [5][18]. - The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is estimated at 812 million CNY, 856 million CNY, and 888 million CNY, with year-on-year growth rates of -15.0%, 5.4%, and 3.8% respectively [6][71]. Business Segments - The expressway business remains the core revenue driver, contributing 78.19% of total revenue in 2024, with toll revenue from the Dongshen Expressway reaching 1.323 billion CNY [18][22]. - The financial investment segment, including commercial factoring and leasing, is expected to provide stable income, while the new energy sector is expanding but facing short-term profitability challenges [51][58]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively pursuing a multi-faceted strategy that includes optimizing its asset portfolio by focusing on expressway operations and divesting non-core assets [71]. - The ongoing expansion of the Dongshen Expressway is projected to alleviate traffic congestion and enhance toll revenue, with completion expected by December 2028 [5][45]. Market Position - Dongguan Holdings is positioned as a key player in the expressway sector within the Greater Bay Area, benefiting from its strategic location and the ongoing integration of regional transportation networks [8][71]. - The company’s financial health is supported by a strong shareholder base and a commitment to maintaining a stable dividend policy [33][71].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Japan's bond market is dominated by government and quasi - government bonds, and the scale of government debt has been continuously increasing, while the growth of corporate and individual debt may stagnate in the stage of population negative growth [5][15]. - The Bank of Japan is the most important investor in the Japanese bond market, holding nearly half of Japanese government bonds. Banks and insurance companies have a relatively high proportion of overseas bond holdings due to low domestic bond yields. Although Japan's government debt - to - GDP ratio is high, it has not experienced a currency crisis because most of its government bonds are held by domestic investors [17]. - Japan's stock funds have grown significantly, while the scale of fixed - income funds has nearly reached zero. When the 10 - year government bond yield is below 2%, the scale of bond funds starts to decline; when it is below 1.5%, the decline accelerates; when it is below 0.5%, the scale may gradually reach zero [1][99]. - In the low - interest - rate era, the indexation and ETF - ization of bond funds are major trends, and the fee rate shows a downward trend. Global bond funds may be a direction when domestic bond yields are low under the condition of free capital convertibility [1][101]. - China is in a low - interest - rate era. The development of domestic pure - bond funds may stagnate, and it is recommended to actively follow the trend of bond - fund indexation and ETF - ization, develop overseas bond funds, and strengthen the development of fixed - income plus funds [102][106]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Japan's Bond Market Structure's Long - term Changes 3.1.1 Japan's Economic Past and Present - After World War II, Japan's economy grew rapidly from 1961 - 1990, with an average real GDP growth rate of 6.2%. In the 1980s, Japan was world - leading in many fields. However, since the 1990s, due to the bursting of the real - estate and stock - market bubbles, Japan has entered a "lost era", with an average real GDP growth rate of only 0.7% from 1992 - 2024 [6]. - Japan's GDP was once very close to that of the United States in 1995, accounting for 72.6% of the US GDP. But by 2024, it was only 13.8% of the US GDP [7]. 3.1.2 Japan's Bond Market Structure Changes - Japan's bond types include government bonds, corporate bonds, financial bonds, etc. Government and quasi - government bonds are the main part of the bond market. As of the end of 2024, the balance of government and quasi - government bonds accounted for 92.3% of the total bond - market scale [9]. - Since 1998, the proportion of government and quasi - government bonds in the Japanese bond market has gradually increased from 64.1% to 92.3%. The scale of the Japanese bond market has been growing, but the scale of convertible bonds has nearly reached zero, reflecting the low financing demand of Japanese enterprises [9][14]. - Looking forward, the scale of Chinese government bonds may continue to increase, and the proportion of government bonds in the bond market may continue to rise [15]. 3.2 Japan's Bond Market Investor Structure Changes 3.2.1 Holders of Japanese Government Bonds - As of the end of 2023, the Bank of Japan held 47.9% of Japanese government bonds, followed by insurance companies, banks, pension funds, and overseas investors [18]. - The issuance term of Japanese government bonds is relatively long, with bonds with a term of 10 years and above accounting for 76.4% of the balance as of the end of 2023 [20]. 3.2.2 Bond Investment of Various Japanese Investors - The Bank of Japan is the core investor in Japanese government bonds. As of the end of 2024, it held 582.7 trillion yen of government bonds, accounting for 47.5% of the government - bond balance. The Bank of Japan's assets are mainly government bonds [22][28]. - Japanese financial institutions have a relatively high proportion of overseas bond holdings. As of March 2024, overseas bonds accounted for 37.6% of the bond investments of Japanese domestic banks and 25.2% of those of the insurance industry [29]. - The proportion of securities investment of Mitsubishi UFJ Bank has decreased significantly since 2013, which is related to the low bond yields in Japan. When the 10 - year government bond yield falls below 1%, the proportion of its securities investment decreases significantly [31][32]. - Japanese life - insurance companies invest a significant amount in Japanese government bonds and also have a relatively high proportion of overseas - securities investment. The Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF) has a relatively high proportion of stock investment, with a 49.9% stock - investment ratio at the end of 2024 [39][40]. - Japanese retail government bonds have three main terms: 3, 5, and 10 years. The amount of government bonds held by individual investors has remained at a low level in recent years, which is related to the decline in government - bond yields [43]. 3.3 Japan's Public - Fund Industry's Seventy - year Development 3.3.1 Long - term Changes in Japan's Public - Fund Industry - Japan's public - fund industry has a history of more than 70 years. The earliest securities investment trust appeared in 1937, and the legal basis for modern securities investment trust was established in 1951. The earliest open - end stock investment fund was established in 1952, and the earliest bond fund was established in 1961 [53]. - The development of Japan's public funds can be divided into four stages: the start - up stage (before 1971), the booming development stage (1972 - 1989), the stock - fund downturn stage (1990 - 1997), and the stock - fund maturity stage (after 1997). As of the end of 2024, the total scale of Japanese public funds reached a record high of 246 trillion yen, with stock funds accounting for the majority [54][55][56]. 3.3.2 Structure Evolution and Investment Direction of Japan's Stock Funds - Japan's stock funds can invest in both domestic and overseas bonds and stocks. The scale of bonds invested by stock funds was once higher than that of stocks, but since 2012, the proportion of bond investment has decreased significantly [60]. - As of the end of 2024, Japanese stock funds held 10.1 trillion yen of domestic stocks, accounting for 10.2% of the total market value of the Japanese stock market. The top three industries with increased investment proportions from 2011 - 2024 were electrical appliances, services, and retail, while the top three with decreased proportions were automobiles, chemicals, and glass and ceramics [64]. - The proportion of bond investment by Japanese stock funds is closely related to the stock - market situation and bond - yield levels. As of the end of 2024, the bond - investment proportion of Japanese stock funds was only 8.0% [66]. - Since 2013, the scale of Japanese stock funds has increased significantly, which is closely related to the rise of the stock market and the development of ETFs. As of the end of 2024, the scale of ETFs in stock funds accounted for 38.8% [68]. 3.3.3 Evolution of Japan's Fixed - Income Funds - Japan's fixed - income funds are mainly divided into money funds (MMF), long - term bond funds, medium - term government - bond funds, domestic - and - foreign - bond funds, and money reserve funds (MRF). Currently, the scale of money funds, medium - term government - bond funds, and domestic - and - foreign - bond funds has reached zero [71]. - The scale of Japanese money funds reached zero in 2017 due to the Bank of Japan's unconventional monetary - easing policies and negative interest rates [75]. - The scale of Japanese bond funds has decreased significantly. As of the end of 2024, the scale of long - term bond funds was only 0.45 trillion yen, and the fixed - income funds are mainly MRF, with a scale of 15.3 trillion yen [71][84]. 3.3.4 Competition Pattern of Japanese Asset - Management Institutions - As of the end of 2024, there were hundreds of asset - management institutions in Japan, including 80 public - asset - management companies. The total management scale of public - asset - management institutions was 380 trillion yen, with public - fund scale at 246 trillion yen [90]. - Nomura Asset Management dominates the market, and the top five public - fund institutions account for nearly 70% of the market share. The indexation and ETF - ization characteristics of Japanese stock funds are obvious, and the average fee rate of public funds is in a downward trend [91][95][97]. 3.4 Enlightenment from the Development of Japanese Fixed - Income Funds 3.4.1 Enlightenment from the Development of Japanese Fixed - Income Funds - When the 10 - year government - bond yield is below 0.5%, the development of fixed - income funds may reach an end. The current main part of Japanese fixed - income funds is MRF, which is less sensitive to yield [98][100]. - If capital is freely convertible, global bond funds may be a direction when domestic bond yields are low. However, the total scale of Japanese bond funds investing in overseas bonds is not large due to exchange - rate risks and hedging costs [100]. - In a low - interest - rate environment, the indexation and ETF - ization of bond funds are major trends, and the fee rate shows a downward trend [101]. 3.4.2 Where Do Bond Funds Go in the Low - Interest - Rate Era? - China is in a low - interest - rate era, and the development of domestic pure - bond funds may stagnate. It is recommended to actively follow the trend of bond - fund indexation and ETF - ization, develop overseas bond funds, and strengthen the development of fixed - income plus funds [102][106][109]. - In the low - interest - rate era, bond - fund indexation and ETF - ization are major trends. Nomura Asset Management has many bond ETFs and index funds. China's fund companies can actively layout bond - segment index funds or ETFs [109][112]. - Fund companies are advised to actively obtain QDII quotas and vigorously layout overseas - bond investments [117]. - Fixed - income plus funds still have broad development space and can be further segmented, and the scope of plus - assets can be expanded [118].

证券研究报告 晨会 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 05 月 27 日 投资要点： 资料来源：聚源，华源证券研究所，截至2025年05月27日 华源晨会精粹 20250527 农林牧渔 生猪价格持续走弱，建议关注低成本高成长龙头——农林牧渔行业周报： 生猪：本周涌益数据最新猪价降至 14.31 元/kg，出栏均重略降至 129.38kg，15Kg 仔猪报价维持 627 元/头左右。近期二育栏舍利用率下行、积极性下降，短期猪价走 势或震荡偏弱，4 月农业部数据中大猪存栏同比+6.5%、环比+0.6%，后续供应压力 或持续。中长期看全年总体供给偏多，猪价弱势较为确定。肉鸡：上周全球最大鸡 肉出口国巴西爆发商业养殖场禽流感，已暂停出口中国，或助推国内鸡肉价格回暖。 目前巴西向中国提出仅针对于出现禽流感疫情的蒙特内格鲁市产品禁运的建议，后 续若巴西 28 天无疫情则将重新被认定为"无禽流感国家"。宠物：海关 4 月狗食或 猫食饲料及罐头销售额数据显示，剔除春节因素后出现 22 个月以来的首次下滑，对 美国出口大幅下滑。非美地区出口也有所放缓，或与转口贸易有关。贸易摩擦的不 确定性导致客户下单更为谨慎。建议持续 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the U.S.-China geopolitical competition may accelerate the narrative around nuclear power, with nuclear fusion emerging as a key competitive point. Recent U.S. executive orders aim to revitalize the nuclear energy sector, which could benefit related companies in the context of increased capital expenditure driven by military competition [4] - The report anticipates that 2025 will be a turning point for listed companies, with 2026 marking an industry inflection point. It suggests that the current market downturn presents opportunities to capitalize on "cognitive differences" [4] Summary by Sections 1. Controlled Nuclear Fusion Research - Controlled nuclear fusion offers unparalleled advantages over other energy sources, including abundant raw materials from seawater and minimal environmental impact [8] - The global number of operational fusion devices has reached over 100, with various countries accelerating their fusion development strategies [12][16] 2. Sector Tracking - The construction materials index has decreased by 1.1%, with cement and glass fiber sectors showing varied performance [25] - Notable stock performances include companies like Xiong Plastic Technology (+13.2%) and Jingang Photovoltaic (+11.7%) [25] 3. Data Tracking Cement - The average price of 42.5 cement nationwide is 370.8 RMB/ton, down 7.8 RMB/ton month-on-month but up 5.2% year-on-year [33] - The cement inventory ratio is 65.3%, showing a month-on-month increase of 1.3 percentage points [33] Float Glass - The average price of 5mm float glass is 1378.3 RMB/ton, down 16.6 RMB/ton month-on-month and down 401.5 RMB/ton year-on-year [50] Photovoltaic Glass - The average price for 2.0mm coated photovoltaic glass is 13.7 RMB/sqm, remaining stable month-on-month but down 4.2 RMB/sqm year-on-year [55] Glass Fiber - The average price for alkali-free glass fiber yarn is 4700.0 RMB/ton, down 10.0 RMB/ton month-on-month but up 45.0% year-on-year [60] Carbon Fiber - The average price for large tow carbon fiber is 72.5 RMB/kg, stable month-on-month but down 5.0 RMB/kg year-on-year [63]

11- 分 11 7 11 7 0 北交所定期报告 2025年05月26日 固态电池与氢燃料电池降本趋势持续,关注北交所固态电池&氢能产业企业 证券分析师 赵昊 SAC: S1350524110004 zhaohao@huayuanstock.com 万泉 SAC: S1350524100001 wanxiao@huayuanstock.com 联系 北交所科技成长产业跟踪第二十七期(20250525) 公告:海泰新能拟在印尼建设"2GW 光伏电池片及 1GW 组件项目"作为新增寨投项目。成都瑞奇智造科技股 A 份有限公司取得 1 项国家知识产权局授予的实用新型专利证书,实用新型名称:一种带翅片管的吸附柱及尾气 回收系统。唐山海泰新能科技股份有限公司拟在印尼建设"2GW 光伏电池片及 1GW 组件项目"作为新增募投 项目,项目总投资约6亿元人民币。 A 风险提示:宏观经济环境变动风险、市场竞争风险、资料统计误差风险。 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 A 总量:北交所科技成长股股价涨跌幅中值-5.38%。2025年5月 19 日至 23 日，北交所科技成长产业 146 家企 A 业少数上涨,区间涨跌 ...

证券研究报告 | 北交所定期报告 | | --- | hyzqdatemark 2025 年 05 月 26 日 证券分析师 赵昊 SAC：S1350524110004 zhaohao@huayuanstock.com 万枭 SAC：S1350524100001 wanxiao@huayuanstock.com 固态电池与氢燃料电池降本趋势持续，关注北交所固态电池&氢能产业企业 ——北交所科技成长产业跟踪第二十七期（20250525） 投资要点： 风险提示：宏观经济环境变动风险、市场竞争风险、资料统计误差风险。 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 联系人 液态锂电池仍有能量密度存在上限等不足，固态电池与氢燃料电池降本趋势持续。液态锂电池仍有能量密度存在 上限、锂枝晶引起的安全风险、SEI 膜增厚影响循环寿命、低温性能不足限制场景应用等不足。因此，发展固态 电池和氢燃料电池不仅是解决现有技术瓶颈的关键路径，也是满足未来多样化应用需求的重要方向。（1）固态 电池：固态电池产业化建设已取得实质进展，多家固态电池企业宣布了其量产计划，例如，中创新航全固态电池 技术能量密度达 430wh/kg，预计 2028 ...

证券研究报告 农林牧渔 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 05 月 26 日 投资评级： 看好（维持） 雷轶 SAC：S1350524110001 leiyi@huayuanstock.com 冯佳文 SAC：S1350524120003 fengjiawen@huayuanstock.com 顾超 SAC：S1350524110005 guchao@huayuanstock.com 李冉 liran02@huayuanstock.com 板块表现： 生猪价格持续走弱，建议关注低成本 高成长龙头 ——农林牧渔行业周报（20250519-20250523） 证券分析师 投资要点： 生猪：猪价持续走弱，4 月行业中大猪存栏环比微增。 联系人 本周涌益数据最新猪价降至 14.31 元/kg，出栏均重略降至 129.38kg，15Kg 仔猪报 价维持 627 元/头左右。近期二育栏舍利用率下行、积极性下降，短期猪价走势或震 荡偏弱，4 月农业部数据中大猪存栏同比+6.5%、环比+0.6%，后续供应压力或持续。 中长期看全年总体供给偏多，猪价弱势较为确定。产能方面，4 月官方全国能繁母猪 存栏量 4 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the small metals and new materials sector is "Positive" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The report highlights that tungsten prices have reached historical highs while antimony prices are adjusting, with materials expected to benefit from the acceleration of commercial nuclear fusion [4] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring overseas rare earth prices in June, with expectations of a general price increase but limited growth compared to May [6] - The report suggests that the recent easing of tariffs between China and the US may create opportunities for new materials exports, particularly for companies with high export exposure [10][11] Summary by Sections Rare Earths - Recent price movements include a 1.42% increase in praseodymium-neodymium oxide to 429,000 CNY/ton, a 1.22% decrease in dysprosium oxide to 1,625,000 CNY/ton, and a 0.07% increase in terbium oxide to 7,080,000 CNY/ton [6][13] - Key factors to watch include the implementation timeline of the total rare earth control draft, export quotas, and imports from Myanmar [6] Molybdenum - Molybdenum concentrate prices increased by 4.30% to 3,635 CNY/ton, while molybdenum iron (Mo60) prices rose by 4.87% to 237,000 CNY/ton [21] Tungsten - Black tungsten concentrate prices rose by 7.89% to 164,000 CNY/ton, and ammonium paratungstate prices increased by 8.74% to 242,500 CNY/ton [24] Tin - SHFE tin prices increased by 1.95% to 264,600 CNY/ton, and LME tin prices rose by 2.99% to 3.27 USD/ton [33] Antimony - Antimony ingot prices decreased by 5.32% to 222,500 CNY/ton, and antimony concentrate prices fell by 3.70% to 195,000 CNY/ton [48] New Materials - The report notes a window of opportunity for new materials exports due to the recent tariff adjustments, suggesting a potential recovery for companies like BQ New Materials and others [10][11] - The commercial acceleration of controlled nuclear fusion is expected to benefit upstream materials, with significant developments reported in both domestic and international projects [11]

Industry Overview - The global seed industry has a high concentration, with a CR5 of 52% in 2021, while China's seed industry CR5 is only 17%, indicating significant room for improvement[4] - Major grain prices in China have shown a slight increase, with corn prices up by 11.9%, while soybean prices decreased by 0.7%, and wheat prices increased by 2.9% as of May 23, 2025[4] Genetically Modified Organisms (GMOs) - Three batches of genetically modified corn varieties have been approved for commercialization, totaling 161 varieties, with significant advantages for leading companies[4][16] - The domestic market for genetically modified crops is expected to accelerate, with companies like Kangnong Seed focusing on high-yield and resilient hybrid corn varieties[19] Company Performance - Kangnong Seed's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 337 million yuan, representing a year-over-year increase of 16.80%, with a net profit of approximately 82.60 million yuan and gross/net profit margins of 35.79% and 24.72%, respectively[30] - The company's three-year CAGR for revenue and net profit from 2021 to 2024 is 33.45% and 24.53%, respectively, indicating strong growth potential[30] Market Trends - The median price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the North Exchange consumer service sector decreased from 57.9X to 53.2X, reflecting a broader market trend[34] - The total market capitalization of the North Exchange consumer service sector fell from 119.36 billion yuan to 116.79 billion yuan during the week of May 19 to May 23, 2025[38] Risk Factors - Potential risks include macroeconomic fluctuations, market competition, and statistical data inaccuracies, which could impact the overall market performance[52]